2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
TXST32
WSU22
TXST by 10
Win chance
TXST70%
WSU 30%TXST 70%
Projected total
55pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
53%
chance Texas State wins by 7 or more
47% Texas State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← WSU winsTXST wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- WSU by 2 to TXST by 18
- 80% of outcomes
- WSU by 10 to TXST by 29
- 90% of outcomes
- WSU by 15 to TXST by 33
- Median
- TXST by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.