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PRST

Portland State 0 at Oregon 84

ORE
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2026 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:18 · (09:23) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU16 (#33 J.Henry), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+20.9Home team on offense+33.9Score differential+29.5Blowout margin+16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+15.8Garbage-time factor+12.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:33: (13:36) #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #18 K.Harrison caught at PSU08, for 10 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:33, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd) — PRST win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PRST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:03PRST 4th & 1 at PRST 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:23PRST 4th & 16 at PRST 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:37PRST 4th & 15 at PRST 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:36PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:44PRST 4th & 7 at PRST 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:42PRST 4th & 10 at ORE 44, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:52ORE 4th & 12 at PRST 40, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:39ORE 4th & 1 at PRST 29, up 63
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:38PRST 4th & 4 at PRST 31, down 70
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:18ORE 4th & 1 at PRST 20, up 70
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:45PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 32, down 77
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 11:45ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:14ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:58ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:59ORE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:33ORE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:23ORE Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:45ORE Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:27ORE Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:08ORE Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:55ORE Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:08ORE Touchdown, up 76 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:29ORE Touchdown, up 83 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
(14:54) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush left for 5 yards gain to the ORE33 (#90 H.Ware)Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+22
99.9%
(14:20) #0 J.Davison rush right for 22 yards gain to the PSU45 (#4 I.Redford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #19 A.Olesh thrown to PSU18Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
(13:38) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #6 D.Hill Jr caught at ORE48, for 3 yards to the PSU42 (#30 L.Solomon)Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+10
99.8%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #19 A.Olesh caught at PSU36, for 10 yards to the PSU32 (#4 I.Redford; #6 J.Helmstetler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Moore thrown to PSU00Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+29
99.8%
(12:33) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #6 D.Hill Jr caught at PSU36, for 29 yards to the PSU03 (#4 I.Redford; #6 J.Helmstetler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
(11:46) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:45 #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.8%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short left to #16 D.Bailey caught at PSU27, for 6 yards to the PSU28 (#2 N.Offord; #52 A.Washington)Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
(10:57) Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush left for 3 yards gain to the PSU31 (#21 A.Flowers)Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
99.8%
(10:19) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete deep middle to #82 T.Hunt thrown to ORE45 broken up by #3 K.PerichSimilar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+11
99.8%
(10:11) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 47 yards to the ORE22 #7 E.Stewart return 11 yards to the ORE33 (#6 J.Helmstetler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
99.8%
(10:01) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #7 E.Stewart caught at ORE34, for 22 yards to the PSU45 (#5 M.Ryan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.8%
(09:17) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete deep middle to #1 D.Moore caught at PSU03, for 45 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:14, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #12 B.Thomas, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.8%
(09:06) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #18 K.Harrison caught at PSU18, for 8 yards to the PSU11 (#31 L.Lisherness; #6 J.Helmstetler)Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+2
99.8%
(08:16) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush right for 2 yards gain to the PSU09 (#6 J.Helmstetler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.8%
(07:34) Shotgun #6 D.Hill Jr rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU05 (#31 L.Lisherness)Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:58 #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #12 B.Thomas, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU31 (#44 T.Tuioti; #1 B.Alexander)Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
(06:12) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short right to #24 D.Thompson caught at PSU27, for 1 yard to the PSU32 (#11 D.Williams)Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-7
99.8%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Robinson Jr. thrown to PSU50 PENALTY PSU Intentional Grounding (#5 G.Downing)Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(05:26) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 32 yards to the ORE43, out of bounds at ORE43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
99.8%
(05:19) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #6 D.Hill Jr caught at ORE41, for 18 yards to the PSU39 (#4 I.Redford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.8%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete deep right to #7 E.Stewart caught at PSU04, for 39 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:59, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #12 B.Thomas, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short right to #24 D.Thompson caught at PSU21, for 4 yards to the PSU29 (#44 T.Tuioti; #12 P.Woodyard) PENALTY ORE Block Below Waist (#13 G.Nix) 15 yards from PSU29 to PSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short right to #10 T.Beaman thrown to PSU50 QB hurried by #31 N.WyattSimilar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-3
99.9%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush middle for 3 yards loss to the PSU41 (#0 D.Robinson)Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short right to #10 T.Beaman caught at ORE40, for 19 yards to the ORE40 (#13 G.Nix) PENALTY PSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#82 T.Hunt) 5 yards from PSU41 to PSU36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU39 (#31 N.Wyatt)Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
99.9%
(02:37) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 44 yards to the ORE17 fair catch by #7 E.Stewart at ORE17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.8%
(02:34) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ORE21 (#30 L.Solomon)Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+4
99.8%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush left for 4 yards gain to the ORE25 (#4 I.Redford)Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
(01:30) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ORE31 (#6 J.Helmstetler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.8%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #15 M.Hampton caught at ORE39, for 11 yards to the ORE42 (#12 D.Farmer; #6 J.Helmstetler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.8%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #15 M.Hampton caught at PSU46, for 12 yards to the PSU46 (#26 S.Melson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
99.9%
(00:01) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete deep right to #18 K.Harrison caught at PSU25, for 26 yards to the PSU20 (#26 S.Melson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
(14:57) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU14 (#31 L.Lisherness) PENALTY ORE Illegal Formation (#5 D.Moore) 5 yards from PSU20 to PSU25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
99.9%
(14:25) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush left for 0 yards to the PSU25 (#6 J.Helmstetler)Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
99.9%
(13:47) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short right to #19 A.Olesh thrown to PSU20 broken up by #6 J.HelmstetlerSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+15
99.9%
(13:41) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep right to #7 E.Stewart thrown to PSU03, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (#5 M.Ryan) 15 yards from PSU25 to PSU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
(13:36) #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #18 K.Harrison caught at PSU08, for 10 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:33, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short right to #3 T.Loville caught at PSU30, for 11 yards to the PSU36 (#3 K.Perich; #11 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Raby rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU36 (#55 M.Johnson)Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short right to #3 T.Loville thrown to PSU40 broken up by #9 D.JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short left to #6 C.Newman caught at PSU31, for 5 yards to the PSU41 (#2 N.Offord)Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
(11:42) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 59 yards to the ORE00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 6:03100% → 100%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
99.8%
(11:34) #0 J.Davison rush middle for 19 yards gain to the ORE39 (#30 L.Solomon; #4 I.Redford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
99.8%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore sacked for loss of 3 yards to the ORE36 (#44 K.Cosma)Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
(10:21) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ORE40 (#28 D.West)Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+9
99.8%
(09:42) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #18 K.Harrison caught at ORE45, for 9 yards to the ORE49 (#30 L.Solomon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
(09:04) Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush left for 9 yards gain to the PSU42 (#5 M.Ryan)Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+11
99.7%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #7 E.Stewart caught at PSU42, for 11 yards to the PSU31 (#28 D.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
99.9%
(07:57) Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush right for 13 yards gain to the PSU18 (#4 I.Redford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
99.9%
(07:16) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #21 D.Riggs caught at PSU21, for 3 yards loss to the PSU21 (#30 L.Solomon)Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+9
99.9%
(06:35) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #0 J.Davison caught at PSU26, for 9 yards to the PSU12 (#4 I.Redford; #25 K.Booker)Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
(06:11) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #13 G.Bair caught at PSU07, for 5 yards to the PSU07, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
(05:31) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short left to #15 M.Hampton thrown to PSU00Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
(05:24) #6 D.Hill Jr rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:23 #25 R.Graziano kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
(05:20) Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PSU24 (#1 B.Alexander; #6 J.Mixon)Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
(04:38) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Newman thrown to PSU35 QB hurried by #10 M.UiagaleleiSimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
(04:33) Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU28 (#55 M.Johnson; #6 J.Mixon)Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
(03:48) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 9 yards to the PSU37, out of bounds at PSU37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
(03:41) #0 J.Davison rush right for 5 yards gain to the PSU32 (#5 M.Ryan)Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
(03:03) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 1 yard gain to the PSU31 (#4 I.Redford)Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+9
99.9%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #1 D.Moore caught at PSU23, for 9 yards to the PSU22 (#5 M.Ryan; #30 L.Solomon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
(02:06) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush left for 3 yards gain to the PSU19 (#6 J.Helmstetler)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+12
99.9%
(01:57) Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush middle for 12 yards gain to the PSU07 (#12 D.Farmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #15 M.Hampton caught at PSU00, for 7 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:45 #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #12 B.Thomas, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
(01:42) Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU28 (#1 B.Alexander)Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU28 (#13 G.Nix)Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.Thompson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU31 (#52 A.Washington)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete deep right to #6 C.Newman thrown to PSU45Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.9%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short right to #10 T.Beaman caught at PSU27, for 21 yards to the PSU46 (#18 D.Brew), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.9%
(14:09) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short left to #24 D.Thompson thrown to ORE40 QB hurried by #47 E.Rushing PENALTY ORE Holding (#18 D.Brew) 10 yards from PSU46 to ORE44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
(14:02) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short middle to #82 T.Hunt thrown to ORE40 QB hurried by #31 N.WyattSimilar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
(13:59) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short left to #10 T.Beaman thrown to ORE42 broken up by #31 N.WyattSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
(13:54) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short left to #10 T.Beaman thrown to ORE25 QB hurried by #13 G.NixSimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
(13:46) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 44 yards to the ORE00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
(13:39) Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ORE30 (#30 L.Solomon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #13 G.Bair caught at ORE35, for 10 yards to the ORE40 (#26 S.Melson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
(12:40) Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush middle for 15 yards gain to the PSU45 (#12 D.Farmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #13 G.Bair caught at PSU40, for 10 yards to the PSU35 (#26 S.Melson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.9%
(11:45) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PSU29 (#34 B.De'Asis)Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+11
99.9%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #15 M.Hampton caught at PSU18, for 11 yards to the PSU18 (#22 D.Washington; #31 L.Lisherness), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.9%
(10:43) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #83 H.Lewis caught at PSU20, for 7 yards to the PSU11 (#22 D.Washington)Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-2
99.9%
(10:10) Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush left for 2 yards loss to the PSU13 (#12 D.Farmer)Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
(09:29) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #19 A.Olesh caught at PSU00, for 13 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:27, 1ST DOWN #25 R.Graziano kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 16INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+15
99.9%
(09:17) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass intercepted by #5 D.Benjamin at PSU27 #5 D.Benjamin return 15 yards to the PSU12, out of bounds at PSU12 PENALTY ORE Personal Foul (#55 M.Johnson) 15 yards from PSU23 to PSU38Similar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
100.0%
(09:17) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass intercepted by #5 D.Benjamin at PSU27 #5 D.Benjamin return 4 yards to the PSU23, out of bounds at PSU23 PENALTY ORE Personal Foul (#55 M.Johnson) 15 yards from PSU23 to PSU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
99.9%
(09:05) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete deep middle to #15 M.Hampton caught at PSU00, for 0 yards to the PSU38 PENALTY ORE Holding offsetting PSU Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
(09:05) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU37 (#80 E.Vega)Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-9
99.9%
(08:34) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola sacked for loss of 9 yards to the PSU46 (#31 L.Lisherness, #97 J.Taylor)Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 18
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
(07:45) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #2 I.Hooks caught at PSU48, for 6 yards to the PSU40 (#30 L.Solomon)Similar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
99.9%
(07:00) #39 B.Ettridge punt 30 yards to the PSU10 fair catch by #6 C.Newman at PSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 18INT
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
100.0%
(06:52) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass incomplete short middle to #16 D.Bailey thrown to PSU20Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+39
100.0%
(06:48) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete deep right to #3 T.Loville caught at PSU43, for 39 yards to the PSU49 (#14 A.Scott Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
PENALTY PSU Delay Of Game (#5 G.Downing) 5 yards from PSU49 to PSU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
100.0%
(06:02) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass intercepted by #24 J.Washington at PSU43, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
(05:36) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU36 (#12 D.Farmer)Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
(04:55) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #83 H.Lewis caught at PSU38, for 6 yards to the PSU30 (#19 B.Gionet), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.9%
(04:27) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #15 M.Hampton caught at PSU17, for 13 yards to the PSU17, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
100.0%
(04:08) Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short left to #15 M.Hampton caught at PSU00, for 17 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:08, 1ST DOWN #25 R.Graziano kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(04:03) Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass intercepted by #24 J.Washington at PSU38, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21TD
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:01100% → 100%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
(04:03) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU34 (#97 J.Taylor)Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
(04:43) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU32 (#19 B.Gionet)Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
100.0%
(03:06) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush left for 3 yards gain to the PSU29 (#4 I.Redford)Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
(02:47) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU27 (#34 B.De'Asis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
100.0%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU24 (#44 K.Cosma; #93 O.Macy)Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+10
100.0%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU18 (#30 L.Solomon) PENALTY ORE Illegal Block in Back (#78 G.Wilson) 10 yards from PSU24 to PSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+24
99.9%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #21 D.Riggs caught at PSU40, for 24 yards to the PSU10 (#80 E.Vega), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
100.0%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU06 (#6 J.Helmstetler; #44 K.Cosma)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Riggs rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU02 (#43 C.Katoanga; #97 J.Taylor)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
100.0%
PENALTY ORE False Start (#58 Z.Addison) 5 yards from PSU02 to PSU07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
(14:56) #8 D.Raiola pass complete short right to #89 B.Bidwell caught at PSU00, for 7 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55, 1ST DOWN #25 R.Graziano kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(14:52) Shotgun #23 N.Raby rush right for 0 yards to the PSU25 (#55 M.Johnson)Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
100.0%
(14:09) Shotgun #5 G.Downing sacked for loss of 8 yards to the PSU17 (#42 A.Breland)Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+14
100.0%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Downing pass complete short right to #2 J.Robinson Jr. caught at PSU31, for 14 yards to the PSU31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+10
100.0%
(12:46) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 57 yards to the ORE12 #1 D.Moore return 10 yards to the ORE22 (#10 T.Beaman; #31 L.Lisherness)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
100.0%
(12:35) Shotgun #4 T.Ball rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ORE30 (#59 Z.Wade; #22 D.Washington) PENALTY PSU Face Mask (#59 Z.Wade) 15 yards from ORE30 to ORE45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
(11:52) Shotgun #12 B.Thomas pass incomplete short left to #13 G.Bair thrown to PSU47 broken up by #22 D.WashingtonSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
100.0%
(11:35) Shotgun #4 T.Ball rush right for 14 yards gain to the PSU41 (#19 Z.Floyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
100.0%
(11:28) Shotgun #4 T.Ball rush right for 9 yards gain to the PSU32 (#12 D.Farmer; #43 C.Katoanga)Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
100.0%
(11:05) Shotgun #4 T.Ball rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU29 (#6 J.Helmstetler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
100.0%
(10:37) Shotgun #4 T.Ball rush right for 3 yards gain to the PSU26 (#93 O.Macy)Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+1
100.0%
(10:17) Shotgun #12 B.Thomas pass complete short right to #4 T.Ball caught at PSU25, for 1 yard to the PSU25 (#28 D.West)Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
100.0%
(09:41) Shotgun #12 B.Thomas pass complete short right to #89 B.Bidwell caught at PSU20, for 5 yards to the PSU20, out of bounds at PSU20Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+4
100.0%
(09:23) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU16 (#33 J.Henry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
100.0%
(08:44) Shotgun #12 B.Thomas pass incomplete short right to #87 A.Pugliano thrown to PSU00Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+12
100.0%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Thomas pass complete short left to #83 H.Lewis caught at PSU17, for 12 yards to the PSU04 (#12 D.Farmer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Tradarian Ball 4 Yd Run (Rocco Graziano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Raby rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU29 (#8 T.McNutt; #13 G.Nix)Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Raby rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU30 (#16 A.Banag)Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Raby rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU32 (#20 X.Lherisse)Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
(06:01) #88 E.Rodriguez Montanez punt 51 yards to the ORE17 #2 I.Hooks return 4 yards to the ORE21 (#33 J.Henry; #45 B.Fleming)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q4 5:07
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Smith Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ORE28 (#93 O.Macy)Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+11
100.0%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 11 yards gain to the ORE39 (#12 D.Farmer; #94 A.Ducsik), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
100.0%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Smith Jr. pass complete short left to #82 N.McCoy II caught at ORE50, for 11 yards to the ORE50 (#22 D.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Smith Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #89 B.Bidwell thrown to PSU25Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
50
+8
100.0%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU42 (#28 D.West)Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+7
100.0%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU35 (#28 D.West; #33 J.Henry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Smith Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #82 N.McCoy II thrown to PSU00Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
100.0%
PENALTY ORE Delay Of Game (#11 A.Smith Jr.) 5 yards from PSU35 to PSU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Ball rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU34 (#12 D.Farmer)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+20
100.0%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Smith Jr. pass complete short right to #4 T.Ball caught at PSU33, for 20 yards to the PSU14 (#28 D.West), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
100.0%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU12 (#12 D.Farmer; #43 C.Katoanga)Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
100.0%
(01:18) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush right for 7 yards gain to the PSU05 (#28 D.West)Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
100.0%
(01:11) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU02 (#22 D.Washington; #36 S.McDaniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
(00:29) Shotgun #26 B.Smith rush right for 2 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #25 R.Graziano kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 26END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
(00:28) Kneel down by #9 J.Sagapolutele at PSU23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:33
(13:36) #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #18 K.Harrison caught at PSU08, for 10 yards to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:33, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Hurych kick attempt good (H: #39 B.Ettridge, LS: #71 R.Todd)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com