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MINN

Minnesota 27 at Washington 24

WASH
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:46 · (02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 B.Bonner rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MINN40 (#3 T.Bush Jr.), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense−31.4Score differential−10.9Garbage-time factor−12.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:09: (13:16) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #2 D.Roebuck caught at MINN16, for 16 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:09, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +9.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 5:48: (05:52) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #11 J.Tracy caught at WASH07, for 6 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:48 #12 L.Drzewiecki kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup) — MINN win probability +10.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:54: (00:57) #12 L.Drzewiecki field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup), clock 00:54 — MINN win probability +9.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:03: (11:08) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #85 B.Naone caught at MINN00, for 15 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:03, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +16.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:53: (01:59) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:53, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +31.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:49MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:54WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:52MINN 4th & 2 at WASH 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:39WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:56WASH 4th & 6 at MINN 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:33WASH 4th & 17 at WASH 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−2.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:19MINN 4th & 12 at WASH 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:58WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 10, down 11
    Close callPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:57MINN 4th & 14 at WASH 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−1.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:51WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:54MINN 4th & 1 at WASH 13, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%−3.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−12.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:03WASH 4th & 5 at MINN 15, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−8.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:28MINN 4th & 10 at WASH 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:50WASH 4th & 17 at WASH 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:46WASH 4th & 1 at MINN 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.5%−1.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:03MINN 4th & 11 at WASH 45, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−3.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:36MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:57MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:09WASH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:48MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:03WASH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:53WASH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5921% → 21%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.2%
(15:00) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #1 D.Taylor caught at MINN35, for 0 yards to the MINN35 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
79.0%
(14:15) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MINN39 (#7 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
78.8%
(13:34) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 0 yards to the MINN39 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
78.8%
(12:54) #42 T.Weston punt 21 yards to the WASH40, out of bounds at WASH40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4479% → 78%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
78.8%
(12:49) Shotgun #34 B.Bonner rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WASH46 (#3 T.Bush Jr.; #17 J.Nestor)Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
78.7%
(12:10) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #85 B.Naone caught at WASH43, for 1 yard to the WASH47 (#4 Z.Harden)Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-2
78.6%
(11:34) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 2 yards to the WASH45 (#3 T.Bush Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
78.2%
(11:00) #93 H.Green punt 43 yards to the MINN12 fair catch by #11 J.Tracy at MINN12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 3:5722% → 23%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
78.2%
(10:54) #23 T.Thomas rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MINN17 (#33 D.Conley)Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+1
78.0%
(10:13) Shotgun #9 X.Ford rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MINN18 (#18 K.McClendon; #48 J.Lane)Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+17
77.9%
(09:26) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #11 J.Tracy caught at MINN25, for 17 yards to the MINN35 (#26 E.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Roughing The Passer (#48 J.Lane) 15 yards from MINN35 to MINN50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
50
+1
77.1%
(08:56) Shotgun #23 T.Thomas rush right for 1 yard gain to the WASH49 (#12 L.George)Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
76.8%
(08:15) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #13 N.Jennings caught at WASH50, for 7 yards to the WASH42 (#24 J.Jones)Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
76.5%
(07:32) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH42 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
76.7%
(07:00) #42 T.Weston punt 32 yards to the WASH10, out of bounds at WASH10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
76.9%
(06:52) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass intercepted by #6 M.Baranowski at WASH16 broken up by #0 A.Smith #6 M.Baranowski return 1 yard to the WASH15 (#74 D.Azzopardi)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
73.7%
(06:43) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #89 Q.Hendryx caught at WASH00, for 15 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:36, 1ST DOWN #12 L.Drzewiecki kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4174% → 74%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.4%
(06:36) #34 B.Bonner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH26 (#49 M.Kingsbury; #99 T.Randle)Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
74.1%
(05:57) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #3 R.Williams thrown to WASH33Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
73.7%
(05:54) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #3 R.Williams thrown to WASH41 broken up by #21 N.ParrishSimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-2
73.5%
(05:46) #93 H.Green punt 47 yards to the MINN27 #11 J.Tracy return for loss of 2 yards to the MINN25 (#4 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:3526% → 34%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.6%
(05:39) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #23 T.Thomas caught at MINN19, for 5 yards to the MINN30 (#6 D.Robinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.0%
(05:02) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 4 yards gain to the MINN34 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
72.5%
(04:17) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MINN35 (#10 X.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
71.9%
(03:29) Shotgun #23 T.Thomas rush middle for 45 yards gain to the WASH20 (#24 J.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
70.4%
(02:39) #1 D.Taylor rush left for 11 yards gain to the WASH09 (#21 G.Day), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
65.8%
Jalen Smith 9 Yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4167% → 72%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.0%
(01:56) #22 T.Cooley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH26 (#19 J.Gerlach)Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
66.3%
(01:24) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #85 B.Naone caught at WASH38, for 16 yards to the WASH42 (#6 M.Baranowski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
66.9%
(00:51) Shotgun #22 T.Cooley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WASH46 fumbled by #22 T.Cooley at WASH44 forced by #1 J.Howard recovered by WASH #76 K.Greene at WASH46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+18
66.3%
(00:13) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 18 yards gain to the MINN36 (#4 Z.Harden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
66.2%
(14:59) #22 T.Cooley rush middle for 0 yards to the MINN36 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
65.7%
(14:23) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #22 T.Cooley caught at MINN38, for 5 yards to the MINN31 fumbled by #22 T.Cooley at MINN31 forced by #19 J.Gerlach, out of bounds at MINN31 PENALTY MINN Personal Foul (#93 R.Sunram) 15 yards from MINN31 to MINN16, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
65.2%
(13:51) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the MINN16 (#93 R.Sunram)Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
71.6%
(13:16) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #2 D.Roebuck caught at MINN16, for 16 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:09, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 7:0731% → 50%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
68.6%
(13:02) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short middle to #1 D.Taylor caught at MINN30, for 18 yards to the MINN44 (#4 R.Dillard-Allen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
66.8%
(12:20) #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #13 N.Jennings caught at WASH41, for 15 yards to the WASH41 (#24 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
66.0%
(11:31) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 2 yards gain to the WASH39 (#11 R.Fruean)Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+8
65.3%
(10:46) Shotgun #9 X.Ford rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WASH31 (#24 J.Jones; #10 X.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
64.6%
(10:03) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short middle to #13 N.Jennings thrown to WASH17Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
64.2%
(10:00) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #11 J.Tracy caught at WASH30, for 5 yards to the WASH26 (#6 D.Robinson; #24 J.Jones)Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+6
63.8%
(09:14) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #11 J.Tracy caught at WASH20, for 6 yards to the WASH20, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
62.9%
(08:33) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at WASH25, for 2 yards to the WASH18 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale; #6 D.Robinson)Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
61.1%
(07:48) #23 T.Thomas rush left for 0 yards to the WASH18 (#7 A.McLaughlin) PENALTY WASH Offside (#12 L.George) 5 yards from WASH18 to WASH13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+4
60.5%
(07:21) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 4 yards gain to the WASH09 (#9 J.Manu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
59.8%
(06:33) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #11 J.Tracy caught at WASH11, for 3 yards to the WASH06 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
49.9%
(05:52) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #11 J.Tracy caught at WASH07, for 6 yards to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:48 #12 L.Drzewiecki kick attempt good (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:3852% → 52%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
52.2%
(05:40) Shotgun #34 B.Bonner rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WASH36 (#4 Z.Harden; #6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+30
52.0%
(05:05) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep middle to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at MINN40, for 30 yards to the MINN34 (#14 K.Brown; #7 A.Gousby), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
53.1%
(04:19) #34 B.Bonner rush left for 6 yards gain to the MINN28 (#6 M.Baranowski), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 28
-1
52.7%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MINN29 (#46 M.Carrier)Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+10
51.1%
(03:12) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at MINN19, for 10 yards to the MINN19 (#5 A.West), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
51.3%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Cooley rush right for 0 yards to the MINN19 (#0 A.Smith; #70 N.Crowder)Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
50.3%
(02:15) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #44 K.Eldridge thrown to MINN19Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+4
47.6%
(02:10) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MINN15 (#3 T.Bush Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
52.1%
(02:00) #95 T.Robles field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean), clock 01:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11END OF HALF
10 plays · 16 yds · 1:1249% → 52%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
51.2%
(01:56) Shotgun #23 T.Thomas rush left for 1 yard loss to the MINN24 (#0 T.Al-Uqdah)Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
51.3%
(01:42) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #1 D.Taylor caught at MINN21, for 16 yards to the MINN40 (#6 D.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
49.5%
PENALTY MINN False Start (#51 D.Shipp) 5 yards from MINN40 to MINN35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+3
50.9%
(01:35) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MINN38 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+1
48.7%
(01:24) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #11 J.Tracy caught at MINN37, for 1 yard to the MINN39 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+2
48.3%
(00:39) Shotgun #9 X.Ford rush left for 2 yards gain to the MINN41 (#0 T.Al-Uqdah)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:1649% → 46%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #6 M.James caught at WASH22, for 6 yards to the WASH31 (#14 K.Brown)Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
49.6%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 B.Bonner rush left for 1 yard loss to the WASH30 (#3 T.Bush Jr.; #93 R.Sunram)Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
47.7%
(13:50) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left thrown to WASH33 QB hurried by #6 M.Baranowski PENALTY WASH Intentional Grounding (#1 D.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
46.0%
PENALTY WASH False Start (#4 R.Dillard-Allen) 5 yards from WASH23 to WASH18. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+26
45.8%
(13:46) #93 H.Green punt 47 yards to the MINN35 #11 J.Tracy return 26 yards to the WASH39 (#93 H.Green), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0654% → 55%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
46.1%
(13:32) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #11 J.Tracy caught at WASH40, for 3 yards to the WASH36 (#4 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
44.8%
(12:45) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH36 (#48 J.Lane)Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
44.2%
(11:58) PENALTY MINN False Start (#59 T.Nelson) 5 yards from WASH36 to WASH41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
43.9%
(11:31) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #13 N.Jennings thrown to WASH41 QB hurried by #48 J.LaneSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
45.1%
(11:26) #42 T.Weston punt 36 yards to the WASH05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1644% → 39%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
44.3%
(11:18) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the WASH09 (#49 M.Kingsbury), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+1
42.2%
(10:51) Shotgun #34 B.Bonner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH10 (#93 R.Sunram)Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 5
OWN 10
0
40.2%
(10:10) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #3 R.Williams thrown to WASH32 broken up by #5 A.WestSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
39.4%
(10:04) #93 H.Green punt 54 yards to the MINN36 fair catch by #11 J.Tracy at MINN36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:5259% → 61%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
41.2%
(09:58) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #8 J.Smith caught at MINN41, for 8 yards to the MINN44 (#8 R.Adams Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
38.7%
(09:16) #23 T.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MINN47 (#18 K.McClendon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
37.5%
(08:30) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short right to #13 N.Jennings caught at WASH39, for 14 yards to the WASH39 (#6 D.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
36.7%
(07:55) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH38 (#33 D.Conley; #21 G.Day)Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
35.6%
(07:14) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete deep right to #13 N.Jennings thrown to WASH09Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+5
35.9%
(07:09) PENALTY MINN False Start (#51 D.Shipp) 5 yards from WASH38 to WASH43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 14
OPP 43
0
36.7%
(07:09) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short middle to #8 J.Smith thrown to WASH43 broken up by #90 E.DavisSimilar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
38.7%
(07:02) #42 T.Weston punt 37 yards to the WASH06 fair catch by #2 R.Clark at WASH06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5137% → 33%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
37.4%
(06:56) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #3 R.Williams caught at WASH08, for 2 yards to the WASH08 (#7 A.Gousby), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+10
37.0%
(06:27) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WASH15, for 10 yards to the WASH18 (#5 A.West), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
37.2%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #8 C.Lawson thrown to WASH50Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
37.0%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WASH21 (#70 N.Crowder)Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-3
35.0%
(05:25) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WASH18 (#11 K.Menz) PENALTY WASH Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+3
32.7%
(04:59) #93 H.Green punt 45 yards to the MINN37 #11 J.Tracy return 3 yards to the MINN40 (#7 A.McLaughlin), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:4867% → 81%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.9%
(04:49) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 0 yards to the MINN40 (#8 R.Adams Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
32.5%
(04:06) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Smith thrown to MINN45 broken up by #24 J.JonesSimilar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+28
32.5%
(04:01) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep middle to #4 R.Voss caught at WASH32, for 28 yards to the WASH32, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
30.5%
PENALTY MINN False Start (#58 J.Ball) 5 yards from WASH32 to WASH37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+15
30.9%
(03:21) #23 T.Thomas rush middle for 15 yards gain to the WASH22 (#90 E.Davis; #21 G.Day), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
29.0%
(02:29) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right to #82 J.Johnson thrown to WASH20Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
29.1%
(02:26) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush left for 5 yards gain to the WASH17 (#91 I.Ward)Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+4
28.1%
(01:42) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete short left to #23 T.Thomas caught at WASH23, for 4 yards to the WASH13 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+31
18.8%
(00:57) #12 L.Drzewiecki field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup), clock 00:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.3%
(00:53) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass intercepted by #17 J.Nestor at WASH41 QB hurried by #99 T.Randle, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5883% → 84%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
17.3%
(00:45) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor rush right for 2 yards loss to the WASH43 (#91 I.Ward; #18 K.McClendon)Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
16.1%
(14:59) #5 D.Lindsey pass incomplete short right thrown to WASH36 QB hurried by #91 I.WardSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
16.5%
(14:54) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass intercepted by #0 T.Al-Uqdah at WASH34 QB hurried by #48 J.Lane, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:3721% → 37%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
20.7%
(14:45) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the WASH28 (#11 K.Menz)Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+26
19.0%
(14:03) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH44, for 26 yards to the MINN46 (#4 Z.Harden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
22.4%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #3 R.Williams thrown to MINN05Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+26
21.0%
(13:34) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at MINN20, for 26 yards to the MINN20, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
22.4%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at MINN16, for 6 yards to the MINN14 (#4 Z.Harden), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
21.8%
(12:33) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the MINN12 (#4 Z.Harden), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-3
20.7%
(11:56) #8 C.Lawson rush right for 3 yards loss to the MINN15 (#6 M.Baranowski)Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+15
37.1%
(11:08) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #85 B.Naone caught at MINN00, for 15 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:03, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:2071% → 82%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
29.2%
(10:57) Shotgun #5 D.Lindsey pass complete deep right to #13 N.Jennings caught at MINN46, for 22 yards to the MINN46 (#24 J.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
24.2%
(10:16) #1 D.Taylor rush left for 6 yards gain to the WASH48 (#33 D.Conley) PENALTY WASH Face Mask (#33 D.Conley) 15 yards from WASH48 to WASH33, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
21.2%
(09:54) #23 T.Thomas rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WASH25 (#4 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 2
OPP 25
-1
20.4%
(09:05) Shotgun #23 T.Thomas rush left for 1 yard loss to the WASH26 (#91 I.Ward)Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-4
20.6%
(08:22) Shotgun #1 D.Taylor sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WASH33 (#9 J.Manu, #91 I.Ward)Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
17.6%
(07:32) #12 L.Drzewiecki field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #42 T.Weston, LS: #52 A.Soukup), clock 07:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:3017% → 11%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
17.0%
(07:28) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WASH22 (#93 R.Sunram)Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+17
15.0%
(06:49) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH39, for 17 yards to the WASH39 (#5 A.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.1%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left thrown to WASH48 QB hurried by #19 J.GerlachSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
15.3%
(06:21) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the WASH44 (#4 Z.Harden), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-6
15.2%
(05:46) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 12 yards to the WASH32 (#0 A.Smith, #70 N.Crowder)Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 17
OWN 32
0
10.8%
(04:58) #93 H.Green punt 48 yards to the MINN20 #11 J.Tracy return 0 yards to the MINN20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5988% → 90%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
12.2%
(04:50) #1 D.Taylor rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MINN17 (#7 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+5
12.1%
(04:04) #1 D.Taylor rush right for 5 yards gain to the MINN22 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+1
12.0%
(03:57) #23 T.Thomas rush right for 1 yard gain to the MINN23 (#24 J.Jones)Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 7
OPP 0
0
9.9%
(03:51) #42 T.Weston punt 46 yards to the WASH31 fair catch by #2 R.Clark at WASH31 PENALTY MINN Kick Catch Interference (#18 R.Kelly) 15 yards from WASH31 to WASH46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 1:449% → 37%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
9.3%
(03:44) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left thrown to MINN35Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
8.1%
(03:35) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WASH49, for 8 yards to the MINN46 (#17 J.Nestor)Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
7.4%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at MINN45, for 1 yard to the MINN45, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+5
6.6%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #34 B.Bonner rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MINN40 (#3 T.Bush Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
7.0%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #2 D.Roebuck thrown to MINN25 PENALTY MINN Roughing The Passer (#6 M.Baranowski) 15 yards from MINN40 to MINN25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. #17 J.Nestor injured on the playSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
8.5%
(02:33) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #8 C.Lawson caught at MINN22, for 12 yards to the MINN13 (#9 G.Monroe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
37.2%
(01:59) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:53, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · -1 yds · 1:4290% → 93%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.9%
(01:51) #23 T.Thomas rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH44 (#48 J.Lane)Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
9.7%
(01:45) #1 D.Taylor rush left for 2 yards gain to the WASH42 (#4 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+2
8.3%
(00:57) #23 T.Thomas rush left for 2 yards gain to the WASH40 (#5 D.Colman-Brusa; #18 K.McClendon)Similar
Q4 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+5
6.6%
PENALTY MINN Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH40 to WASH45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
7.1%
(00:09) #42 T.Weston punt 43 yards to the WASH02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26END OF HALF
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+32
14.9%
(00:02) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep right to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH24, for 32 yards to the WASH34 lateral to #2 D.Roebuck for 10 yards gain to the WASH34 (#6 M.Baranowski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:53
(01:59) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:53, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)
+31.5
TD · Q4 11:03
(11:08) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #85 B.Naone caught at MINN00, for 15 yards to the MINN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:03, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)
+16.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com