2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Albertsons Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
BOIS37
SDSU15
BOIS by 22
Win chance
BOIS90%
SDSU 10%BOIS 90%
Projected total
52pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance Boise State wins by 21 or more
46% Boise State wins by 20 or fewer, or loses
← SDSU winsBOIS wins →
-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- BOIS by 10 to 30
- 80% of outcomes
- Even to BOIS by 38
- 90% of outcomes
- SDSU by 6 to BOIS by 44
- Median
- BOIS by 22
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.