2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Snapdragon Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
FRES29
SDSU20
FRES by 9 · market FRES by 7.5
Win chance
FRES72%
FRES 72%SDSU 28%
Projected total
49pts
Market total 46.25
Explore the range of outcomes
53%
chance Fresno State wins by 7 or more
47% Fresno State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← SDSU winsFRES wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- SDSU by 1 to FRES by 19
- 80% of outcomes
- SDSU by 12 to FRES by 27
- 90% of outcomes
- SDSU by 19 to FRES by 34
- Median
- FRES by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 1% | 1% | 0% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds