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ARMY

Army 21 at Temple 17

TEM
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+10.6TEM 74.1%(07:38) #98 C.Hardin field goalattempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #7D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock07:38AWAY 14 - HOME 17 · Q4 7:38
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:38 · (07:38) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 07:38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Home team on offense+10.9Pregame prior−0.8Garbage-time factor+2.9Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:59: (05:03) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 12 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Holding declined #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +21.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:43: (03:45) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #1 C.Chase caught at AWP35, for 67 yards to the AWP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:43, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden) — TEM win probability +20.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:54: Timeout Temple, clock 01:54 — TEM win probability +20.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:41: (01:41) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:41 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +57.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:45: Timeout Temple, clock 01:45 — TEM win probability +14.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:16TEM 4th & 4 at ARMY 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    42.8%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:37ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:20TEM 4th & 4 at ARMY 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:51ARMY 4th & 24 at ARMY 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:58TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 12, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:45ARMY 4th & 15 at TEM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:12TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:45ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.6%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:23ARMY 4th & 4 at TEM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.5%−1.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:30ARMY 4th & 11 at TEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:38TEM 4th & 6 at ARMY 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−20.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:29TEM 4th & 2 at ARMY 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−10.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−15.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:06ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:17TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:59ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:43TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:41ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:2643% → 45%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
43.2%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 13 yards gain to the TEM35 (#3 S.Nnadozie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
43.3%
PENALTY TEM False Start (#70 Z.Aamland) 5 yards from TEM35 to TEM30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+14
43.5%
(14:06) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #26 K.Mason caught at TEM25, for 14 yards to the TEM44 (#3 S.Nnadozie; #15 Z.Tallman)Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+9
43.8%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #1 C.Chase caught at TEM42, for 9 yards to the AWP47 (#15 Z.Tallman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
44.0%
(12:55) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short left to #10 J.Freeman thrown to AWP40 QB hurried by #99 J.BousumSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
44.1%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AWP40 (#42 E.Walton)Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+10
44.3%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 10 yards gain to the AWP30 (#47 N.Nixon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
44.7%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the AWP22 (#10 C.Searight)Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
44.9%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Freeman thrown to AWP15 broken up by #96 D.StowersSimilar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-2
44.8%
(11:04) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush left for 2 yards loss to the AWP24 (#52 K.Harris-Miller; #19 J.Moss)Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+1
44.8%
(10:16) Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AWP23 (#3 S.Nnadozie; #42 E.Walton), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 6:5956% → 60%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
44.5%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AWP26 (#10 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
44.6%
PENALTY TEM Delay Of Game 5 yards from AWP26 to AWP31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+6
44.4%
(09:18) #33 J.Rendina rush right for 6 yards gain to the AWP37 (#8 E.Stuart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
44.6%
(08:38) Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AWP41 (#29 A.Powell)Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
44.3%
(07:56) #27 S.Howard rush right for 7 yards gain to the AWP48 (#22 J.Gould), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
44.4%
(07:20) #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #1 Z.Mundell caught at AWP48, for 8 yards to the TEM44 (#8 E.Stuart; #13 D.Chavis)Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
44.3%
(06:29) #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete deep middle to #1 Z.Mundell thrown to TEM05Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
44.4%
(06:26) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 4 yards gain to the TEM40 (#13 D.Chavis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
44.5%
(05:46) #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM36 (#88 L.Fairfax Jr)Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
44.5%
(05:06) Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEM31 (#24 J.Pierre)Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+11
44.7%
(04:15) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 11 yards gain to the TEM20 (#19 J.Jackson; #30 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
44.0%
(03:52) Shotgun #84 B.Anderson rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEM15 (#29 A.Powell)Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
39.6%
(03:13) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 15 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:06, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:3341% → 46%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
41.1%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM22 (#50 D.Miller; #91 S.Donovan)Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+78
46.4%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #5 S.Brown caught at TEM30, for 78 yards to the AWP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:17, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2954% → 54%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.7%
(02:17) Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 2 yards gain to the AWP27 (#21 A.Locks)Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
45.7%
(01:28) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AWP30 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
46.0%
(00:46) Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AWP32 (#98 J.Auzenne)Similar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
46.5%
(00:00) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 43 yards to the TEM25 #17 J.Bermudez return 4 yards to the TEM29 (#25 S.Bridges)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:2847% → 50%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
47.3%
(14:58) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM33 (#56 N.Buchys; #47 N.Nixon)Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+16
47.6%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Chase rush left for 16 yards gain to the TEM49 (#6 J.Porter; #3 S.Nnadozie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
49.1%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AWP46 (#15 Z.Tallman)Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
49.6%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #10 J.Freeman caught at AWP40, for 6 yards to the AWP40 (#13 C.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
49.9%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 7 yards gain to the AWP33 (#96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
50.5%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 0 yards to the AWP33 (#91 S.Donovan; #96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
50.0%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AWP30 (#99 J.Bousum), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
51.0%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short left to #33 R.Kusch thrown to AWP15Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
50.9%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AWP29 (#19 J.Moss) PENALTY TEM Holding (#57 G.Mains) 10 yards from AWP30 to AWP40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+5
49.6%
PENALTY TEM False Start (#57 G.Mains) 5 yards from AWP40 to AWP45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 25
OPP 45
+5
49.9%
(09:54) Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the AWP40 (#19 J.Moss; #7 J.Mayes)Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 20
OPP 40
+16
49.2%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush right for 16 yards gain to the AWP24 (#13 C.Williams; #7 J.Mayes)Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
50.0%
(08:20) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 08:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:1054% → 52%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
46.2%
(08:18) #34 C.Smith rush left for 3 yards gain to the AWP27 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+23
45.8%
(07:39) Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush right for 23 yards gain to the AWP50 (#24 J.Pierre), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
50
+15
43.6%
(07:00) Shotgun #26 D.Clerk rush left for 1 yard loss to the AWP49 (#32 A.Laing) PENALTY AWP Personal Foul (#84 B.Anderson) 15 yards from AWP50 to AWP35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 25
OWN 35
0
46.3%
(06:32) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short right to #26 D.Clerk thrown to AWP45Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 25
OWN 35
-5
46.6%
(06:29) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 5 yards loss to the AWP30 (#97 D.Bishop)Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 30
OWN 30
+6
47.7%
(05:42) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AWP36 (#8 E.Stuart; #33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q2 4:51
4TH & 24
OWN 36
0
48.2%
(05:02) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 59 yards to the TEM05 #17 J.Bermudez return 0 yards to the TEM05 (#11 D.Thom-Rogers) PENALTY TEM Block Below Waist (#39 D.Harris) 2 yards from TEM05 to TEM03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4849% → 48%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
49.0%
(04:44) #26 K.Mason rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM04 (#3 S.Nnadozie) PENALTY TEM Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+3
49.0%
(04:16) #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM07 (#96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+5
47.9%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEM12 (#48 B.Banks)Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 1
OWN 12
+13
48.0%
(03:04) #7 D.Atton punt 49 yards to the AWP39 #23 L.Benson III return 13 yards to the TEM48 (#39 D.Harris; #8 E.Stuart)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0257% → 53%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
43.3%
(02:56) #27 S.Howard rush right for 11 yards gain to the TEM37 (#32 A.Laing), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
43.1%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 S.Howard rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEM34 (#33 C.Ordonez) PENALTY AWP Holding (#25 S.Bridges) 10 yards from TEM37 to TEM47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 20
OPP 47
0
44.3%
(02:10) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short right to #44 P.Poloskey thrown to TEM33Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+14
44.9%
(02:06) Shotgun #84 B.Anderson rush left for 14 yards gain to the TEM33 (#88 L.Fairfax Jr; #29 A.Powell)Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-9
43.0%
(01:57) #1 Z.Mundell rush right for 9 yards loss to the TEM42 fumbled by #1 Z.Mundell at TEM40 recovered by AWP #1 Z.Mundell at TEM42, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
47.3%
(01:49) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 34 yards to the TEM08 fair catch by #1 C.Chase at TEM08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:2849% → 49%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
49.4%
(01:45) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 9 yards gain to the TEM17 (#7 J.Mayes), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 17
0
50.3%
(01:37) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short right to #0 P.Clarke thrown to TEM20Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+8
48.6%
(01:29) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEM25 (#19 J.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short middle to #17 J.Bermudez thrown to TEM27Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
49.8%
(01:24) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #10 J.Freeman caught at TEM34, for 14 yards to the TEM39 (#3 S.Nnadozie; #7 J.Mayes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
51.7%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #26 K.Mason caught at TEM40, for 5 yards to the TEM44 (#7 J.Mayes)Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-8
53.1%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 8 yards to the TEM36 (#96 D.Stowers)Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+2
49.2%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM38 (#42 E.Walton)Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
48.7%
(00:15) #7 D.Atton punt 36 yards to the AWP26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
46.8%
(00:03) Kneel down by Army West Point at AWP24 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
18 plays · 82 yds · 9:4252% → 73%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
47.6%
(14:53) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AWP22 (#93 K.Hornbeak)Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
47.7%
(14:15) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 4 yards gain to the AWP26 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
48.0%
(13:35) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 1 yard gain to the AWP27 (#8 E.Stuart; #22 J.Gould)Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+2
49.9%
(12:54) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 2 yards gain to the AWP29 (#22 J.Gould), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
48.2%
(12:15) #33 J.Rendina rush left for 3 yards gain to the AWP32 (#29 A.Powell)Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+8
47.9%
(11:35) #27 S.Howard rush right for 8 yards gain to the AWP40 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
46.6%
(10:54) Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AWP43 (#33 C.Ordonez; #25 O.Gray)Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
46.0%
(10:14) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the AWP46 (#25 O.Gray)Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
46.3%
(09:34) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEM49 (#2 S.Karriem), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
45.4%
(08:51) #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TEM38 (#22 J.Gould), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
45.4%
(08:15) #3 C.Hellums rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEM35 (#44 T.Alualu)Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
43.9%
(07:34) Shotgun #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM35 (#30 J.Brown)Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+5
46.1%
PENALTY AWP Encroachment (#11 T.Olawole) 5 yards from TEM35 to TEM40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 12
OPP 40
+8
48.3%
(06:27) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #84 B.Anderson caught at TEM32, for 8 yards to the TEM32 (#13 D.Chavis), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+20
48.9%
(05:47) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #7 G.Nwawuihe caught at TEM13, for 20 yards to the TEM12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
27.2%
(05:03) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 12 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Holding declined #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:0434% → 55%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
34.4%
(04:49) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete deep left to #10 J.Freeman thrown to AWP40Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+12
34.3%
(04:47) Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TEM33 (#19 J.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
35.0%
(04:22) Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM33 (#32 C.Williams)Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+67
55.2%
(03:45) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #1 C.Chase caught at AWP35, for 67 yards to the AWP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:43, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 7:0350% → 48%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.1%
(03:43) Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AWP26 (#52 R.Sykes)Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
50.3%
(02:59) #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AWP29 (#52 R.Sykes)Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
51.1%
(02:20) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 6 yards gain to the AWP35 (#8 E.Stuart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
49.5%
(01:48) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AWP41 (#52 R.Sykes)Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
46.7%
(01:10) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 9 yards gain to the AWP50 (#22 J.Gould; #25 O.Gray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
50
+4
45.9%
(00:27) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM46 (#30 J.Brown)Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
46.2%
(14:57) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 7 yards gain to the TEM39 (#22 J.Gould), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
45.9%
(14:17) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM37 (#88 L.Fairfax Jr)Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
46.0%
(13:35) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEM34 (#8 E.Stuart)Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
46.6%
(12:55) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM30 (#10 J.Joseph; #8 E.Stuart)Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+10
48.7%
(12:02) #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM27 (#22 J.Gould; #58 K.Artis) PENALTY AWP Holding (#2 A.Self) 10 yards from TEM30 to TEM40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
52.0%
(11:37) #46 J.Wagenseller punt 39 yards to the TEM01, out of bounds at TEM01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14FG
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:4056% → 74%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
55.7%
(11:23) #5 S.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM05 (#42 E.Walton)Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+47
55.6%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Brown rush left for 47 yards gain to the AWP48 (#3 S.Nnadozie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
62.6%
(10:18) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush left for 11 yards gain to the AWP37 (#32 C.Williams; #6 J.Porter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
63.1%
(09:37) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #33 R.Kusch caught at AWP23, for 22 yards to the AWP15 (#6 J.Porter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
65.2%
(09:04) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AWP11 (#3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
65.4%
(08:23) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush right for 0 yards to the AWP11 (#15 Z.Tallman)Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
63.6%
(07:42) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Chase thrown to AWP00Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
74.1%
(07:38) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 07:38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4833% → 92%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
67.5%
(07:36) #27 S.Howard rush right for 12 yards gain to the AWP37 (#33 C.Ordonez), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
66.0%
(06:57) #27 S.Howard rush left for 1 yard gain to the AWP38 (#8 E.Stuart)Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+14
66.5%
(06:24) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 14 yards gain to the TEM48 (#2 S.Karriem; #13 D.Chavis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
62.3%
(05:44) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TEM41 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
62.2%
(05:00) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 8 yards gain to the TEM33 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Holding (#58 K.Artis) 10 yards from TEM33 to TEM23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
60.5%
(04:37) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEM18 (#23 Z.Powell)Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
60.7%
(03:59) #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEM15 (#21 A.Locks)Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
62.9%
(03:15) #34 C.Smith rush left for 2 yards gain to the TEM13 (#21 A.Locks; #18 K.Dinkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
65.9%
(02:31) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEM07 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
64.8%
(01:58) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM04 (#99 C.Jones)Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+1
65.0%
(01:54) #34 C.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM03 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.9%
(01:41) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:41 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 1:0724% → 25%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
24.0%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TEM37 (#13 C.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
25.5%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #10 J.Freeman caught at AWP50, for 20 yards to the AWP43 (#3 S.Nnadozie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
27.7%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush left for 9 yards gain to the AWP34 (#31 V.Afolabi)Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
35.5%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush left for 3 yards gain to the AWP31 (#6 J.Porter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
30.8%
(01:11) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at AWP29, for 2 yards to the AWP29 (#42 E.Walton)Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
31.3%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at AWP25, for 5 yards to the AWP24 (#47 N.Nixon)Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
28.4%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete deep middle to #17 J.Bermudez thrown to AWP00Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
24.5%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Freeman thrown to AWP17 broken up by #7 J.Mayes, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-1
4.7%
(00:27) Kneel down by Army West Point at AWP22 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
6.2%
(00:00) Kneel down by Army West Point at AWP22 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:41
(01:41) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:41 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)
-57.1
TD · Q3 4:59
(05:03) Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 12 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Holding declined #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #98 M.Faulk, LS: #55 O.Walter)
-21.7
TD · Q3 3:43
(03:45) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #1 C.Chase caught at AWP35, for 67 yards to the AWP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:43, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden)
+20.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com