2026 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026 · Michigan Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
MICH31
MSU15
MICH by 16 · market MICH by 16.5
Win chance
MICH82%
MSU 18%MICH 82%
Projected total
45pts
Market total 50.5
Explore the range of outcomes
50%
chance Michigan wins by 14 or more
50% Michigan wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← MSU winsMICH wins →
-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- MICH by 3 to 27
- 80% of outcomes
- MSU by 4 to MICH by 35
- 90% of outcomes
- MSU by 9 to MICH by 39
- Median
- MICH by 14
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.