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2026 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026 · SECU Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
WIS27
MD24
WIS by 3
Win chance
WIS61%
WIS 61%MD 39%
Projected total
51pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Wisconsin wins by 3 or more
45% Wisconsin wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← MD winsWIS wins →
-28-140+14+28
50% of outcomes
MD by 6 to WIS by 14
80% of outcomes
MD by 16 to WIS by 23
90% of outcomes
MD by 23 to WIS by 29
Median
WIS by 5
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com