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2026 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2026 · Spartan Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
ORE32
MSU17
ORE by 15
Win chance
ORE84%
ORE 84%MSU 16%
Projected total
49pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
49%
chance Oregon wins by 14 or more
51% Oregon wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← MSU winsORE wins →
-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
ORE by 4 to 26
80% of outcomes
MSU by 3 to ORE by 32
90% of outcomes
MSU by 11 to ORE by 34
Median
ORE by 13
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com