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HCU

Houston Christian 3 at Rice 31

RICE
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadHCU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreHCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:22 · (11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass intercepted by #5 J.Harper at Rice22 #5 J.Harper return 34 yards to the HCU44 (#6 C.Stewart)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Pregame prior+10.7Home team on offense+28.9Score differential+20.9Garbage-time factor+7.5Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:32: (09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler) — RICE win probability +2.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:31: (02:31) #28 E.Gota field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler), clock 02:31 — RICE win probability +1.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:51: (00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush right for 4 yards gain to the HCU25 (#15 M.Aribisala) — HCU win probability +1.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: HCU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:59: (04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice44 (#10 E.Brown; #32 R.Toe) — RICE win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:19: (13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 12 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:19, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler) — RICE win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6HCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:11RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:24HCU 4th & 10 at RICE 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:33RICE 4th & 5 at HCU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:06HCU 4th & 3 at RICE 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:17HCU 4th & 8 at HCU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:31RICE 4th & 8 at HCU 8, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:47HCU 4th & 8 at HCU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:04RICE 4th & 4 at HCU 33, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:05HCU 4th & 9 at RICE 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:13RICE 4th & 4 at HCU 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:13HCU 4th & 1 at RICE 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−2.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:22HCU 4th & 11 at RICE 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:21HCU 4th & 5 at HCU 42, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:18RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:19HCU 4th & 14 at RICE 31, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:02RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:32RICE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:19RICE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:4092% → 91%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
92.4%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice29 (#99 M.Mickles; #4 T.Zappe)Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
92.2%
(14:10) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the Rice34 (#7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+10
92.1%
(13:34) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Rice44 (#3 D.Bean; #17 J.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
92.0%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice49 (#44 A.Deason; #99 M.Mickles)Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-1
91.8%
(12:23) Shotgun #6 B.Grice rush right for 1 yard loss to the Rice48 (#9 M.Tomas)Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
91.6%
(11:45) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the Rice48 (#52 J.Davis; #8 J.Bejarano)Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
91.4%
(11:11) Shotgun #11 J.Brown pass incomplete short left to #81 B.Walker thrown to HCU45, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:439% → 9%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
91.3%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush left for 6 yards gain to the Rice42, out of bounds at Rice42Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+1
91.1%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short left to #7 T.Llanas-Wilcox caught at Rice45, for 1 yard to the Rice41 (#12 J.Benjamin)Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+4
91.0%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice37 (#44 C.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.9%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete deep right to #14 J.Hall II thrown to Rice06Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
90.9%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush left for 13 yards gain to the Rice24, out of bounds at Rice24, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
90.7%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete deep left to #5 K.Wheeler thrown to Rice00Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
90.7%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Dozier thrown to Rice23Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
90.8%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short right to #15 M.Graham thrown to Rice21Similar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
90.8%
(09:24) #42 L.Smolen field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #35 J.Maceri, LS: #33 L.Frederic), clock 09:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
18 plays · 71 yds · 7:3090% → 89%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
90.4%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 16 yards gain to the Rice45 fumbled by #28 D.Hardeman at Rice44 forced by #17 J.King recovered by Rice #56 N.Bledsoe at Rice45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
90.6%
(08:20) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush left for 11 yards gain to the HCU44 (#7 J.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
90.5%
(07:49) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush left for 6 yards gain to the HCU38 (#3 D.Bean)Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
90.3%
PENALTY Rice False Start (#67 L.Needham) 5 yards from HCU38 to HCU43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-2
90.2%
(06:53) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush right for 2 yards loss to the HCU45 (#7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+6
89.6%
(06:18) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HCU39 (#10 E.Brown; #36 H.Tita)Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+5
89.3%
(05:42) Shotgun #11 J.Brown pass complete short right to #5 D.Lane Jr. caught at HCU36, for 5 yards to the HCU34 (#12 G.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
89.5%
(05:09) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HCU29 (#4 T.Zappe; #14 M.Henderson)Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
89.3%
(04:27) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush right for 4 yards gain to the HCU25 (#0 M.Sylvalie; #14 M.Henderson)Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
88.9%
(03:55) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU22 (#14 M.Henderson; #17 J.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
88.9%
(03:25) Shotgun #11 J.Brown pass incomplete deep middle to #84 W.Swartz thrown to HCU00Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
88.9%
(03:19) Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HCU16 (#44 A.Deason; #9 M.Tomas)Similar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+9
88.3%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush left for 9 yards gain to the HCU07 (#5 J.Wiggins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
88.4%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HCU06 (#9 M.Tomas)Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
88.2%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the HCU02 (#44 A.Deason; #10 E.Brown)Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.3%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:02 #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #48 P.Derichsweiler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:2512% → 12%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
88.5%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short right to #14 J.Hall II caught at HCU45, for 15 yards to the HCU46 (#3 K.Akui), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
87.9%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HCU48 (#15 M.Aribisala)Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
87.9%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart sacked for loss of 2 yards to the HCU46 (#16 C.Nwajuaku), fumble by #6 C.Stewart recovered by HCU #63 W.Cook at HCU42 #63 W.Cook return 4 yards to the HCU46 (#44 C.King; #11 C.Clark-Jolivet)Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
88.1%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short right to #3 J.Wallace caught at Rice49, for 7 yards to the Rice47 (#54 A.Harnetiaux; #10 K.Condoll)Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
88.4%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Wheeler thrown to Rice38 broken up by #12 J.Benjamin, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:2589% → 91%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
89.0%
(14:00) Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HCU46 (#8 J.Bejarano; #4 T.Zappe)Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
88.9%
(13:25) Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush right for 5 yards gain to the HCU41 (#12 G.White; #8 J.Bejarano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
88.7%
(12:47) Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the HCU37 ()Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+5
88.6%
(12:15) Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HCU32 (#16 B.Bradshaw; #36 H.Tita)Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
88.3%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU29 (#16 B.Bradshaw; #52 J.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
88.4%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HCU23 (#8 J.Bejarano; #16 B.Bradshaw)Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+11
88.2%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 11 yards gain to the HCU12 (#7 J.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
88.1%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown pass incomplete short right to #84 W.Swartz thrown to HCU00Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
88.1%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HCU07 (#12 G.White; #4 T.Zappe)Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
91.1%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1510% → 9%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.4%
PENALTY HCU Delay Of Game (#6 C.Stewart) 5 yards from HCU25 to HCU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
90.5%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HCU19 (#14 B.Barton; #96 D.Botts)Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
90.5%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete deep right to #3 J.Wallace thrown to Rice39 broken up by #27 M.Amey IIISimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+8
90.7%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush left for 8 yards gain to the HCU27, out of bounds at HCU27Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
90.7%
(08:19) #42 L.Smolen punt 53 yards to the Rice20 fair catch by #13 M.Mosey at Rice20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:3590% → 92%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
90.3%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 31 yards gain to the HCU49 (#3 D.Bean; #8 J.Bejarano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
91.0%
(07:24) Shotgun #6 B.Grice rush right for 8 yards gain to the HCU41 (#5 J.Wiggins)Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
91.0%
(06:49) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HCU40 (#99 M.Mickles)Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
90.6%
(06:25) Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HCU34 (#14 M.Henderson; #6 G.Catanzano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
90.9%
(05:47) Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the HCU31 (#8 J.Bejarano)Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+9
90.9%
(05:09) Shotgun #30 C.Morgan rush middle for 9 yards gain to the HCU22 (#1 T.Georges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
90.8%
(04:35) Shotgun #30 C.Morgan rush middle for 12 yards gain to the HCU10 (#6 G.Catanzano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
91.1%
(04:03) Shotgun #30 C.Morgan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HCU08 (#52 J.Davis; #3 D.Bean)Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
91.0%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa rush right for 1 yard gain to the HCU07 (#23 J.Ducos; #6 G.Catanzano)Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
90.9%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa rush right for 1 yard loss to the HCU08 (#23 J.Ducos)Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
92.1%
(02:31) #28 E.Gota field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler), clock 02:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 1:308% → 8%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
91.9%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HCU13 (#14 B.Barton)Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+4
91.8%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short left to #5 K.Wheeler caught at HCU18, for 4 yards to the HCU17 (#12 J.Benjamin; #7 A.Brown)Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+4
92.2%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush left for 4 yards gain to the HCU23 (#33 S.Combs; #14 B.Barton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
92.1%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart sacked for loss of 2 yards to the HCU21 (#16 C.Nwajuaku)Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
92.3%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short right to #14 J.Hall II thrown to HCU27Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+4
92.1%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush right for 4 yards gain to the HCU25 (#15 M.Aribisala)Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
92.2%
(00:47) #42 L.Smolen punt 40 yards to the Rice35 fair catch by #13 M.Mosey at Rice35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:3593% → 93%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.2%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa pass incomplete short right to #6 B.Grice thrown to Rice40 QB hurried by #99 M.MicklesSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.2%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 B.Grice rush left for 5 yards gain to the Rice40, out of bounds at Rice40Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+11
93.0%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa pass complete short right to #19 J.Clark caught at Rice44, for 11 yards to the HCU49 (#6 G.Catanzano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
93.6%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the HCU44 (#12 G.White), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
93.1%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa rush left for 5 yards gain to the HCU39, out of bounds at HCU39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.2%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa pass incomplete short right to #0 P.Matthews thrown to HCU35Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
93.3%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa pass complete short left to #5 D.Lane Jr. caught at HCU33, for 6 yards to the HCU33, out of bounds at HCU33Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
93.1%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa pass incomplete short left to #5 D.Lane Jr. thrown to HCU28Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
92.7%
(00:00) #28 E.Gota field goal attempt from 51 yards NO GOOD (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:388% → 8%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
92.3%
(14:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush left for 5 yards gain to the HCU25 (#54 A.Harnetiaux; #44 C.King)Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
92.0%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush middle for 9 yards gain to the HCU34 (#7 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
92.0%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 16 yards gain to the HCU50 (#3 K.Akui), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
50
0
91.3%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush left for 0 yards to the Rice50 (#3 K.Akui; #2 J.Chavez)Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
50
0
91.6%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Wheeler thrown to Rice45 QB hurried by #8 J.MutomboSimilar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 10
50
+1
91.9%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice49 (#8 J.Mutombo)Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
92.2%
(12:07) #35 J.Maceri punt 40 yards to the Rice09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:4193% → 94%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
92.8%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Rice16 (#3 D.Bean; #0 M.Sylvalie)Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+6
92.9%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice22 (#7 J.Anderson; #8 J.Bejarano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
93.0%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Rice39 (#7 J.Anderson; #9 M.Tomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
93.5%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice43 (#36 H.Tita)Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+32
93.6%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush left for 32 yards gain to the HCU25 (#7 J.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
93.7%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 8 yards gain to the HCU17 (#4 T.Zappe; #9 M.Tomas)Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-9
93.8%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun Rice rush middle for 9 yards loss to the HCU26, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+7
93.9%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the HCU19 (#5 J.Wiggins)Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+3
93.6%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the HCU16 (#4 T.Zappe), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:528% → 8%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
92.3%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HCU17 (#57 A.Clemmons; #16 C.Nwajuaku)Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+22
92.5%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short right to #15 M.Graham caught at HCU22, for 22 yards to the HCU39 (#10 K.Condoll), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
91.6%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass complete short right to #14 J.Hall II caught at HCU49, for 12 yards to the Rice49 (#7 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
91.1%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Rice46 (#16 C.Nwajuaku; #33 S.Combs)Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
91.2%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Rice41 (#57 A.Clemmons)Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
91.4%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice40 (#57 A.Clemmons; #8 J.Mutombo)Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
91.9%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart rush middle for 0 yards to the Rice40 (#33 S.Combs; #16 C.Nwajuaku), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:4095% → 99%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
94.5%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice44 (#10 E.Brown; #32 R.Toe)Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
94.5%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush left for 3 yards gain to the Rice47 (#36 H.Tita)Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
94.3%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HCU49 (#36 H.Tita; #92 T.Akintade), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
95.5%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU46 (#36 H.Tita; #7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
95.8%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the HCU40 (#8 J.Bejarano; #4 T.Zappe)Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+13
95.7%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HCU27 (#12 G.White; #17 J.King), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
95.9%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.Hardeman rush middle for 5 yards gain to the HCU22 (#10 E.Brown; #14 M.Henderson)Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+10
95.9%
PENALTY Rice Holding (#67 L.Needham) 10 yards from HCU22 to HCU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+6
95.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Brown pass complete short middle to #10 Q.Jackson caught at HCU33, for 6 yards to the HCU26 (#99 M.Mickles; #44 A.Deason)Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+13
95.8%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HCU13 (#16 B.Bradshaw), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
96.0%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HCU12 (#52 J.Davis; #99 M.Mickles)Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 12 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:19, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:441% → 1%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
98.9%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush left for 1 yard gain to the HCU19 (#54 A.Harnetiaux)Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+49
99.0%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush middle for 49 yards gain to the Rice32 (#18 A.Ogbor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.8%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short left to #3 J.Wallace thrown to Rice28Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
98.8%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Dozier rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Rice33 (#25 C.VerMaas)Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
98.9%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass incomplete short middle to #86 L.Matamoros thrown to Rice30Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 11
OPP 33
-34
99.0%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Stewart pass intercepted by #5 J.Harper at Rice22 #5 J.Harper return 34 yards to the HCU44 (#6 C.Stewart)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 11
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 C.Morgan rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HCU37 (#20 N.Davis)Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 C.Morgan rush for 8 yards gain to the HCU29 (#5 J.Wiggins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.9%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 G.Ochoa rush right for 29 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:16, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 9 yards gain to the HCU34 (#27 M.Amey III)Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HCU37 (#14 B.Barton; #18 A.Ogbor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HCU43 (#25 C.VerMaas)Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 E.Harris rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HCU42 (#11 C.Clark-Jolivet; #98 R.Rooks)Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
99.9%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Garcia pass incomplete deep left to #80 N.Jordan thrown to Rice30Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
99.9%
(08:21) #35 J.Maceri punt 56 yards to the Rice02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
99.9%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 C.Morgan rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Rice08 (#7 J.Anderson; #4 T.Zappe)Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+10
99.9%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 C.Morgan rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Rice18 (#9 M.Tomas; #27 J.Queen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+24
99.9%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Mosey rush left for 24 yards gain to the Rice42 (#3 D.Bean; #4 T.Zappe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 J.Powell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Rice44 (#52 J.Davis)Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 J.Powell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice45 (#7 J.Anderson)Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bruce rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice46 (#9 M.Tomas)Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
99.9%
(04:17) #29 C.Durkin punt 54 yards to the HCU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HCUDrive 18DOWNS
16 plays · 44 yds · 3:480% → 0%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HCU21 (#14 B.Barton; #25 C.VerMaas)Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
100.0%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass incomplete deep middle to #2 T.Bradshaw thrown to HCU50Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+13
100.0%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass complete short left to #19 J.Sample caught at HCU34, for 13 yards to the HCU34 (#25 C.VerMaas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
100.0%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 0 yards to the HCU34 ()Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
(02:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Middleton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HCU35 (#13 T.May; #94 B.Bays)Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+15
100.0%
PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (#1 Z.Cody) 15 yards from HCU35 to HCU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass incomplete deep left to #10 B.Turner thrown to Rice15Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
50
+1
100.0%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Landers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Rice49 (#94 B.Bays; #21 J.Singletary)Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+22
100.0%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass complete short right to #2 T.Bradshaw caught at Rice34, for 22 yards to the Rice27 (#34 K.Blanton; #20 B.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
100.0%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Landers rush right for 5 yards gain to the Rice22 (#20 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Landers rush right for 1 yard gain to the Rice21 (#15 M.Aribisala)Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+10
100.0%
(00:32) PENALTY HCU Pass Interference (#82 T.Burch) 10 yards from Rice21 to Rice31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 14
OPP 31
0
100.0%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp pass incomplete short right to #82 T.Burch thrown to Rice12 broken up by #27 M.Amey IIISimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 14
OPP 31
-5
100.0%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 M.Kopp sacked for loss of 5 yards to the Rice36 (#88 T.Lavallier), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 P.Crayton Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the Rice42 (#23 J.Ducos; #16 B.Bradshaw)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:19
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 12 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:19, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler)
+3
TD · Q2 9:32
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 Q.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the HCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32, 1ST DOWN #28 E.Gota kick attempt good (H: #29 C.Durkin, LS: #51 P.Derichsweiler)
+2.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:59
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 T.Byars rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Rice44 (#10 E.Brown; #32 R.Toe)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com