2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · Gillette Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
ND38
NAVY15
ND by 23
Win chance
ND92%
ND 92%NAVY 8%
Projected total
52pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
60%
chance Notre Dame wins by 21 or more
40% Notre Dame wins by 20 or fewer, or loses
← NAVY winsND wins →
-140+14+28+42+56
- 50% of outcomes
- ND by 12 to 34
- 80% of outcomes
- ND by 4 to 40
- 90% of outcomes
- NAVY by 9 to ND by 46
- Median
- ND by 26
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.