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USC

USC 42 at Rutgers 35

RUTG
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · SHI Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:00 · (08:06) #35 L.Carrigan punt 56 yards to the RU05
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior−35.1Home team on offense−6.5Garbage-time factor−2.1Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:53: (08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 17 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:53, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +11.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  2. TD · Q3 5:52: (05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 R.Wormley rush right for 12 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:52, 1ST DOWN #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt pass attempt Successful — USC win probability +9.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:07: (01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:07, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +14.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:35: (08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #27 R.Wormley caught at RU01, for 2 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:35 #45 C.Chittenden kick attempt good (H: #35 L.Carrigan, LS: #53 L.Brown) — USC win probability +13.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:24: (04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #5 V.Allen III caught at USC12, for 28 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:24, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor) — RUTG win probability +14.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 5USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:30USC 4th & 8 at RUTG 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:13RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:00USC 4th & 5 at USC 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:31RUTG 4th & 21 at RUTG 16, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−1.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:10USC 4th & 10 at RUTG 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:07USC 4th & 2 at USC 33, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.3%
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00USC 4th & 4 at RUTG 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−6.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:39RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.4%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:29RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:24RUTG 4th & 10 at USC 28, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:08USC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:59USC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:25RUTG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:32USC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:53RUTG Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:52USC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:07RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:35USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:24RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 5:2293% → 91%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.4%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC28 (#2 M.Walker; #8 S.Kromah)Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
7.6%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #10 C.Simms caught at USC35, for 9 yards to the USC37 (#4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
7.7%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush left for 2 yards gain to the USC39 (#5 B.Jones; #1 K.Sanders)Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
7.8%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #0 Z.Williams thrown to RU40Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+20
7.9%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 20 yards gain to the RU41 (#6 A.Wright; #5 B.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
8.2%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #2 W.Jordan caught at RU48, for 20 yards to the RU21 (#20 C.Joines; #2 M.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
8.3%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 3 yards loss to the RU24 (#90 F.Gnago) PENALTY USC Holding (#0 Z.Williams) 10 yards from RU21 to RU31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+5
8.4%
PENALTY USC False Start (#77 A.Noa) 5 yards from RU31 to RU36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 25
OPP 36
+2
8.6%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush right for 2 yards gain to the RU34 (#16 J.Ofurie)Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 23
OPP 34
0
8.8%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short middle to #19 M.Bowman thrown to RU16Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 23
OPP 34
+15
8.9%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep left to #10 C.Simms thrown to RU00 broken up by #21 D.Anderson PENALTY RU Pass Interference (#21 D.Anderson) 15 yards from RU34 to RU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
8.9%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #1 E.Feaster caught at RU17, for 2 yards to the RU17 (#4 K.Humes; #20 C.Joines)Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
9.1%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short middle to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt thrown to RU00Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
9.2%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #0 Z.Williams thrown to RU19Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
9.3%
(09:30) #45 C.Chittenden field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #35 L.Carrigan, LS: #53 L.Brown), clock 09:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:379% → 10%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
9.3%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU26 (#7 A.Graham; #1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-16
9.5%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass intercepted by #6 C.Pierce at RU40 #6 C.Pierce return 16 yards to the RU24 (#73 T.Salami)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:2591% → 91%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
9.3%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 13 yards gain to the RU11 (#20 C.Joines), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
8.6%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 11 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:08, 1ST DOWN #45 C.Chittenden kick attempt good (H: #35 L.Carrigan, LS: #53 L.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:569% → 14%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
9.0%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan sacked for loss of 3 yards to the RU22 (#94 L.Wafle, #91 A.VanSumeren) PENALTY USC Face Mask (#94 L.Wafle) 15 yards from RU25 to RU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
9.3%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the RU40 (#6 C.Pierce; #1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
9.4%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #2 B.Black III caught at RU49, for 12 yards to the USC48 (#7 A.Graham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
9.8%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #3 A.Raymond caught at USC48, for 2 yards to the USC46 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
10.1%
PENALTY RU Delay Of Game (#12 D.Lonergan) 5 yards from USC46 to RU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+13
10.0%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #4 J.Houston caught at USC38, for 13 yards to the USC38 (#6 C.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
10.4%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 5 yards gain to the USC33 (#6 C.Pierce)Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
10.5%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC29 (#6 C.Pierce; #94 L.Wafle)Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
10.5%
(02:58) Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC28 (#17 D.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
10.8%
(02:11) Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USC20, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+3
10.9%
(01:38) Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC17 (#88 F.Boucard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
11.2%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Coke thrown to USC05Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
11.2%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #11 L.Blake caught at USC14, for 6 yards to the USC11 (#0 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
14.1%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at USC00, for 11 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to USC00) #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0587% → 89%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
13.2%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #16 T.Hines caught at USC33, for 15 yards to the USC40 (#5 B.Jones; #9 D.Gilley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
12.6%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USC46 (#20 C.Joines; #9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+6
12.8%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt caught at USC48, for 6 yards to the RU48 (#2 M.Walker; #6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
12.9%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU45 (#9 D.Gilley; #1 K.Sanders)Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
13.2%
PENALTY USC Delay Of Game (#14 J.Maiava) 5 yards from RU45 to RU50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 12
50
-2
13.6%
(12:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava sacked for loss of 2 yards to the USC48 (#55 Z.Angoy)Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+52
11.3%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep left to #10 C.Simms caught at RU23, for 52 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:59, 1ST DOWN #45 C.Chittenden kick attempt good (H: #35 L.Carrigan, LS: #53 L.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3811% → 11%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.0%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep middle to #8 K.Duff thrown to USC35Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.0%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU30 (#17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
11.0%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #11 L.Blake thrown to RU35 broken up by #9 K.Urlacher. #11 L.Blake injured on the playSimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
10.8%
(11:13) #94 J.Anderson punt 70 yards to the USC00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0589% → 88%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
11.5%
(11:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USC21 (#21 D.Anderson)Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
11.7%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #19 M.Bowman caught at USC22, for 8 yards to the USC29 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
11.7%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC34 (#6 A.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
11.8%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short middle to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt caught at USC46, for 22 yards to the RU44 (#10 T.Morris) PENALTY USC Pass Interference (#17 K.Dixon-Wyatt) 10 yards from USC34 to USC24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+7
12.2%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USC31 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+8
12.3%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt caught at USC39, for 8 yards to the USC39 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
11.3%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short middle to #19 M.Bowman thrown to USC44 broken up by #10 T.MorrisSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
11.7%
(08:06) #35 L.Carrigan punt 56 yards to the RU05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
17 plays · 95 yds · 6:1512% → 22%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
11.7%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #9 C.Thevenin caught at RU02, for 7 yards to the RU12 (#6 C.Pierce)Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+2
12.0%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush right for 2 yards gain to the RU14 (#27 C.Johnson)Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+2
11.8%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU16 (#94 L.Wafle; #91 A.VanSumeren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
12.4%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush right for 8 yards gain to the RU24 (#6 C.Pierce), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+3
12.8%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU27 (#17 D.Bryant; #97 J.Abasiri), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
12.9%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #11 L.Blake caught at RU33, for 11 yards to the RU38 (#6 C.Pierce) PENALTY RU Pass Interference (#2 B.Black III) 10 yards from RU27 to RU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 20
OWN 17
0
12.7%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Coke thrown to RU20 broken up by #8 D.Stephens IISimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 20
OWN 17
0
12.7%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to RU35 broken up by #6 C.PierceSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 20
OWN 17
-1
12.0%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan sacked for loss of 1 yard to the RU16 (#8 D.Stephens II, #1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 21
OWN 16
+40
12.0%
(02:55) No Huddle #94 J.Anderson pass complete short middle to #16 J.Ofurie caught at RU30, for 40 yards to the USC44 (#9 K.Urlacher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
13.9%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left thrown to USC25Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
13.9%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #3 A.Raymond caught at USC44, for 15 yards to the USC29 QB hurried by #97 J.Abasiri (#9 K.Urlacher; #91 A.VanSumeren), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USC Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
14.3%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #2 B.Black III thrown to USC22Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+13
14.3%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at USC18, for 13 yards to the USC16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USC Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
22.4%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #13 E.Coke caught at USC02, for 16 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:25, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 1:0182% → 86%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
18.3%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt caught at USC31, for 6 yards to the USC31 (#16 J.Ofurie; #10 T.Morris)Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+27
17.7%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #0 Z.Williams caught at USC45, for 27 yards to the RU42 (#16 J.Ofurie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
16.5%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush left for 3 yards gain to the RU39 (#11 M.Davis; #1 K.Sanders)Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+25
16.4%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt caught at RU16, for 25 yards to the RU14, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
15.7%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right thrown to RU12 QB hurried by #11 M.DavisSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
15.7%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #16 T.Hines thrown to RU00Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
16.7%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short right to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt thrown to RU02Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
14.3%
(00:10) #45 C.Chittenden field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #35 L.Carrigan, LS: #53 L.Brown), clock 00:10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
18.1%
(00:05) Kneel down by #12 D.Lonergan at RU23 for loss of 5 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11INT TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:0518% → 14%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
17.7%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #3 A.Raymond caught at RU30, for 22 yards to the RU47 (#9 K.Urlacher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
19.6%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Duff thrown to USC22Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
19.5%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at USC44, for 9 yards to the USC44 (#6 C.Pierce; #16 P.Brown)Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
20.3%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC40 (#8 D.Stephens II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
20.6%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Raymond thrown to USC21Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
20.7%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at USC32, for 9 yards to the USC31 (#6 C.Pierce). #8 K.Duff injured on the playSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
20.8%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC29 (#88 F.Boucard; #8 D.Stephens II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
22.4%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #9 C.Thevenin thrown to USC32Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+20
22.5%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #8 K.Duff caught at USC21, for 20 yards to the USC09 (#17 D.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-99
14.2%
Prophet Brown 99 Yd Interception Return (Caden Chittenden Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3412% → 24%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
12.3%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU27 (#8 D.Stephens II; #18 Z.Fisher) PENALTY USC Offside (#18 Z.Fisher) 5 yards from RU25 to RU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+4
12.7%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU34 (#88 F.Boucard; #17 D.Bryant)Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+49
13.0%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 49 yards gain to the USC17 (#27 C.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
24.2%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Thevenin rush middle for 17 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:53, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4782% → 93%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
17.6%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 R.Wormley rush right for 27 yards gain to the RU48 (#1 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
16.0%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #10 C.Simms caught at RU45, for 9 yards to the RU39 (#4 K.Humes)Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
16.1%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the RU35 (#2 M.Walker; #94 J.Burnett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
16.1%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep middle to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt thrown to RU00Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
16.3%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #85 T.Baker caught at RU23, for 12 yards to the RU23, out of bounds at RU23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
16.2%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #16 T.Hines caught at RU19, for 11 yards to the RU12 (#20 C.Joines; #4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
7.1%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 R.Wormley rush right for 12 yards gain to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:52, 1ST DOWN #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3510% → 26%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
9.5%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RU34 (#6 C.Pierce; #1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
9.9%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU36 (#94 L.Wafle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
9.6%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush left for 1 yard gain to the RU37 (#1 K.Crawford)Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+31
9.4%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete deep middle to #2 B.Black III caught at USC35, for 31 yards to the USC32 (#16 P.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
11.1%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #4 J.Houston caught at USC18, for 14 yards to the USC18 (#6 C.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
10.9%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC16 (#17 D.Bryant; #10 B.Shelby)Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+6
11.0%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Duff thrown to USC10 PENALTY USC Pass Interference (#27 C.Johnson) 6 yards from USC16 to USC10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
11.0%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 8 yards gain to the USC02 (#8 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.9%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:07, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 60 yds · 1:0082% → 83%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.6%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC28 (#99 R.Porter; #1 K.Sanders)Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
17.5%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete deep right to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt thrown to RU35Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
18.4%
(00:21) PENALTY RU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from USC28 to USC33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
17.2%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short left to #16 T.Hines thrown to USC36Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+32
18.1%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete deep right to #17 K.Dixon-Wyatt caught at RU35, for 32 yards to the RU35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY RU Offside declinedSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
15.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush left for 12 yards gain to the RU23, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
15.2%
W. Jordan run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
14.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU18 (#1 K.Sanders; #55 Z.Angoy)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
14.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass incomplete short middle to #19 M.Bowman thrown to RU00Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+1
15.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the RU17 (#96 K.Griffin; #21 D.Anderson)Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+2
17.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #10 C.Simms caught at RU17, for 2 yards to the RU15 (#9 D.Gilley; #4 K.Humes), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3720% → 19%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
19.6%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Duff thrown to USC45Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
19.6%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU21 (#1 K.Crawford; #90 J.Johnson)Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+3
18.9%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU24 (#8 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
18.5%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 0 yards to the RU24 (#6 C.Pierce; #17 D.Bryant), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 17TD
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:5486% → 96%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
14.2%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU21 (#10 T.Morris; #9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+13
13.9%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 R.Wormley rush left for 13 yards gain to the RU08 (#4 K.Humes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
13.0%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the RU05 (#99 R.Porter; #10 T.Morris) PENALTY RU Illegal Substitution 4 yards from RU08 to RU04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
12.4%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the RU02 (#99 R.Porter; #9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
12.5%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 W.Jordan rush middle for 0 yards to the RU02 (#1 K.Sanders; #11 M.Davis)Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.2%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #27 R.Wormley caught at RU01, for 2 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:35 #45 C.Chittenden kick attempt good (H: #35 L.Carrigan, LS: #53 L.Brown)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:045% → 19%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
5.2%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 11 yards gain to the RU36 (#16 P.Brown; #8 D.Stephens II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.1%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #13 E.Coke thrown to RU40Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
5.0%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush right for 1 yard gain to the RU37, out of bounds at RU37Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+6
4.6%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 6 yards gain to the RU43 (#94 L.Wafle)Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+12
4.6%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at RU50, for 12 yards to the USC45 (#9 K.Urlacher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
4.8%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USC40 (#8 D.Stephens II)Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
5.1%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #13 E.Coke thrown to USC35Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+12
4.9%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #8 K.Duff caught at USC31, for 12 yards to the USC28 (#16 P.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
5.0%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Duff thrown to USC09Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
4.8%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short middle to #11 L.Blake thrown to USC24 broken up by #6 C.PierceSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
4.5%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass incomplete short right thrown to USC15 QB hurried by #91 A.VanSumerenSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+28
19.0%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #5 V.Allen III caught at USC12, for 28 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:24, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 19Uncategorized
16 plays · 44 yds · 3:3689% → 96%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
11.5%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #19 M.Bowman caught at USC42, for 17 yards to the USC42 (#1 K.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
9.4%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short left to #16 T.Hines caught at USC46, for 7 yards to the USC49 (#4 K.Humes)Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
7.5%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the RU46 (#2 M.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
7.5%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 9 yards gain to the RU37 (#5 B.Jones)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+12
4.7%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 12 yards gain to the RU25 (#6 A.Wright; #9 D.Gilley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
4.6%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 0 yards to the RU25 (#9 D.Gilley)Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
4.5%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #19 M.Bowman caught at RU28, for 7 yards to the RU18 (#10 T.Morris)Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+8
4.3%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Miller rush middle for 8 yards gain to the RU10, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
4.2%
(00:56) Kneel down by #14 J.Maiava at RU11 for loss of 1 yard PENALTY USC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#84 T.Ashcraft) 15 yards from RU11 to RU26Similar
Q4 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
4.3%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava rush middle for 1 yard loss to the RU11 fumbled by #14 J.Maiava at RU10 recovered by USC #73 T.Raymond at RU11, End Of Play PENALTY USC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#84 T.Ashcraft) 15 yards from RU11 to RU26Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 26
-5
4.4%
(00:31) Kneel down by #14 J.Maiava at RU31 for loss of 5 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:07
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Raymond rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:07, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
+14.9
TD · Q4 4:24
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Lonergan pass complete short middle to #5 V.Allen III caught at USC12, for 28 yards to the USC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:24, 1ST DOWN #29 D.Pizzaro kick attempt good (H: #21 R.McCann, LS: #58 M.O’Connor)
+14.5
TD · Q4 8:35
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Maiava pass complete short right to #27 R.Wormley caught at RU01, for 2 yards to the RU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:35 #45 C.Chittenden kick attempt good (H: #35 L.Carrigan, LS: #53 L.Brown)
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com