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UNI

Northern Iowa 0 at Iowa 55

IOWA
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadUNI aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreUNI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:35 · (13:40) #2 L.Gregory punt 40 yards to the IOWA35 fair catch by #8 E.James at IOWA35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+19.2Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+29.1Blowout margin+17.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8Garbage-time factor+8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:48: (05:54) #9 H.Brown pass complete deep left to #22 B.Jackson caught at UNI00, for 24 yards to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:48, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz) — IOWA win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:24: (00:30) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 48 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz) — IOWA win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:59: (13:02) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #87 A.Ostrenga caught at UNI21, for 14 yards to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:59, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz) — IOWA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:06: (10:13) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz) — UNI win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNI made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 8:52UNI 4th & 4 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:25UNI 4th & 14 at IOWA 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:11UNI 4th & 18 at UNI 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:08UNI 4th & 3 at UNI 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:34IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 18, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:20UNI 4th & 9 at IOWA 47, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:20UNI 4th & 6 at UNI 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 45, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:44UNI 4th & 10 at UNI 22, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:39IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 45, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:35UNI 4th & 3 at UNI 25, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:35UNI 4th & 6 at UNI 29, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:05IOWA 4th & 7 at UNI 48, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:23UNI 4th & 6 at IOWA 44, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:27IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 49, up 55
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:11IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:48IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:24IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:59IOWA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:06IOWA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:03IOWA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:37IOWA Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4998% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.3%
(15:00) #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #5 N.McNeil caught at IOWA27, for 16 yards to the IOWA41 (#1 J.McClom), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
98.2%
(14:37) #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IOWA46 (#21 C.Jaworski)Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+25
98.2%
(14:03) #26 X.Williams rush left for 25 yards gain to the UNI29 (#10 K.Miller; #1 J.McClom), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
98.1%
(13:31) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #26 X.Williams caught at UNI34, for 4 yards to the UNI25 (#21 C.Jaworski)Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+14
98.1%
(12:59) #22 B.Jackson rush left for 14 yards gain to the UNI11 (#21 C.Jaworski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
98.0%
(12:27) Shotgun #22 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNI07 (#3 M.Toms)Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
97.9%
(11:49) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #19 M.Woods caught at UNI03, for 5 yards to the UNI02 (#21 C.Jaworski)Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
(11:13) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:11, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.9%
(11:10) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNI33 (#33 C.Buffington)Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
97.9%
(10:31) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short middle to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey thrown to UNI41Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
97.9%
(10:20) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short right to #81 B.Hughston caught at UNI34, for 11 yards to the UNI44 (#3 J.Watson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
97.8%
(09:46) Shotgun #25 T.Hughes rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNI50 fumbled by #25 T.Hughes at UNI50 forced by #2 T.Brown, out of bounds at UNI50Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 4
50
0
97.7%
(09:14) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey thrown to IOWA15 QB hurried by #97 I.EpenesaSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 4
50
0
97.7%
(09:06) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short left to #25 T.Hughes thrown to IOWA45 broken up by #8 D.LeeSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 4
50
+12
97.7%
(09:03) #2 L.Gregory punt 40 yards to the IOWA10 #8 E.James return 12 yards to the IOWA22 (#6 A.Price)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:5698% → 98%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
97.7%
(08:51) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #14 T.Diaz caught at IOWA29, for 19 yards to the IOWA41 (#21 C.Jaworski), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
97.7%
(08:19) #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #14 T.Diaz caught at IOWA41, for 3 yards to the IOWA44 (#3 M.Toms)Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+14
97.7%
(07:43) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush right for 14 yards gain to the UNI42 (#21 C.Jaworski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
97.6%
(07:07) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #26 X.Williams caught at UNI49, for 12 yards to the UNI30 (#8 I.Pinks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
97.6%
(06:30) #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #8 E.James caught at UNI35, for 6 yards to the UNI24 (#8 I.Pinks)Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+24
97.9%
(05:54) #9 H.Brown pass complete deep left to #22 B.Jackson caught at UNI00, for 24 yards to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:48, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:012% → 3%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
97.7%
(05:32) Shotgun #22 C.Collins rush middle for 0 yards to the UNI24 (#57 W.Hubert)Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
97.7%
(05:06) Shotgun #14 B.Gordon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNI25 (#13 D.Campbell; #96 B.Hawthorne)Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+19
97.6%
(04:26) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short right to #18 B.McCullough caught at UNI44, for 19 yards to the UNI44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
97.6%
(03:53) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete deep right to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey thrown to IOWA35 PENALTY IOWA Roughing The Passer (#13 D.Campbell) 15 yards from UNI44 to IOWA41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.5%
(03:48) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete deep middle to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey thrown to IOWA00Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
97.5%
(03:42) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short left to #22 C.Collins caught at IOWA47, for 1 yard to the IOWA40 (#33 C.Buffington)Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+5
97.5%
PENALTY UNI False Start (#76 B.Kuehnast) 5 yards from IOWA40 to IOWA45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
97.5%
(02:36) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short left to #39 K.Amigon-Suiter thrown to IOWA30Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
97.5%
(02:31) #2 L.Gregory punt 35 yards to the IOWA10 fair catch by #8 E.James at IOWA10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:5498% → 98%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
97.6%
(02:24) #5 N.McNeil rush left for 10 yards gain to the IOWA20 (#1 J.McClom), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
97.6%
(01:41) #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #5 N.McNeil caught at IOWA20, for 19 yards to the IOWA39 (#3 M.Toms), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
97.6%
(01:04) #9 H.Brown pass complete short right to #2 R.Vander Zee caught at IOWA50, for 13 yards to the UNI48 (#21 C.Jaworski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
98.2%
(00:30) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 48 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 6INT
7 plays · -12 yds · 1:122% → 2%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.2%
(00:10) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short left to #4 T.Norman thrown to IOWA50 QB hurried by #33 C.BuffingtonSimilar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
98.3%
(00:07) Shotgun #14 B.Gordon rush right for 2 yards gain (2) to the UNI35 (#36 J.Montgomery), out of bounds PENALTY UNI Holding (#25 T.Hughes) 10 yards from UNI35 to UNI25Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short right to #25 T.Hughes caught at UNI22, for 1 yard to the UNI26 (#6 Z.Lutmer)Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 17
OWN 26
+5
98.3%
PENALTY UNI Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNI26 to UNI21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 22
OWN 21
-3
98.3%
(14:04) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass intercepted by #11 J.Wallace at UNI40 #11 J.Wallace return 3 yards to the UNI37 (#2 A.Price)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:4998% → 99%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
98.4%
(13:48) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #14 T.Diaz thrown to UNI08 PENALTY UNI Pass Interference (#8 I.Pinks) 15 yards from UNI37 to UNI22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
98.4%
(13:44) #14 T.Diaz rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNI14 (#21 C.Jaworski)Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
99.1%
(13:02) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #87 A.Ostrenga caught at UNI21, for 14 yards to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:59, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
(12:56) #27 C.Kamara rush right for 1 yard loss to the UNI24 (#33 C.Buffington; #57 W.Hubert)Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
99.1%
(12:19) Shotgun #25 T.Hughes rush left for 1 yard loss to the UNI23 (#33 C.Buffington)Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-6
99.1%
(11:41) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNI17 (#13 D.Campbell) PENALTY UNI Block Below Waist declinedSimilar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+7
99.2%
(11:20) #2 L.Gregory punt 48 yards to the IOWA35 #8 E.James return 7 yards to the IOWA42 (#13 I.Collins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:5299% → 99%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
99.1%
(11:08) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush right for 24 yards gain to the UNI34 (#10 K.Miller; #33 J.Powers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
99.1%
(10:42) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #8 E.James caught at UNI21, for 18 yards to the UNI16, out of bounds at UNI16, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.7%
(10:13) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
(10:05) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short right to #42 Z.Mehmert caught at UNI31, for 6 yards to the UNI31 (#2 T.Brown)Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.3%
(09:30) Shotgun #14 B.Gordon rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNI34 (#33 C.Buffington), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.3%
(08:57) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNI32 (#33 C.Buffington; #36 J.Montgomery)Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+9
99.4%
(08:21) #2 L.Gregory punt 51 yards to the IOWA17 #8 E.James return 9 yards to the IOWA26 (#40 F.Reisz; #37 T.Cooreman) PENALTY IOWA Personal Foul (#23 L.Van Kekerix) 13 yards from IOWA26 to IOWA13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 3:2699% → 100%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.3%
(08:07) #22 B.Jackson rush left for 6 yards gain to the IOWA19 (#36 B.McShane)Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
99.3%
(07:31) Shotgun #22 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IOWA24 (#33 J.Powers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.4%
(06:57) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete short right to #5 N.McNeil caught at IOWA26, for 2 yards to the IOWA26, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
99.4%
(06:21) #5 N.McNeil rush left for 3 yards gain to the IOWA29 (#33 J.Powers; #4 J.Young)Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-11
99.4%
(05:43) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski sacked for loss of 11 yards to the IOWA18 (#10 K.Miller)Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 5
OPP 0
0
99.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete short right to #2 R.Vander Zee caught at IOWA42, for 42 yards to the UNI29 (#3 M.Toms) PENALTY IOWA Pass Interference offsetting UNI Horse Collar Tackle offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
99.5%
(04:42) #49 B.Everitt punt 58 yards to the UNI24, out of bounds at UNI24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
(04:28) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short middle to #22 C.Collins thrown to UNI28Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
(04:27) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete deep right to #25 T.Hughes thrown to UNI45 QB hurried by #57 W.HubertSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+28
99.6%
(04:21) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete deep right to #2 A.Price caught at IOWA48, for 28 yards to the IOWA48 (#11 J.Wallace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.6%
(03:42) Shotgun #14 B.Gordon rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IOWA44 (#57 W.Hubert; #51 L.Gaffney)Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
99.6%
(03:08) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short right to #42 Z.Mehmert thrown to IOWA44Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-2
99.6%
(03:03) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey sacked for loss of 3 yards to the IOWA47 (#84 J.Anderson, #91 D.Kennedy)Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
99.6%
(02:25) #2 L.Gregory punt 37 yards to the IOWA10 fair catch by #8 E.James at IOWA10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
99.7%
(02:14) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete short right to #0 J.Buie caught at IOWA21, for 12 yards to the IOWA22 (#8 I.Pinks; #57 A.Ducharme), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+25
99.6%
(01:59) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 25 yards gain to the IOWA47 (#1 J.McClom), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.6%
(01:49) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush left for 7 yards gain to the UNI46 (#3 M.Toms; #50 H.Bey-Buie)Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+11
99.7%
(01:22) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete short right to #7 D.Howard caught at UNI38, for 11 yards to the UNI35 (#35 A.Isley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
99.7%
(01:11) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete short right to #0 J.Buie caught at UNI24, for 12 yards to the UNI23 (#33 J.Powers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.7%
(00:59) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass incomplete short left to #7 D.Howard thrown to UNI15Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.7%
(00:59) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete short left to #8 E.James caught at UNI18, for 11 yards to the UNI12 (#33 J.Powers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
(00:46) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush left for 12 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:46, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:010% → 0%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(00:45) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short right to #25 T.Hughes thrown to UNI22Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
(00:41) Shotgun #27 C.Kamara rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNI30 (#31 N.DeLong)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(14:58) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short middle to #81 B.Hughston thrown to UNI40 broken up by #20 T.HudkinsSimilar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
(14:52) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short right to #25 T.Hughes caught at UNI28, for 4 yards to the UNI29, out of bounds at UNI29Similar
Q3 14:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
(14:37) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey thrown to UNI42 broken up by #20 T.HudkinsSimilar
Q3 14:20
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.7%
(14:31) #2 L.Gregory punt 43 yards to the IOWA28 #8 E.James return 12 yards to the IOWA40 (#36 B.McShane; #6 A.Price)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
(14:18) #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IOWA45 (#34 B.Carpenter)Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
99.7%
(13:45) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass incomplete short right to #5 N.McNeil thrown to IOWA45Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
99.7%
(13:43) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass incomplete short to #26 X.Williams thrown to IOWA45Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.7%
(13:36) #49 B.Everitt punt 54 yards to the UNI01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:310% → 0%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.7%
(13:24) #22 C.Collins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNI06 (#22 D.Weisskopf; #5 A.Hawkins)Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+6
99.8%
(12:44) #15 J.Dailey rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNI12 (#20 T.Hudkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
99.8%
(12:03) #15 J.Dailey pass complete short middle to #22 C.Collins caught at UNI18, for 8 yards to the UNI20 (#22 D.Weisskopf; #31 N.DeLong)Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
(11:29) Shotgun #14 B.Gordon rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNI22 (#1 D.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
(10:51) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete deep right to #4 T.Norman thrown to IOWA40 PENALTY UNI Holding offsetting IOWA Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
(10:38) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey thrown to UNI35 QB hurried by #84 J.AndersonSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
(10:36) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short middle to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey caught at UNI19, for 0 yards to the UNI22 (#31 N.DeLong; #40 C.Chineke)Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
(09:57) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete deep left to #14 B.Gordon thrown to UNI47 broken up by #46 P.RiesSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
(09:50) #2 L.Gregory punt 44 yards to the IOWA34 fair catch by #8 E.James at IOWA34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
(09:43) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOWA35 (#6 A.Price; #57 A.Ducharme)Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+14
99.8%
(08:59) #5 N.McNeil rush right for 14 yards gain to the IOWA49 (#8 I.Pinks), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
(08:29) Shotgun #5 N.McNeil rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNI48 (#57 A.Ducharme)Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+11
99.8%
(07:50) #26 X.Williams rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UNI37 (#21 C.Jaworski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
(07:08) #26 X.Williams rush right for 37 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:03, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 19INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
(07:03) Shotgun #22 C.Collins rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNI24 (#10 B.Gautcher; #4 J.Manson)Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
(06:26) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short right to #4 T.Norman caught at UNI31, for 7 yards to the UNI31 (#1 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
(05:56) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey thrown to UNI38 QB hurried by #92 B.Stevenson PENALTY IOWA Roughing The Passer (#92 B.Stevenson) 15 yards from UNI31 to UNI46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
(05:45) #39 K.Amigon-Suiter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNI49 (#13 D.Campbell; #92 B.Stevenson)Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
(05:07) Shotgun #15 J.Dailey pass complete short right to #39 K.Amigon-Suiter caught at UNI49, for 6 yards to the IOWA45 (#1 D.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-2
99.9%
(04:29) #15 J.Dailey pass intercepted by #7 R.Godfrey Jr. at IOWA27 QB hurried by #4 J.Manson #7 R.Godfrey Jr. return 2 yards to the IOWA29 (#83 K.Diers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
PENALTY IOWA False Start (#80 M.Burt) 5 yards from IOWA29 to IOWA24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+4
99.8%
(04:21) #22 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IOWA28 (#48 C.Kayser)Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+9
99.8%
(03:35) Shotgun #22 B.Jackson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IOWA37 (#30 X.Reese)Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
(02:53) Shotgun #15 O.Dean rush left for 10 yards gain to the IOWA47 (#3 M.Toms), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
(02:11) #10 J.Hecklinski pass incomplete short right to #15 O.Dean thrown to UNI47 QB hurried by #5 J.PettusSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
(02:10) #22 B.Jackson rush right for 22 yards gain (1) to the UNI31 (#33 J.Powers) PENALTY IOWA Personal Foul (#19 M.Woods) 15 yards from IOWA48 to IOWA33Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 24
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
PENALTY IOWA Delay Of Game 5 yards from IOWA33 to IOWA28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 29
OWN 28
+17
99.8%
(01:25) #10 J.Hecklinski pass complete short middle to #19 M.Woods caught at IOWA31, for 17 yards to the IOWA45 (#21 C.Jaworski), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
99.9%
(00:51) Shotgun #10 J.Hecklinski pass incomplete short right to #1 K.Parker thrown to UNI46 broken up by #8 I.PinksSimilar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
99.9%
(00:45) #49 B.Everitt punt 37 yards to the UNI18 fair catch by #80 S.Koller at UNI18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
(00:32) #22 C.Collins rush middle for 0 yards to the UNI18 (#40 C.Chineke; #4 J.Manson)Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #7 C.McThenia pass complete short left to #6 J.Ellis-Lahey caught at UNI16, for 5 yards to the UNI23 (#10 B.Gautcher)Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
(14:22) Shotgun #7 C.McThenia pass complete short right to #4 T.Norman caught at UNI25, for 2 yards to the UNI25 (#1 D.Jones; #47 J.Laughlin)Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(13:40) #2 L.Gregory punt 40 yards to the IOWA35 fair catch by #8 E.James at IOWA35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
(13:34) Shotgun #22 B.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the IOWA38 (#40 F.Reisz)Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+62
99.9%
(12:45) Shotgun #22 B.Jackson rush left for 62 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:37, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt failed ( blocked by #5 J.Pettus) (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz) recovered by UNI #3 M.Toms at UNI19, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(12:35) #7 C.McThenia pass incomplete short right to #2 A.Price thrown to UNI35 QB hurried by #4 J.MansonSimilar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(12:26) Shotgun #7 C.McThenia pass incomplete short right to #16 C.Courtney thrown to UNI36 broken up by #18 X.StylesSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(12:22) Shotgun #7 C.McThenia pass complete short right to #2 A.Price caught at UNI28, for 4 yards to the UNI29 (#4 J.Manson)Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
(11:43) #2 L.Gregory punt 71 yards to the IOWA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 5:21100% → 100%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
(11:33) Shotgun #15 O.Dean rush left for 5 yards gain to the IOWA25 (#35 A.Isley)Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
(10:48) #15 O.Dean rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IOWA28 (#90 R.Kuennen)Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
(10:07) Shotgun #15 O.Dean rush right for 5 yards gain to the IOWA33 (#98 K.Gibbons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
99.9%
(09:20) Shotgun #22 B.Jackson rush right for 16 yards gain to the IOWA49 (#37 T.Cooreman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
(08:32) Shotgun #22 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOWA50 (#37 T.Cooreman)Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 9
50
+3
100.0%
(07:46) Shotgun #15 O.Dean rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNI47 (#37 T.Cooreman; #44 A.Ramazani)Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-1
100.0%
(07:00) Shotgun #15 O.Dean rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNI48 (#53 J.Kies)Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
100.0%
(06:12) #49 B.Everitt punt 29 yards to the UNI19 fair catch by #80 S.Koller at UNI19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
(06:02) #27 C.Kamara rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNI24 (#26 E.Robbins), out of bounds PENALTY IOWA Personal Foul (#34 D.MacPherson) 15 yards from UNI24 to UNI39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
100.0%
(05:39) #27 C.Kamara rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UNI47 (#42 D.Fason)Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
(05:04) #27 C.Kamara rush left for 5 yards gain to the IOWA48 (#45 J.Janda), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
100.0%
(04:28) #43 M.Bormann rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IOWA43 (#45 J.Janda)Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-2
100.0%
(03:51) #27 C.Kamara rush right for 2 yards loss to the IOWA45 (#0 C.Haddad)Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+1
100.0%
(03:11) #27 C.Kamara rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IOWA44 (#42 D.Fason)Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
100.0%
(02:27) Shotgun #7 C.McThenia pass incomplete short right to #19 G.Friedrichsen thrown to IOWA38 broken up by #26 E.Robbins, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26END OF HALF
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
100.0%
(02:21) #15 O.Dean rush right for 7 yards loss to the IOWA37 (#6 A.Price)Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
(01:59) #15 O.Dean rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IOWA39 (#58 D.Vann)Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+10
100.0%
(01:14) Shotgun #15 O.Dean rush right for 10 yards gain to the IOWA49 (#6 A.Price)Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 5
OWN 49
+8
100.0%
(00:27) Shotgun #15 O.Dean rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNI43 (#26 E.Hoyt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:24
(00:30) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 48 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:24, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)
+0.7
TD · Q2 12:59
(13:02) Shotgun #9 H.Brown pass complete short left to #87 A.Ostrenga caught at UNI21, for 14 yards to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:59, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)
+0.7
TD · Q2 10:06
(10:13) Shotgun #26 X.Williams rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UNI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:06, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Buhr kick attempt good (H: #35 T.Philpott, LS: #69 I.Speltz)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com