2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Michigan Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
MICH23
PSU21
MICH by 2 · market MICH by 6.5
Win chance
MICH57%
PSU 43%MICH 57%
Projected total
45pts
Market total 42.5
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Michigan wins
43% Penn State wins
← PSU winsMICH wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- PSU by 4 to MICH by 12
- 80% of outcomes
- PSU by 15 to MICH by 22
- 90% of outcomes
- PSU by 19 to MICH by 28
- Median
- MICH by 1
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.