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UND

North Dakota 7 at Nebraska 34

NEB
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUND aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:50 · (12:01) #85 L.Silvernale punt 45 yards to the NEB24 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 7 yards to the NEB31 (#88 S.Strandell) PENALTY NEB Holding (#15 K.Smith) 10 yards from NEB31 to NEB21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+27.7Home team on offense+21.4Score differential+13.2Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:36: (00:40) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills), clock 00:36 PENALTY UND Running Into The Kicker declined — NEB win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:57: (14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush left for 55 yards gain to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:57, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills) — NEB win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:49: (05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short left to #3 C.Goodloe caught at NEB02, for 7 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:49, 1ST DOWN #27 K.Laughman kick attempt good (H: #25 S.Klestinski, LS: #35 S.Kline) — UND win probability +2.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:30: (05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush left for 2 yards gain to the NEB27 (#97 L.Eckheart) — NEB win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: (14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #18 Q.Clark caught at UND00, for 5 yards to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills) — NEB win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UND made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 8:41UND 4th & 1 at UND 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:48UND 4th & 12 at UND 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:09NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:38UND 4th & 5 at NEB 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:48NEB 4th & 5 at UND 36, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17UND 4th & 7 at UND 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:52NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:57UND 4th & 14 at UND 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36NEB 4th & 8 at UND 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:08UND 4th & 8 at UND 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:50UND 4th & 14 at UND 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:35NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 27, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:03UND 4th & 1 at UND 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:49UND 4th & 1 at NEB 7, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−1.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:51NEB 4th & 1 at UND 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:27UND 4th & 5 at NEB 10, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:26NEB 4th & 3 at UND 43, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:16UND 4th & 2 at UND 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:51NEB 4th & 8 at UND 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UND made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:31NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:54NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:57NEB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:49UND Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55NEB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2696% → 96%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #1 N.Hunter thrown to NEB23 broken up by #3 J.WiltshireSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.9%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Nelson rush right for 6 yards gain to the NEB31 (#22 B.Thornton)Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
95.8%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #3 K.Gilmer caught at NEB37, for 10 yards to the NEB41 (#2 A.Dixon; #9 T.Erkman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
95.7%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 3 yards gain to the NEB44 (#27 G.Noland)Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
95.7%
(13:22) No Huddle #13 M.Nelson rush left for 5 yards gain to the NEB49 (#9 T.Erkman), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
95.5%
(12:46) No Huddle #25 J.Rule rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND49 (#13 K.Vig), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
95.4%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Nelson rush right for 24 yards gain to the UND25 (#9 T.Erkman; #4 E.Kludt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
95.4%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #29 C.Nelson caught at UND27, for 6 yards to the UND19 (#3 J.Wiltshire; #75 T.Henry)Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+9
95.3%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Nelson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UND10 (#27 G.Noland; #9 T.Erkman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.5%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush right for 10 yards gain to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:31, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:325% → 5%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
95.3%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Lawson rush left for 7 yards gain to the UND27 (#26 D.McDougle III)Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
95.2%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Lawson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND29 (#24 D.Foster)Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
95.2%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush middle for 0 yards to the UND29 (#1 J.Whittington; #5 A.Jones Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+19
95.1%
(08:47) No Huddle #4 M.Lawson rush left for 19 yards gain to the UND48 (#26 D.McDougle III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
94.9%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UND38 (#44 R.Van Poppel)Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+8
94.9%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short middle to #11 C.Weir caught at UND46, for 8 yards to the UND46 (#5 A.Jones Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 12
OWN 46
0
94.9%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Goodloe thrown to NEB35 broken up by #8 D.JonesSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 12
OWN 46
+1
94.9%
(06:50) #85 L.Silvernale punt 45 yards to the NEB09 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 1 yard to the NEB10 (#35 S.Kline; #11 E.Boll)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 5:4795% → 96%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
94.8%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush right for 3 yards gain to the NEB13 (#7 M.Devereaux)Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+8
94.7%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #18 Q.Clark caught at NEB21, for 8 yards to the NEB21 (#27 G.Noland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
94.7%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush left for 16 yards gain to the NEB37 (#7 M.Devereaux; #2 A.Dixon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
94.7%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB39 (#7 M.Devereaux)Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
94.7%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush left for 4 yards gain to the NEB43 (#27 G.Noland; #11 E.Boll)Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
94.5%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #25 J.Rule caught at NEB45, for 2 yards to the NEB45 (#27 G.Noland)Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+5
94.3%
(03:19) No Huddle #2 J.Barney Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the NEB50 (#8 G.Tylutki), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
50
+9
94.4%
(02:40) No Huddle #25 J.Rule rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UND41 (#8 G.Tylutki)Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+27
94.3%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at UND18, for 27 yards to the UND14 (#4 E.Kludt), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
94.2%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush left for 11 yards gain to the UND03 (#8 G.Tylutki; #22 B.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.5%
(00:57) No Huddle #25 J.Rule rush left for 3 yards gain to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:54 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:075% → 5%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.9%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND26 (#4 J.Conn)Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+32
94.9%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short left to #2 D.Deng caught at UND31, for 32 yards to the NEB42 (#26 D.McDougle III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
94.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush left for 3 yards gain to the NEB39 (#26 D.McDougle III; #10 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
94.5%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush right for 2 yards gain to the NEB37, out of bounds at NEB37Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
94.6%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short left to #11 C.Weir thrown to NEB33Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+1
94.6%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush right for 1 yard gain to the NEB36 (#5 A.Jones Jr.), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:4595% → 95%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.2%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep middle to #1 N.Hunter thrown to UND37 QB hurried by #11 E.BollSimilar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
95.1%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush left for 6 yards gain to the NEB42 (#9 T.Erkman; #27 G.Noland)Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
95.2%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at NEB45, for 6 yards to the NEB48 (#7 M.Devereaux), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
95.3%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NEB50 (#95 K.Pereira; #94 B.Mohr)Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 8
50
+1
95.3%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND49 (#11 E.Boll; #7 M.Devereaux)Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+8
95.1%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 8 yards gain to the UND41 (#7 M.Devereaux; #3 J.Wiltshire), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
95.2%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Hunter rush right for 2 yards gain to the UND39, out of bounds at UND39Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-2
95.2%
(09:55) No Huddle #22 I.Mozee rush right for 2 yards loss to the UND41 (#99 K.Macklin)Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+5
95.0%
(09:30) No Huddle #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #1 N.Hunter caught at UND38, for 5 yards to the UND36 (#11 E.Boll; #20 B.Kamara)Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+54
94.8%
(08:50) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills), clock 08:48, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
94.3%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Lawson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND37 (#24 D.Foster)Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
94.3%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Lawson thrown to UND30 QB hurried by #24 D.FosterSimilar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
94.4%
PENALTY UND False Start (#62 B.Buxa) 5 yards from UND37 to UND32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+7
94.5%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short right to #2 D.Deng caught at UND33, for 7 yards to the UND39 (#8 D.Jones)Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
94.4%
(07:24) #85 L.Silvernale punt 49 yards to the NEB12, out of bounds at NEB12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1795% → 94%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
94.5%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Nelson rush left for 4 yards gain to the NEB16 (#22 B.Thornton)Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+1
94.5%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Nelson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NEB17 (#7 M.Devereaux; #8 G.Tylutki)Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
94.3%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to NEB50 QB hurried by #7 M.DevereauxSimilar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
94.0%
(06:01) #83 A.Wilson punt 49 yards to the UND34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:476% → 6%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
94.1%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski sacked for loss of 11 yards to the UND23 (#0 O.Chambliss, #34 O.Stoudmire)Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 21
OWN 23
+2
94.2%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush right for 2 yards gain to the UND25 (#8 D.Jones; #0 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 19
OWN 25
+5
94.2%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Lawson rush right for 5 yards gain to the UND30 (#0 O.Chambliss; #26 D.McDougle III)Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
94.2%
(04:08) #85 L.Silvernale punt 55 yards to the NEB15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:1294% → 96%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
94.3%
(03:56) No Huddle #25 J.Rule rush left for 2 yards gain to the NEB17 (#94 B.Mohr)Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+33
94.4%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #25 J.Rule caught at NEB15, for 33 yards to the NEB50 (#9 T.Erkman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
50
-4
94.8%
(02:40) No Huddle #13 M.Nelson rush right for 4 yards loss to the NEB46 (#99 K.Macklin)Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
94.7%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #3 K.Gilmer caught at NEB49, for 5 yards to the UND49 (#8 G.Tylutki)Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+33
94.6%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #8 L.Lindenmeyer caught at UND30, for 33 yards to the UND16 (#27 G.Noland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
94.9%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND14 (#7 M.Devereaux)Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
94.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Barney Jr. thrown to UND03 broken up by #94 B.MohrSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
95.1%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short middle to #8 L.Lindenmeyer thrown to UND08Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
96.0%
(00:40) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills), clock 00:36 PENALTY UND Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 10END OF HALF
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:035% → 5%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush right for 0 yards to the UND25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.1%
(00:23) Kneel down by North Dakota at UND24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:395% → 4%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush right for 2 yards gain to the UND27 (#0 O.Chambliss)Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.4%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short left to #2 D.Deng thrown to UND26 QB hurried by #96 W.NwaneriSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
95.6%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short right to #2 D.Deng thrown to UND42Similar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+17
95.6%
(14:17) #85 L.Silvernale punt 45 yards to the NEB28 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 17 yards to the NEB45, out of bounds at NEB45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
98.0%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush left for 55 yards gain to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:57, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:553% → 2%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
97.2%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UND26 (#1 J.Whittington)Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+14
97.8%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush left for 14 yards gain to the UND40 (#16 D.Odem III), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-9
97.5%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UND31 (#40 D.Merritt)Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+7
97.7%
(12:01) #85 L.Silvernale punt 45 yards to the NEB24 #2 J.Barney Jr. return 7 yards to the NEB31 (#88 S.Strandell) PENALTY NEB Holding (#15 K.Smith) 10 yards from NEB31 to NEB21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0598% → 98%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
98.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #1 N.Hunter caught at NEB16, for 1 yard loss to the NEB20 (#3 J.Wiltshire; #8 G.Tylutki)Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
98.2%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #1 N.Hunter thrown to NEB17Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+7
98.2%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #13 M.Nelson caught at NEB15, for 7 yards to the NEB27 (#3 J.Wiltshire)Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
98.2%
(10:41) #83 A.Wilson punt 35 yards to the UND38 fair catch by #11 C.Weir at UND38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 15TD
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:352% → 5%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
97.8%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Lawson rush middle for 5 yards loss to the UND33 (#2 C.Lenhardt)Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+14
98.0%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short left to #2 D.Deng caught at UND46, for 14 yards to the UND47 (#22 V.Evans III) PENALTY NEB Offside declinedSimilar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
97.8%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 G.Broderick rush middle for 0 yards to the UND47 (#93 K.Pietrzak)Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
98.2%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 G.Broderick rush left for 2 yards gain to the UND49 (#0 O.Chambliss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
98.1%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UND40 (#8 D.Jones)Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+2
98.3%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND42 (#0 O.Chambliss; #71 T.Terry)Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 17
OWN 42
+9
98.3%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush left for 9 yards gain to the NEB49, out of bounds at NEB49 PENALTY NEB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#22 V.Evans III) 15 yards from NEB49 to NEB34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
98.0%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short middle to #80 W.Hafer caught at NEB25, for 18 yards to the NEB16 (#4 J.Conn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
97.9%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short right to #5 K.Tai caught at NEB18, for 6 yards to the NEB10 (#7 A.Marshall; #4 J.Conn)Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 4
OPP 10
0
98.0%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Goodloe thrown to NEB00 QB hurried by #0 O.Chambliss. #79 T.Thaden injured on the playSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
98.2%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB07 (#26 D.McDougle III; #10 V.Shavers Jr.)Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+7
95.4%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short left to #3 C.Goodloe caught at NEB02, for 7 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:49, 1ST DOWN #27 K.Laughman kick attempt good (H: #25 S.Klestinski, LS: #35 S.Kline)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3597% → 99%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.1%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush left for 2 yards gain to the NEB27 (#97 L.Eckheart)Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+29
97.2%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at UND44, for 29 yards to the UND44 (#27 G.Noland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
97.4%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush right for 3 yards gain to the UND41 (#8 G.Tylutki)Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
97.4%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Nelson rush right for 6 yards gain to the UND35 (#35 A.Scott)Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
97.3%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush middle for 0 yards to the UND35 (#97 L.Eckheart)Similar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
97.1%
(02:57) No Huddle #25 J.Rule rush right for 2 yards gain to the UND33 (#7 M.Devereaux), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
97.5%
(02:18) No Huddle #25 J.Rule rush right for 7 yards gain to the UND26 (#9 T.Erkman)Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+20
97.6%
(01:53) No Huddle #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #1 N.Hunter caught at UND27, for 20 yards to the UND06 (#3 J.Wiltshire; #9 T.Erkman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
97.6%
(01:25) No Huddle #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 2 yards loss to the UND08 (#99 K.Macklin)Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
97.6%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 M.Nelson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UND05 (#99 K.Macklin)Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #18 Q.Clark caught at UND00, for 5 yards to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:231% → 1%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.1%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short left to #3 C.Goodloe caught at UND30, for 8 yards to the UND33, out of bounds at UND33Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.0%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush left for 6 yards gain to the UND39 (#26 D.McDougle III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.1%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush right for 9 yards gain to the UND48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
99.0%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush right for 0 yards to the UND48 (#7 A.Marshall)Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+22
99.1%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski rush middle for 22 yards gain to the NEB30 (#4 J.Conn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
99.0%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Goodloe thrown to NEB04 PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (#16 D.Odem III) 15 yards from NEB30 to NEB15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.0%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short right to #5 K.Tai thrown to NEB00Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.0%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Lawson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NEB10 (#5 A.Jones Jr.)Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
99.1%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short left to #6 C.Langama thrown to NEB00 QB hurried by #96 W.Nwaneri and #44 R.Van PoppelSimilar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 5
OPP 10
0
99.1%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Tai pass incomplete short right to #80 W.Hafer thrown to NEB00 QB hurried by #96 W.Nwaneri, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:48100% → 100%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.5%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush right for 2 yards gain to the NEB12 (#99 K.Macklin)Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+13
99.5%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #22 I.Mozee caught at NEB10, for 13 yards to the NEB25 (#94 B.Mohr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
(10:09) PENALTY NEB False Start (#11 D.Bell) 5 yards from NEB25 to NEB20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
99.5%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 14 yards gain to the NEB34 (#35 A.Scott)Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
(09:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass incomplete deep right to #15 K.Smith thrown to UND40Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.6%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 V.Genatone rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEB37 (#7 M.Devereaux), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.6%
(08:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush left for 4 yards gain to the NEB41 (#22 B.Thornton). #29 C.Nelson injured on the playSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
99.6%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Lateef pass complete short right to #4 J.Bonner caught at NEB44, for 9 yards to the NEB50 (#3 J.Wiltshire), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.6%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush right for 8 yards gain to the UND42 (#9 T.Erkman)Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 I.Mozee rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND41 (#11 E.Boll)Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-2
99.7%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 V.Genatone rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UND43 (#22 B.Thornton)Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
99.7%
(05:30) #83 A.Wilson punt 33 yards to the UND10 fair catch by #11 C.Weir at UND10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.6%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short left to #2 D.Deng caught at UND16, for 6 yards to the UND16, out of bounds at UND16Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+2
99.6%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Langama rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND18 (#12 J.Rhett)Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
99.6%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass incomplete short left to #2 D.Deng thrown to UND35 QB hurried by #25 J.CharlesSimilar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
99.6%
(04:22) #85 L.Silvernale punt 40 yards to the NEB42, out of bounds at NEB42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20FG
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Kaelin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NEB46 (#19 T.Vig)Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+30
99.8%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 K.Ives rush left for 30 yards gain to the UND24 (#23 O.Thielges; #5 S.Ostrenga), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.8%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Kaelin pass complete short right to #17 L.Miles caught at UND27, for 1 yard loss to the UND25 (#35 A.Scott)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+3
99.8%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Booth rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UND22 (#23 O.Thielges; #18 M.Miller)Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
99.8%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Kaelin pass incomplete short middle to #49 D.King thrown to UND17Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
100.0%
(01:53) #91 K.Cunanan field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills), clock 01:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 21END OF HALF
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 G.Broderick rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UND29 (#33 J.Jones)Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
100.0%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Tupou'ata-Johnson rush left for 22 yards gain to the NEB49, out of bounds at NEB49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 G.Broderick rush right for 2 yards gain to the NEB47 (#90 D.Berymon)Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
100.0%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 G.Broderick rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NEB41 (#31 M.Buford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:49
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Kaminski pass complete short left to #3 C.Goodloe caught at NEB02, for 7 yards to the NEB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:49, 1ST DOWN #27 K.Laughman kick attempt good (H: #25 S.Klestinski, LS: #35 S.Kline)
-2.7
TD · Q3 13:57
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 J.Rule rush left for 55 yards gain to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:57, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
+2.4
TD · Q4 14:55
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #18 Q.Clark caught at UND00, for 5 yards to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com