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HCU

Houston Christian 14 at North Texas 63

UNT
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadHCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreHCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:12 · (13:17) #42 L.Smolen punt 44 yards to the UNT27 fair catch by #18 L.Latiolais at UNT27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+19.0Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+28.7Blowout margin+17.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.7Garbage-time factor+8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:58: (12:08) Shotgun #18 M.Kopp rush left for 26 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:58, 1ST DOWN #42 L.Smolen kick attempt good (H: #35 J.Maceri, LS: #33 L.Frederic) — HCU win probability +1.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:06: (10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) — UNT win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:13: (08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. pass complete deep middle to #13 J.Stevenson caught at HCU01, for 41 yards to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) — UNT win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:15: (01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:15, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) — UNT win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:34: (13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #3 T.Chukwurah caught at HCU00, for 14 yards to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:34, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) — UNT win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2HCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:14HCU 4th & 13 at UNT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:41HCU 4th & 1 at HCU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:22UNT 4th & 8 at HCU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:02HCU 4th & 14 at HCU 28, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:49HCU 4th & 2 at UNT 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:16HCU 4th & 3 at UNT 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:11HCU 4th & 14 at HCU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:10UNT 4th & 8 at HCU 35, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:39HCU 4th & 9 at HCU 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:12HCU 4th & 6 at HCU 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:25HCU 4th & 3 at HCU 32, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8HCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:53UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:42UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:32HCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:58HCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:06UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:15UNT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:34UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:20UNT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:53UNT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:39UNT Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:4598% → 98%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+38
98.3%
(14:48) #2 T.Jackson pass complete deep middle to #7 M.Reese caught at UNT46, for 38 yards to the HCU39 (#16 B.Bradshaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.3%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 6 yards gain to the HCU33 (#44 A.Deason; #52 J.Davis)Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+7
98.3%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #1 J.White caught at HCU33, for 7 yards to the HCU26 (#16 B.Bradshaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.2%
(13:22) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at HCU26, for 2 yards to the HCU24 (#10 E.Brown)Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
98.2%
(12:59) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep left to #13 J.Stevenson thrown to HCU03Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+24
98.2%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 24 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:53, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:352% → 2%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Dozier thrown to HCU24Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.2%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short left to #14 J.Hall II caught at HCU29, for 17 yards to the HCU42 (#32 A.Benford II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.2%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short middle to #7 T.Llanas-Wilcox thrown to HCU47Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
98.2%
(12:21) Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HCU41 (#58 N.Clark; #3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+14
98.1%
(11:43) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short left to #3 J.Wallace caught at UNT44, for 14 yards to the UNT45 (#16 B.Allen Jr.; #4 C.Coombes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
98.0%
(11:04) Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush left for 1 yard loss to the UNT46 (#10 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+15
98.0%
(10:29) Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNT40 (#88 W.Hudson) PENALTY HCU Face Mask (#73 C.Alegbe) 15 yards from UNT46 to HCU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 26
OWN 39
+13
98.0%
(10:10) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UNT48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
97.9%
(09:26) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete deep left to #3 J.Wallace thrown to UNT18Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
97.9%
(09:21) #35 J.Maceri punt 26 yards to the UNT22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:2498% → 98%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
97.9%
(09:12) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #14 K.Koch caught at UNT27, for 16 yards to the UNT38 (#1 T.Georges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.9%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNT45 (#16 B.Bradshaw; #10 E.Brown)Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+8
97.9%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #7 M.Reese caught at UNT49, for 8 yards to the HCU47 (#7 J.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
98.1%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 47 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:42, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:012% → 3%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
(07:39) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short right to #26 E.Harris caught at HCU27, for 9 yards to the HCU34, out of bounds at HCU34Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.9%
(07:16) Shotgun #14 J.Hall II rush right for 1 yard gain to the HCU35 (#98 C.Thomas IV), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
97.9%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush middle for 9 yards gain to the HCU44 (#4 C.Coombes; #98 C.Thomas IV)Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
97.8%
(06:23) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the HCU44 (#17 C.Roberts)Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
97.8%
(05:47) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short left to #7 T.Llanas-Wilcox thrown to HCU50 broken up by #9 C.JenkinsSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
97.8%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HCU46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+49
97.8%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short middle to #7 T.Llanas-Wilcox caught at UNT47, for 49 yards to the UNT05 (#4 C.Coombes; #9 C.Jenkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
97.6%
(04:39) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT02 (#4 C.Coombes)Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.6%
(04:04) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the UNT02 (#21 J.Cross Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.1%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short left to #88 J.Runion caught at UNT00, for 2 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:32 #42 L.Smolen kick attempt good (H: #35 J.Maceri, LS: #33 L.Frederic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:5997% → 97%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
97.2%
(03:21) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Martin thrown to UNT27 PENALTY HCU Pass Interference (#18 D.Chichester) 15 yards from UNT07 to UNT22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
97.2%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UNT33 (#4 T.Zappe; #18 D.Chichester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
97.1%
(02:41) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #6 J.Martin caught at UNT37, for 17 yards to the UNT50 (#8 J.Bejarano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
50
0
97.2%
(01:55) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Martin thrown to HCU10Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
50
+3
97.1%
(01:52) Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 3 yards gain to the HCU47 (#34 C.Kalu-Alexander)Similar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-1
96.9%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun North Texas rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HCU48 fumbled by North Texas at HCU47 recovered by UNT #1 J.White at HCU48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
96.8%
(00:22) #37 I.Ratliff punt 48 yards to the HCU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:193% → 6%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.8%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp rush right for 7 yards gain to the HCU27 (#0 B.Jones)Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
96.6%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass complete short middle to #1 C.Dozier caught at HCU27, for 8 yards to the HCU35 (#16 B.Allen Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.6%
(14:30) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the HCU35, End Of Play PENALTY HCU False Start (#73 C.Alegbe) 5 yards from HCU35 to HCU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+16
96.6%
(14:13) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 24 yards gain (16) to the UNT46 (#16 B.Allen Jr.; #7 A.Alexander), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNT Face Mask (#16 B.Allen Jr.) 15 yards from HCU46 to UNT39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.3%
(13:48) Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNT35 (#14 B.Garza)Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
96.0%
(13:15) Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass complete short middle to #4 J.Middleton caught at UNT34, for 5 yards to the UNT30 (#7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-1
96.0%
(12:45) Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNT31 (#0 B.Jones)Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+5
96.2%
PENALTY UNT Offside (#16 B.Allen Jr.) 5 yards from UNT31 to UNT26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.5%
(12:08) Shotgun #18 M.Kopp rush left for 26 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:58, 1ST DOWN #42 L.Smolen kick attempt good (H: #35 J.Maceri, LS: #33 L.Frederic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4195% → 96%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.2%
(11:56) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #0 C.Milliner caught at UNT39, for 15 yards to the UNT40, out of bounds at UNT40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
95.3%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNT47 (#7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
95.3%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 5 yards gain to the HCU48 (#0 M.Sylvalie; #4 T.Zappe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
95.2%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete deep middle to #7 M.Reese caught at HCU27, for 24 yards to the HCU24 (#9 M.Tomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
95.2%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 J.Martin caught at HCU12, for 21 yards to the HCU03 (#9 M.Tomas), 1ST DOWN. #6 J.Martin injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.2%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:484% → 5%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.7%
(10:04) Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush right for 4 yards gain to the HCU39 (#17 C.Roberts)Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-15
95.4%
(09:22) Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass intercepted by #1 K.Davila at UNT24 #1 K.Davila return 15 yards to the UNT39 (#14 J.Hall II)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:5196% → 97%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
95.9%
(09:10) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT36, for 6 yards to the UNT45 (#0 M.Sylvalie)Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+14
96.0%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #14 K.Koch caught at UNT43, for 14 yards to the HCU41 (#8 J.Bejarano; #12 G.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
96.9%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. pass complete deep middle to #13 J.Stevenson caught at HCU01, for 41 yards to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:584% → 3%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
96.5%
(08:06) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush left for 1 yard gain to the HCU33 (#17 C.Roberts)Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+5
96.5%
(07:30) PENALTY HCU False Start 5 yards from HCU33 to HCU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 14
OWN 28
0
96.6%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short right to #5 K.Wheeler thrown to HCU42Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
96.7%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short right to #14 J.Hall II thrown to HCU46 broken up by #1 K.DavilaSimilar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+39
96.7%
(07:08) #42 L.Smolen punt 39 yards to the UNT33 #18 L.Latiolais return for loss of 1 yard to the UNT33 fumbled by #18 L.Latiolais at UNT33 recovered by HCU #10 B.Turner at UNT32, End Of Play PENALTY UNT Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:054% → 4%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
96.1%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNT25 (#3 Z.Barker; #4 C.Coombes)Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
95.9%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT24 (#7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+12
96.3%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short right to #1 C.Dozier caught at UNT25, for 12 yards to the UNT12, out of bounds at UNT12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
96.1%
(04:57) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short middle to #26 E.Harris caught at UNT17, for 6 yards to the UNT06 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 6
-4
96.0%
(04:17) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 4 yards loss to the UNT10 (#42 B.Knox)Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+5
96.1%
(03:32) PENALTY HCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNT10 to UNT15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+6
96.3%
(03:23) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNT09 (#3 Z.Barker; #6 U.Ezeani)Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+5
96.3%
(02:53) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Wallace thrown to UNT00 PENALTY UNT Offside (#4 C.Coombes) 5 yards from UNT09 to UNT04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 2
OPP 4
-5
96.1%
(02:51) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UNT13 (#3 Z.Barker, #21 J.Cross Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 1:2297% → 99%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
96.6%
(02:44) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT11, for 4 yards to the UNT17 (#7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+9
96.6%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNT26 (#7 J.Anderson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
96.6%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 15 yards gain to the UNT41 (#5 J.Wiggins; #8 J.Bejarano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+43
96.8%
(01:53) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete deep middle to #19 G.O'Bara caught at HCU19, for 43 yards to the HCU16 (#16 B.Bradshaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
97.0%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #19 G.O'Bara caught at HCU14, for 9 yards to the HCU07 (#1 T.Georges)Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:15, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:472% → 2%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.3%
(01:06) Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush middle for 11 yards gain to the HCU46 (#4 C.Coombes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.2%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass complete short middle to #2 T.Bradshaw caught at UNT47, for 7 yards to the UNT47 (#32 A.Benford II; #4 C.Coombes)Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-4
98.0%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp rush middle for 4 yards loss to the HCU49 (#21 J.Cross Jr.)Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+4
98.2%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass complete short right to #7 T.Llanas-Wilcox caught at UNT47, for 4 yards to the UNT47, out of bounds at UNT47Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
98.2%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass incomplete short middle to #7 T.Llanas-Wilcox thrown to UNT43, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14MISSED FG
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:0399% → 99%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+32
98.9%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #0 C.Milliner caught at HCU35, for 32 yards to the HCU21, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+39
98.9%
(00:03) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short left to #4 J.Middleton caught at HCU25, for 3 yards to the HCU28 (#1 K.Davila), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
98.3%
(14:29) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush left for 4 yards loss to the HCU24 (#91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-10
98.5%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart sacked for loss of 10 yards to the HCU14 (#91 D.Rhodes), fumble by #6 C.Stewart recovered by UNT #91 D.Rhodes at HCU14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #3 T.Chukwurah caught at HCU00, for 14 yards to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:34, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HCU27 (#93 T.Washington)Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.7%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short right to #3 J.Wallace caught at HCU37, for 11 yards to the HCU38 (#4 C.Coombes; #19 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
(12:18) Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 0 yards to the HCU38 (#3 Z.Barker; #98 C.Thomas IV)Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
(11:41) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush left for 0 yards to the HCU38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-4
99.8%
(10:56) Shotgun #6 C.Stewart sacked for loss of 4 yards to the HCU34 (#3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 14
OWN 34
-3
99.8%
(10:18) #42 L.Smolen punt 45 yards to the UNT21 #18 L.Latiolais return for loss of 3 yards to the UNT18 (#27 J.Queen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18MISSED FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:59100% → 100%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.7%
(10:09) #9 C.Ditta pass incomplete deep right to #7 M.Reese thrown to UNT41 PENALTY UNT Holding (#72 N.Umeozulu) 9 yards from UNT18 to UNT09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+9
99.7%
(10:04) Shotgun #20 A.Nettles rush right for 9 yards gain to the UNT18 (#0 M.Sylvalie; #44 A.Deason)Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.8%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short right to #20 A.Nettles caught at UNT17, for 7 yards to the UNT25 (#16 B.Bradshaw), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Nettles rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT28 (#4 T.Zappe; #44 A.Deason), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.8%
(08:26) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short left to #14 K.Koch caught at UNT28, for 7 yards to the UNT35 (#7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 3
OPP 0
0
99.8%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short left to #14 K.Koch caught at UNT33, for 24 yards to the HCU41 (#27 J.Queen; #8 J.Bejarano) PENALTY UNT Holding offsetting HCU Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short right to #13 J.Stevenson caught at UNT39, for 5 yards to the UNT40 (#27 J.Queen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Nettles rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNT45 (#52 J.Davis)Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+18
99.8%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short middle to #0 C.Milliner caught at HCU42, for 18 yards to the HCU37 (#8 J.Bejarano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
(05:58) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass incomplete deep left to #0 C.Milliner thrown to HCU00Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
(05:48) Shotgun #20 A.Nettles rush left for 5 yards gain to the HCU32 (#7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 A.Nettles rush left for 2 yards gain to the HCU30 (#4 T.Zappe; #43 T.Magee)Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
(04:40) PENALTY UNT False Start (#53 D.Shaw) 5 yards from HCU30 to HCU35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+53
99.9%
(04:13) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 53 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 04:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.8%
(04:05) Shotgun #12 R.Garcia pass complete short middle to #26 E.Harris caught at HCU32, for 3 yards loss to the HCU32 (#15 J.Benton; #16 B.Allen Jr.)Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
(03:31) Shotgun #12 R.Garcia pass complete short right to #86 L.Matamoros caught at HCU36, for 4 yards to the HCU36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(02:52) Shotgun #12 R.Garcia pass incomplete deep right to #14 J.Hall II thrown to UNT35 QB hurried by #11 S.CurtisSimilar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+58
99.9%
(02:50) #42 L.Smolen punt 35 yards to the UNT29 #18 L.Latiolais return 58 yards to the HCU13 (#88 J.Runion), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
(02:37) PENALTY UNT False Start (#17 B.Long) 5 yards from HCU13 to HCU18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-6
99.9%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta sacked for loss of 6 yards to the HCU24 (#10 E.Brown)Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 21
OPP 24
+7
99.9%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta rush left for 7 yards gain to the HCU17 (#20 N.Davis)Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
(01:26) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short left to #80 B.Tipton caught at HCU17, for 17 yards to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 21INT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
(01:18) Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU28 (#23 C.Lorenzo)Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
(00:37) Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush right for 1 yard gain to the HCU29 (#17 C.Roberts; #11 S.Curtis)Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-34
99.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #12 R.Garcia pass intercepted by #19 J.Allen at HCU34 #19 J.Allen return 34 yards to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:53 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) PENALTY #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) PENALTY HCU Offside declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
(14:48) Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HCU29 (#36 J.Manning; #14 B.Garza)Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 2 yards loss to the HCU27 (#11 S.Curtis)Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Garcia rush right for 2 yards gain to the HCU29, out of bounds at HCU29Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(13:17) #42 L.Smolen punt 44 yards to the UNT27 fair catch by #18 L.Latiolais at UNT27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
(13:10) PENALTY UNT False Start (#62 A.Berry) 5 yards from UNT27 to UNT22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+14
99.9%
(13:11) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short middle to #3 T.Chukwurah caught at UNT31, for 14 yards to the UNT36 (#8 J.Bejarano)Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
(12:38) Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the UNT43, out of bounds at UNT43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT48 (#0 M.Sylvalie; #31 J.Stuard)Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HCU45 (#31 J.Stuard; #23 J.Ducos), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the HCU39, out of bounds at HCU39Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at HCU33, for 7 yards to the HCU32 (#0 M.Sylvalie; #18 D.Chichester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.9%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. pass complete short middle to #13 J.Stevenson caught at HCU25, for 14 yards to the HCU18 (#13 R.Mansour; #32 R.Toe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HCU14 (#16 B.Bradshaw; #23 J.Ducos)Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+10
99.9%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 10 yards gain to the HCU04 (#23 J.Ducos), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
(07:45) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta rush right for 4 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:39 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 H.Drinkard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HCU29 (#45 K.Allen; #96 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 H.Drinkard rush left for 3 yards gain to the HCU32 (#45 K.Allen)Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Garcia pass incomplete short right to #86 L.Matamoros thrown to HCU41Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
(06:29) #35 J.Maceri punt 47 yards to the UNT21 fair catch by #18 L.Latiolais at UNT21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25END OF GAME
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:27100% → 100%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
(06:23) Shotgun #36 K.Jackson Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNT23 (#43 T.Magee)Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 K.Jackson Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNT29 (#27 J.Queen)Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
(05:03) Shotgun #36 K.Jackson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT32 (#6 G.Catanzano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
(04:23) Shotgun #36 K.Jackson Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNT36 (#43 T.Magee; #12 G.White)Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
(03:42) Shotgun #36 K.Jackson Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNT41 (#90 T.Chatman; #14 M.Henderson)Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
(03:06) Shotgun #36 K.Jackson Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNT43 (#34 C.Kalu-Alexander; #15 A.Mazeke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
(02:32) Shotgun #36 K.Jackson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT46 (#92 T.Akintade)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+17
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush left for 17 yards gain to the HCU37 (#14 M.Henderson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
100.0%
(01:54) Kneel down by #9 C.Ditta at HCU39 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-2
100.0%
(01:13) Kneel down by #9 C.Ditta at HCU41 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 14
OPP 41
-1
100.0%
(00:36) Kneel down by #9 C.Ditta at HCU42 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:58
(12:08) Shotgun #18 M.Kopp rush left for 26 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:58, 1ST DOWN #42 L.Smolen kick attempt good (H: #35 J.Maceri, LS: #33 L.Frederic)
-1.7
TD · Q2 1:15
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:15, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)
+1.6
TD · Q3 13:34
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #3 T.Chukwurah caught at HCU00, for 14 yards to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:34, 1ST DOWN #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com