2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
TXST35
USU22
TXST by 13
Win chance
TXST73%
USU 27%TXST 73%
Projected total
56pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
59%
chance Texas State wins by 7 or more
41% Texas State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← USU winsTXST wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- USU by 1 to TXST by 22
- 80% of outcomes
- USU by 8 to TXST by 31
- 90% of outcomes
- USU by 14 to TXST by 35
- Median
- TXST by 10
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.