2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · SECU Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
PSU31
MD21
PSU by 10
Win chance
PSU69%
PSU 69%MD 31%
Projected total
52pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
47%
chance Penn State wins by 7 or more
53% Penn State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← MD winsPSU wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- MD by 2 to PSU by 15
- 80% of outcomes
- MD by 10 to PSU by 26
- 90% of outcomes
- MD by 18 to PSU by 32
- Median
- PSU by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.