2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
JMU31
CONN24
JMU by 7
Win chance
JMU69%
JMU 69%CONN 31%
Projected total
56pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
64%
chance James Madison wins by 3 or more
36% James Madison wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← CONN winsJMU wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- CONN by 3 to JMU by 18
- 80% of outcomes
- CONN by 13 to JMU by 32
- 90% of outcomes
- CONN by 19 to JMU by 35
- Median
- JMU by 10
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.