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EMU

Eastern Michigan 10 at Wisconsin 54

WIS
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFUMBLEFUMBLEFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:26 · (07:34) #39 D.Hull punt 43 yards to the WIS09 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS09
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+38.3Home team on offense−2.1Score differential−0.6Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:12: (08:16) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 4 yards gain to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:12 #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +2.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:44: (06:50) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep middle to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at EMI36, for 75 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:44, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +2.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:52: (02:56) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:52, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +4.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:49: (00:49) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI00, for 13 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:44, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:49) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI00, for 13 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:44, 1ST DOWN) #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) (00:44) #97 G.Lahm kickoff 64 yards to the EMI01 fair catch by #15 A.Blue at EMI01 (00:43) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMI27 (#44 C.Catalano). #15 A.Blue injured on the play (00:07) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 2 yards loss to the EMI25 (#92 N.Vils; #2 J.Robinson) (15:00) #97 G.Lahm kickoff 65 yards to the EMI00, Touchba — WIS win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 14:19: (14:19) Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 16 yards to the EMI10 (#15 S.Cheeks), fumble by #1 N.Kim recovered by WIS #44 C.Catalano at EMI10 #44 C.Catalano return 10 yards to the EMI00, End Of Play TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:13 — WIS win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:30WIS 4th & 4 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:31WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:06WIS 4th & 14 at EMU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:05EMU 4th & 9 at EMU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:11EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:23WIS 4th & 6 at EMU 23, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:03EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:16EMU 4th & 17 at WIS 20, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:34EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00EMU 4th & 20 at WIS 30, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:24EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:12WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:52WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:49WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:44WIS Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:2692% → 91%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS31, for 9 yards to the WIS34, out of bounds at WIS34Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
91.8%
(14:31) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS38 (#5 M.Gilbert), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
91.6%
(13:55) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS43, for 23 yards to the EMI39 (#25 R.Adkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
91.5%
(13:16) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMI33 (#0 P.Christian)Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
91.4%
(12:43) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep middle to #82 E.Bork thrown to EMI02Similar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
91.4%
(12:38) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Henry thrown to EMI15Similar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
91.3%
(12:33) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short middle to #0 T.Henry thrown to EMI22, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:019% → 11%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.2%
(12:28) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #24 J.Mattord thrown to EMI30Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
91.1%
(12:26) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #2 N.Devereaux caught at EMI39, for 13 yards to the EMI46 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
90.9%
(11:49) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI49 (#5 B.West; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+23
90.6%
(11:12) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #88 T.Lemaster caught at WIS32, for 23 yards to the WIS28, out of bounds at WIS28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
90.5%
(10:37) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS25 (#44 C.Catalano; #8 M.Posa)Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
90.3%
(09:59) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #2 N.Devereaux thrown to WIS18Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+7
90.3%
(09:55) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #9 J.Long caught at WIS18, for 7 yards to the WIS18 (#8 M.Posa), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
89.3%
(09:29) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #2 N.Devereaux caught at WIS00, for 18 yards to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:24, 1ST DOWN #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3690% → 89%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.5%
(09:23) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS27 (#55 J.Thomas)Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.1%
(08:50) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass intercepted by #25 R.Adkins at EMI40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1011% → 12%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
88.8%
(08:41) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI43 (#92 N.Vils)Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
88.4%
(07:58) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #28 B.Bennett caught at EMI42, for 5 yards to the EMI48 (#4 M.Burks Jr.)Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
88.2%
(07:35) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Long thrown to WIS43 QB hurried by #29 M.JungSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
88.3%
(07:34) #39 D.Hull punt 43 yards to the WIS09 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 7:1788% → 86%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
88.4%
(07:26) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS11 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+9
87.9%
(06:47) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #6 D.Dupree caught at WIS12, for 9 yards to the WIS20 (#4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
87.6%
(06:11) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS25, for 16 yards to the WIS36 (#4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
87.4%
(05:38) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at WIS42, for 6 yards to the WIS42 (#25 R.Adkins)Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
87.5%
(05:00) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep middle to #2 C.Brooks Jr. thrown to EMI19 PENALTY WIS Holding (#55 K.Heywood) 10 yards from WIS42 to WIS32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+13
86.9%
(04:54) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS41, for 13 yards to the WIS45 (#51 E.McDuffey)Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
87.0%
(04:18) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 0 yards to the WIS45 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
86.4%
(03:35) #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS47 (#11 Z.Mowchan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
86.4%
(03:01) #1 C.Joseph rush right for 4 yards gain to the EMI49 (#13 J.Marshall), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
86.0%
(02:23) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at EMI46, for 5 yards to the EMI44 (#10 T.Boykin; #13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+27
85.5%
(01:42) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep right to #89 J.Harris caught at EMI24, for 27 yards to the EMI17 (#13 J.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
85.5%
(00:57) Shotgun #13 E.Hilton Jr. rush left for 4 yards loss to the EMI21 (#51 E.McDuffey)Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 14
OPP 21
0
85.0%
(00:18) #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to EMI10 broken up by #25 R.AdkinsSimilar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
84.2%
(00:14) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep right to #82 E.Bork thrown to EMI00Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+39
85.5%
(00:08) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 00:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5714% → 15%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.6%
(00:05) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #9 J.Long caught at EMI22, for 1 yard loss to the EMI24 (#5 B.West)Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
85.7%
(14:59) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #2 N.Devereaux thrown to EMI42 broken up by #1 E.Fletcher Jr.Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
85.9%
(14:55) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #2 N.Devereaux caught at EMI29, for 7 yards to the EMI31 (#5 B.West)Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
85.5%
(14:13) #39 D.Hull punt 43 yards to the WIS26 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:5085% → 87%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
85.2%
(14:07) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS30 (#29 D.Rogers)Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
84.9%
(13:32) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS34, for 5 yards to the WIS35, out of bounds at WIS35Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
84.9%
PENALTY WIS False Start (#76 S.Blackmon) 5 yards from WIS35 to WIS30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+15
84.1%
(12:53) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS44, for 15 yards to the WIS45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.0%
(12:09) #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep right to #82 E.Bork thrown to EMI31 broken up by #4 J.Salas QB hurried by #51 E.McDuffeySimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
84.5%
(12:03) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush right for 5 yards gain to the WIS50 (#17 C.Dobbs; #4 J.Salas)Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 5
50
+30
84.5%
(11:25) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS49, for 30 yards to the EMI20 (#13 J.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
85.0%
(10:46) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMI15 (#29 D.Rogers)Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+7
84.7%
(10:07) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EMI08 (#88 R.Hardin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
84.2%
(09:30) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMI07 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
83.9%
(08:56) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI04 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.6%
(08:16) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 4 yards gain to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:12 #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:0615% → 14%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
85.4%
(08:11) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #2 N.Devereaux caught at EMI22, for 3 yards to the EMI28 (#29 M.Jung) PENALTY EMI Holding (#55 G.Kayed) 10 yards from EMI25 to EMI15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
85.4%
(07:51) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #86 D.Wilkins thrown to EMI27Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
85.5%
(07:49) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #11 A.Floyd thrown to EMI22Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+11
85.8%
(07:46) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #11 A.Floyd caught at EMI18, for 11 yards to the EMI26 (#11 C.Van Dinter)Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
85.9%
(07:05) #39 D.Hull punt 49 yards to the WIS25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
88.2%
(06:50) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep middle to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at EMI36, for 75 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:44, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:4211% → 13%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.7%
(06:44) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #11 A.Floyd caught at EMI30, for 5 yards to the EMI30 (#5 B.West)Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
88.3%
(06:05) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI33 (#7 T.Fearbry)Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
88.3%
(05:26) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMI37 (#4 M.Burks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
88.0%
(05:03) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMI43 (#2 J.Robinson; #29 M.Jung)Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+15
87.5%
(04:30) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #28 B.Bennett thrown to EMI40 PENALTY WIS Face Mask (#4 M.Burks Jr.) 15 yards from EMI43 to WIS42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
87.2%
(04:26) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS40 (#93 D.Cooper)Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-24
87.4%
(03:51) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #8 M.Posa at WIS34 broken up by #29 M.Jung #8 M.Posa return 24 yards to the EMI42 (#86 D.Wilkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:2389% → 94%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+32
89.1%
(03:37) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep left to #89 J.Harris caught at EMI10, for 32 yards to the EMI10, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
93.9%
(02:56) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:52, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:217% → 8%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.9%
(02:51) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #28 B.Bennett caught at EMI18, for 1 yard loss to the EMI24 (#5 B.West)Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
93.0%
(02:11) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #86 D.Wilkins thrown to EMI45 broken up by #6 J.ScottSimilar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
93.1%
(02:06) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #9 J.Long caught at EMI21, for 3 yards loss to the EMI21 (#91 H.Russell IV) PENALTY WIS Roughing The Passer (#15 S.Cheeks) 15 yards from EMI24 to EMI39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
92.4%
(02:00) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMI40 (#15 S.Cheeks; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
92.5%
(01:23) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #29 M.Jung at WIS50, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 0:2394% → 98%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
50
+9
94.1%
(01:19) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS48, for 9 yards to the EMI41 (#51 E.McDuffey)Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+15
94.1%
(00:57) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI31, for 15 yards to the EMI26 (#6 B.Llewellyn), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY EMI Face Mask (#51 E.McDuffey) 13 yards from EMI26 to EMI13, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.2%
(00:51) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #89 J.Harris thrown to EMI16Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.7%
(00:49) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI00, for 13 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:44, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:49) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI00, for 13 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:44, 1ST DOWN) #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) (00:44) #97 G.Lahm kickoff 64 yards to the EMI01 fair catch by #15 A.Blue at EMI01 (00:43) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMI27 (#44 C.Catalano). #15 A.Blue injured on the play (00:07) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 2 yards loss to the EMI25 (#92 N.Vils; #2 J.Robinson) (15:00) #97 G.Lahm kickoff 65 yards to the EMI00, TouchbaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:326% → 5%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.6%
(00:43) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMI27 (#44 C.Catalano). #15 A.Blue injured on the playSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
95.3%
(00:07) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 2 yards loss to the EMI25 (#92 N.Vils; #2 J.Robinson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15FUMBLE TD
5 plays · -25 yds · 0:352% → 2%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 1 yard gain to the EMI26 (#15 S.Cheeks; #4 M.Burks Jr.)Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.7%
(14:22) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #11 A.Floyd thrown to EMI30Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.3%
(14:19) Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 16 yards to the EMI10 (#15 S.Cheeks), fumble by #1 N.Kim recovered by WIS #44 C.Catalano at EMI10 #44 C.Catalano return 10 yards to the EMI00, End Of Play TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:13Similar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
97.8%
(14:19) Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 16 yards to the EMI10 (#15 S.Cheeks), fumble by #1 N.Kim recovered by WIS #44 C.Catalano at EMI10 #44 C.Catalano return 10 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:13 #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:472% → 2%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
(14:10) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #14 A.Sharp caught at EMI21, for 3 yards to the EMI28 fumbled by #14 A.Sharp at EMI30 forced by #2 J.Robinson, out of bounds at EMI28Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.7%
PENALTY EMI False Start (#70 S.Adjin) 5 yards from EMI28 to EMI23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
97.6%
(13:39) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMI25 (#7 T.Fearbry)Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
(13:02) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 9 yards gain to the EMI34 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.2%
(12:20) #39 D.Hull punt 46 yards to the WIS20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 6:4398% → 100%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.4%
(12:11) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS22 (#33 C.Evans)Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
98.5%
(11:33) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIS29 broken up by #54 Q.ByasSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
98.5%
(11:31) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush right for 8 yards gain to the WIS30 (#51 E.McDuffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.6%
(10:49) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush left for 1 yard gain to the WIS31 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
98.7%
(10:09) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WIS37 (#5 M.Gilbert)Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
98.8%
(09:31) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS36, for 4 yards to the WIS41 (#11 Z.Mowchan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
98.8%
(08:57) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 11 yards gain to the EMI48 (#51 E.McDuffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
98.9%
(08:13) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI40, for 21 yards to the EMI27 (#10 T.Boykin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.0%
(07:24) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI24 (#42 J.Flowers)Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
99.1%
(06:44) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMI19 (#29 D.Rogers)Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-4
99.1%
(06:04) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 4 yards loss to the EMI23 fumbled by #1 C.Joseph at EMI23 recovered by WIS #1 C.Joseph at EMI23, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
99.7%
(05:25) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 05:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18FG
20 plays · 70 yds · 8:530% → 0%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
99.7%
(05:17) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #9 J.Long caught at EMI15, for 8 yards to the EMI18 (#6 J.Scott)Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 2
OWN 18
-1
99.7%
(04:42) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EMI17 (#95 J.Anderson)Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+7
99.7%
(03:58) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #28 B.Bennett caught at EMI13, for 7 yards to the EMI24 (#6 J.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.8%
(03:20) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #11 A.Floyd caught at EMI38, for 15 yards to the EMI39 (#11 C.Van Dinter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
(02:44) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #11 A.Floyd caught at EMI43, for 4 yards to the EMI43, out of bounds at EMI43Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
(02:28) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMI48 (#43 T.Schaefer; #92 N.Vils)Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
99.8%
(01:51) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 0 yards to the EMI48 (#91 H.Russell IV; #30 C.Perkins)Similar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
99.8%
(01:07) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMI50 (#30 C.Perkins; #43 T.Schaefer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.8%
(00:28) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS48 (#0 J.Boone)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #1 E.Fletcher Jr. at WIS30 #1 E.Fletcher Jr. return 70 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 14:49 PENALTY WIS Offside (#97 J.Poyser) 5 yards from WIS48 to WIS43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+10
99.8%
(14:48) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WIS33 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
(14:01) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS29 (#76 D.Johnson; #97 J.Poyser)Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+16
99.8%
(13:23) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #28 B.Bennett caught at WIS32, for 16 yards to the WIS13 (#6 J.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.8%
(12:45) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Long thrown to WIS00Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
99.8%
(12:40) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #11 A.Floyd thrown to WIS00 broken up by #4 M.Burks Jr.Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+10
99.9%
(12:36) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush left for 6 yards gain to the WIS07, out of bounds at WIS07 PENALTY EMI Holding (#78 D.Strey) 10 yards from WIS13 to WIS23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 20
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
(12:05) Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS20 (#12 N.Clayton)Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+38
99.9%
(11:16) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz), clock 11:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:27100% → 100%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
(11:15) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS33, for 6 yards to the WIS41 (#88 R.Hardin), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
(10:37) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIS42 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
(09:55) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short middle to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS43, for 4 yards to the WIS46 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #13 J.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
(09:19) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS44, for 7 yards to the EMI47 (#13 J.Marshall), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+11
99.9%
(08:42) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at EMI48, for 11 yards to the EMI36 (#13 J.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
(08:02) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI33 (#99 W.Tayou)Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
(07:23) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMI29 (#51 E.McDuffey; #11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
(06:50) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI26 (#0 P.Christian), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
(06:10) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #0 T.Henry thrown to EMI25 broken up by #6 B.LlewellynSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+19
99.9%
(06:06) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 19 yards gain to the EMI07, out of bounds at EMI07, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
(05:32) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush middle for 0 yards to the EMI07 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
(04:49) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #82 E.Bork caught at EMI09, for 7 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:44 #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #53 A.Goodman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20MISSED FG TD
17 plays · 35 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
99.9%
(04:41) Shotgun #3 B.Prosper rush left for 6 yards loss to the EMI29 (#12 N.Clayton)Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
(04:00) Shotgun #22 D.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMI32 (#92 N.Vils)Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+11
100.0%
(03:25) Shotgun #12 J.Stuckey rush middle for 11 yards gain to the EMI43 (#27 R.Dunn; #18 D.Dunmore)Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+11
100.0%
(02:39) Shotgun #22 D.Johnson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WIS46 (#43 T.Schaefer; #18 D.Dunmore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
(02:06) Shotgun #22 D.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS43 (#11 C.Van Dinter)Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #12 J.Stuckey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS39 (#76 D.Johnson)Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+5
100.0%
(01:37) Shotgun #12 J.Stuckey pass incomplete deep left to #11 A.Floyd thrown to WIS16 PENALTY WIS Offside (#39 J.Loftin) 5 yards from WIS39 to WIS34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
100.0%
(01:34) Shotgun #12 J.Stuckey pass complete short middle to #14 A.Sharp caught at WIS37, for 14 yards to the WIS20 (#18 D.Dunmore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
100.0%
(01:27) Shotgun #22 D.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIS19 (#95 J.Anderson; #59 A.Witt)Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
100.0%
(00:57) Shotgun #12 J.Stuckey pass complete short right to #88 T.Lemaster caught at WIS22, for 0 yards to the WIS19 (#23 L.Gauthier)Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-11
100.0%
(00:28) Shotgun #12 J.Stuckey sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WIS30 (#92 N.Vils)Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 20
OPP 30
+55
100.0%
Donovan Dunmore 55 Yd Return of Blocked Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:52
(02:56) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:52, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)
+4.8
TD · Q2 0:49
(00:49) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI00, for 13 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:44, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:49) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at EMI00, for 13 yards to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:44, 1ST DOWN) #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) (00:44) #97 G.Lahm kickoff 64 yards to the EMI01 fair catch by #15 A.Blue at EMI01 (00:43) Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMI27 (#44 C.Catalano). #15 A.Blue injured on the play (00:07) Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 2 yards loss to the EMI25 (#92 N.Vils; #2 J.Robinson) (15:00) #97 G.Lahm kickoff 65 yards to the EMI00, Touchba
+3.5
TD · Q2 8:12
(08:16) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush right for 4 yards gain to the EMI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:12 #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com