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MEM

Memphis 59 at Charlotte 8

CLT
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:17 · (08:20) #30 H.Tuck punt 35 yards to the CLT11 fair catch by #1 J.Barnes at CLT11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense−35.2Pregame prior−18.2Score differential−18.7Garbage-time factor−6.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:09: (05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete deep middle to #13 J.Davis caught at CLT01, for 25 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:09, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons) — MEM win probability +1.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:26: Stonka Burnside 28 Yd pass from Marcus Stokes (Philippe Laforge Kick) — MEM win probability +4.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:49: (15:00) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush right for 75 yards gain to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:49, 1ST DOWN #88 L.Wadle pass attempt Successful — CLT win probability +6.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:55: (11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #5 S.Burnside caught at CLT00, for 19 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:55, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons) — MEM win probability +5.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:05: (07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #0 H.Tipton caught at CLT12, for 24 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons) — MEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:14MEM 4th & 20 at MEM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:36CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:55CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:35MEM 4th & 19 at CLT 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:23CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 21, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:17MEM 4th & 4 at CLT 46, up 23
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:10CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 42, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:35MEM 4th & 2 at CLT 7, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:04CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 28, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:36MEM 4th & 1 at CLT 14, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:38CLT 4th & 24 at CLT 11, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:09MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:26MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:49CLT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:55MEM Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:05MEM Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:49MEM Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:35MEM Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:31MEM Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:3887% → 86%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.1%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MEM28 (#3 D.Womack; #95 D.Ancrum)Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
13.3%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush right for 9 yards gain to the MEM37 (#19 K.Schmitz; #5 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
13.4%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MEM42 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-3
13.6%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush right for 3 yards loss to the MEM39 (#95 D.Ancrum)Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-12
14.0%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes sacked for loss of 12 yards to the MEM27 (#19 K.Schmitz)Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 20
OWN 27
0
14.4%
(12:18) #30 H.Tuck punt 33 yards to the CLT40, out of bounds at CLT40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3114% → 15%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
14.4%
(12:15) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short left to #5 K.Alexander caught at CLT36, for 7 yards to the CLT47 (#8 A.Richard Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
14.7%
PENALTY CLT False Start (#74 J.Williams) 5 yards from CLT47 to CLT42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
14.8%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush left for 7 yards gain to the CLT49 (#8 A.Richard Jr.; #11 J.McKinney)Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
15.2%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Hampton thrown to MEM30Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
15.2%
(10:44) #44 I.Kelly punt 44 yards to the MEM07 fair catch by #17 A.Brown at MEM07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
1 play · 93 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+93
14.3%
(10:37) Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete deep middle to #11 J.Hayes caught at MEM46, for 93 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:25, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2214% → 15%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.3%
(10:25) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short right thrown to CLT30Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
14.4%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 4 yards loss to the CLT21 (#90 T.Burton)Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
14.4%
(09:38) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short middle to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT31, for 10 yards to the CLT31 (#12 B.Mwamba)Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
14.5%
(09:06) #44 I.Kelly punt 56 yards to the MEM13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 3:3385% → 87%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
14.6%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #5 S.Burnside caught at MEM25, for 14 yards to the MEM27 (#3 D.Womack; #18 C.Usher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
14.7%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Covey rush middle for 10 yards gain to the MEM37 (#16 S.McIntosh; #19 K.Schmitz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
14.7%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #5 S.Burnside caught at MEM47, for 9 yards to the MEM46 (#18 C.Usher), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+7
14.6%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CLT47 (#0 C.Gill; #15 A.Tifase), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
14.8%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short left to #1 T.Chapman caught at CLT43, for 4 yards to the CLT43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
14.9%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Covey rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT41 (#10 J.Wall III)Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+16
15.0%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush right for 16 yards gain to the CLT25 (#19 K.Schmitz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
13.2%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete deep middle to #13 J.Davis caught at CLT01, for 25 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:09, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:3614% → 14%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
14.0%
(05:09) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 17 yards gain to the CLT42 (#4 J.Head Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
14.5%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete deep left to #89 D.Eley thrown to MEM34Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
14.4%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Barnes thrown to CLT40Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
14.3%
(04:39) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short right thrown to CLT48 QB hurried by #14 J.TappSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
14.3%
(04:28) #44 I.Kelly punt 46 yards to the MEM12 fair catch by #17 A.Brown at MEM12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 4:5286% → 91%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
13.6%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush right for 6 yards gain to the MEM18 (#95 D.Ancrum)Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+8
13.6%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MEM26 (#13 G.Willis; #3 D.Womack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
13.5%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MEM31 (#2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
13.5%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MEM36 (#13 G.Willis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
13.4%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MEM38 (#19 K.Schmitz; #1 J.Croft Jr.)Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+20
13.3%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete deep right to #1 T.Chapman caught at CLT42, for 20 yards to the CLT42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
13.3%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #5 S.Burnside caught at CLT42, for 8 yards to the CLT34 (#3 D.Womack), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
13.2%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete short left to #1 T.Chapman thrown to CLT31Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
13.3%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLT29 (#28 C.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
13.3%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 2 yards loss to the CLT31 (#19 K.Schmitz; #55 S.Sangarie)Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+5
13.3%
PENALTY MEM False Start (#1 T.Chapman) 5 yards from CLT31 to CLT36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+8
13.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CLT28 (#7 D.Burgess; #5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+28
8.7%
Stonka Burnside 28 Yd pass from Marcus Stokes (Philippe Laforge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8INT
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:2210% → 13%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
10.1%
(14:26) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 14 yards gain to the CLT39 (#3 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
10.4%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 1 yard gain to the CLT40 (#8 A.Richard Jr.; #25 J.Clayton)Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-1
10.2%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CLT39 (#56 K.Miles)Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+14
9.8%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short left to #5 K.Alexander caught at CLT37, for 14 yards to the MEM47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
10.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 10 yards gain to the MEM37 (#56 K.Miles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
13.7%
(11:22) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush left for 3 yards gain to the MEM34 (#1 E.Ellis Jr.)Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+3
13.0%
(10:42) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MEM31 (#9 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
12.8%
(10:03) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass intercepted by #0 I.Foster at MEM20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:2389% → 90%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
10.7%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete short middle to #28 M.Covey thrown to MEM30 broken up by #5 J.Patterson, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CLT Pass Interference (#5 J.Patterson) 9 yards from MEM20 to MEM29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
10.6%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #14 A.O'Callaghan caught at MEM29, for 8 yards to the MEM37 (#3 D.Womack; #5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
10.2%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Covey rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM37 (#10 J.Wall III; #15 A.Tifase)Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+26
10.2%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #28 M.Covey caught at MEM35, for 16 yards to the CLT47 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
9.9%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short middle to #6 J.Carter caught at CLT44, for 8 yards to the CLT39 (#13 G.Willis; #95 D.Ancrum)Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+15
9.8%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush right for 15 yards gain to the CLT24 (#0 C.Gill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
9.0%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete short left to #5 S.Burnside thrown to CLT23 broken up by #12 C.ClinkscalesSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
9.1%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete deep left to #5 S.Burnside thrown to CLT00. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete deep left to #5 S.Burnside caught at CLT00, for 24 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:21, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-9
9.2%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CLT33 (#0 C.Gill)Similar
Q2 6:35
4TH & 19
OPP 33
+51
9.6%
(06:38) #80 P.Laforge field goal attempt from 51 yards NO GOOD (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons), clock 06:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:0511% → 12%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
10.6%
(06:35) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #3 L.Mauldin caught at CLT35, for 4 yards to the CLT37 (#0 I.Foster)Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
10.7%
(05:54) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT39 (#22 Z.Ruffin)Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+5
10.6%
(05:19) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Alexander thrown to CLT44 broken up by #22 Z.Ruffin, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MEM Pass Interference (#22 Z.Ruffin) 5 yards from CLT39 to CLT44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
11.1%
(05:14) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete deep left to #89 D.Eley caught at MEM23, for 36 yards to the MEM20 (#1 E.Ellis Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
12.0%
(04:37) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush left for 4 yards gain to the MEM16 (#14 J.Tapp)Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
11.9%
(04:02) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM16 (#0 I.Foster; #9 M.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+2
11.6%
(03:24) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #5 K.Alexander caught at MEM20, for 2 yards to the MEM14 fumbled by #5 K.Alexander at MEM12 forced by #2 C.Logan Jr. recovered by MEM #2 C.Logan Jr. at MEM14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11FG
14 plays · 84 yds · 3:0892% → 96%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
7.8%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MEM22, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 2
OWN 22
0
7.4%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland pass incomplete short left to #1 T.Chapman thrown to MEM22. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland pass complete short left to #1 T.Chapman caught at MEM22, for 3 yards to the MEM25 fumbled by #1 T.Chapman at MEM24 forced by #28 C.Allen recovered by MEM #1 T.Chapman at MEM25, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+20
7.4%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 20 yards gain to the MEM42 (#13 G.Willis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
6.7%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MEM47 (#15 A.Tifase)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+1
5.6%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MEM48 (#19 K.Schmitz; #13 G.Willis)Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+10
5.4%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CLT42 (#19 K.Schmitz; #28 C.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
5.1%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short left to #11 J.Hayes caught at CLT42, for 4 yards to the CLT38 (#3 D.Womack)Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
5.0%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Carter rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT34 (#2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+5
4.8%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short middle to #11 J.Hayes caught at CLT31, for 5 yards to the CLT29 (#28 C.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
4.9%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #11 J.Hayes caught at CLT21, for 11 yards to the CLT18 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
4.4%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #11 J.Hayes caught at CLT12, for 7 yards to the CLT11 (#28 C.Allen)Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+9
4.3%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete short right to #5 S.Burnside thrown to CLT00 PENALTY CLT Pass Interference (#1 J.Croft Jr.) 9 yards from CLT11 to CLT02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
3.9%
Philippe Laforge 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
12.4%
(15:00) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush right for 75 yards gain to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:49, 1ST DOWN #88 L.Wadle pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4790% → 96%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.5%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Covey rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MEM30 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+21
10.4%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes rush right for 21 yards gain to the CLT49 (#0 C.Gill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
9.5%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #11 J.Hayes caught at CLT48, for 3 yards to the CLT46 (#16 S.McIntosh)Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
9.3%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Covey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT42 (#16 S.McIntosh; #18 C.Usher) PENALTY CLT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#19 K.Schmitz) 15 yards from CLT42 to CLT27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
9.0%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #0 H.Tipton caught at CLT25, for 8 yards to the CLT19 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
3.7%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #5 S.Burnside caught at CLT00, for 19 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:55, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:227% → 5%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
7.1%
(11:50) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT25 (#12 B.Mwamba)Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
6.7%
(11:10) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Barnes thrown to CLT32Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-4
6.6%
(11:06) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales sacked for loss of 4 yards to the CLT21 (#34 K.Spratling)Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+4
4.7%
(10:31) #44 I.Kelly punt 48 yards to the MEM31 #17 A.Brown return 4 yards to the MEM35 (#33 H.Searcy), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0696% → 97%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
3.9%
PENALTY CLT Delay Of Game 5 yards from MEM35 to MEM40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+4
3.7%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short left to #4 T.Timmons Jr. caught at MEM41, for 4 yards to the MEM44 (#16 S.McIntosh), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
3.5%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Covey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MEM48 (#10 J.Wall III; #55 S.Sangarie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
3.5%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Covey rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLT46 (#13 G.Willis; #19 K.Schmitz)Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
2.9%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete short right to #1 T.Chapman thrown to CLT49Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
3.0%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass incomplete short middle to #0 H.Tipton thrown to CLT46 broken up by #13 G.WillisSimilar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
3.2%
(08:20) #30 H.Tuck punt 35 yards to the CLT11 fair catch by #1 J.Barnes at CLT11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:574% → 4%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
4.1%
(08:19) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush left for 15 yards gain to the CLT26 (#5 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
4.2%
(07:59) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT28 (#97 J.Gatling)Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-4
3.9%
(07:19) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales rush middle for 4 yards loss to the CLT24 fumbled by #9 C.Gonzales at CLT22 recovered by MEM #25 J.Clayton at CLT24, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
1.3%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #0 H.Tipton caught at CLT12, for 24 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:05, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:0499% → 99%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
1.3%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT19 (#28 C.Allen; #13 G.Willis)Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
1.5%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT15 (#28 C.Allen) PENALTY MEM Illegal Formation 5 yards from CLT19 to CLT24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+3
1.5%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT21 (#13 G.Willis; #95 D.Ancrum)Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+13
1.5%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 13 yards gain to the CLT08 (#28 C.Allen; #13 G.Willis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.6%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:49 #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:271% → 0%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.5%
(04:44) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLT42 (#31 J.Moody)Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
0.4%
(04:05) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 0 yards to the CLT42 (#31 J.Moody; #22 Z.Ruffin)Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
0.3%
(03:27) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Alexander thrown to CLT40Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
0.3%
(03:24) #44 I.Kelly punt 45 yards to the MEM13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:3099% → 100%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
0.7%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MEM16 (#15 A.Tifase; #28 C.Allen)Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
0.6%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 0 yards to the MEM16 (#19 K.Schmitz)Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+16
0.6%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 16 yards gain to the MEM32 (#5 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
0.5%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland pass complete short right to #17 A.Brown caught at MEM36, for 21 yards to the CLT47 (#16 S.McIntosh), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
0.5%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT45 (#16 S.McIntosh; #28 C.Allen)Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+30
0.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland pass complete short left to #12 B.Kluse caught at CLT30, for 30 yards to the CLT15 (#16 S.McIntosh; #6 N.Sharpe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
0.4%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLT10 (#19 K.Schmitz; #16 S.McIntosh)Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
0.4%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT08 (#35 J.Davis; #95 D.Ancrum)Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+1
0.3%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT07 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q4 12:35
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+7
0.4%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland pass complete short left to #12 B.Kluse caught at CLT00, for 7 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:35, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
(12:35) Shotgun #24 J.Cobb rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLT31 (#35 D.Thompson)Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
0.1%
(11:58) Shotgun #10 J.White rush right for 3 yards loss to the CLT28 (#35 D.Thompson)Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.1%
(11:17) Shotgun #10 J.White pass incomplete short left to #24 J.Cobb thrown to CLT28 broken up by #99 D.LoweSimilar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+19
0.1%
(11:06) #44 I.Kelly punt 47 yards to the MEM25 #17 A.Brown return 19 yards to the MEM44 (#13 C.Tucker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
0.3%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MEM46 (#30 S.Bowman)Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
0.2%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CLT44 (#10 J.Wall III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
0.2%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CLT33 (#11 D.Williams II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
0.2%
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland pass complete short left to #7 D.Hayden caught at CLT35, for 33 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:11 PENALTY MEM Holding (#19 J.Taylor) 10 yards from CLT26 to CLT36Similar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 13
OPP 36
+12
0.2%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CLT24 (#23 D.Wallace)Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+1
0.2%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT23 (#28 C.Allen; #30 S.Bowman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
0.2%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT21 (#8 C.Spencer; #55 S.Sangarie)Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
0.2%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland pass complete short left to #19 J.Taylor caught at CLT18, for 3 yards to the CLT18 (#4 T.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+4
0.2%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT14 (#16 S.McIntosh)Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
0.2%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT13 (#36 P.Startz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
0.2%
(06:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CLT01 (#16 S.McIntosh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Thompson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:31. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
(05:31) Shotgun #10 J.White pass complete short left to #24 J.Cobb caught at CLT25, for 4 yards to the CLT29 (#41 T.Nash)Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-20
0.1%
(04:48) Shotgun Charlotte rush middle for 20 yards loss to the CLT09 fumbled by Charlotte at CLT29 recovered by CLT #10 J.White at CLT09, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+2
0.1%
(04:14) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush right for 2 yards gain to the CLT11 (#41 T.Nash; #16 J.Garnett)Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
0.1%
(03:44) #44 I.Kelly punt 45 yards to the MEM44 fair catch by #17 A.Brown at MEM44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24END OF HALF
6 plays · 8 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
0.2%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MEM49 (#94 T.Massey; #28 C.Allen)Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
0.2%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MEM50 (#30 S.Bowman; #55 S.Sangarie)Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 4
50
+5
0.1%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Noland rush right for 5 yards gain to the CLT45 (#28 C.Allen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
0.1%
(01:54) Kneel down by Memphis at CLT46 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
0.1%
(01:04) Kneel down by Memphis at CLT47 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-1
0.1%
(00:33) Kneel down by Memphis at CLT48 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:49
(15:00) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush right for 75 yards gain to the MEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:49, 1ST DOWN #88 L.Wadle pass attempt Successful
+6.8
TD · Q3 11:55
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 M.Stokes pass complete short right to #5 S.Burnside caught at CLT00, for 19 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:55, 1ST DOWN #80 P.Laforge kick attempt good (H: #30 H.Tuck, LS: #54 W.Simmons)
-5.2
TD · Q2 14:26
Stonka Burnside 28 Yd pass from Marcus Stokes (Philippe Laforge Kick)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com