2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Snapdragon Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
SDSU24
USU21
SDSU by 3
Win chance
SDSU49%
USU 51%SDSU 49%
Projected total
44pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
44%
chance San Diego State wins by 3 or more
56% San Diego State wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← USU winsSDSU wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- USU by 6 to SDSU by 13
- 80% of outcomes
- USU by 20 to SDSU by 20
- 90% of outcomes
- USU by 25 to SDSU by 27
- Median
- USU by 1
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.