2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Spartan Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
NU28
MSU23
NU by 5 · market NU by 7.5
Win chance
NU61%
NU 61%MSU 39%
Projected total
51pts
Market total 48.5
Explore the range of outcomes
53%
chance Northwestern wins by 3 or more
47% Northwestern wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← MSU winsNU wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- MSU by 4 to NU by 16
- 80% of outcomes
- MSU by 15 to NU by 27
- 90% of outcomes
- MSU by 22 to NU by 31
- Median
- NU by 3
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 4% | 7% | <1% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds