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Howard 7 at Rutgers 58

RUTG
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2026 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:00: (09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Duff caught at HOW35, for 77 yards to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:00, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:28: (04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 18 yards gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:28, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:15: (04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush left for 75 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #48 M.Conord kick attempt good (H: #40 L.Allen IV, LS: #49 C.Johnston) — HOW win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:15: (14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:15 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:37: (05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:37, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HOW made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:12HOW 4th & 22 at HOW 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:00RUTG 4th & 9 at HOW 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:39HOW 4th & 16 at HOW 6, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:25RUTG 4th & 6 at HOW 28, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:42HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 26, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:55HOW 4th & 21 at HOW 14, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:03RUTG 4th & 9 at HOW 49, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:00HOW 4th & 17 at HOW 13, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:58RUTG 4th & 7 at HOW 22, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:07HOW 4th & 14 at HOW 21, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:43HOW 4th & 13 at HOW 31, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HOW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:00RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:28RUTG Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:15HOW Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:15RUTG Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:37RUTG Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:03RUTG Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:55RUTG Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2499% → 99%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at RU29, for 5 yards to the RU30 (#12 C.Dale Jr.)Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+51
99.3%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 51 yards gain to the HOW19 (#0 B.Chandler IV), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.3%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOW17 (#9 J.Seraphin; #4 R.Roane Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
99.2%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #2 B.Black III caught at HOW19, for 1 yard to the HOW16 (#4 R.Roane Jr.)Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
99.2%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #2 B.Black III caught at HOW05, for 16 yards to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:22, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 2INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.2%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOW28 (#96 K.Griffin; #8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.1%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HOW27 (#2 M.Walker)Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
99.1%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass complete short right to #3 A.Hunter caught at HOW45, for 18 yards to the HOW45 QB hurried by #11 M.Davis, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass incomplete short right to #18 S.Osborne thrown to RU38Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass intercepted by #5 B.Jones at RU23, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
99.1%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep middle to #8 K.Duff caught at HOW35, for 77 yards to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:00, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:371% → 1%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins rush left for 5 yards gain to the HOW30, out of bounds at HOW30Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass incomplete short left to #24 B.Roberson II thrown to HOW31Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.1%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins rush middle for 7 yards gain to the HOW37 (#9 D.Gilley; #41 S.Allison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-22
99.1%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun Howard rush middle for 22 yards loss to the HOW15 fumbled by Howard at HOW30 recovered by HOW #24 B.Roberson II at HOW15, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 32
OWN 15
+10
99.1%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass complete short right to #15 Z.Jackson caught at HOW20, for 10 yards to the HOW25 (#9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 22
OWN 25
0
99.0%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass incomplete deep right to #15 Z.Jackson thrown to HOW46 PENALTY HOW UNR: Unnecessary Roughness declinedSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
99.0%
(07:18) #40 L.Allen IV punt 24 yards to the HOW49, out of bounds at HOW49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.1%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #11 L.Blake thrown to HOW44 QB hurried by #44 K.DillonSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.1%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HOW43 (#0 B.Chandler IV; #36 A.Foster)Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+12
99.0%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at HOW36, for 12 yards to the HOW31 (#8 K.Gallop), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.0%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 3 yards gain to the HOW28 (#2 J.Tabe; #7 G.Stephens)Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+10
99.0%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush right for 10 yards gain to the HOW18 (#23 J.Green), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.2%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 18 yards gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:28, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 6TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.9%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush left for 75 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #48 M.Conord kick attempt good (H: #40 L.Allen IV, LS: #49 C.Johnston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5099% → 99%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #0 D.Carter caught at RU31, for 9 yards to the RU34 (#26 G.Vinson III), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
98.9%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 10 yards gain to the RU44 (#10 F.Mass), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.9%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU50 (#15 R.Reed Jr.)Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 4
50
+6
98.9%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HOW44 (#37 C.Demma; #26 G.Vinson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.9%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HOW38 (#36 A.Foster; #3 M.Grandy)Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
98.8%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush left for 6 yards gain to the HOW32 (#26 G.Vinson III; #7 G.Stephens), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
98.8%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to HOW00 PENALTY HOW Pass Interference (#12 C.Dale Jr.) 15 yards from HOW32 to HOW17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.8%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #2 B.Black III thrown to HOW05 broken up by #12 C.Dale Jr.Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+13
98.8%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at HOW08, for 13 yards to the HOW04 (#3 M.Grandy; #12 C.Dale Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.8%
(14:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOW01 (#3 M.Grandy)Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:15 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 8INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
99.1%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins rush right for 14 yards gain to the HOW26 (#25 J.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.1%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass intercepted by #5 B.Jones at HOW38 #5 B.Jones return 1 yard to the HOW37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:1199% → 99%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
99.2%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HOW24 (#26 G.Vinson III; #11 K.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.2%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HOW18 (#0 B.Chandler IV)Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
99.1%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 2 yards gain to the HOW16 (#8 K.Gallop), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+4
99.1%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HOW12 (#9 J.Seraphin; #15 R.Reed Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.1%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Duff thrown to HOW00Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.1%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush left for 3 yards gain to the HOW09 (#32 J.Olidge; #8 K.Gallop)Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-2
99.2%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards loss to the HOW11 (#7 G.Stephens; #95 I.Lucas)Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
99.2%
(09:20) #29 D.Pizzaro field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor), clock 09:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
99.1%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush left for 1 yard loss to the HOW11 (#2 M.Walker)Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+5
99.1%
PENALTY HOW False Start (#55 G.Price II) 5 yards from HOW11 to HOW06. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 16
OWN 6
0
99.1%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Hunter thrown to HOW08 broken up by #21 D.AndersonSimilar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 16
OWN 6
0
99.1%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass incomplete deep left to #15 Z.Jackson thrown to HOW32Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
99.1%
(07:38) #40 L.Allen IV punt 34 yards to the HOW40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.2%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard loss to the HOW41 (#8 K.Gallop; #7 G.Stephens)Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+20
99.2%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at HOW31, for 20 yards to the HOW21 (#17 A.Smith-Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.2%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 8 yards gain to the HOW13 (#36 A.Foster)Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:37, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12FUMBLE
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.7%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush middle for 2 yards loss to the HOW33 (#5 B.Jones; #99 R.Porter)Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+17
99.7%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush middle for 17 yards gain to the HOW50 (#6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.7%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU48 (#99 R.Porter; #6 A.Wright)Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+9
99.7%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass complete short right to #15 Z.Jackson caught at RU41, for 9 yards to the RU39 (#25 J.Conyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.7%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU33 (#2 M.Walker)Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU29 (#20 C.Joines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
99.7%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass complete short right to #15 Z.Jackson caught at RU22, for 7 yards to the RU22 (#25 J.Conyers)Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-1
99.7%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins sacked for loss of 1 yard to the RU23 (#2 M.Walker, #11 M.Davis)Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
99.8%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins sacked for loss of 0 yards to the RU23 (#96 K.Griffin), fumble by #6 J.Scroggins recovered by RU #42 D.Allen at RU23, End Of Play PENALTY HOW Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
99.7%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep left to #4 J.Houston caught at RU48, for 26 yards to the RU49 (#3 M.Grandy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
99.8%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #4 J.Houston caught at HOW40, for 19 yards to the HOW32 (#3 M.Grandy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.8%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOW31 (#3 M.Grandy)Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
99.8%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOW28 (#7 G.Stephens)Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
99.8%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to HOW23Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+47
99.8%
(00:25) #29 D.Pizzaro field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor), clock 00:25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:090% → 0%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
99.8%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush left for 15 yards gain to the HOW41 (#1 K.Sanders), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. #64 S.Venable injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.8%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush right for 6 yards gain to the HOW47 (#2 M.Walker; #20 C.Joines)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOW28 (#10 T.Morris; #42 D.Allen). #64 S.Venable injured on the playSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.8%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins rush middle for 2 yards loss to the HOW26 (#94 J.Burnett)Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass incomplete deep right to #5 E.James thrown to RU43 QB hurried by #90 F.GnagoSimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
(13:42) #48 M.Conord punt 43 yards to the RU31 fair catch by #18 Q.Redding at RU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU36 (#0 B.Chandler IV; #36 A.Foster)Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+10
99.8%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 10 yards gain to the RU46 (#11 K.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.8%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #11 L.Blake caught at RU50, for 7 yards to the HOW47 (#36 A.Foster; #32 J.Olidge)Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
99.8%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 0 yards to the HOW47 (#9 J.Seraphin; #44 K.Dillon)Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+15
99.8%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep left to #8 K.Duff thrown to HOW10 PENALTY HOW Pass Interference (#2 J.Tabe) 15 yards from HOW47 to HOW32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.8%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOW30 (#4 R.Roane Jr.; #98 R.Odita)Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
99.8%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to HOW20Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+9
99.8%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the HOW21 (#5 I.Abdul-Ali; #8 K.Gallop), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
99.9%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #8 K.Duff caught at HOW22, for 9 yards to the HOW12 (#0 B.Chandler IV; #1 M.Thorne)Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+8
99.9%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 8 yards gain to the HOW04 (#36 A.Foster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Clay Thevenin 4 Yd Run (Dane Pizzaro Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush middle for 0 yards to the HOW25 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins sacked for loss of 5 yards to the HOW20 (#99 R.Porter). #99 R.Porter injured on the playSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-6
99.9%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass complete short right to #86 N.Clark caught at HOW15, for 6 yards loss to the HOW14 (#90 F.Gnago)Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
99.9%
(05:55) #48 M.Conord punt 36 yards to the HOW50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.9%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOW49 (#26 G.Vinson III). #17 A.Smith-Jones injured on the playSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short middle to #0 D.Carter thrown to HOW43Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short left to #5 V.Allen III thrown to HOW38Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
(05:11) #94 J.Anderson punt 49 yards to the HOW00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Scroggins pass incomplete short right to #19 R.Ferguson II thrown to HOW20Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Freeman pass incomplete deep left to #18 S.Osborne thrown to HOW45. #1 K.Sanders injured on the playSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-4
99.9%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Freeman sacked for loss of 7 yards to the HOW13 (#8 S.Kromah, #94 J.Burnett)Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
99.9%
(04:00) #48 M.Conord punt 37 yards to the HOW50 #18 Q.Redding return 0 yards to the RU50 (#21 J.Washington lll) PENALTY HOW Kick Catch Interference (#21 J.Washington lll) 15 yards from RU50 to HOW35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short middle to #85 K.Anthony caught at HOW27, for 8 yards to the HOW27 (#8 K.Gallop)Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOW25 (#15 R.Reed Jr.; #95 I.Lucas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOW22 (#1 M.Thorne; #37 C.Demma)Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
99.9%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Coke thrown to HOW15Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
99.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete short right to #85 K.Anthony thrown to HOW17Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
99.9%
(01:58) #29 D.Pizzaro field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #68 M.Murri), clock 01:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush middle for 7 yards gain (2) to the HOW32 (#3 L.Noel; #27 S.Clawges) PENALTY HOW Holding (#55 G.Price II) 10 yards from HOW27 to HOW17Similar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Kerney rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HOW21 (#36 K.Archie)Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Freeman rush middle for 0 yards to the HOW21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Freeman pass incomplete short right to #16 J.Collins thrown to HOW30Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
(00:07) #48 M.Conord punt 42 yards to the RU37, out of bounds at RU37 PENALTY HOW Holding (#8 K.Gallop) 10 yards from RU37 to RU47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass incomplete deep right to #13 E.Coke thrown to HOW12 PENALTY HOW Pass Interference (#16 T.Cain) 15 yards from RU47 to HOW38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. #13 E.Coke injured on the playSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
99.9%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #24 B.Rothhaar caught at HOW37, for 23 yards to the HOW15 (#11 K.Green), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the HOW09 (#9 J.Seraphin; #11 K.Green)Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
99.9%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 0 yards to the HOW09 (#3 M.Grandy)Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Surace pass complete short left to #5 V.Allen III caught at HOW01, for 9 yards to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:55, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #68 M.Murri)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 9 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Roberson II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HOW26 (#92 J.Polk; #14 R.Johnson Jr.)Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
(12:05) Shotgun #24 B.Roberson II rush right for 2 yards gain to the HOW28 (#12 Z.Dawud)Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
(11:14) Shotgun #1 I.Freeman pass complete short middle to #86 N.Clark caught at HOW31, for 6 yards to the HOW34 (#36 K.Archie; #37 R.Wortman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
(10:37) Shotgun #24 B.Roberson II rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOW36 (#44 T.Hayer)Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+13
100.0%
(10:00) Shotgun #24 B.Roberson II rush left for 7 yards gain (3) to the HOW43 (#23 I.Deloatch) PENALTY HOW Holding (#17 E.Slater) 10 yards from HOW39 to HOW29Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
100.0%
(09:21) Shotgun #1 I.Freeman pass complete short right to #24 B.Roberson II caught at HOW25, for 0 yards to the HOW29 (#98 B.Kyle)Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
(08:36) Shotgun #1 I.Freeman pass complete short left to #15 Z.Jackson caught at HOW36, for 7 yards to the HOW36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
PENALTY HOW Delay Of Game (#48 M.Conord) 5 yards from HOW36 to HOW31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
100.0%
(07:49) #48 M.Conord punt 41 yards to the RU28 fair catch by #18 Q.Redding at RU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24END OF HALF
14 plays · 42 yds · 7:01100% → 100%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Benjamin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU34 (#27 D.Cowsette II)Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+7
100.0%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the RU41 (#91 P.DiCosmo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush right for 5 yards gain to the RU46 (#56 J.Daniels)Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
100.0%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU49 (#91 P.DiCosmo; #56 J.Daniels)Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the HOW47 (#21 D.Miller-Ross), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
100.0%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 S.Ashenfelder pass complete short left to #85 K.Anthony caught at HOW49, for 14 yards to the HOW33 (#1 M.Thorne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOW31 (#26 G.Vinson III; #1 M.Thorne)Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
100.0%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the HOW29 (#26 G.Vinson III; #97 O.Ford III)Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+9
100.0%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the HOW20 (#3 M.Grandy; #14 D.Lawrence), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
100.0%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the HOW17 (#18 K.Whipple)Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+10
100.0%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush left for 13 yards gain to the HOW04 (#37 C.Demma; #51 D.Bowe Jr) PENALTY RU Holding (#72 J.Elijah) 10 yards from HOW17 to HOW27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 17
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 A.Gibson rush left for 2 yards gain to the HOW25 (#26 G.Vinson III)Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 15
OPP 25
-5
100.0%
(00:33) Kneel down by #6 S.Ashenfelder at HOW30 for loss of 5 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:15
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:15 #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
+0.4
TD · Q2 5:37
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 13 yards gain to the HOW00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:37, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
+0.4
TD · Q1 4:15
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 E.James rush left for 75 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #48 M.Conord kick attempt good (H: #40 L.Allen IV, LS: #49 C.Johnston)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com