Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
ORE30
NEB22
ORE by 8 · market ORE by 7.5
Win chance
ORE75%
NEB 25%ORE 75%
Projected total
52pts
Market total 52.5
Explore the range of outcomes
54%
chance Oregon wins by 7 or more
46% Oregon wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← NEB winsORE wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- Even to ORE by 18
- 80% of outcomes
- NEB by 10 to ORE by 28
- 90% of outcomes
- NEB by 16 to ORE by 33
- Median
- ORE by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska | 12% | 34% | 5% |
| Oregon | 7% | 10% | 1% |
| Also riding on it | Now | NEB wins (25%)If Nebraska wins (25%) | ORE wins (75%)If Oregon wins (75%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 28% | 26% | 28% |
| Utah | 65% | 64% | 65% |
| Wake Forest | 30% | 29% | 31% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds