Try the model
2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · Ryan Field
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for reference
Projected score
NU32
ILL24
NU by 8 · market ILL by 3.5
Win chance
NU71%
ILL 29%NU 71%
Projected total
56pts
Market total 52.5
Explore the range of outcomes
53%
chance Northwestern wins by 7 or more
47% Northwestern wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← ILL winsNU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
50% of outcomes
ILL by 2 to NU by 16
80% of outcomes
ILL by 9 to NU by 28
90% of outcomes
ILL by 14 to NU by 35
Median
NU by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com