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ILL

Illinois 19 at Ohio State 42

OSU
2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:09 · Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini23, for 12 yards to the Illini23 (#6 J.Clarke; #32 T.Cox), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Pregame prior+6.1Home team on offense+27.9Score differential+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Garbage-time factor+13.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:04: Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush right for 22 yards gain to the OhioSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:04, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III) — ILL win probability +1.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:12: Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini00, for 9 yards to the Illini00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:12. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs) — OSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:15: Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush left for 7 yards gain to the Illini00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:15 #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs) — OSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:07: Jeremiah Smith 26 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick) — OSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:02: Ty Robinson 27 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ILL win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 5:27ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:44OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:43ILL 4th & 18 at OSU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:54OSU 4th & 7 at ILL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:32ILL 4th & 7 at OSU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00ILL 4th & 12 at OSU 38, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:35ILL 4th & 10 at OSU 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:59OSU 4th & 9 at ILL 43, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:09ILL 4th & 4 at OSU 20, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:09OSU 4th & 2 at ILL 35, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:56ILL 4th & 6 at OSU 35, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:34OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:39OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:04ILL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:12OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:15OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:07OSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:02ILL Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:36OSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2696% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at OhioSt21, for 9 yards to the OhioSt34 (#0 M.Resetich), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
95.7%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 8 yards gain to the OhioSt42 (#5 J.Morris; #0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at OhioSt36, for 5 yards to the OhioSt47 (#7 M.Bailey; #10 J.Kreutz)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
95.7%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Illini49 (#26 I.Kante)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
95.7%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Illini44 (#0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
95.7%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush left for 1 yard gain to the Illini43 (#54 D.John; #90 C.Janki)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
95.7%
PENALTY Illini Offside (#90 C.Janki) 5 yards from Illini43 to Illini38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
95.7%
PENALTY OhioSt False Start (#76 J.Cook) 5 yards from Illini38 to Illini43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+31
95.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini15, for 31 yards to the Illini12 (#1 X.Scott; #16 T.Heckel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
95.7%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Illini07 (#0 M.Resetich; #7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
95.1%
Jeremiah Smith 7 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 4:035% → 6%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
95.0%
PENALTY Illini UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#83 K.Feagin) 5 yards from Illini11 to Illini06Similar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Dixon thrown to Illini15 broken up by #7 J.Mathews Jr.Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #13 H.Clement caught at Illini11, for 6 yards to the Illini12 (#6 D.Sanchez), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+12
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short middle to #11 B.Trimble caught at Illini21, for 12 yards to the Illini24 (#25 J.Timmons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
95.0%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Illini33 (#8 J.McClain)Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 33
-8
94.9%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser sacked for loss of 8 yards to the Illini25 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+15
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #13 H.Clement caught at Illini40, for 15 yards to the Illini40 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 0 yards to the Illini40 (#55 J.Walker)Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #13 H.Clement thrown to Illini38 broken up by #6 D.SanchezSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short middle to #13 H.Clement thrown to OhioSt43 broken up by #6 D.SanchezSimilar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
94.5%
#81 L.Rau punt 53 yards to the OhioSt07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 93 yds · 1:4894% → 95%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
94.4%
#24 J.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the OhioSt10 (#32 T.Cox)Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+5
94.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #3 D.McCuin caught at OhioSt15, for 5 yards to the OhioSt15, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+13
94.3%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at OhioSt22, for 13 yards to the OhioSt28 (#6 J.Clarke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
95.2%
Jeremiah Smith 72 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:355% → 7%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #11 B.Trimble caught at Illini23, for 5 yards to the Illini30 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.; #14 C.Alliegro), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+37
95.0%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 37 yards gain to the OhioSt33 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.; #8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
94.8%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at OhioSt34, for 4 yards to the OhioSt29 (#6 D.Sanchez; #2 K.Jackson Jr.) PENALTY Illini Holding (#52 C.Smith) 10 yards from OhioSt33 to OhioSt43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 20
OPP 43
0
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep right to #11 B.Trimble thrown to OhioSt08 broken up by #25 J.TimmonsSimilar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+21
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at OhioSt32, for 21 yards to the OhioSt22 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
94.7%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep left to #13 H.Clement thrown to OhioSt01 broken up by #8 J.McClainSimilar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
93.0%
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush right for 22 yards gain to the OhioSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:04, 1ST DOWN #37 E.Moczulski kick attempt good (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1594% → 93%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
93.6%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OhioSt27 (#45 R.Edmonson)Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+1
93.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #83 N.Roberts caught at OhioSt26, for 1 yard to the OhioSt28 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
93.3%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #84 H.Welcing thrown to OhioSt39 broken up by #1 X.Scott PENALTY OhioSt Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+13
93.1%
#42 J.McGuire punt 50 yards to the Illini22 #0 M.Resetich return 13 yards to the Illini35 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:017% → 7%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
93.1%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete deep right to #13 H.Clement caught at OhioSt44, for 27 yards to the OhioSt38 (#6 D.Sanchez), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
92.8%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt37 (#17 T.Alford)Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
92.8%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep right to #13 H.Clement thrown to OhioSt00Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-9
92.9%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser sacked for loss of 9 yards to the OhioSt46 (#5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
93.0%
#81 L.Rau punt 42 yards to the OhioSt04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
21 plays · 96 yds · 8:3193% → 95%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+15
92.9%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #15 C.Henry Jr. caught at OhioSt16, for 15 yards to the OhioSt19 (#6 J.Clarke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
93.0%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 12 yards gain to the OhioSt31 (#0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
93.0%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OhioSt34 (#96 D.Prater)Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
93.1%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #4 J.Smith thrown to Illini41 broken up by #6 J.ClarkeSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+8
92.9%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush right for 8 yards gain to the OhioSt42, out of bounds at OhioSt42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
93.3%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #84 H.Welcing caught at OhioSt46, for 4 yards to the OhioSt46 (#1 X.Scott)Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
93.3%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Illini49 (#10 J.Kreutz; #40 E.Rhea)Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
93.2%
No Huddle #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Illini45 (#52 P.Farrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.4%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep middle to #4 J.Smith thrown to Illini02 broken up by #0 M.ResetichSimilar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
93.4%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #3 D.McCuin caught at Illini35, for 9 yards to the Illini36 (#33 G.Beerman)Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
93.3%
No Huddle #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Illini34 (#45 R.Edmonson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini34, for 0 yards to the Illini34 (#32 T.Cox)Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
93.1%
#25 B.Jackson rush right for 7 yards gain to the Illini27 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+1
92.9%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush left for 1 yard gain to the Illini26 (#7 M.Bailey; #24 W.Holmes)Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+5
92.7%
PENALTY OhioSt False Start (#67 A.Siereveld) 5 yards from Illini26 to Illini31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+8
92.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #83 N.Roberts caught at Illini23, for 8 yards to the Illini23 (#0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
93.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Smith thrown to Illini10Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
93.1%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #25 B.Jackson thrown to Illini28 broken up by #52 P.FarrellSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+14
92.9%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #3 D.McCuin caught at Illini09, for 14 yards to the Illini09 (#6 J.Clarke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.9%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini00, for 9 yards to the Illini00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:12. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:406% → 7%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.2%
Shotgun #24 J.Barnett rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Illini26 (#14 C.Alliegro; #12 B.Atkinson)Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
94.2%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #10 T.Robinson caught at Illini31, for 10 yards to the Illini36 (#1 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
94.1%
Shotgun #24 J.Barnett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Illini39 (#26 P.Pierce; #4 Q.Russaw)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+33
94.1%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #5 C.Valentine caught at Illini43, for 33 yards to the OhioSt28 (#8 J.McClain), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
93.1%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush left for 3 yards gain to the OhioSt25 (#14 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
92.8%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #17 C.Dixon caught at OhioSt28, for 0 yards to the OhioSt25 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
93.2%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep middle to #11 B.Trimble thrown to OhioSt02Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
92.9%
#37 E.Moczulski field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 01:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:1793% → 96%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.3%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OhioSt35, for 10 yards to the OhioSt35 (#5 J.Morris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
93.4%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OhioSt39 (#24 W.Holmes; #8 C.Thomas)Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
93.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #83 N.Roberts caught at OhioSt46, for 7 yards to the OhioSt46, out of bounds at OhioSt46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
93.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush right for 4 yards gain to the OhioSt50 (#1 X.Scott), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 6
50
+8
93.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini42, for 8 yards to the Illini42 (#6 J.Clarke), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
93.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #25 B.Jackson caught at Illini43, for 2 yards to the Illini40 (#7 M.Bailey; #0 M.Resetich) PENALTY OhioSt Holding (#86 M.Williams) 10 yards from Illini40 to Illini50Similar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 18
50
+20
94.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #83 N.Roberts caught at Illini38, for 20 yards to the Illini30 (#26 I.Kante), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
94.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep left to #7 P.Bell caught at Illini10, for 23 yards to the Illini07 (#7 M.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #0 B.Inniss thrown to Illini00Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush left for 7 yards gain to the Illini00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:15 #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:083% → 3%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.0%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Illini40 (#10 L.Roker; #34 K.Wilder), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.8%
No Huddle #4 K.Houser pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep right thrown to OhioSt40Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+18
97.0%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush left for 18 yards gain to the OhioSt42 (#26 P.Pierce; #28 S.Caldwell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 5:254% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.6%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Illini34 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.; #8 J.McClain), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
95.1%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Illini38 (#14 C.Alliegro), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.3%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short middle to #17 C.Dixon thrown to Illini48 broken up by #7 J.Mathews Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
95.4%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #86 C.Abney caught at Illini38, for 6 yards to the Illini44 (#1 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
95.3%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush left for 5 yards gain to the Illini49 (#14 C.Alliegro; #7 J.Mathews Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
95.1%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep left to #13 H.Clement thrown to OhioSt30 PENALTY OhioSt Pass Interference (#6 D.Sanchez) 15 yards from Illini49 to OhioSt36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
95.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #21 A.Laughery caught at OhioSt38, for 1 yard to the OhioSt35 (#5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+6
94.8%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OhioSt29 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #96 E.Houston)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
94.9%
Shotgun #6 J.Newton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt28 (#14 C.Alliegro; #3 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+10
94.9%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush right for 5 yards gain to the OhioSt23 (#14 C.Alliegro; #55 J.Walker) PENALTY Illini Holding (#78 E.Tuerk) 10 yards from OhioSt28 to OhioSt38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 38
+12
95.6%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at OhioSt26, for 12 yards to the OhioSt26 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep left to #13 H.Clement thrown to OhioSt00 broken up by #6 D.SanchezSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
94.8%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #83 K.Feagin thrown to OhioSt26 broken up by #14 C.AlliegroSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
95.1%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short middle to #88 D.Stoffel thrown to OhioSt15 QB hurried by #34 K.WilderSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
94.0%
#37 E.Moczulski field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #81 L.Rau, LS: #44 P.Mahoney III), clock 09:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:3695% → 95%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
95.0%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at OhioSt38, for 16 yards to the OhioSt41 (#1 X.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
95.2%
#24 J.Jackson rush left for 15 yards gain to the Illini44 (#1 X.Scott; #32 T.Cox), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.2%
PENALTY OhioSt False Start (#83 N.Roberts) 5 yards from Illini44 to Illini49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+6
95.1%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #3 D.McCuin caught at Illini43, for 6 yards to the Illini43, out of bounds at Illini43Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
95.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep middle to #3 D.McCuin thrown to Illini23Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
95.0%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #84 H.Welcing thrown to Illini39Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
94.9%
#42 J.McGuire punt 37 yards to the Illini06 fair catch by #0 M.Resetich at Illini06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13DOWNS
15 plays · 74 yds · 7:506% → 5%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
94.5%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Illini17 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #17 T.Alford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
94.2%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush left for 15 yards gain to the Illini32 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #6 D.Sanchez) PENALTY Illini Holding (#72 C.Martin) 8 yards from Illini17 to Illini09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+1
94.5%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Illini10 (#17 T.Alford; #4 Q.Russaw)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+19
94.4%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short middle to #13 H.Clement caught at Illini24, for 19 yards to the Illini29 (#8 J.McClain; #6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
94.0%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Illini31 (#94 J.Moore)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+7
94.0%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush left for 7 yards gain to the Illini38 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
93.7%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Illini41 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #26 P.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
93.8%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete deep middle to #13 H.Clement caught at OhioSt39, for 20 yards to the OhioSt39 (#8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
93.4%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OhioSt32 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
92.7%
#5 C.Valentine rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OhioSt26 (#55 J.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
92.7%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #10 T.Robinson caught at OhioSt27, for 3 yards to the OhioSt23 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+5
92.7%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #11 B.Trimble caught at OhioSt20, for 5 yards to the OhioSt18, out of bounds at OhioSt18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
-2
94.5%
Shotgun #23 J.Anderson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OhioSt20 (#53 W.Smith Jr.)Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 4
OPP 20
0
94.9%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #11 B.Trimble thrown to OhioSt05 broken up by #8 J.McClain, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:0296% → 99%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
96.4%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the OhioSt30 (#0 M.Resetich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
96.5%
#10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at OhioSt29, for 13 yards to the OhioSt43 (#6 J.Clarke), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
96.7%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards loss to the OhioSt40 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+22
96.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #11 B.Boyd caught at OhioSt48, for 22 yards to the Illini38 (#7 M.Bailey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
96.8%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Illini29 (#6 J.Clarke)Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
96.8%
#25 B.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the Illini29 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
96.7%
#10 J.Sayin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Illini26 (#43 J.Barna; #52 P.Farrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.2%
Jeremiah Smith 26 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:051% → 4%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.2%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush right for 2 yards loss to the Illini23 (#5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.2%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short left to #10 T.Robinson caught at Illini21, for 5 yards to the Illini28 (#6 D.Sanchez)Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+25
99.2%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser rush right for 25 yards gain to the OhioSt47 (#8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.2%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OhioSt41 (#15 J.Thomas)Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+7
99.2%
Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OhioSt34 (#1 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Laughery rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt33 (#55 J.Walker)Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
99.1%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short middle to #17 C.Dixon thrown to OhioSt20 broken up by #17 T.AlfordSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+6
99.2%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short middle to #11 B.Trimble caught at OhioSt28, for 6 yards to the OhioSt27 (#8 J.McClain)Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+14
99.4%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short left to #17 C.Dixon thrown to OhioSt10 PENALTY OhioSt Pass Interference (#6 D.Sanchez) Illini UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#13 H.Clement) 28 yards from OhioSt27 to OhioSt27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+15
99.3%
PENALTY Illini UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#13 H.Clement) 15 yards from OhioSt13 to OhioSt28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
96.3%
Ty Robinson 27 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:2698% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
98.0%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Illini39 (#7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
98.0%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Illini35 (#7 M.Bailey; #26 I.Kante)Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
98.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep right to #4 J.Smith thrown to Illini13 broken up by #6 J.ClarkeSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+12
98.0%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini23, for 12 yards to the Illini23 (#6 J.Clarke; #32 T.Cox), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
98.3%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Illini20 (#26 I.Kante; #7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
98.3%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Illini17 (#1 X.Scott; #7 M.Bailey)Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+15
98.6%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Illini02 (#7 M.Bailey; #54 D.John), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
#24 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Illini00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:36 #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Illini32 (#28 S.Caldwell)Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Valentine rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Illini44 (#18 C.Calhoun), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
99.8%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short middle to #17 C.Dixon caught at OhioSt44, for 17 yards to the OhioSt39 (#6 D.Sanchez; #10 L.Roker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser sacked for loss of 9 yards to the OhioSt48 (#26 P.Pierce, #12 B.Atkinson)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 19
OPP 48
+13
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass complete short right to #17 C.Dixon caught at OhioSt37, for 13 yards to the OhioSt35 (#10 L.Roker)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete deep middle to #11 B.Trimble thrown to OhioSt05 broken up by #8 J.McClainSimilar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Shotgun #4 K.Houser pass incomplete short right to #10 T.Robinson thrown to OhioSt25 broken up by #8 J.McClain, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.6%
Kneel down by #10 J.Sayin at OhioSt34 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-1
99.6%
Kneel down by #10 J.Sayin at OhioSt33 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:02
Ty Robinson 27 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-3
TD · Q4 10:07
Jeremiah Smith 26 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)
+2.5
TD · Q2 4:12
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at Illini00, for 9 yards to the Illini00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:12. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELD #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com