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TOW

Towson 15 at Navy 42

NAVY
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadTOW aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreTOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:45 · (10:48) Shotgun #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Towson38 (#2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+30.2Score differential+22.7Garbage-time factor+12.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:52: (14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete deep right to #0 A.Enterline caught at Navy03, for 48 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52, 1ST DOWN #98 Z.Faridi kick attempt failed (H: #34 O.Scheihing, LS: #51 D.Anderla) — TOW win probability +0.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:32: (09:34) #8 J.Gutierrez rush right for 3 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry) — NAVY win probability +2.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:50: (07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete deep left to #14 J.Zollar caught at Navy00, for 30 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:50, 1ST DOWN #0 A.Enterline pass attempt failed — TOW win probability +1.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:24: (00:26) #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry) — NAVY win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:46: (07:46) No Huddle #8 J.Gutierrez rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:46 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry) — NAVY win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TOW made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:22TOW 4th & 13 at TOW 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53TOW 4th & 10 at TOW 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:10NAVY 4th & 3 at TOW 7, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:31NAVY 4th & 11 at TOW 46, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:12TOW 4th & 3 at TOW 11, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:36NAVY 4th & 1 at TOW 16, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:14TOW 4th & 15 at NAVY 22, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:44NAVY 4th & 11 at NAVY 38, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:43TOW 4th & 6 at TOW 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:45NAVY 4th & 2 at TOW 47, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:17TOW 4th & 6 at TOW 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TOW made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:21NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:37NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:52TOW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:32NAVY Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:50TOW Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:24NAVY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:46NAVY Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:39NAVY Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOWDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:323% → 3%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 0 yards to the Towson25 (#95 G.Willis; #3 I.Oniha)Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.8%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson27 (#14 T.Gillis; #8 A.Rose)Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.6%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Amin thrown to Towson28 QB hurried by #94 X.ArringtonSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
96.7%
PENALTY Towson Delay Of Game 5 yards from Towson27 to Towson22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+3
96.6%
(13:33) #34 O.Scheihing punt 56 yards to the Navy22 #25 I.Bryant return 3 yards to the Navy25 (#18 M.Longa)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:5497% → 96%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.6%
(13:20) Shotgun #42 C.Cromer rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy26 (#0 B.Kumpon; #40 S.Boyd)Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
96.5%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 I.Bryant rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy28 (#44 A.Hamond)Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
96.3%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Navy43 (#90 Z.Copeland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
96.3%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 L.Walker rush right for 10 yards gain to the Towson47 (#13 M.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
96.3%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush right for 9 yards gain to the Towson38 (#9 C.Koffi), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+38
96.4%
(10:30) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush right for 38 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:21, 1ST DOWN #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:104% → 4%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
96.3%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short right to #87 X.Colbert caught at Towson20, for 7 yards to the Towson26 (#14 T.Gillis)Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+5
96.2%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf rush right for 5 yards gain to the Towson31, out of bounds at Towson31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
96.1%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass incomplete deep left to #0 A.Enterline thrown to Navy36 PENALTY Navy Holding (#10 N.Bell) 10 yards from Towson31 to Towson41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.1%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 T.Kenan rush middle for 0 yards to the Towson41 (#39 J.Grant)Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
96.0%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass incomplete short middle to #10 M.Cunningham thrown to Navy40 QB hurried by #95 G.WillisSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
96.0%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass incomplete deep left to #0 A.Enterline thrown to Navy36Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
96.1%
(07:59) #34 O.Scheihing punt 47 yards to the Navy12 fair catch by #25 I.Bryant at Navy12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 4:0696% → 96%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
96.0%
(07:51) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson pass complete short right to #26 M.Barrow caught at Navy17, for 6 yards to the Navy18 (#13 M.Johnson)Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+7
95.9%
(07:10) #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Navy25 (#4 T.Sands; #0 B.Kumpon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.8%
(06:34) Shotgun #26 M.Barrow rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Navy33 (#4 T.Sands; #40 S.Boyd). #90 Z.Copeland injured on the playSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
95.9%
(06:08) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush left for 9 yards gain to the Navy42 (#15 S.Chestnut), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.8%
(05:33) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson pass incomplete short middle to #85 J.Norris thrown to Navy49 broken up by #15 S.ChestnutSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-3
95.8%
(05:26) #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Navy39 (#3 B.Lodge)Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+24
95.5%
(04:47) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 24 yards gain to the Towson37 (#2 Z.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
95.7%
(04:22) #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson35 (#15 S.Chestnut; #0 B.Kumpon)Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+35
96.4%
(03:43) #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 35 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:37, 1ST DOWN #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:364% → 5%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.1%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 X.Pugh rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Towson28 (#53 M.Bleazard)Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
96.1%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short left to #6 X.Pugh caught at Towson22, for 4 yards loss to the Towson24 (#8 A.Rose)Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
96.0%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short right to #12 J.Jones caught at Towson37, for 13 yards to the Towson37 (#3 I.Oniha), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
95.8%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 X.Pugh rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Towson47 (#8 A.Rose; #56 M.Parker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
95.7%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short left to #6 X.Pugh caught at Towson44, for 1 yard to the Towson48 (#56 M.Parker; #53 M.Bleazard)Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+4
95.7%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Navy48 (#53 M.Bleazard)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+48
94.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete deep right to #0 A.Enterline caught at Navy03, for 48 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:52, 1ST DOWN #98 Z.Faridi kick attempt failed (H: #34 O.Scheihing, LS: #51 D.Anderla)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:4595% → 96%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
94.9%
(14:40) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Navy35 fumbled by #5 B.Woodson at Navy33 recovered by Navy #40 V.Listorti at Navy35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+15
94.7%
(14:06) Shotgun #26 M.Barrow rush left for 15 yards gain to the Navy50 (#2 Z.Brown; #4 T.Sands), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
50
+13
94.9%
(13:49) Shotgun #33 L.Walker rush right for 13 yards gain to the Towson37 (#3 B.Lodge), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
94.9%
(13:24) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush right for 8 yards gain to the Towson29 (#9 C.Koffi)Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+4
94.8%
(12:44) #41 S.Egbe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Towson25 (#15 S.Chestnut), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
94.7%
(12:10) #8 J.Gutierrez rush right for 11 yards gain to the Towson14 (#2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
94.7%
(11:51) #41 S.Egbe rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Towson08 (#4 T.Sands)Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-3
94.6%
(11:30) #25 I.Bryant rush left for 3 yards loss to the Towson11 (#3 B.Lodge)Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+4
94.4%
(10:48) #8 J.Gutierrez rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Towson07 (#3 B.Lodge)Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+4
94.0%
(10:14) #8 J.Gutierrez rush left for 4 yards gain to the Towson03 (#0 B.Kumpon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.0%
(09:34) #8 J.Gutierrez rush right for 3 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:275% → 7%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
95.4%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short right to #80 C.Schaeffer caught at Towson43, for 25 yards to the Towson50 (#8 A.Rose), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
50
+3
95.1%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Navy47 (#93 A.Lyczek; #56 M.Parker)Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+15
95.0%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass incomplete deep right to #10 M.Cunningham thrown to Navy20 QB hurried by #3 I.Oniha PENALTY Navy Roughing The Passer (#3 I.Oniha) 15 yards from Navy47 to Navy32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
94.8%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Navy30 (#56 M.Parker; #95 G.Willis)Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
93.2%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete deep left to #14 J.Zollar caught at Navy00, for 30 yards to the Navy00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:50, 1ST DOWN #0 A.Enterline pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:0894% → 93%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.0%
(07:48) #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Navy30 (#95 S.Boyd)Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
93.9%
(07:06) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Navy43 (#1 M.Cooper), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
94.1%
(06:27) #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Towson49 (#13 M.Johnson)Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+10
94.0%
(05:47) Shotgun #25 I.Bryant rush right for 1 yard gain to the Towson48 (#9 C.Koffi; #2 Z.Brown) PENALTY Navy Holding (#85 J.Norris) 10 yards from Towson49 to Navy41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+14
93.7%
(05:23) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 14 yards gain to the Towson45 (#0 B.Kumpon; #4 T.Sands), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
93.9%
(05:00) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson43 (#9 C.Koffi; #0 B.Kumpon)Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
93.8%
(04:20) #5 B.Woodson rush right for 2 yards gain to the Towson41 (#18 M.Longa)Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
93.5%
(03:42) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson pass incomplete short right to #87 T.Elwell thrown to Towson39Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+5
93.1%
PENALTY Navy Delay Of Game 5 yards from Towson41 to Towson46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
92.8%
(03:39) #11 J.Carlson punt 42 yards to the Towson04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:097% → 7%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
93.3%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 X.Pugh rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson06 (#56 M.Parker; #13 C.Robinson)Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+5
93.1%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 X.Pugh rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Towson11 (#58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 11
0
93.2%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass incomplete short left to #0 A.Enterline thrown to Towson26Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 3
OWN 11
0
93.4%
(02:14) #34 O.Scheihing punt 39 yards to the Towson50 fair catch by #25 I.Bryant at Towson50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 1:4194% → 96%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
50
+6
93.5%
(02:11) Shotgun #26 M.Barrow rush left for 6 yards gain to the Towson44 (#9 C.Koffi)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
93.4%
(01:57) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Towson38 (#15 S.Chestnut; #9 C.Koffi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
93.3%
(01:31) #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Towson33 (#3 B.Lodge; #8 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+10
93.3%
(01:01) #5 B.Woodson pass complete short left to #86 J.Guerin caught at Towson23, for 10 yards to the Towson23, out of bounds at Towson23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
93.3%
(00:58) Shotgun #26 M.Barrow rush right for 4 yards gain to the Towson19 (#4 T.Sands)Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+3
93.2%
(00:37) #33 L.Walker rush right for 3 yards gain to the Towson16 (#0 B.Kumpon), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+8
92.8%
(00:31) #5 B.Woodson rush right for 8 yards gain to the Towson08 (#8 J.Johnson; #2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.9%
(00:26) #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:095% → 6%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
94.8%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short left to #14 J.Zollar caught at Towson30, for 12 yards to the Towson32 (#3 I.Oniha), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
94.4%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short middle to #0 A.Enterline caught at Towson45, for 21 yards to the Navy47 (#56 M.Parker; #3 I.Oniha), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-14
94.0%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf sacked for loss of 14 yards to the Towson39 (#93 A.Lyczek)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:1496% → 99%
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.7%
Shotgun #8 J.Gutierrez rush right for 5 yards gain to the Navy33 (#9 C.Koffi)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
95.6%
#40 V.Listorti rush left for 5 yards gain to the Navy38 (#0 B.Kumpon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
95.9%
Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush right for 14 yards gain to the Towson48, out of bounds at Towson48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
95.9%
Shotgun #33 L.Walker rush right for 23 yards gain to the Towson25 (#13 M.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
95.9%
No Huddle #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Towson24 (#8 J.Johnson; #44 A.Hamond)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Towson18 (#8 J.Johnson; #4 T.Sands)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
95.8%
No Huddle #8 J.Gutierrez rush right for 2 yards gain to the Towson16 (#12 C.Williams; #21 K.Grayson)Similar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.7%
#26 M.Barrow rush right for 3 yards gain to the Navy28 (#9 C.Koffi; #2 Z.Brown)Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
95.7%
No Huddle #41 S.Egbe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson14 (#0 B.Kumpon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.1%
No Huddle #8 J.Gutierrez rush right for 0 yards to the Towson14 (#0 B.Kumpon)Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+8
95.6%
(08:58) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Towson06 (#9 C.Koffi; #12 C.Williams)Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+4
96.5%
(08:24) No Huddle #5 B.Woodson rush right for 4 yards gain to the Towson02 (#2 Z.Brown; #22 W.Woodard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.6%
(07:46) No Huddle #8 J.Gutierrez rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:46 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 13FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:172% → 2%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short right to #1 J.Amin caught at Towson24, for 4 yards to the Towson29 (#58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
98.2%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 T.Kenan rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Towson36 (#56 M.Parker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.2%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 T.Kenan rush middle for 0 yards to the Towson36 (#56 M.Parker; #58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+47
98.2%
(05:49) Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete deep left to #12 J.Jones caught at Navy23, for 47 yards to the Navy17 (#16 G.Sessi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.0%
(05:31) Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short left to #80 C.Schaeffer caught at Navy20, for 3 yards to the Navy14 (#3 I.Oniha; #16 G.Sessi)Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
98.1%
(04:51) Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass complete short left to #3 K.Battles caught at Navy13, for 1 yard to the Navy13 (#13 C.Robinson)Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-9
98.4%
(04:01) Shotgun #13 A.Indorf sacked for loss of 9 yards to the Navy22 (#96 C.Young)Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+40
98.4%
(03:14) #98 Z.Faridi field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #34 O.Scheihing, LS: #51 D.Anderla), clock 03:14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0999% → 98%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
98.6%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy40 (#10 S.Hampton; #13 M.Johnson)Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
98.6%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Navy43 (#10 S.Hampton; #21 K.Grayson)Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
98.1%
(01:53) No Huddle #5 B.Woodson pass incomplete deep left to #86 J.Guerin thrown to Towson33Similar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+5
97.9%
PENALTY Navy Delay Of Game 5 yards from Navy43 to Navy38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+8
98.1%
(01:44) #11 J.Carlson punt 43 yards to the Towson19 #10 M.Cunningham return 8 yards to the Towson27 (#58 C.Cauley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:501% → 1%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
98.7%
(01:41) Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 10 yards gain to the Towson37 (#56 M.Parker; #18 W.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.7%
(01:03) Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Towson38 (#58 C.Cauley)Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
98.7%
(00:19) Shotgun #3 K.Battles rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Towson41 (#3 I.Oniha)Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
98.8%
(14:58) Shotgun #13 A.Indorf pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Battles thrown to Towson43 QB hurried by #95 G.Willis and #96 C.YoungSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
98.8%
(14:49) #34 O.Scheihing punt 24 yards to the Navy35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 5:5399% → 100%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.0%
(14:41) No Huddle #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Navy39 (#21 K.Grayson)Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
99.2%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 I.Bryant rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Navy45 (#21 K.Grayson; #18 M.Longa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.2%
(13:18) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush right for 3 yards gain to the Navy48 (#21 K.Grayson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
99.2%
(12:46) Shotgun #15 E.Blouir rush left for 13 yards gain (5) to the Towson39 (#0 B.Kumpon) PENALTY Navy Holding (#25 I.Bryant) 10 yards from Towson47 to Navy43Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+5
99.2%
(12:21) Shotgun #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Navy48 (#18 M.Longa)Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
99.2%
(11:36) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson pass complete short right to #26 M.Barrow caught at Towson47, for 5 yards to the Towson47 (#2 Z.Brown)Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+9
99.2%
(10:48) Shotgun #40 V.Listorti rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Towson38 (#2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
99.3%
(10:27) Shotgun #15 E.Blouir rush right for 18 yards gain to the Towson20 (#13 M.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.3%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 E.Blouir rush right for 6 yards gain to the Towson14 (#21 K.Grayson; #12 C.Williams). #12 C.Williams injured on the playSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+6
99.3%
(09:43) Shotgun #26 M.Barrow rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Towson08 (#4 T.Sands; #8 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.3%
(09:18) Shotgun #2 T.Jones rush right for 4 yards gain to the Towson04 (#13 M.Johnson)Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
(08:39) Shotgun #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:39 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
(08:37) Shotgun #8 J.Davis pass complete short right to #7 T.Kenan caught at Towson19, for 1 yard loss to the Towson24 (#18 W.Miller)Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-6
99.9%
(07:49) Shotgun #8 J.Davis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the Towson18 (#53 M.Bleazard)Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+11
99.9%
(07:04) Shotgun #8 J.Davis rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Towson29 (#53 M.Bleazard; #22 M.Williams)Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(06:20) #34 O.Scheihing punt 47 yards to the Navy24 fair catch by #25 I.Bryant at Navy24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18END OF GAME
13 plays · 57 yds · 6:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
(06:17) Shotgun #10 R.Brass rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Navy27 (#0 B.Kumpon; #10 S.Hampton)Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
(05:30) Shotgun #42 C.Cromer rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Navy33 (#33 A.Siwald; #12 C.Williams)Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
(04:46) Navy rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Navy30 fumbled by Navy at Navy32 recovered by Navy #10 R.Brass at Navy30, End Of Play PENALTY Towson Offside (#11 D.Simmons) 5 yards from Navy33 to Navy38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
(04:15) Shotgun #36 A.Gilbert rush left for 3 yards gain to the Navy41 (#24 T.Steed), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
(03:36) Shotgun #36 A.Gilbert rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Navy42 (#11 D.Simmons)Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+8
100.0%
(02:54) #49 J.Williams rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Navy50 (#12 C.Williams; #33 A.Siwald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
50
+5
100.0%
(02:11) Shotgun #49 J.Williams rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Towson45 (#33 A.Siwald; #18 M.Longa)Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #49 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Towson42 (#41 M.Peters; #99 Z.Philpott)Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
(01:15) Shotgun #29 G.Leonard rush right for 5 yards gain to the Towson37 (#55 I.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
100.0%
(00:42) #49 J.Williams rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Towson26 (#12 C.Williams; #41 M.Peters), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
100.0%
(00:06) #49 J.Williams rush left for 7 yards gain to the Towson19 (#41 M.Peters), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:24
(00:26) #5 B.Woodson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)
+3.3
TD · Q3 7:46
(07:46) No Huddle #8 J.Gutierrez rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:46 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)
+2.2
TD · Q2 9:32
(09:34) #8 J.Gutierrez rush right for 3 yards gain to the Towson00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:32 #44 N.Bartley kick attempt good (H: #11 J.Carlson, LS: #92 R.Fry)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com