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TXSO

Texas Southern 10 at Florida Atlantic 66

FAU
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadTXSO aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreTXSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:32: #10 M.Arana field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #50 B.Mays Jr, LS: #51 I.Mbagwu), clock 08:32 — TXSO win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 0:29: No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #8 E.Messer caught at TSU00, for 19 yards to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas) — FAU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:12: Kelby Valsin 19 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Collin Rogers Kick) — FAU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:24: No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #2 K.Valsin caught at TSU41, for 55 yards to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:24, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas) — FAU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:32: Kelby Valsin 8 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Collin Rogers Kick) — FAU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TXSO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 14:47TXSO 4th & 1 at TXSO 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:32TXSO 4th & 8 at FAU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:09TXSO 4th & 9 at TXSO 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:47TXSO 4th & 1 at TXSO 38, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:58TXSO 4th & 2 at TXSO 44, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:46FAU 4th & 6 at TXSO 29, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:23TXSO 4th & 11 at TXSO 21, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:00FAU 4th & 3 at TXSO 47, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:03TXSO 4th & 5 at TXSO 21, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:47FAU 4th & 1 at TXSO 1, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47TXSO 4th & 1 at TXSO 47, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:16TXSO 4th & 6 at FAU 41, down 56
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:47FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 26, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:33TXSO 4th & 11 at TXSO 45, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:50FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 43, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TXSO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:47FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:16FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:29FAU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:12FAU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:24FAU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:17TXSO Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:32FAU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:18FAU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:47FAU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSODrive 2FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:151% → 1%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short right to #1 R.Richardson caught at TSU27, for 9 yards to the TSU34 (#8 C.Tooley III), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Shotgun #1 R.Richardson rush left for 0 yards to the TSU34 (#22 J.Sweeney)Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 0 yards to the TSU34 (#6 L.Hart Jr.; #2 W.Denaud)Similar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
No Huddle #0 C.McCoy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TSU36 (#2 W.Denaud), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
99.4%
No Huddle #0 C.McCoy pass complete short left to #6 Z.Claville caught at TSU50, for 14 yards to the TSU50 (#20 B.Simpson-Nealy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
50
-2
99.4%
Shotgun #38 D.Kency Jr rush right for 2 yards loss to the TSU48 (#1 C.Doggette Jr.; #22 J.Sweeney)Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+4
99.4%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short left to #4 F.Mukuba caught at TSU46, for 4 yards to the FAU48 (#1 C.Doggette Jr.)Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+19
99.4%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short middle to #28 A.Renfro caught at FAU50, for 19 yards to the FAU29 (#22 J.Sweeney), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.4%
Shotgun #23 J.Washington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FAU27 (#12 J.Crable)Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
99.4%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short right to #5 J.McGee thrown to FAU15 QB hurried by #6 L.Hart Jr.Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
99.4%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short right to #5 J.McGee thrown to FAU08 broken up by #4 D.McGheeSimilar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
99.1%
#10 M.Arana field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #50 B.Mays Jr, LS: #51 I.Mbagwu), clock 08:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 4FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.1%
PENALTY TSU False Start (#54 L.Williams) 5 yards from TSU16 to TSU11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+20
99.1%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete deep left to #1 R.Richardson caught at TSU31, for 20 yards to the TSU31 (#22 J.Sweeney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.1%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 7 yards gain to the TSU38 (#6 L.Hart Jr.; #2 W.Denaud)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 5INT
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:171% → 1%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short right to #1 R.Richardson caught at TSU32, for 0 yards to the TSU35 (#21 N.Fischer; #23 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 2 yards gain to the TSU37 (#23 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+34
99.2%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 34 yards gain to the FAU29, out of bounds at FAU29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.2%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy rush right for 1 yard gain to the FAU28 (#18 J.Sipp Jr.; #10 J.Roberts)Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+17
99.2%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short middle to #3 D.Walker caught at FAU11, for 17 yards to the FAU11 (#23 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.2%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 4 yards gain to the FAU07 (#18 J.Sipp Jr.; #23 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
99.2%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short right thrown to FAU01 QB hurried by #20 B.Simpson-NealySimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
99.1%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass intercepted by #16 W.Foster IV at FAU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #8 E.Messer caught at FAU15, for 30 yards to the FAU50 (#6 G.Lawrence; #1 J.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #9 D.Henry caught at TSU39, for 15 yards to the TSU35 (#8 M.Hinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Ervin rush left for 4 yards gain to the TSU31 (#20 D.Jones)Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass incomplete deep middle to #9 D.Henry thrown to TSU00Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+5
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass incomplete deep right to #2 K.Valsin thrown to TSU05 PENALTY TSU Offside (#99 J.Cherry) 5 yards from TSU31 to TSU26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+7
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Ervin rush right for 7 yards gain to the TSU19 (#5 A.Kizzee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #8 E.Messer caught at TSU00, for 19 yards to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:151% → 1%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.2%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TSU21 (#13 E.Miller Jr.)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+7
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TSU28 (#20 B.Simpson-Nealy; #43 H.Chavez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Washington rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TSU27 (#13 E.Miller Jr.; #2 W.Denaud)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+7
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short left to #4 F.Mukuba caught at TSU29, for 7 yards to the TSU34 (#4 D.McGhee)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+5
99.2%
PENALTY TSU Delay Of Game (#0 C.McCoy) 5 yards from TSU34 to TSU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Richardson thrown to TSU40 QB hurried by #18 J.Sipp Jr.Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+11
99.2%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 37 yards to the FAU34 #8 E.Messer return 11 yards to the FAU45 (#13 F.Wells)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:5799% → 99%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp rush left for 4 yards gain to the FAU49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass incomplete deep left to #9 D.Henry thrown to TSU29Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+13
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short right to #8 E.Messer caught at TSU42, for 13 yards to the TSU38 (#24 A.Garrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp sacked for loss of 2 yards to the TSU40 (#44 K.Green)Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+3
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Ervin rush right for 3 yards gain to the TSU37 (#1 J.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+9
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short right to #2 K.Valsin caught at TSU28, for 9 yards to the TSU28 fumbled by #2 K.Valsin at TSU28 recovered by FAU #2 K.Valsin at TSU28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 E.Ervin rush right for 9 yards gain to the TSU19 (#15 J.Thompson)Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+19
99.4%
Kelby Valsin 19 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Collin Rogers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:191% → 0%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TSU32 (#16 W.Foster IV; #6 L.Hart Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
99.5%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short left to #1 R.Richardson caught at TSU32, for 5 yards to the TSU37 (#6 L.Hart Jr.; #16 W.Foster IV)Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
99.4%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short right to #13 X.Phipps caught at TSU38, for 1 yard to the TSU38 (#20 B.Simpson-Nealy)Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
99.6%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 42 yards to the FAU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short right to #2 K.Valsin caught at FAU30, for 12 yards to the FAU32 (#19 L.Howell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.Farrow rush middle for 9 yards gain to the FAU41 (#6 G.Lawrence; #15 J.Thompson)Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 L.Farrow rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FAU45 (#5 A.Kizzee; #19 L.Howell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #2 K.Valsin caught at TSU41, for 55 yards to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:24, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 11TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short left to #6 Z.Claville caught at TSU20, for 11 yards to the TSU31 (#11 G.Marcelin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush left for 1 yard gain to the TSU32 (#13 E.Miller Jr.; #20 B.Simpson-Nealy)Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+7
99.8%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy rush right for 7 yards gain to the TSU39, out of bounds at TSU39Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush left for 4 yards gain to the TSU43 (#62 E.Sledge), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
99.8%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short right to #1 R.Richardson caught at FAU38, for 19 yards to the FAU38, out of bounds at FAU38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.8%
Shotgun #23 J.Washington rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FAU32 (#9 J.Bax)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Washington rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FAU27 (#8 C.Tooley III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 F.Mukuba rush left for 16 yards gain to the FAU11 (#7 K.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 11 yards gain to the FAU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:17, 1ST DOWN #10 M.Arana kick attempt good (H: #50 B.Mays Jr, LS: #51 I.Mbagwu)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass incomplete deep middle to #8 E.Messer thrown to TSU44 broken up by #1 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short middle to #9 D.Henry caught at FAU40, for 18 yards to the FAU43 (#3 R.Robinson; #13 F.Wells), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short right to #2 K.Valsin caught at TSU47, for 13 yards to the TSU44, out of bounds at TSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short right to #8 E.Messer caught at TSU28, for 26 yards to the TSU18 (#5 A.Kizzee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #2 K.Valsin caught at TSU20, for 10 yards to the TSU08 (#3 R.Robinson; #13 F.Wells), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Kelby Valsin 8 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Collin Rogers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Kneel down by Texas Southern at TSU24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 4 yards gain to the TSU29 (#6 L.Hart Jr.; #20 B.Simpson-Nealy)Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TSU36 (#9 J.Bax; #18 J.Sipp Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Shotgun #23 J.Washington rush left for 1 yard gain to the TSU37 (#9 J.Bax; #2 W.Denaud)Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short left to #6 Z.Claville caught at TSU44, for 7 yards to the TSU44 (#4 D.McGhee)Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short left to #3 D.Walker thrown to FAU40Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 26 yards to the FAU30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass incomplete deep left to #8 E.Messer thrown to TSU30 broken up by #19 L.Howell PENALTY TSU Pass Interference (#19 L.Howell) 15 yards from FAU30 to FAU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Tillman rush right for 3 yards gain to the FAU48 (#19 L.Howell)Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+19
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass complete short left to #6 R.Garcia II caught at FAU45, for 19 yards to the TSU33 (#8 M.Hinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass incomplete deep middle to #6 R.Garcia II thrown to TSU00Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Tillman rush right for 6 yards gain to the TSU27 (#19 L.Howell; #5 A.Kizzee)Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-2
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Tillman rush right for 2 yards loss to the TSU29 (#19 L.Howell; #2 N.Morcom)Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
99.9%
#41 C.Rogers field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas), clock 09:46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short left to #4 F.Mukuba caught at TSU26, for 9 yards to the TSU31 (#3 D.Rogers Jr.; #28 Z.Horton)Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TSU29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy rush left for 2 yards gain to the TSU31 (#14 T.Luman; #16 W.Foster IV) PENALTY TSU False Start (#76 R.Lewis) 5 yards from TSU31 to TSU26Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
PENALTY TSU False Start (#39 D.Marshall) 5 yards from TSU26 to TSU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
99.9%
punt 38 yards to the FAU41 fair catch by #3 T.Holloway at FAU41 PENALTY FAU Holding (#16 W.Foster IV) 10 yards from FAU41 to FAU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass incomplete short left to #6 R.Garcia II thrown to FAU46 PENALTY TSU Pass Interference (#3 R.Robinson) 15 yards from FAU31 to FAU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier rush left for 1 yard gain to the FAU47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Tillman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TSU47 (#13 F.Wells)Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass incomplete short middle to #6 R.Garcia II thrown to TSU42Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
99.9%
#91 R.Chandley punt 31 yards to the TSU16 fair catch by #4 F.Mukuba at TSU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short left to #3 D.Walker thrown to TSU30Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short right to #13 X.Phipps thrown to TSU16 broken up by #3 D.Rogers Jr.Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy rush left for 5 yards gain to the TSU21 (#28 Z.Horton)Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
99.9%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 23 yards to the TSU44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass complete short middle to #4 A.Woody caught at TSU49, for 5 yards loss to the TSU49 (#3 R.Robinson)Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+14
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass complete short left to #4 A.Woody caught at TSU45, for 14 yards to the TSU35, out of bounds at TSU35Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+13
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Tillman rush right for 13 yards gain to the TSU22 (#1 J.Williams; #11 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Tillman rush middle for 22 yards gain to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:18, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 20PUNT
9 plays · -22 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
PENALTY TSU False Start (#79 E.Okafor) 5 yards from TSU25 to TSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-60
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass intercepted by #23 J.Johnson at TSU28 #23 J.Johnson return 8 yards to the TSU20, End Of Play PENALTY FAU Illegal Use Of Hands offsetting TSU Illegal Substitution offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
100.0%
PENALTY TSU Personal Foul (#55 J.Daniels) 10 yards from TSU20 to TSU10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 25
OWN 10
-2
100.0%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush left for 2 yards loss to the TSU08 (#31 K.Garner)Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 27
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short middle to #3 D.Walker thrown to TSU03 QB hurried by #13 E.Miller Jr.Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 27
OWN 8
-5
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TSU03 (#14 T.Luman)Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 32
OWN 3
+13
100.0%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 53 yards to the FAU44 #3 T.Holloway return 13 yards to the TSU43 (#81 J.McCarter) PENALTY FAU Illegal Block in Back (#16 W.Foster IV)Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 32
OWN 3
+9
100.0%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 53 yards to the FAU44 #3 T.Holloway return 9 yards to the TSU47 (#81 J.McCarter) PENALTY FAU Illegal Block in Back (#16 W.Foster IV) 10 yards from TSU47 to FAU43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 A.Brown rush left for 18 yards gain to the TSU39 (#11 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass complete short middle to #3 T.Holloway caught at TSU25, for 26 yards to the TSU13, out of bounds at TSU13, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-74
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Devillier pass incomplete short left to #0 B.Hoch thrown to TSU05 PENALTY TSU Pass Interference (#8 M.Hinson) 10 yards from TSU13 to TSU03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 A.Brown rush left for 2 yards gain to the TSU01 (#19 L.Howell)Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 A.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the TSU01 (#0 T.Rayborn)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 A.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the TSU01 (#13 F.Wells)Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 A.Brown rush left for 1 yard gain to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:47 #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 6:310% → 0%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy rush middle for 0 yards to the TSU25 (#13 E.Miller Jr.)Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short middle to #1 R.Richardson caught at TSU33, for 8 yards to the TSU33 (#0 D.Allen; #28 Z.Horton)Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TSU38 (#7 K.Johnson; #28 Z.Horton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
100.0%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TSU39 (#15 T.Luman)Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short right to #4 F.Mukuba caught at TSU42, for 3 yards to the TSU42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass complete short right to #3 D.Walker caught at TSU45, for 5 yards to the TSU47 (#28 Z.Horton)Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush middle for 8 yards gain to the FAU45 (#30 J.Weatherall), 1ST DOWN. #55 J.Daniels injured on the playSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 3 yards gain to the FAU42 (#15 T.Luman; #95 N.Brantley)Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Shotgun #28 A.Renfro rush right for 1 yard gain to the FAU41 (#13 E.Miller Jr.; #30 J.Weatherall)Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Shotgun #0 C.McCoy pass incomplete short right to #4 F.Mukuba thrown to FAU35 QB hurried by #95 N.BrantleySimilar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
100.0%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 34 yards to the FAU07 fair catch by #3 T.Holloway at FAU07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Magwood pass complete short middle to #0 B.Hoch caught at FAU20, for 16 yards to the FAU23 (#13 F.Wells; #7 Q.Murray Jr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Magwood pass incomplete short middle to #0 B.Hoch thrown to FAU35Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Magwood pass incomplete deep left to #0 B.Hoch thrown to TSU50 broken up by #24 A.GarrettSimilar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Magwood rush right for 3 yards gain to the FAU26 (#3 R.Robinson)Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
100.0%
#91 R.Chandley punt 38 yards to the TSU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Shotgun #38 D.Kency Jr rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TSU43 (#31 K.Garner; #28 Z.Horton)Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #38 D.Kency Jr rush right for 3 yards gain to the TSU46 (#15 T.Luman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
100.0%
Shotgun #38 D.Kency Jr rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TSU44 (#95 N.Brantley)Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
PENALTY TSU Delay Of Game (#2 N.Peterson, Jr.) 5 yards from TSU44 to TSU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #2 N.Peterson, Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the TSU45 (#0 D.Allen; #43 H.Chavez)Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Shotgun #2 N.Peterson, Jr. pass incomplete short right to #14 C.Sanders thrown to FAU49Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
100.0%
#50 B.Mays Jr punt 32 yards to the FAU23 fair catch by #3 T.Holloway at FAU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Daoud pass complete short left to #87 P.Cannon caught at FAU25, for 6 yards to the FAU29 (#7 Q.Murray Jr)Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Daoud pass incomplete deep left to #26 C.Hanning thrown to TSU48 broken up by #7 Q.Murray JrSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
PENALTY FAU False Start (#87 P.Cannon) 5 yards from FAU29 to FAU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+16
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Daoud rush left for 16 yards gain to the FAU40 (#11 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Harriott rush left for 3 yards gain to the FAU43 (#95 N.Guerra; #7 Q.Murray Jr)Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Daoud pass incomplete short left to #26 C.Hanning thrown to FAU47 broken up by #7 Q.Murray JrSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.Daoud pass incomplete short right thrown to FAU37 broken up by #11 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
100.0%
#91 R.Chandley punt 43 yards to the TSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
100.0%
Shotgun #38 D.Kency Jr rush left for 2 yards gain to the TSU16 (#34 B.Guidroz)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #38 D.Kency Jr rush left for 3 yards gain to the TSU19 (#95 N.Brantley; #89 N.Toussaint)Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #38 D.Kency Jr rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TSU22 (#95 N.Brantley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q1 8:32
#10 M.Arana field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #50 B.Mays Jr, LS: #51 I.Mbagwu), clock 08:32
-0.3
TD · Q2 9:12
Kelby Valsin 19 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Collin Rogers Kick)
+0.2
TD · Q2 5:24
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Veltkamp pass complete short left to #2 K.Valsin caught at TSU41, for 55 yards to the TSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:24, 1ST DOWN #41 C.Rogers kick attempt good (H: #91 R.Chandley, LS: #56 B.Thomas)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com