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2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadDUQ aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreDUQ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:37 · (12:44) #81 A.Graham punt 43 yards to the WSU28 #3 J.Thomas return 10 yards to the WSU38 (#2 D.Cerisier)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+47.6Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:30: (04:35) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 19 yards gain to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:30 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures) — WSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:01: (12:03) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #28 J.Pedersen caught at DUQ07, for 11 yards to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:01, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures) — WSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:27: (02:27) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy caught at DUQ00, for 10 yards to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures) — WSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Kirby Vorhees 58 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick) — WSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3DUQ made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:37DUQ 4th & 6 at DUQ 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:58DUQ 4th & 9 at DUQ 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:57WSU 4th & 18 at DUQ 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:18DUQ 4th & 9 at DUQ 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:09WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:30DUQ 4th & 8 at DUQ 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:37DUQ 4th & 12 at DUQ 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:35DUQ 4th & 8 at DUQ 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:24DUQ 4th & 3 at WSU 46, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:08WSU 4th & 15 at DUQ 43, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:32DUQ 4th & 3 at DUQ 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:05DUQ 4th & 8 at DUQ 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:07DUQ 4th & 10 at DUQ 25, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 4:30WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:01WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:27WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:00WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:32WSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:05WSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUQDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:212% → 2%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
(14:58) #32 N.Davis rush right for 0 yards to the DUQ25 (#13 K.Terrell) PENALTY DUQ Holding (#67 A.Daud) 10 yards from DUQ25 to DUQ15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:33
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
98.3%
(14:36) #32 N.Davis rush left for 7 yards gain to the DUQ22 (#16 I.Hung; #1 J.Bernard), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
98.3%
(14:00) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short left to #32 N.Davis caught at DUQ19, for 4 yards to the DUQ26 (#2 J.Smith)Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
98.2%
(13:19) Shotgun #18 C.Camp rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUQ29 (#15 D.Warner)Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+10
98.1%
(12:44) #81 A.Graham punt 43 yards to the WSU28 #3 J.Thomas return 10 yards to the WSU38 (#2 D.Cerisier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2INT
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:1998% → 98%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-11
98.1%
(12:36) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 11 yards loss to the WSU27 (#3 A.Ramirez)Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 21
OWN 27
0
98.0%
(12:04) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass intercepted by #5 D.Harper at DUQ35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:012% → 2%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.0%
PENALTY DUQ False Start (#66 C.Canty) 5 yards from DUQ35 to DUQ30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
98.0%
(11:56) Shotgun #32 N.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUQ33 (#99 P.Hutson III)Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
98.0%
PENALTY DUQ False Start (#67 A.Daud) 5 yards from DUQ33 to DUQ28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 17
OWN 28
0
97.9%
(10:54) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short right to #14 R.Petras thrown to DUQ30Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+8
97.9%
(10:47) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short middle to #14 R.Petras caught at DUQ26, for 8 yards to the DUQ36 (#3 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+1
97.8%
(10:05) #81 A.Graham punt 37 yards to the WSU27 #3 J.Thomas return 1 yard to the WSU28 (#27 N.Pate; #18 J.Banks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
97.8%
(09:56) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WSU25 (#52 C.Lance; #10 J.Buddin)Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+1
97.7%
(09:30) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #1 D.Blood caught at WSU20, for 1 yard to the WSU26 (#55 L.Miller)Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+13
97.6%
(08:45) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #1 D.Blood caught at WSU37, for 13 yards to the WSU39, out of bounds at WSU39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+45
97.6%
(08:36) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush left for 45 yards gain to the DUQ16 (#2 D.Cerisier; #1 J.Monds III), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY DUQ UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#3 A.Ramirez) 8 yards from DUQ16 to DUQ08, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.6%
(08:14) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush left for 8 yards gain to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:10 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:483% → 3%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.5%
(08:08) #4 S.Solomon, Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the DUQ29 (#21 K.Brown; #0 C.Solis-Lumar), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
97.4%
(07:31) Shotgun #4 S.Solomon, Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the DUQ34 (#3 J.Thomas; #1 J.Bernard)Similar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.3%
(06:51) Shotgun #4 S.Solomon, Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUQ35 (#21 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
97.2%
(06:33) Shotgun #18 C.Camp rush middle for 12 yards gain to the DUQ47 (#51 B.Beatty), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
97.0%
(05:58) Shotgun #0 D.Hopkins rush right for 2 yards loss to the DUQ45 (#9 M.McLain; #97 J.Wedel)Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+54
96.9%
(05:07) Shotgun #0 D.Hopkins rush middle for 54 yards gain to the WSU01 (#0 C.Solis-Lumar; #3 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.7%
(04:28) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short right to #8 N.Canty thrown to WSU03 broken up by #16 I.HungSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.6%
(04:25) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Boyd thrown to WSU01 QB hurried by #15 D.Warner PENALTY WSU Roughing The Passer (#15 D.Warner), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
(04:22) Shotgun #18 C.Camp rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:16 #67 M.Clark kick attempt good (H: #10 N.Harper, LS: #43 W.Hosick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6MISSED FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:1097% → 96%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.8%
(04:15) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WSU32 (#55 L.Miller; #38 W.Martin)Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
96.8%
(03:39) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU34 (#27 N.Pate)Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
96.6%
(03:06) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU39 (#38 W.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
96.7%
(02:52) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush left for 17 yards gain to the DUQ44 (#2 D.Cerisier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
96.7%
(02:31) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #3 M.Woods caught at DUQ42, for 7 yards to the DUQ37 (#5 D.Harper)Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+13
96.6%
(02:08) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 13 yards gain to the DUQ24 (#2 D.Cerisier), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
96.6%
(01:30) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #3 M.Woods caught at DUQ28, for 14 yards to the DUQ10 (#21 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
96.5%
(00:51) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 8 yards gain to the DUQ02 (#21 C.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
96.4%
(00:22) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:20 PENALTY WSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from DUQ02 to DUQ07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.3%
(00:12) Shotgun #10 T.Hawkins rush right for 0 yards to the DUQ07, out of bounds at DUQ07 PENALTY WSU Holding (#28 K.Peterson) 10 yards from DUQ07 to DUQ17Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-1
96.1%
(00:00) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #3 M.Woods caught at DUQ20, for 1 yard loss to the DUQ18 (#10 J.Buddin)Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
+30
95.9%
(14:57) #38 J.Stevens field goal attempt from 30 yards NO GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures), clock 14:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:504% → 5%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
95.6%
(14:11) Shotgun #32 N.Davis rush left for 9 yards gain to the DUQ29 (#13 K.Terrell; #31 T.Ridley), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+8
95.2%
(13:36) #32 N.Davis rush left for 8 yards gain to the DUQ37 (#34 D.Lewis; #9 M.McLain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
95.1%
(12:53) #4 S.Solomon, Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the DUQ41 (#6 L.Zunk; #52 K.Beatty)Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+17
94.7%
(12:11) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short right to #14 R.Petras caught at DUQ39, for 7 yards to the DUQ48 (#16 I.Hung) PENALTY DUQ Holding (#2 M.Walker) 10 yards from DUQ48 to DUQ38Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 16
OWN 31
0
94.9%
(11:34) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short left to #8 N.Canty thrown to DUQ38 QB hurried by #6 L.ZunkSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
94.9%
(11:32) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete deep left to #2 M.Walker thrown to WSU30 QB hurried by #6 L.ZunkSimilar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+3
95.1%
(11:24) #81 A.Graham punt 42 yards to the WSU20 #3 J.Thomas return 3 yards to the WSU23 (#38 W.Martin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0395% → 95%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
95.2%
(11:17) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush left for 2 yards gain to the WSU25 (#14 D.Thomas; #55 L.Miller)Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+19
95.0%
(10:46) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy caught at WSU32, for 19 yards to the WSU44 (#1 J.Monds III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
95.2%
(10:12) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU45 (#3 A.Ramirez; #44 Z.Patillo)Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
95.1%
(09:36) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Blood thrown to WSU50 broken up by #27 N.PateSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+2
94.8%
(09:34) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU47 (#14 D.Thomas) PENALTY WSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
94.6%
(09:16) #32 M.Dean punt 52 yards to the DUQ01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:326% → 6%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
94.4%
(09:05) Shotgun #0 D.Hopkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUQ03 (#0 C.Solis-Lumar; #99 P.Hutson III)Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
94.2%
(08:22) Shotgun #0 D.Hopkins rush middle for 0 yards to the DUQ03 (#4 K.Rapolla)Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
93.9%
(07:38) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Walker thrown to DUQ20Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
94.0%
(07:32) #98 J.Willis punt 40 yards to the DUQ43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:5095% → 96%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
94.6%
(07:27) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #4 D.Clemons caught at DUQ35, for 8 yards to the DUQ35 (#22 C.Frazier)Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+15
94.7%
(07:06) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy caught at DUQ27, for 15 yards to the DUQ20 (#22 C.Frazier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
94.5%
(06:32) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush right for 1 yard gain to the DUQ19 (#14 D.Thomas)Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+2
94.3%
(05:54) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #9 K.Vorhees caught at DUQ22, for 2 yards to the DUQ17 (#28 D.Harper)Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+8
93.9%
(05:19) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #4 D.Clemons caught at DUQ09, for 8 yards to the DUQ09 (#2 D.Cerisier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.0%
(04:52) Shotgun #1 D.Blood rush left for 0 yards to the DUQ09 (#1 J.Monds III; #11 Z.Chambers) PENALTY WSU Holding (#28 K.Peterson) 10 yards from DUQ09 to DUQ19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
95.8%
(04:35) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 19 yards gain to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:30 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 2:465% → 5%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
(04:26) Shotgun #32 N.Davis rush middle for 0 yards to the DUQ25 (#98 J.Leaupepetele)Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
(03:41) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete deep middle to #14 R.Petras thrown to DUQ47Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.5%
(03:37) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short right to #14 R.Petras thrown to DUQ33 broken up by #3 J.Thomas PENALTY WSU Holding (#52 K.Beatty) 10 yards from DUQ25 to DUQ35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
95.2%
(03:33) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short right to #8 N.Canty caught at DUQ34, for 8 yards to the DUQ43 (#1 J.Bernard; #12 C.Reynolds), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
94.6%
(03:03) #4 S.Solomon, Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the DUQ47 (#9 M.McLain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
94.5%
(02:06) Shotgun #32 N.Davis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUQ49 (#1 J.Bernard)Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-4
94.3%
(01:56) #32 N.Davis rush left for 4 yards loss to the DUQ45 (#9 M.McLain)Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
95.0%
(01:46) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short middle to #3 K.Boyd thrown to WSU40 broken up by #25 J.BalSimilar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
95.1%
(01:41) #81 A.Graham punt 36 yards to the WSU19 fair catch by #3 M.Woods at WSU19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12END OF HALF
11 plays · 32 yds · 1:3694% → 95%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
94.3%
PENALTY WSU False Start (#64 J.Caldwell) 5 yards from WSU19 to WSU14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+5
94.4%
(01:34) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU19 (#11 Z.Chambers)Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
94.3%
(01:07) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush left for 6 yards gain to the WSU25 (#0 R.Johnson)Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+7
94.1%
(00:30) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WSU32 (#0 R.Johnson; #6 D.Fields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
94.2%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU34 (#11 Z.Chambers), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
94.2%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep right to #4 D.Clemons thrown to DUQ42 broken up by #2 D.Cerisier PENALTY DUQ Offside (#0 R.Johnson) 5 yards from WSU34 to WSU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
94.6%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short right to #4 D.Clemons thrown to DUQ46Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+12
94.4%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 12 yards gain to the DUQ49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.9%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep left to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy thrown to DUQ00 broken up by #21 C.Jones PENALTY WSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5094% → 97%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
93.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #4 D.Clemons caught at WSU39, for 12 yards to the WSU37 (#1 J.Monds III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
94.0%
(14:24) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WSU48 (#55 L.Miller; #0 R.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
94.3%
(13:59) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush right for 6 yards gain to the DUQ46 (#0 R.Johnson; #11 Z.Chambers) PENALTY DUQ Illegal Substitution 5 yards from WSU48 to DUQ47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+4
94.3%
(13:46) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush left for 4 yards gain to the DUQ43 (#1 J.Monds III)Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+6
94.2%
(13:21) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 6 yards gain to the DUQ37 (#1 J.Monds III; #27 N.Pate), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
94.0%
(12:58) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 26 yards gain to the DUQ11 (#55 L.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.6%
(12:03) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #28 J.Pedersen caught at DUQ07, for 11 yards to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:01, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:364% → 4%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
(11:59) Shotgun #32 N.Davis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUQ27 (#98 J.Leaupepetele)Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.9%
(11:16) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short right to #8 N.Canty caught at DUQ25, for 0 yards to the DUQ27 (#1 J.Bernard)Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+35
96.0%
(10:30) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete deep left to #14 R.Petras caught at WSU40, for 35 yards to the WSU38 (#3 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
95.3%
(09:51) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short right to #8 N.Canty caught at WSU41, for 2 yards loss to the WSU40 (#9 M.McLain; #25 J.Bal)Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
95.4%
(09:06) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete short right to #6 Z.Correll thrown to WSU30 broken up by #2 J.SmithSimilar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 12
OPP 40
-5
95.5%
(08:59) Shotgun #18 C.Camp sacked for loss of 10 yards to the WSU50 (#15 D.Warner, #1 J.Bernard)Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 22
50
+5
95.8%
(08:13) #98 J.Willis punt 38 yards to the WSU12 #3 J.Thomas return 0 yards to the WSU12 (#6 D.Fields) PENALTY WSU Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:4496% → 99%
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
96.3%
(08:11) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU12 (#27 N.Pate; #55 L.Miller) PENALTY WSU Holding (#28 J.Pedersen) 6 yards from WSU12 to WSU06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 16
OWN 6
+5
96.3%
(07:29) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU11 (#27 N.Pate; #92 J.Logan)Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+19
96.3%
(06:32) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #1 D.Blood caught at WSU25, for 19 yards to the WSU30 (#1 J.Monds III; #21 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
96.4%
(05:27) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 20 yards gain to the WSU50 (#27 N.Pate; #88 B.Blakey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
50
-2
96.6%
(04:07) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WSU46 (#88 B.Blakey, #48 A.Buggey)Similar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
50
-4
96.6%
(04:07) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 4 yards loss to the WSU46 (#88 B.Blakey; #48 A.Buggey)Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+23
96.5%
(03:29) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy caught at DUQ35, for 23 yards to the DUQ31 (#2 D.Cerisier), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
97.2%
(02:53) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 11 yards gain to the DUQ20 (#0 R.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.2%
(02:35) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUQ19 (#99 C.Stec)Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
97.1%
(02:27) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #4 D.Clemons caught at DUQ14, for 5 yards to the DUQ14 (#1 J.Monds III)Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+4
97.1%
(02:27) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 4 yards gain to the DUQ10 (#5 D.Harper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.0%
(02:27) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy caught at DUQ00, for 10 yards to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.8%
(02:18) Shotgun #0 D.Hopkins rush middle for 0 yards to the DUQ27 (#21 K.Brown)Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.0%
(01:36) #0 D.Hopkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DUQ29 (#21 K.Brown; #16 I.Hung)Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
99.0%
(00:51) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete deep right to #3 K.Boyd thrown to WSU40Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
99.0%
(00:44) #81 A.Graham punt 36 yards to the WSU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:2899% → 100%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.1%
(00:34) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU37 (#55 L.Miller; #6 D.Fields)Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
99.1%
(00:07) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep left to #4 D.Clemons thrown to DUQ30 PENALTY DUQ Offside (#55 L.Miller) 5 yards from WSU37 to WSU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+58
99.9%
Kirby Vorhees 58 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:310% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #4 S.Solomon, Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUQ26 (#12 C.Reynolds; #6 L.Zunk)Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
(14:19) Shotgun #18 C.Camp sacked for loss of 9 yards to the DUQ17 (#34 D.Lewis, #52 K.Beatty) PENALTY WSU Holding (#13 K.Terrell) 10 yards from DUQ26 to DUQ36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
99.9%
(13:27) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass incomplete deep right to #3 K.Boyd thrown to WSU43 PENALTY WSU Pass Interference (#13 K.Terrell) 15 yards from DUQ32 to DUQ47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
(13:05) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short right to #14 R.Petras caught at WSU47, for 0 yards to the WSU47 (#2 J.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-2
99.9%
(12:41) Shotgun #4 S.Solomon, Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the WSU49 (#0 C.Solis-Lumar) PENALTY DUQ Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
(12:14) Shotgun #18 C.Camp pass complete short middle to #4 S.Solomon, Jr. caught at WSU46, for 3 yards to the WSU46 (#6 L.Zunk)Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
99.9%
(11:24) #98 J.Willis punt 46 yards to the WSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:10100% → 100%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
99.9%
(11:23) #10 T.Hawkins rush right for 8 yards gain (-8) to the WSU28 (#27 N.Pate) PENALTY WSU Holding (#20 L.Pulalasi) 10 yards from WSU20 to WSU10Similar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+12
99.9%
(10:49) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush left for 12 yards gain to the WSU22 (#18 J.Banks; #9 J.Holmes), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
99.9%
(10:17) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WSU32, out of bounds at WSU32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+30
99.9%
(09:37) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #10 T.Hawkins caught at WSU48, for 30 yards to the DUQ38 (#14 D.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
(08:56) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush left for 5 yards gain to the DUQ33 (#18 J.Banks), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
99.9%
(08:22) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush left for 0 yards to the DUQ33 (#38 W.Martin)Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
99.9%
(07:42) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short left to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy thrown to DUQ30 broken up by #14 D.ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
(07:36) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #9 K.Vorhees caught at DUQ20, for 14 yards to the DUQ19 (#1 J.Monds III) PENALTY WSU Holding (#64 J.Caldwell) 10 yards from DUQ33 to DUQ43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
99.9%
(07:12) #32 M.Dean punt 33 yards to the DUQ10 fair catch by #14 R.Petras at DUQ10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 20PUNT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.9%
(07:07) Shotgun #0 D.Hopkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the DUQ14 (#52 K.Beatty)Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
100.0%
(06:34) Shotgun #23 C.Oliver rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DUQ17 (#34 D.Lewis)Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
100.0%
(05:52) Shotgun #7 L.Kushner pass incomplete deep right to #3 K.Boyd thrown to DUQ43Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+47
100.0%
Jaylen Thomas 47 Yd Punt Return (Jack Stevens PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 21PUNT TD
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(05:28) Shotgun #23 C.Oliver rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DUQ26 (#52 K.Beatty; #6 L.Zunk)Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
PENALTY DUQ False Start (#55 I.Moon) 5 yards from DUQ26 to DUQ21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
100.0%
(04:39) Shotgun #7 L.Kushner pass complete short left to #17 T.Graham caught at DUQ27, for 6 yards to the DUQ27 (#28 K.Peterson)Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
(03:59) Shotgun #7 L.Kushner rush middle for 0 yards to the DUQ27 (#9 M.McLain; #25 J.Bal)Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+65
100.0%
(03:16) #98 J.Willis punt 38 yards to the WSU35 #10 T.Hawkins return 65 yards to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:05 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUQDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
(03:05) Shotgun #7 L.Kushner rush right for 2 yards gain to the DUQ27 (#44 L.Webb), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
(02:33) Shotgun #7 L.Kushner rush right for 1 yard gain to the DUQ28 (#52 K.Beatty)Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #22 C.Latouf rush left for 3 yards loss to the DUQ25 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
(01:16) #81 A.Graham punt 45 yards to the WSU30 #10 T.Hawkins return 8 yards to the WSU38 (#43 W.Hosick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
(01:03) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU43 (#25 N.Collins, Jr)Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
100.0%
(00:22) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU43 (#48 A.Buggey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:01
(12:03) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #28 J.Pedersen caught at DUQ07, for 11 yards to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:01, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)
+2.7
TD · Q3 2:27
(02:27) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #8 B.Ganashamoorthy caught at DUQ00, for 10 yards to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:27, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)
+1.9
TD · Q2 4:30
(04:35) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 19 yards gain to the DUQ00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:30 #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com