2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Valley Children's Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
FRES35
CSU20
FRES by 15
Win chance
FRES81%
CSU 19%FRES 81%
Projected total
56pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
52%
chance Fresno State wins by 14 or more
48% Fresno State wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← CSU winsFRES wins →
-21-7+7+21+35+49
- 50% of outcomes
- FRES by 2 to 23
- 80% of outcomes
- CSU by 3 to FRES by 34
- 90% of outcomes
- CSU by 12 to FRES by 40
- Median
- FRES by 14
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.