2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · Albertsons Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
BOIS36
TXST26
BOIS by 10
Win chance
BOIS76%
TXST 24%BOIS 76%
Projected total
62pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
58%
chance Boise State wins by 7 or more
42% Boise State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← TXST winsBOIS wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- Even to BOIS by 21
- 80% of outcomes
- TXST by 8 to BOIS by 31
- 90% of outcomes
- TXST by 15 to BOIS by 36
- Median
- BOIS by 9
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.