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CONN

UConn 34 at Temple 20

TEM
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:12 · (11:12) #49 T.Warner punt 42 yards to the TEM23 #17 J.Bermudez return 8 yards to the TEM31 (#37 H.Pegg), out of bounds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 95Home team on offense−8.2Pregame prior+6.2Score differential−3.0Garbage-time factor−3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:43: (04:43) Shotgun #1 C.Chase pass complete deep right to #0 P.Clarke caught at CON06, for 29 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden) — TEM win probability +3.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:55: (05:55) No Huddle #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:55 #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga) — CONN win probability +13.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jack O'Connor 21 Yd Field Goal — CONN win probability +2.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:42: (02:40) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 02:42 — TEM win probability +4.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:52: (07:58) No Huddle #23 C.Bowers rush right for 8 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:52 #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga) — CONN win probability +14.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 0:15CONN 4th & 3 at TEM 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−2.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:13TEM 4th & 6 at CONN 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−4.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:50CONN 4th & 6 at TEM 33, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00CONN 4th & 3 at TEM 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%−2.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−11.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:32TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:12CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:17TEM 4th & 6 at CONN 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:59CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:42TEM 4th & 5 at CONN 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−12.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:02CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−2.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:24TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:05CONN 4th & 3 at TEM 9, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:43CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:28TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 10:18CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:55CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:52CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0536% → 37%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.3%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CON27 (#10 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+38
64.3%
(14:27) Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete deep middle to #11 R.Treadway caught at TEM36, for 38 yards to the TEM35 (#21 A.Locks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
64.1%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #11 R.Treadway caught at TEM21, for 14 yards to the TEM21, out of bounds at TEM21, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
64.1%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush left for 0 yards to the TEM21 (#8 E.Stuart)Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
64.0%
(13:11) No Huddle #23 C.Bowers rush right for 9 yards gain to the TEM12 (#23 Z.Powell; #33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
63.2%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 12 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:43, 1ST DOWN #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #62 B.Mulholland) #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
64.2%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep middle to #17 J.Bermudez caught at CON28, for 79 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:28, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5936% → 38%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
64.1%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CON36 (#8 E.Stuart; #32 A.Laing), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
64.0%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 1 yard gain to the CON37 (#8 E.Stuart)Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+18
63.9%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Willoughby caught at CON48, for 18 yards to the TEM45 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
63.6%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #0 K.Wilson caught at TEM47, for 11 yards to the TEM34 (#2 S.Karriem), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
63.4%
PENALTY CON False Start (#69 T.Chan) 5 yards from TEM34 to TEM39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+39
61.9%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Christian rush middle for 39 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:18, 1ST DOWN #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:1562% → 65%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
62.3%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 9 yards gain to the TEM29 (#2 T.Mullix)Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
62.3%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at TEM27, for 3 yards to the TEM32 (#10 J.Davis; #2 T.Mullix), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
61.9%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 6 yards gain to the TEM38 (#6 R.Dorilas)Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
62.0%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Freeman thrown to CON45Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+10
61.6%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM44, for 10 yards to the TEM48 (#0 K.Sherman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
61.8%
(07:53) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CON49 (#95 M.Hills III)Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
61.7%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush left for 6 yards gain to the CON43 (#10 J.Davis)Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
61.5%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CON39 (#0 K.Sherman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
61.3%
(05:53) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CON33 (#4 B.Moore; #13 J.Price) PENALTY CON Offside (#17 S.Riser-Pressley) 5 yards from CON39 to CON34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+5
61.5%
(05:23) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush right for 5 yards gain to the CON29 (#9 Z.Saez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
64.8%
(04:43) Shotgun #1 C.Chase pass complete deep right to #0 P.Clarke caught at CON06, for 29 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:43, 1ST DOWN #98 C.Hardin kick attempt good (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:1437% → 38%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.3%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #9 J.Allen caught at CON24, for 4 yards to the CON29 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
63.0%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #5 S.Porter caught at CON38, for 9 yards to the CON38 (#21 A.Locks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
62.7%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #3 K.Christian caught at CON42, for 22 yards to the TEM40 (#29 A.Powell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.0%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM40 (#98 J.Auzenne; #93 K.Hornbeak)Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
61.9%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM37 (#98 J.Auzenne)Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+21
61.5%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #9 J.Allen caught at TEM19, for 21 yards to the TEM16 (#22 J.Gould), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
60.8%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM12 (#10 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+5
60.7%
PENALTY CON False Start (#69 T.Chan) 5 yards from TEM12 to TEM17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+8
60.7%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 8 yards gain to the TEM09 (#97 D.Bishop)Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
60.9%
(00:27) No Huddle #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #14 C.Abshire thrown to TEM00Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 3
OPP 9
-1
61.7%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 1 yard to the TEM10 (#22 J.Gould), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6FG
16 plays · 82 yds · 7:0263% → 66%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
63.2%
(00:15) Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM14 (#12 S.Suchanic)Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+7
63.2%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush left for 23 yards gain to the TEM37 (#12 S.Suchanic) PENALTY TEM Holding (#76 J.Stone) 7 yards from TEM14 to TEM07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+4
63.0%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush right for 4 yards gain to the TEM11 (#37 H.Pegg) PENALTY CON Personal Foul (#37 H.Pegg) 15 yards from TEM11 to TEM26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
63.3%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush left for 2 yards gain to the TEM28 (#37 H.Pegg; #12 S.Suchanic)Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
63.3%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM31 (#3 E.Carter) PENALTY CON Face Mask (#3 E.Carter) 15 yards from TEM31 to TEM46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
64.6%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 15 yards gain to the CON39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
64.9%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #10 J.Freeman caught at CON33, for 6 yards to the CON33 (#12 S.Suchanic; #29 J.Brown)Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+4
65.4%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CON29 (#44 J.Lista; #22 J.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
65.4%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #17 J.Bermudez caught at CON13, for 17 yards to the CON12, out of bounds at CON12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
65.4%
(10:19) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CON19 (#52 J.Mickens, #15 A.Luqman)Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+7
65.0%
(09:41) Shotgun #1 C.Chase rush left for 7 yards gain to the CON12 (#4 B.Moore), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+5
64.8%
(08:59) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #10 J.Freeman caught at CON00, for 12 yards to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:59 PENALTY TEM Illegal Motion 5 yards from CON12 to CON17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+9
63.5%
(08:50) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #0 P.Clarke caught at CON15, for 9 yards to the CON08 (#0 K.Sherman; #10 J.Davis)Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
65.5%
(08:13) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 08:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5836% → 49%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.5%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #21 R.Liggins III caught at CON30, for 8 yards to the CON33 (#23 Z.Powell)Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
63.2%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #11 R.Treadway caught at CON39, for 11 yards to the CON44 (#13 D.Chavis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+51
62.5%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 51 yards gain to the TEM05 (#32 A.Laing), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
60.7%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 4 yards gain to the TEM01 (#95 T.Cunningham)Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.3%
(05:55) No Huddle #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:55 #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:5355% → 56%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
54.8%
(05:55) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TEM35 (#44 J.Lista; #10 J.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
55.0%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEM40 (#44 J.Lista; #52 J.Mickens)Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
56.9%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #26 K.Mason caught at TEM38, for 4 yards to the TEM44 (#6 R.Dorilas)Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
56.2%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush left for 6 yards gain to the TEM50 (#95 M.Hills III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
50
+8
57.0%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush right for 8 yards gain to the CON42 (#44 J.Lista)Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
56.9%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 0 yards to the CON42 (#9 Z.Saez)Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+20
55.5%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 20 yards gain to the CON22 fumbled by #26 K.Mason at CON28 forced by #6 R.Dorilas recovered by CON #4 B.Moore at CON22, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:3648% → 56%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+41
52.2%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 41 yards gain to the TEM37 (#29 A.Powell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
48.1%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Willoughby caught at TEM31, for 7 yards to the TEM30 (#23 Z.Powell), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-3
46.7%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TEM33 (#93 K.Hornbeak)Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
48.5%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #14 C.Abshire thrown to TEM23Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+30
50.3%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete deep middle to #5 S.Porter caught at TEM03, for 30 yards to the TEM03 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Roughing The Passer (#22 J.Gould) 2 yards from TEM03 to TEM01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
46.5%
(00:13) #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEM03 fumbled by #7 K.Osborne at TEM01 recovered by CON #7 K.Osborne at TEM03, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
46.9%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM03 (#10 J.Joseph)Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.4%
(00:02) No Huddle #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
44.5%
Jack O'Connor 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1347% → 44%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.6%
(14:53) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEM30 (#37 H.Pegg)Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
46.9%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEM28 (#9 Z.Saez)Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
44.8%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Chase thrown to TEM40 broken up by #9 Z.SaezSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
43.9%
(13:38) #7 D.Atton punt 38 yards to the CON34 fair catch by #9 J.Allen at CON34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1157% → 56%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
42.7%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush left for 0 yards to the CON34 (#23 Z.Powell)Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-9
42.9%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CON25 (#99 C.Jones)Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 19
OWN 25
+5
44.2%
PENALTY CON Delay Of Game (#7 K.Osborne) 5 yards from CON25 to CON20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 24
OWN 20
+15
44.0%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #86 M.Ragan caught at CON31, for 15 yards to the CON35 (#33 C.Ordonez; #29 A.Powell)Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+8
43.9%
(11:12) #49 T.Warner punt 42 yards to the TEM23 #17 J.Bermudez return 8 yards to the TEM31 (#37 H.Pegg), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4244% → 44%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
44.4%
(11:12) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 17 yards gain to the TEM48 (#22 J.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
46.7%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM48 (#15 A.Luqman)Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
46.0%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #29 H.Smith caught at TEM43, for 4 yards to the CON48 (#37 H.Pegg; #44 J.Lista)Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
46.3%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short middle to #0 P.Clarke thrown to CON35Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
43.8%
(09:17) #7 D.Atton punt 37 yards to the CON11 fair catch by #9 J.Allen at CON11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0659% → 59%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
41.4%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON16 (#52 R.Sykes)Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+15
41.2%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #14 C.Abshire thrown to CON35 PENALTY TEM Personal Foul (#52 R.Sykes) 15 yards from CON16 to CON31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
39.9%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush left for 7 yards gain to the CON38 (#2 S.Karriem) PENALTY CON Holding (#52 D.McLaughlin) 10 yards from CON31 to CON21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
40.9%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete deep right to #0 K.Wilson thrown to TEM45Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 20
OWN 21
-2
39.9%
(08:22) Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 2 yards to the CON19 (#44 T.Alualu)Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 22
OWN 19
+6
40.5%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CON25 (#36 W.Brown)Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
41.0%
(07:06) #49 T.Warner punt 47 yards to the TEM28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:0242% → 45%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
41.8%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEM31 (#13 J.Price)Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+19
41.6%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM40, for 19 yards to the TEM50 (#44 J.Lista), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
50
+15
45.0%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at CON49, for 15 yards to the CON35 (#4 B.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
46.9%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CON31 (#10 J.Davis)Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+15
45.2%
(04:47) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #1 C.Chase caught at CON22, for 15 yards to the CON16 (#4 B.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
44.9%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short right to #26 K.Mason thrown to CON14 broken up by #15 A.LuqmanSimilar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-3
44.8%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 3 yards to the CON19 (#5 R.Williams)Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+8
40.9%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #33 R.Kusch caught at CON18, for 8 yards to the CON11 (#12 S.Suchanic)Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
45.0%
(02:40) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 02:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2760% → 58%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.8%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 0 yards to the CON25 (#98 J.Auzenne)Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.1%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Willoughby caught at CON30, for 7 yards to the CON32 (#18 K.Dinkins)Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
38.9%
PENALTY CON False Start 5 yards from CON32 to CON27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
40.8%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Willoughby thrown to CON45Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
42.3%
(01:10) #49 T.Warner punt 51 yards to the TEM22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:4242% → 46%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
41.7%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEM20 (#0 K.Sherman)Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+5
40.7%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #29 H.Smith caught at TEM22, for 5 yards to the TEM25 (#37 H.Pegg)Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+21
39.1%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM37, for 21 yards to the TEM46 (#22 J.Martin; #9 Z.Saez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
44.9%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM48 (#3 E.Carter)Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
44.9%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CON45 (#0 K.Sherman)Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
45.4%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CON39 (#12 S.Suchanic), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
45.8%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 1 yard to the CON38 (#17 S.Riser-Pressley), fumble by #13 A.Sheppard recovered by CON #0 K.Sherman at CON38, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:5967% → 90%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
32.9%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #0 K.Wilson caught at TEM47, for 15 yards to the TEM47 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
31.1%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM47 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
31.1%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #0 K.Wilson caught at TEM43, for 9 yards to the TEM38 (#29 A.Powell)Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
28.3%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM36 (#8 E.Stuart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
28.4%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #23 C.Bowers thrown to TEM37Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
28.5%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete deep left to #14 C.Abshire thrown to TEM10Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+18
29.0%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #23 C.Bowers caught at TEM26, for 18 yards to the TEM18 (#36 W.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
25.9%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush left for 9 yards gain to the TEM09 (#29 A.Powell), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+1
24.5%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM08 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
10.2%
(07:58) No Huddle #23 C.Bowers rush right for 8 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:52 #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1613% → 9%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.4%
(07:52) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM28 (#10 J.Davis)Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
12.5%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TEM21 (#2 T.Mullix, #0 K.Sherman)Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
9.8%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short left to #17 J.Bermudez thrown to TEM37 broken up by #6 R.Dorilas QB hurried by #0 K.ShermanSimilar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
8.8%
(06:27) #7 D.Atton punt 36 yards to the CON43 fair catch by #9 J.Allen at CON43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 5:0991% → 98%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
9.1%
(06:19) No Huddle #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON48 (#99 C.Jones)Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
8.7%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEM47 (#10 J.Joseph; #8 E.Stuart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
8.0%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush left for 13 yards gain to the TEM34 (#23 Z.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
7.6%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush right for 0 yards to the TEM34 (#93 K.Hornbeak)Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
6.3%
(03:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM30 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+14
5.1%
(02:41) No Huddle #6 T.Cornist rush left for 14 yards gain to the TEM16 (#22 J.Gould), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
3.8%
(01:59) No Huddle #6 T.Cornist rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEM13 (#52 R.Sykes)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
3.8%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 0 yards to the TEM13 (#52 R.Sykes)Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+4
3.6%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Bowers rush left for 4 yards gain to the TEM09 (#44 T.Alualu)Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
1.6%
(01:05) #98 J.O'Connor field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga), clock 01:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
1.1%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #10 J.Freeman caught at TEM33, for 13 yards to the TEM38 (#44 J.Lista), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
1.1%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #10 J.Freeman caught at TEM44, for 6 yards to the TEM44, out of bounds at TEM44Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+17
1.2%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #10 J.Freeman caught at TEM50, for 17 yards to the CON39 (#4 B.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.2%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short left to #29 H.Smith thrown to CON35Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
1.2%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short left to #29 H.Smith caught at CON36, for 3 yards to the CON36 (#6 R.Dorilas)Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
1.2%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short middle to #88 A.Roberts caught at CON32, for 6 yards to the CON30 (#44 J.Lista)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:52
(07:58) No Huddle #23 C.Bowers rush right for 8 yards gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:52 #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)
-14.3
TD · Q2 5:55
(05:55) No Huddle #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:55 #98 J.O'Connor kick attempt good (H: #49 T.Warner, LS: #59 D.Laganga)
-13.6
FG · Q3 2:42
(02:40) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 02:42
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com