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ULM

UL Monroe 20 at UAB 26

UAB
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:56 · (01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Phillip rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB24 (#17 T.Jackson; #35 M.Byard), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+13.2Home team on offense−5.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:58: (11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:58, 1ST DOWN #27 A.Murray kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Ryan, LS: #48 N.Wilson) — ULM win probability +7.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:45: (06:52) No Huddle #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 27 yards gain to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop) — UAB win probability +8.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UAB +2 timeouts on the defense).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Abram Murray 32 Yd Field Goal — ULM win probability +7.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:34: EJ Reid 43 Yd pass from Ryder Burton (Jonah Delange Kick) — UAB win probability +31.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:10: (01:13) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 01:10 — UAB win probability +8.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:54UAB 4th & 4 at ULM 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:09ULM 4th & 1 at UAB 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:11UAB 4th & 9 at ULM 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:32ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:56ULM 4th & 1 at UAB 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−2.0
    68% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−7.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00ULM 4th & 6 at UAB 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−8.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:24ULM 4th & 1 at UAB 6, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%−3.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−13.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:00UAB 4th & 10 at ULM 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:35ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:32UAB 4th & 10 at ULM 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−3.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−13.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:24ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−5.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:10UAB 4th & 6 at ULM 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−1.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−17.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:08ULM 4th & 5 at UAB 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−6.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−5.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:09ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:58ULM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:45UAB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:34UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:5674% → 74%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.3%
(15:00) No Huddle #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UAB24 (#3 N.Flemmings; #30 M.Ross)Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
74.2%
(14:37) No Huddle #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB27 (#1 J.Tiller; #8 C.Fauntroy)Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
74.0%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #44 S.Isacks caught at UAB36, for 10 yards to the UAB37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
74.0%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush left for 3 yards gain to the UAB40 (#12 J.Lewis)Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
74.0%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush left for 6 yards gain to the UAB46 (#8 C.Fauntroy)Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
73.9%
(12:16) No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ULM49 (#9 J.Calender), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
74.0%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Smith thrown to ULM36 broken up by #1 J.TillerSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
73.8%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short left to #4 E.Reid caught at ULM44, for 6 yards to the ULM43 (#12 J.Lewis)Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
73.8%
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #2 R.Robinson II thrown to ULM41Similar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
73.6%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #3 B.McReynolds thrown to ULM35 QB hurried by #9 J.Calender, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2TD
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:3627% → 32%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
73.1%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ULM44 (#0 J.Pierce; #3 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
73.0%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ULM49 (#3 I.Esonwune; #17 T.Jackson)Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
72.8%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short left to #7 N.Trujillo caught at UAB46, for 5 yards to the UAB46 (#13 J.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
72.6%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB44 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+9
72.4%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush right for 9 yards gain to the UAB35 (#3 I.Esonwune), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
72.1%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB29 (#0 J.Pierce; #3 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
72.0%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB24 (#7 B.Gold; #35 M.Byard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
71.7%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush left for 15 yards gain to the UAB09 (#1 D.Sweeting; #13 J.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
71.4%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UAB04 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.3%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB04 (#3 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
71.4%
PENALTY UAB Offside (#52 S.Sanders) 2 yards from UAB04 to UAB02. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.2%
(05:42) Shotgun #23 C.Phillip rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB01 (#3 I.Esonwune; #7 B.Gold)Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.3%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Phillip rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:09 #27 A.Murray kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Ryan, LS: #48 N.Wilson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
17 plays · 52 yds · 5:5069% → 70%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.8%
(05:07) #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB31 (#90 Z.Tremont)Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
69.0%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UAB45 (#9 J.Calender), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
69.0%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 5 yards gain to the UAB50 (#3 N.Flemmings)Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 5
50
+6
69.0%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ULM44 (#6 J.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
69.0%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Simpkins rush right for 7 yards gain to the ULM37 (#1 J.Tiller)Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
68.4%
(02:43) #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ULM35 (#31 K.Wells)Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+1
68.4%
(02:01) No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ULM34 (#90 Z.Tremont), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
68.9%
(01:18) No Huddle #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ULM26 (#3 N.Flemmings; #5 Z.Jackson)Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+2
68.8%
(00:51) No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ULM24 (#31 K.Wells), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
68.6%
(00:13) No Huddle #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 3 yards loss to the ULM27 (#27 B.Pullen)Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+4
68.0%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ULM23 (#92 J.Smith)Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
67.3%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete deep right to #1 C.Smith thrown to ULM00 QB hurried by #30 M.RossSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
69.6%
(14:11) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 14:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0833% → 42%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-1
66.9%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ULM24 (#11 A.McKenzie; #29 C.Cunningham)Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
67.4%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Coulter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ULM44 (#0 J.Pierce; #35 M.Byard)Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
67.0%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ULM50 (#3 I.Esonwune; #29 C.Cunningham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
50
+9
66.1%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush left for 9 yards gain to the UAB41 (#0 J.Pierce)Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+18
65.8%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush right for 18 yards gain to the UAB23 (#0 J.Pierce), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
65.3%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush left for 11 yards gain to the UAB12 (#0 J.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
65.1%
PENALTY UAB Offside (#52 S.Sanders) 5 yards from UAB12 to UAB07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+7
58.0%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:58, 1ST DOWN #27 A.Murray kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Ryan, LS: #48 N.Wilson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0360% → 67%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
59.6%
(10:58) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #0 T.Mims caught at UAB36, for 11 yards to the UAB36 (#5 Z.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.8%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB36 (#8 C.Fauntroy)Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
59.1%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UAB44 (#3 N.Flemmings)Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+8
59.5%
(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ULM48 (#1 J.Tiller; #5 Z.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
59.7%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton sacked for loss of 1 yard to the ULM49 (#97 T.Brown)Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+14
58.9%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 N.Rogers rush left for 14 yards gain to the ULM35 (#30 M.Ross), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
59.1%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 8 yards gain to the ULM27 (#5 Z.Jackson; #6 J.Harper)Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
58.5%
(07:38) Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 0 yards to the ULM27 (#1 J.Tiller)Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+27
67.3%
(06:52) No Huddle #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 27 yards gain to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:5536% → 37%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
63.8%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush right for 14 yards gain to the ULM38 (#0 J.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
62.2%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short left to #1 M.Jackson caught at ULM33, for 7 yards to the ULM45 (#1 D.Sweeting)Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
61.5%
(05:25) PENALTY ULM False Start (#72 S.Dugery) 5 yards from ULM45 to ULM40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
61.5%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Jameson rush right for 3 yards gain to the ULM43 (#13 J.Jordan)Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-3
61.3%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle sacked for loss of 3 yards to the ULM40 (#4 M.Dean)Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 8
OWN 40
-7
62.9%
(03:40) #47 M.Ryan punt 20 yards to the UAB40 muffed by #7 J.Simpkins at UAB40 recovered by ULM #3 N.Flemmings at UAB33, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2242% → 42%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
58.2%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB32 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+8
57.5%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short left to #25 B.Roland caught at UAB35, for 8 yards to the UAB24 (#13 J.Jordan)Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
57.6%
(02:20) No Huddle #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB24 (#58 J.Mason; #13 J.Jordan)Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
57.8%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Phillip rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB24 (#17 T.Jackson; #35 M.Byard), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8INT
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:3162% → 61%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
61.5%
(01:56) Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UAB32 (#3 N.Flemmings) PENALTY UAB Holding (#66 D.Lawrence) 10 yards from UAB24 to UAB14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 20
OWN 14
-16
61.0%
(01:29) Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass intercepted by #8 C.Fauntroy at UAB34 #8 C.Fauntroy return 16 yards to the UAB18 (#1 C.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1245% → 52%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
55.3%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Buckhaulter rush right for 1 yard gain to the UAB17 (#0 J.Pierce)Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
54.9%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete short right to #13 P.Fulghum thrown to UAB10 broken up by #3 I.EsonwuneSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+3
55.5%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush right for 3 yards gain to the UAB14 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
48.5%
Abram Murray 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:2751% → 58%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
49.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ULM43 (#13 J.Jordan; #35 M.Byard)Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
47.9%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ULM48 (#35 M.Byard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
47.5%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush left for 12 yards gain to the UAB40 (#1 D.Sweeting; #13 J.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
46.5%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush right for 7 yards gain to the UAB33 (#13 J.Jordan; #17 T.Jackson)Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
45.7%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB31 (#35 M.Byard; #11 A.McKenzie)Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+5
46.0%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short right to #8 B.Anderson caught at UAB31, for 5 yards to the UAB26 (#5 D.Gulley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
44.4%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Jameson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UAB15 (#3 I.Esonwune), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
44.1%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete short right to #13 P.Fulghum thrown to UAB10Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
44.0%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short right to #3 D.Jameson caught at UAB16, for 7 yards to the UAB08 (#13 J.Jordan)Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
44.1%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB06 (#35 M.Byard; #15 E.Hall)Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+24
42.2%
(10:26) #27 A.Murray field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #47 M.Ryan, LS: #48 N.Wilson), clock 10:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:1042% → 47%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
41.7%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UAB27 (#30 M.Ross), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
41.6%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB33 (#44 C.Wilson Jr)Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
41.9%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #85 A.Ferguson thrown to UAB34 QB hurried by #44 C.Wilson JrSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
40.4%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #4 E.Reid caught at UAB38, for 5 yards to the UAB38 (#8 C.Fauntroy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+35
45.1%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Daniels rush left for 35 yards gain to the ULM27 (#3 N.Flemmings), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
44.8%
(08:29) Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ULM24 (#31 K.Wells)Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-3
44.3%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 3 yards loss to the ULM27 (#15 T.Williams)Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
41.4%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #0 T.Mims thrown to ULM15 broken up by #5 Z.JacksonSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
46.5%
(07:03) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 07:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:1858% → 61%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.3%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush right for 2 yards gain to the ULM27 (#0 J.Pierce; #35 M.Byard)Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
41.6%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short right to #1 M.Jackson caught at ULM22, for 8 yards to the ULM35 (#24 D.Wilkinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
40.5%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ULM37 (#29 C.Cunningham)Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
39.5%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete short right to #1 M.Jackson thrown to ULM40 broken up by #0 J.PierceSimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+4
40.2%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush right for 4 yards gain to the ULM41 (#0 J.Pierce)Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+10
39.3%
(04:45) #47 M.Ryan punt 48 yards to the UAB11 #0 J.Pierce return 10 yards to the UAB21 (#23 L.Amos), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 5:5543% → 47%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
43.3%
(04:34) Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 10 yards gain to the UAB31 (#3 N.Flemmings), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
43.7%
(04:03) No Huddle #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 1 yard gain to the UAB32 (#1 J.Tiller)Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+11
43.0%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #4 E.Reid caught at UAB30, for 11 yards to the UAB43 (#1 J.Tiller; #13 A.Rue), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
45.2%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UAB49 (#1 J.Tiller)Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
46.2%
(02:25) Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush left for 2 yards gain to the ULM49 (#8 C.Fauntroy; #92 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
45.6%
(01:49) No Huddle #5 R.Burton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ULM45 (#3 N.Flemmings), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
46.1%
(01:23) No Huddle #5 R.Burton pass complete short right to #84 L.White caught at ULM30, for 15 yards to the ULM30, out of bounds at ULM30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
47.7%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton sacked for loss of 5 yards to the ULM35 (#31 K.Wells) PENALTY UAB Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+14
42.2%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #1 C.Smith caught at ULM23, for 14 yards to the ULM21 (#8 C.Fauntroy)Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
42.5%
(00:03) No Huddle #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 5 yards gain to the ULM16 (#1 J.Tiller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
44.5%
(14:59) #3 B.McReynolds rush left for 6 yards gain to the ULM10 (#6 J.Harper)Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-6
44.1%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton sacked for loss of 6 yards to the ULM16 (#8 C.Fauntroy)Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
40.5%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton pass incomplete short right to #4 E.Reid thrown to ULM00 QB hurried by #30 M.RossSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
47.2%
(13:32) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 13:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5559% → 56%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
41.3%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Coulter thrown to ULM40Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-5
41.5%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short left to #13 P.Fulghum caught at ULM19, for 5 yards loss to the ULM19 (#6 Q.Billingsley)Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 15
OWN 19
0
43.1%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete deep middle to #23 C.Phillip thrown to ULM40 QB hurried by #58 J.MasonSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 15
OWN 19
+10
43.9%
(12:34) #47 M.Ryan punt 44 yards to the UAB37 #0 J.Pierce return 10 yards to the UAB47 (#23 C.Phillip)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:5050% → 78%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
49.7%
(12:24) #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ULM47 (#1 J.Tiller; #31 K.Wells) PENALTY UAB Holding (#85 A.Ferguson) 10 yards from UAB47 to UAB37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+7
44.7%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UAB44 (#92 J.Smith)Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+5
45.6%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush left for 5 yards gain to the UAB49 (#3 N.Flemmings)Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+8
46.4%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 R.Burton rush left for 8 yards gain to the ULM43 (#3 N.Flemmings), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
77.7%
EJ Reid 43 Yd pass from Ryder Burton (Jonah Delange Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:3130% → 36%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.8%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush right for 5 yards gain to the ULM30 (#3 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
68.5%
PENALTY UAB Offside (#5 D.Gulley) 5 yards from ULM30 to ULM35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
68.6%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ULM36 (#99 R.Macias) PENALTY UAB Personal Foul (#29 C.Cunningham) 15 yards from ULM36 to UAB49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
64.2%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short middle to #1 M.Jackson caught at ULM49, for 6 yards to the UAB43 (#35 M.Byard)Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+1
63.5%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB42 (#52 S.Sanders; #3 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
63.5%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB40 (#90 C.Spencer)Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+5
66.3%
(06:58) No Huddle #12 A.Carlisle rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB39 (#4 M.Dean; #17 T.Jackson) PENALTY UAB Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UAB40 to UAB35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
61.8%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Roland rush right for 1 yard loss to the UAB36 (#0 J.Pierce)Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-3
64.0%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass intercepted by #3 I.Esonwune at UAB32 #3 I.Esonwune return 3 yards to the UAB35 (#8 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 4:3176% → 95%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
75.5%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 8 yards gain to the UAB43 (#44 C.Wilson Jr)Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
78.0%
(05:06) Shotgun #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 4 yards gain to the UAB47 (#1 J.Tiller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
81.2%
(04:22) #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ULM49 (#1 J.Tiller)Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
83.7%
(03:36) Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ULM45 (#3 N.Flemmings)Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
87.4%
(02:50) #5 R.Burton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ULM42 (#16 R.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
89.4%
(02:04) Shotgun #3 B.McReynolds rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ULM40 (#9 J.Calender; #92 J.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+12
89.3%
(01:59) #2 R.Robinson II rush left for 12 yards gain to the ULM28 (#1 J.Tiller; #8 C.Fauntroy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
91.7%
(01:25) #2 R.Robinson II rush right for 2 yards gain to the ULM26 (#31 K.Wells)Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+3
91.8%
(01:20) #2 R.Robinson II rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ULM23 (#18 T.Overton; #3 N.Flemmings)Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-1
92.0%
(01:17) #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 1 yard loss to the ULM24 (#18 T.Overton)Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
95.4%
(01:13) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 01:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:5710% → 11%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.5%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short right to #3 D.Jameson caught at ULM31, for 10 yards to the ULM35 (#5 D.Gulley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
89.8%
(01:04) Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle sacked for loss of 2 yards to the ULM33 (#17 T.Jackson)Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
90.6%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Coulter thrown to ULM44Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+16
91.4%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle rush left for 16 yards gain to the ULM49 (#1 D.Sweeting), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.4%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
89.2%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass complete short middle to #0 L.Robinson caught at ULM50, for 5 yards to the UAB46 (#11 A.McKenzie)Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
88.0%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete short right to #0 L.Robinson thrown to UAB42 broken up by #5 D.GulleySimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
89.2%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 A.Carlisle pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Coulter thrown to UAB37 broken up by #11 A.McKenzie, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
96.7%
(00:05) Kneel down by UAB at UAB45 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:34
EJ Reid 43 Yd pass from Ryder Burton (Jonah Delange Kick)
+31.3
TD · Q2 6:45
(06:52) No Huddle #3 B.McReynolds rush right for 27 yards gain to the ULM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:45, 1ST DOWN #39 J.Delange kick attempt good (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop)
+8.8
FG · Q4 1:10
(01:13) #39 J.Delange field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #20 B.Hargett, LS: #50 E.Bishop), clock 01:10
+8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com