2026 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026 · Beaver Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
PSU32
PUR21
PSU by 11
Win chance
PSU78%
PUR 22%PSU 78%
Projected total
53pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
64%
chance Penn State wins by 7 or more
36% Penn State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← PUR winsPSU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- PSU by 2 to 22
- 80% of outcomes
- PUR by 8 to PSU by 30
- 90% of outcomes
- PUR by 13 to PSU by 38
- Median
- PSU by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.