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WIS

Wisconsin 24 at Penn State 20

PSU
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:42 · #91 S.West punt 45 yards to the PSU49 #2 Z.Robinson return 11 yards to the WIS40 (#59 A.Witt)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+20.4Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:29: No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:29, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick) — PSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:18: Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +6.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:53: #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 03:53 — PSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:31: Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at PSU00, for 11 yards to the PSU00 QB hurried by #8 K.Ebel TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:31, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +23.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 1:13: No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS47, for 72 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:13, G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +68.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:00PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:16PSU 4th & 4 at WIS 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:07WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:07PSU 4th & 9 at PSU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:47WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 37, down 17
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:23PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:23WIS 4th & 1 at PSU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−2.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−3.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:28WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:53WIS 4th & 4 at PSU 16, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−7.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:53PSU 4th & 5 at WIS 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−6.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:01WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 38, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:18WIS 4th & 6 at midfield, down 10
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:11PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:02PSU 4th & 11 at PSU 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:28PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:05PSU 4th & 14 at WIS 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−3.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:50PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:29PSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:18WIS Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0072% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.3%
No Huddle #21 C.Hansen rush left for 0 yards to the PSU25 (#5 B.West)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #18 B.Brahmer caught at PSU29, for 5 yards to the PSU30 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
72.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at PSU37, for 9 yards to the PSU39 (#5 B.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
72.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU41 (#44 C.Catalano; #76 D.Johnson)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
72.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU44 (#44 C.Catalano; #5 B.West)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
72.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #4 B.Eskildsen thrown to WIS33Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
71.7%
#38 N.Tiyce punt 48 yards to the WIS08 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1828% → 28%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
71.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS11, for 11 yards to the WIS19 (#4 J.Cooper), out of bounds PENALTY WIS Pass Interference (#13 E.Hilton Jr.) 4 yards from WIS08 to WIS04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+3
71.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS07 (#13 T.Rojas)Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-1
71.8%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WIS06 fumbled by #1 C.Joseph at WIS03 recovered by WIS #1 C.Joseph at WIS03 (#91 A.Nnodim)Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 12
OWN 6
0
71.9%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #2 C.Brooks Jr. thrown to WIS13 QB hurried by #8 K.EbelSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+11
71.7%
#91 S.West punt 45 yards to the PSU49 #2 Z.Robinson return 11 yards to the WIS40 (#59 A.Witt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:2672% → 72%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
71.9%
Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at WIS35, for 9 yards to the WIS31 (#8 M.Posa), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+4
72.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS27 (#15 S.Cheeks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
72.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at WIS12, for 19 yards to the WIS08 (#29 M.Jung), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
72.0%
No Huddle #25 Q.Martin rush right for 5 yards gain to the WIS03 (#4 M.Burks Jr.; #6 J.Scott)Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.0%
No Huddle #3 R.Becht rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WIS05 fumbled by #3 R.Becht at WIS06 recovered by PSU #3 R.Becht at WIS05, End Of Play PENALTY WIS Offside (#91 H.Russell IV) 2 yards from WIS03 to WIS01. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
71.9%
No Huddle #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WIS04 (#7 T.Fearbry; #93 D.Cooper)Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to WIS00 broken up by #7 T.FearbrySimilar
Q1 6:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
72.1%
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 06:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0928% → 28%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
71.8%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #3 A.Sama III caught at WIS22, for 11 yards to the WIS36 (#3 J.Patton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
71.6%
Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS38 (#99 K.Williams; #4 J.Cooper)Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-1
71.4%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WIS37 (#13 T.Rojas)Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
71.9%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #85 G.Stec thrown to WIS43 broken up by #4 J.CooperSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
72.1%
#91 S.West punt 58 yards to the PSU05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5Uncategorized
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
71.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU07 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+2
71.3%
#26 C.Wallace rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU09 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+8
70.9%
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU17 (#21 C.Skanes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
71.4%
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush right for 9 yards gain to the PSU26 (#4 M.Burks Jr.; #1 E.Fletcher Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
71.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to PSU45Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+6
71.2%
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU32 (#15 S.Cheeks; #4 M.Burks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
71.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU33 (#2 J.Robinson)Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
71.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #84 G.Burkle thrown to PSU36Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
71.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short middle to #2 Z.Robinson thrown to PSU47Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
70.9%
#38 N.Tiyce punt 39 yards to the WIS28, out of bounds at WIS28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6INT TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:0030% → 25%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
69.6%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at WIS44, for 18 yards to the WIS46 (#8 K.Ebel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
69.9%
Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU49 (#91 A.Nnodim; #31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
69.7%
Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU46 (#8 K.Ebel; #31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-51
75.0%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass intercepted by #17 J.Zayas at PSU49 #17 J.Zayas return 51 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:50 #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7INT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5424% → 24%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.0%
PENALTY WIS False Start (#82 E.Bork) 5 yards from WIS25 to WIS20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
76.2%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS22 (#33 A.McPherson)Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
76.2%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #89 J.Harris thrown to WIS25Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-24
76.4%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass intercepted by #5 D.Dixson at WIS35 #5 D.Dixson return 24 yards to the WIS11 (#2 C.Brooks Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:2777% → 86%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
77.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WIS05 (#44 C.Catalano; #92 N.Vils)Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+2
77.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS03 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:29, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4217% → 16%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
83.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WIS39 (#4 J.Cooper; #31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-2
82.5%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph sacked for loss of 2 yards to the WIS37 (#13 T.Rojas)Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
83.0%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to PSU44 broken up by #2 A.Collins QB hurried by #19 Y.KemajouSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
84.0%
#91 S.West punt 53 yards to the PSU10 fair catch by #2 Z.Robinson at PSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:2486% → 86%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
86.4%
No Huddle #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU23, for 17 yards to the PSU27 (#1 E.Fletcher Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WIS Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
86.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU28 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-4
86.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 4 yards to the PSU24 (#91 H.Russell IV)Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+6
86.1%
Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush left for 6 yards gain to the PSU30 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
86.3%
#38 N.Tiyce punt 45 yards to the WIS25 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0515% → 23%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #7 S.Rigby thrown to WIS32Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.7%
Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS28 (#4 J.Cooper; #1 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+17
84.7%
Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 17 yards gain to the WIS45 (#4 J.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
84.0%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at PSU48, for 11 yards to the PSU44 (#2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
83.4%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #6 D.Dupree caught at WIS50, for 8 yards to the PSU36 (#1 I.Ezeogu), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
83.2%
Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU35 (#92 S.Taupaki; #19 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
83.3%
#84 R.Schwendeman rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU35 (#13 T.Rojas; #91 A.Nnodim)Similar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
83.6%
#1 C.Joseph rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU33 (#92 S.Taupaki), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
82.9%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep left to #89 J.Harris caught at PSU11, for 22 yards to the PSU11, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
83.9%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush left for 4 yards gain to the PSU07 (#8 K.Ebel), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
77.0%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
80.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #25 Q.Martin caught at PSU19, for 8 yards to the PSU32 (#93 D.Cooper) PENALTY PSU Illegal Formation (#68 A.Donkoh) 5 yards from PSU24 to PSU19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+8
80.4%
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU27 (#29 M.Jung; #91 H.Russell IV)Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
80.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #4 B.Eskildsen thrown to PSU32Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+6
80.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU33 (#15 S.Cheeks; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:3221% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.6%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to WIS23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.7%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS25, for 2 yards to the WIS27 (#31 M.Neal)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
79.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS39, for 13 yards to the WIS40 (#7 Z.Tracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
77.5%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIS44, for 5 yards to the WIS45 (#19 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
77.0%
PENALTY WIS False Start (#76 S.Blackmon) 5 yards from WIS45 to WIS40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
77.8%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #2 C.Brooks Jr. thrown to PSU47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
78.5%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to PSU49 QB hurried by #7 Z.TracySimilar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
81.3%
#91 S.West punt 38 yards to the PSU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
80.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass intercepted by #30 C.Perkins at PSU22 broken up by #91 H.Russell IV #30 C.Perkins return 0 yards to the PSU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2823% → 26%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
77.2%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to PSU00Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
77.6%
Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU17 (#10 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+1
78.3%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at PSU21, for 1 yard to the PSU16 (#0 J.Joseph)Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
74.5%
#97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 10:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 7:0077% → 84%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush left for 3 yards gain to the PSU28 (#8 M.Posa; #2 J.Robinson)Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
77.0%
Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep left to #4 B.Eskildsen thrown to WIS38Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
76.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU46, for 18 yards to the PSU46 QB hurried by #15 S.Cheeks, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
79.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WIS49 (#29 M.Jung; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
79.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS46 (#29 M.Jung; #28 J.Kamara)Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
78.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS44 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
79.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #25 Q.Martin caught at WIS44, for 1 yard to the WIS43 (#28 J.Kamara)Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
79.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short middle to #4 B.Eskildsen thrown to WIS30Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+19
78.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 19 yards gain to the WIS24, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
79.6%
#1 J.Peoples rush left for 5 yards loss to the WIS29 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+3
78.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS26, out of bounds at WIS26Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+7
78.2%
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WIS19 (#12 N.Clayton; #21 C.Skanes)Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
83.9%
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 03:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:4617% → 15%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
83.2%
Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush left for 5 yards loss to the WIS21 (#33 A.McPherson)Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+2
83.7%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS23, for 2 yards to the WIS23 (#4 J.Cooper), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
84.4%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #6 D.Dupree thrown to WIS37Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 13
OWN 23
+5
85.4%
#91 S.West punt 53 yards to the PSU24 #2 Z.Robinson return 5 yards to the PSU29 (#23 L.Gauthier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18Uncategorized
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0785% → 86%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
85.1%
PENALTY PSU False Start (#84 G.Burkle) 5 yards from PSU29 to PSU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+4
84.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #25 Q.Martin caught at PSU22, for 4 yards to the PSU28 (#8 M.Posa; #29 M.Jung)Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+6
84.8%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU34 (#0 J.Boone; #76 D.Johnson)Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+4
84.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU35, for 4 yards to the PSU38 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
85.7%
#38 N.Tiyce punt 39 yards to the WIS23 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:4214% → 12%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
86.0%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #6 D.Dupree caught at WIS24, for 1 yard to the WIS24 (#25 A.Tatsch)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+12
86.1%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush left for 12 yards gain to the WIS36 fumbled by #1 C.Joseph at WIS16 recovered by WIS #1 C.Joseph at WIS16, out of bounds at WIS36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
84.8%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS40 (#1 I.Ezeogu; #8 K.Ebel)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
84.0%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Henry thrown to PSU45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
84.6%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WIS45 (#31 M.Neal; #99 K.Williams). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
85.1%
#1 C.Joseph rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIS46 (#8 K.Ebel; #25 A.Tatsch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.8%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #7 S.Rigby thrown to WIS50 QB hurried by #8 K.EbelSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
84.1%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush left for 4 yards gain to the WIS50 (#4 J.Cooper)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
50
0
83.7%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIS47Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 6
50
0
88.0%
#91 S.West punt 38 yards to the PSU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0788% → 89%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
87.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU13 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-3
87.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush left for 3 yards loss to the PSU10 (#7 T.Fearbry)Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+7
86.8%
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU17 (#8 M.Posa; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
88.9%
#38 N.Tiyce punt 43 yards to the WIS40, out of bounds at WIS40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.1%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass intercepted by #13 T.Rojas at PSU45, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0791% → 90%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.4%
Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep left to #4 B.Eskildsen thrown to WIS18 broken up by #2 J.RobinsonSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
91.2%
#3 R.Becht rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PSU44 fumbled by #3 R.Becht at PSU44 recovered by PSU #3 R.Becht at PSU44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
90.6%
Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right thrown to WIS48 QB hurried by #93 D.CooperSimilar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
90.0%
#38 N.Tiyce punt 31 yards to the WIS25, out of bounds at WIS25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:319% → 36%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.2%
Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 17 yards gain to the WIS42 (#13 T.Rojas; #4 J.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short middle to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIS41 broken up by #99 K.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
89.8%
Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 13 yards gain to the PSU45 (#4 J.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
88.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #6 D.Dupree caught at PSU46, for 10 yards to the PSU35 QB hurried by #1 I.Ezeogu (#2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
88.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU29 (#3 J.Patton; #19 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+7
86.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #89 J.Harris caught at PSU31, for 7 yards to the PSU22 QB hurried by #13 T.Rojas (#8 K.Ebel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
87.4%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #7 S.Rigby caught at PSU11, for 11 yards to the PSU11 (#0 J.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
86.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #85 G.Stec caught at PSU12, for 5 yards to the PSU06 (#31 M.Neal; #8 K.Ebel), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
86.1%
PENALTY WIS False Start (#71 P.Wilkins) 5 yards from PSU06 to PSU11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
87.4%
#1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #82 E.Bork thrown to PSU05Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
63.7%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at PSU00, for 11 yards to the PSU00 QB hurried by #8 K.Ebel TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:31, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0380% → 86%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU28 (#8 M.Posa; #91 H.Russell IV)Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
80.5%
Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at PSU31, for 3 yards to the PSU31 (#4 M.Burks Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #18 B.Brahmer thrown to PSU42 broken up by #44 C.CatalanoSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
85.6%
#38 N.Tiyce punt 54 yards to the WIS15 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 1:1524% → 88%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
76.1%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to WIS34 broken up by #2 A.CollinsSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
76.3%
PENALTY WIS False Start (#89 J.Harris) 5 yards from WIS15 to WIS10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+2
76.3%
Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 10 yards gain (2) to the WIS20 (#8 K.Ebel), out of bounds PENALTY WIS Holding (#55 K.Heywood) 6 yards from WIS12 to WIS06Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 19
OWN 6
+25
77.5%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #6 D.Dupree caught at WIS00, for 25 yards to the WIS31 (#2 A.Collins; #8 K.Ebel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.2%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to WIS34 broken up by #2 A.CollinsSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
79.9%
PENALTY WIS False Start (#89 J.Harris) 5 yards from WIS31 to WIS26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+2
80.8%
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS28 (#13 T.Rojas)Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+72
12.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS47, for 72 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:13, G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26Uncategorized
14 plays · 42 yds · 1:0825% → 14%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short middle to #18 B.Brahmer thrown to PSU30 broken up by #93 D.CooperSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU31 (#15 S.Cheeks)Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
24.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU32, for 3 yards to the PSU34 lateral to #1 J.Peoples for 3 yards gain to the PSU34 (#12 N.Clayton) PENALTY WIS Tripping (#8 M.Posa) 15 yards from PSU34 to PSU49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
29.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #4 B.Eskildsen thrown to WIS05 broken up by #2 J.RobinsonSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+22
28.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep middle to #0 C.Sowell caught at WIS29, for 22 yards to the WIS29 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
38.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WIS33 (#15 S.Cheeks, #91 H.Russell IV)Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
24.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to WIS00 broken up by #2 J.RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 14
OPP 33
0
21.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #87 A.Rappleyea thrown to WIS00Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 14
OPP 33
0
13.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep left to #18 B.Brahmer thrown to WIS00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:13
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS47, for 72 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:13, G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)
-68.6
TD · Q4 3:31
Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at PSU00, for 11 yards to the PSU00 QB hurried by #8 K.Ebel TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:31, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)
-23.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com