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2026 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026 · Rose Bowl
Pregame projection
Points model v7
Projected score
UCLA31
MSU17
UCLA by 14
Win chance
UCLA81%
MSU 19%UCLA 81%
Projected total
48pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
46%
chance UCLA wins by 14 or more
54% UCLA wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← MSU winsUCLA wins →
-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
UCLA by 3 to 24
80% of outcomes
MSU by 5 to UCLA by 34
90% of outcomes
MSU by 9 to UCLA by 37
Median
UCLA by 12
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com