2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · Beaver Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
PSU30
MINN18
PSU by 12
Win chance
PSU77%
MINN 23%PSU 77%
Projected total
49pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
63%
chance Penn State wins by 7 or more
37% Penn State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← MINN winsPSU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- PSU by 1 to 24
- 80% of outcomes
- MINN by 8 to PSU by 31
- 90% of outcomes
- MINN by 13 to PSU by 38
- Median
- PSU by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.