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IU

Indiana 47 at Rutgers 15

RUTG
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.4RUTG 11.2%(01:30) #15 N.Radicic field goalattempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #93Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock01:30AWAY 10 - HOME 0 · Q1 1:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:30 · (01:30) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 01:30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Home team on offense−4.0Pregame prior−38.1Score differential−2.1Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:24: (08:24) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at RU00, for 9 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:24 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) PENALTY #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) PENALTY RU Offside declined — IU win probability +0.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:30: (09:30) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #4 D.Chandler caught at RU00, for 2 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:30. #9 D.Gilley injured on the play #15 N.Radicic kick attempt failed (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) — IU win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:21: (06:21) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 14 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:21, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) — IU win probability +2.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:22: (12:22) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at RU00, for 12 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:22, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) — IU win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:11: (11:11) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:11 #0 D.Carter rush attempt Successful — RUTG win probability +1.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 11IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:12RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:40RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:30IU 4th & 18 at RUTG 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 33, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09IU 4th & 6 at IU 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:52RUTG 4th & 7 at IU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:30RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 34, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:44RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:11IU 4th & 3 at RUTG 4, up 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:39RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 18, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:27IU 4th & 2 at IU 33, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:26RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 46, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:44RUTG 4th & 7 at IU 16, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:10RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 18, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:25IU 4th & 9 at RUTG 30, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:17RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 0 of 1IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:24IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:30IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:21IU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:22IU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:36IU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:11RUTG Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:43IU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:448% → 9%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.2%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #2 B.Black III thrown to RU30Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
8.3%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at RU30, for 9 yards to the RU34 (#6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
8.5%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU39 (#22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
8.7%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU44 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+1
9.0%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU45 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
9.2%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Raymond thrown to IU46 QB hurried by #46 I.JonesSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
9.2%
(12:12) #94 J.Anderson punt 40 yards to the IU15 fair catch by #80 C.Becker at IU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:3191% → 91%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
9.3%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IU19, for 4 yards to the IU19 (#35 M.Munn)Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+10
9.5%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 10 yards gain to the IU29 (#1 K.Sanders; #99 R.Porter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
9.7%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #8 T.Morris caught at IU30, for 2 yards to the IU31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+10
10.0%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IU39, for 10 yards to the IU41 (#35 M.Munn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
10.1%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at IU46, for 25 yards to the RU34 (#1 K.Sanders), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
10.1%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the RU24 (#5 B.Jones), 1ST DOWN. #1 K.Sanders injured on the playSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
10.3%
(08:57) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #11 N.Marsh caught at RU11, for 15 yards to the RU09 (#27 S.Clawges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
9.5%
(08:24) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at RU00, for 9 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:24 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) PENALTY #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) PENALTY RU Offside declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3310% → 11%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
9.9%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at RU27, for 10 yards to the RU35 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.; #3 J.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
10.1%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 5 yards gain to the RU40 (#3 J.Bell; #5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
10.5%
(07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU43 (#46 I.Jones; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
10.5%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU44 (#18 K.Wyatt; #90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
10.5%
(05:41) #94 J.Anderson punt 46 yards to the IU10 fair catch by #80 C.Becker at IU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:4189% → 89%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+27
10.6%
(05:33) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep middle to #11 N.Marsh caught at IU30, for 27 yards to the IU37 (#35 M.Munn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
10.4%
(04:53) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #80 C.Becker caught at IU47, for 14 yards to the RU49 (#35 M.Munn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
10.4%
(04:15) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at RU45, for 6 yards to the RU43 (#21 D.Anderson)Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+30
10.5%
(03:38) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at RU37, for 30 yards to the RU13 (#20 C.Joines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
10.5%
(02:59) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #11 N.Marsh thrown to RU00Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
10.6%
(02:54) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU11 (#99 R.Porter)Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-5
10.8%
(02:07) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover sacked for loss of 10 yards to the RU21 (#8 S.Kromah, #99 R.Porter)Similar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+39
11.2%
(01:30) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 01:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5311% → 11%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.7%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #11 L.Blake thrown to RU30 QB hurried by #5 R.HardySimilar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
10.7%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush right for 8 yards gain to the RU33 (#6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
11.0%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU38 broken up by #22 J.SharpeSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
10.9%
(00:33) punt 39 yards to the IU28, out of bounds at IU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:1089% → 89%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
11.2%
(00:22) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IU31 (#5 B.Jones; #41 S.Allison)Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+12
11.1%
(00:00) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the IU43 (#41 S.Allison; #20 C.Joines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
11.1%
(14:50) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #1 T.Richard caught at IU45, for 4 yards to the IU47 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
11.1%
(14:21) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep left to #11 N.Marsh thrown to RU30Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
11.2%
(14:18) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to RU48 QB hurried by #5 B.JonesSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
11.5%
(14:09) #19 B.Gowers punt 38 yards to the RU15 fair catch by #18 Q.Redding at RU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:1011% → 12%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
11.2%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 0 yards to the RU15 (#90 J.Hjelle; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+41
11.2%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep right to #8 K.Duff caught at IU44, for 41 yards to the IU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
12.1%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IU42 (#13 Q.Sanks)Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
12.2%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #3 A.Raymond caught at IU45, for 1 yard to the IU41 (#5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
12.2%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to IU00 broken up by #1 A.FerrellSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+6
11.6%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #3 A.Raymond caught at IU35, for 6 yards to the IU35 (#12 T.Osunsanmi), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:0888% → 92%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+41
12.0%
(11:41) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 41 yards gain to the RU24 (#5 B.Jones), 1ST DOWN. #1 K.Sanders injured on the playSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
11.5%
(11:09) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 23 yards gain to the RU01 (#9 C.Thevenin; #20 C.Joines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
11.6%
(10:44) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover rush middle for 2 yards loss to the RU03 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
11.6%
(10:06) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU02 (#11 M.Davis; #8 S.Kromah). #99 R.Porter injured on the playSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.4%
(09:30) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #4 D.Chandler caught at RU00, for 2 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:30. #9 D.Gilley injured on the play #15 N.Radicic kick attempt failed (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4810% → 10%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.7%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU31 (#5 R.Hardy; #6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
10.0%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU33 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
10.0%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU34 (#97 M.Landino)Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
9.9%
(07:30) No Huddle #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 0 yards to the RU34 (#12 T.Osunsanmi; #8 J.Burnham), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:5993% → 95%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
7.5%
(07:23) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RU25 (#25 J.Conyers)Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+11
7.5%
(06:51) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the RU14 (#25 J.Conyers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
4.8%
(06:21) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 14 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:21, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:147% → 7%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.0%
(06:04) No Huddle #10 A.Surace rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU27 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
7.0%
(05:27) No Huddle #6 S.Ashenfelder rush left for 3 yards loss to the RU24 (#90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
6.9%
(04:53) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Carter thrown to RU35Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
6.8%
(04:44) #94 J.Anderson punt 57 yards to the IU19, out of bounds at IU19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:2595% → 96%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
5.0%
(04:38) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IU24 (#42 D.Allen). #9 D.Gilley injured on the playSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
4.8%
(04:11) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IU27 (#6 A.Wright)Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+5
5.0%
(03:31) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #4 D.Chandler caught at IU32, for 5 yards to the IU32 QB hurried by #10 T.Morris (#41 S.Allison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+57
4.8%
(02:49) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush right for 57 yards gain to the RU11 (#10 T.Morris; #16 J.Ofurie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
3.9%
(02:00) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU08 (#55 Z.Angoy; #27 S.Clawges)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-2
3.9%
(01:54) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the RU10 (#16 J.Ofurie; #8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+6
4.2%
(01:47) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #11 N.Marsh caught at RU04, for 6 yards to the RU04 (#5 B.Jones; #20 C.Joines)Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
4.0%
(01:12) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 22 yards NO GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 01:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:557% → 10%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
6.9%
(01:01) No Huddle #10 A.Surace rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU26 (#97 M.Landino)Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+13
7.1%
(00:47) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at RU31, for 13 yards to the RU39 (#3 J.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
7.3%
(00:47) No Huddle #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 7 yards to the RU32 (#9 S.Daley)Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 17
OWN 32
-1
10.3%
(00:34) No Huddle #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 1 yard to the RU31 (#12 T.Osunsanmi)Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+2
10.4%
(00:19) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #13 E.Coke caught at RU31, for 2 yards to the RU33 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2796% → 98%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
4.5%
(14:53) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 2 yards gain to the IU27 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
4.2%
(14:19) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IU33, for 13 yards to the IU40 (#25 J.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+48
4.1%
(13:39) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep middle to #80 C.Becker caught at RU17, for 48 yards to the RU12 (#5 B.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
3.8%
(13:01) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short middle to #39 T.Gibbs thrown to RU05Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
3.8%
(12:57) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the RU12 (#55 Z.Angoy)Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
1.8%
(12:22) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at RU00, for 12 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:22, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
2.1%
(12:14) No Huddle #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 9 yards to the RU16 (#9 S.Daley)Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+2
1.9%
(11:29) No Huddle #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU18 (#46 I.Jones; #97 M.Landino)Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
1.7%
(10:48) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Raymond thrown to RU22Similar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
1.7%
(10:43) #94 J.Anderson punt 49 yards to the IU33, out of bounds at IU33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:5098% → 99%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
1.6%
(10:30) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IU40 (#41 S.Allison; #27 S.Clawges)Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+9
1.4%
(09:54) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
1.4%
(09:15) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the RU39 (#16 J.Ofurie; #41 S.Allison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
1.3%
(08:39) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 12 yards gain to the RU27 (#10 T.Morris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
1.3%
(08:04) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #1 T.Richard thrown to RU27Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+11
1.3%
(07:55) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at RU16, for 11 yards to the RU16 (#12 Z.Dawud), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
1.2%
(07:24) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU10 (#20 C.Joines; #27 S.Clawges). #20 C.Joines injured on the playSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+5
1.2%
(06:54) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the RU05 (#27 S.Clawges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
1.3%
(06:17) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU03 (#8 S.Kromah; #55 Z.Angoy)Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.7%
(05:36) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #80 C.Becker caught at RU00, for 3 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:36 PENALTY RU Illegal Substitution declined #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) PENALTY #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) PENALTY RU Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
0.7%
(05:28) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush right for 26 yards gain to the IU49 (#5 R.Hardy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
0.7%
PENALTY RU False Start (#2 B.Black III) 5 yards from RU49 to RU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.6%
PENALTY RU False Start (#2 B.Black III) 5 yards from IU49 to RU46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+1
0.6%
(04:07) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU47 (#9 S.Daley)Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+53
0.9%
(03:52) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass complete deep right to #2 B.Black III caught at IU12, for 53 yards to the IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:52, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.3%
(03:44) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IU28 (#27 S.Clawges; #10 T.Morris)Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
1.3%
(03:13) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short middle to #11 N.Marsh thrown to IU45Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
1.3%
(03:05) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IU33 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
0.8%
(02:27) #19 B.Gowers punt 39 yards to the RU28 fair catch by #18 Q.Redding at RU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:541% → 2%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
0.8%
(02:17) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #9 C.Thevenin caught at RU28, for 10 yards to the RU38 (#12 T.Osunsanmi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
0.8%
(01:41) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU40 (#8 J.Burnham; #95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
0.7%
(00:53) No Huddle #10 A.Surace rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU42 (#97 M.Landino; #95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+4
0.9%
(00:09) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU46 (#46 I.Jones; #1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+35
0.5%
(14:49) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass complete deep middle to #0 D.Carter caught at IU21, for 35 yards to the IU19 (#6 P.Zachman; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
0.5%
(14:12) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the IU22 (#12 T.Osunsanmi)Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+6
0.5%
(13:35) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the IU16 (#12 T.Osunsanmi)Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
0.5%
(12:59) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short middle to #5 V.Allen III thrown to IU00Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+15
0.4%
(12:52) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at IU01, for 15 yards to the IU01 (#6 P.Zachman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.4%
(12:29) No Huddle #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the IU01 (#91 B.Smythe; #6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.4%
(11:45) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 0 yards to the IU01 (#95 T.Tucker; #14 K.Turner)Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.1%
(11:11) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:11 #0 D.Carter rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2399% → 100%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
(11:08) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Morris thrown to IU45 broken up by #16 J.OfurieSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+31
1.1%
(10:56) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 31 yards gain to the RU44 (#5 B.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
0.9%
(10:12) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU40 (#41 S.Allison)Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
0.9%
(09:36) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at RU35, for 5 yards to the RU35 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+28
0.9%
(08:56) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 28 yards gain to the RU07 (#3 L.Noel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
0.8%
(08:20) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU01 (#8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
(07:43) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:43 PENALTY RU Offside declined #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
0.2%
(07:34) No Huddle #10 A.Surace sacked for loss of 7 yards to the RU18 (#91 B.Smythe)Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
0.2%
(06:59) No Huddle #9 C.Thevenin rush left for 0 yards to the RU18 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
0.1%
(06:20) No Huddle #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU30Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
0.1%
(06:10) #94 J.Anderson punt 33 yards to the IU49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Campbell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU47 (#3 L.Noel; #92 J.Polk)Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
0.1%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Campbell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU44 (#8 S.Kromah; #10 T.Morris)Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+13
0.1%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 G.Wilson pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at RU36, for 13 yards to the RU31 (#16 J.Ofurie; #12 Z.Dawud), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
0.1%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 S.Cuono rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU27 (#16 J.Ofurie; #96 K.Griffin)Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 6
OPP 27
-3
0.1%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 S.Cuono rush middle for 3 yards loss to the RU30 (#16 J.Ofurie)Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
0.2%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 G.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to #7 S.Preston thrown to RU00Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
0.2%
(02:25) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 02:25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.1%
(02:06) No Huddle #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RU24 (#7 C.Obiazor; #98 C.McHaney)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
0.1%
(01:54) No Huddle #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RU23 (#41 K.Calhoun; #98 C.McHaney)Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
0.1%
(01:08) No Huddle #6 S.Ashenfelder rush middle for 0 yards to the RU23 (#12 T.Osunsanmi; #14 K.Turner)Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
0.1%
(00:19) #94 J.Anderson punt 49 yards to the IU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
0.1%
(00:12) Kneel down by #2 G.Wilson at IU26 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:30
(09:30) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #4 D.Chandler caught at RU00, for 2 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:30. #9 D.Gilley injured on the play #15 N.Radicic kick attempt failed (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
-3.2
TD · Q2 6:21
(06:21) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 14 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:21, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
-2.7
TD · Q3 12:22
(12:22) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at RU00, for 12 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:22, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com