2026 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026 · Maverik Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
FRES26
USU21
FRES by 5
Win chance
FRES60%
FRES 60%USU 40%
Projected total
48pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
51%
chance Fresno State wins by 3 or more
49% Fresno State wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← USU winsFRES wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- USU by 4 to FRES by 14
- 80% of outcomes
- USU by 15 to FRES by 25
- 90% of outcomes
- USU by 20 to FRES by 31
- Median
- FRES by 3
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.