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2026 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026 · Beaver Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
PSU36
RUTG19
PSU by 17
Win chance
PSU82%
RUTG 18%PSU 82%
Projected total
55pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
56%
chance Penn State wins by 14 or more
44% Penn State wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← RUTG winsPSU wins →
-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
PSU by 4 to 29
80% of outcomes
RUTG by 4 to PSU by 38
90% of outcomes
RUTG by 7 to PSU by 43
Median
PSU by 17
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com