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UTEP

UTEP 17 at Michigan 52

MICH
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:58: (05:58) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #32 L.Sperling caught at U-M15, for 18 yards to the U-M00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:58, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Arreola kick attempt good (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb) — UTEP win probability +5.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:31: (01:34) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP07, for 21 yards to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:31, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford) — MICH win probability +5.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Trey Butkowski 49 Yd Field Goal — MICH win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:03: (10:07) #23 J.Marshall rush left for 6 yards gain to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:03, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford) — MICH win probability +3.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:25: (05:30) Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:25, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford) — MICH win probability +2.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 4:52MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:22UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:12UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:29UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:05MICH 4th & 1 at UTEP 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:44UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:44UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:56MICH 4th & 4 at UTEP 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:51UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:42UTEP 4th & 2 at MICH 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:11UTEP 4th & 17 at MICH 21, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:53UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:51UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:34MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:58UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:31MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:03MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:25MICH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00MICH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:44MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1FUMBLE
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:4199% → 98%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
(14:52) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #3 A.Marsh caught at U-M23, for 7 yards to the U-M32 (#2 X.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
98.5%
(14:20) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #3 A.Marsh caught at U-M30, for 14 yards to the U-M46 (#10 J.Wilson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.4%
(13:46) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 4 yards gain to the U-M50 (#4 G.Hawkins; #90 A.Coker)Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 6
50
+9
98.4%
(13:12) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP43, for 9 yards to the TEP41 (#10 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
98.4%
(12:55) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP31, for 10 yards to the TEP31 (#2 X.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
98.3%
(12:27) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush left for 1 yard loss to the TEP32 (#1 E.Fields)Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
98.3%
(11:55) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Marsh thrown to TEP21Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+16
98.2%
(11:53) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #23 J.Marshall caught at TEP19, for 16 yards to the TEP16 (#0 J.Content), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
98.2%
(11:16) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush right for 14 yards gain to the TEP02 (#2 X.Smith) PENALTY U-M Holding (#44 E.Owens) 10 yards from TEP16 to TEP26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+2
98.2%
(10:51) Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 2 yards gain to the TEP24 (#0 J.Content; #12 D.Howard), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 18
OPP 24
-3
98.1%
(10:12) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TEP27 (#1 E.Fields), fumble by #19 B.Underwood recovered by TEP #4 G.Hawkins at TEP27, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 3:032% → 3%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.0%
(10:03) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short middle to #3 J.Smith caught at TEP30, for 6 yards to the TEP33 (#1 R.Moore)Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+13
97.9%
(09:19) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush right for 13 yards gain to the TEP46 (#1 R.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.8%
(08:40) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEP48 (#95 T.Pierce; #7 C.Bracy)Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
97.7%
(08:04) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush left for 2 yards gain to the TEP50 (#90 J.Daley; #0 J.Hill)Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 6
50
+5
97.6%
(07:18) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TEP43 (#8 D.Nichols) PENALTY U-M Offside (#8 D.Nichols) 5 yards from TEP50 to U-M45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+45
97.2%
(06:57) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete deep middle to #5 C.Cheeks caught at U-M20, for 45 yards to the U-M00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:51, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Arreola kick attempt good (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5397% → 97%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
(06:47) Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the U-M28 (#3 S.Bowser)Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.2%
(06:21) Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush right for 5 yards gain to the U-M33 (#32 A.Hutchinson)Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
97.0%
(05:38) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush middle for 0 yards to the U-M33 (#4 G.Hawkins)Similar
Q1 4:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
96.8%
(04:54) #33 C.Brown punt 45 yards to the TEP22 fair catch by #8 K.Thomas at TEP22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:213% → 4%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
96.8%
(04:49) Shotgun #32 L.Sperling rush left for 7 yards gain to the TEP29 (#18 T.Bowles; #4 C.Taylor)Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+3
96.5%
(04:14) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short right to #8 K.Thomas caught at TEP30, for 3 yards to the TEP32 (#0 J.Hill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.4%
(03:31) Shotgun #32 L.Sperling rush right for 0 yards to the TEP32 (#13 A.Moa)Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
96.2%
(02:51) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TEP27 (#90 J.Daley)Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+8
96.1%
(02:05) Shotgun #8 K.Thomas rush left for 8 yards gain to the TEP35 (#18 T.Bowles; #0 J.Hill)Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
95.8%
(01:26) #47 B.Braun punt 33 yards to the U-M32, out of bounds at U-M32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:3996% → 96%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
95.8%
(01:22) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 4 yards gain to the U-M36 (#4 G.Hawkins; #32 A.Hutchinson)Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+17
95.7%
(00:52) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #6 J.Buchanan caught at U-M50, for 17 yards to the TEP47 (#0 J.Content), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
95.8%
(00:21) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TEP38 (#19 S.Miles; #32 A.Hutchinson)Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+6
95.6%
(14:58) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEP32 (#25 R.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.6%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 0 yards to the TEP32 (#10 J.Wilson). TEP is challenging the ruling on the field - "Runner was down by contact". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
95.4%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEP29 (#7 K.Lowe)Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+8
95.1%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #3 A.Marsh caught at TEP21, for 8 yards to the TEP21 (#18 D.Thompson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Marsh thrown to TEP19 broken up by #18 D.Thompson)Similar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
95.1%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEP19 (#3 S.Bowser; #16 E.Guillory)Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
94.8%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #3 A.Marsh caught at TEP16, for 7 yards to the TEP12 (#4 G.Hawkins; #2 X.Smith)Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+5
94.5%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEP07 (#10 J.Wilson; #90 A.Coker), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEP Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
94.6%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEP06 (#16 E.Guillory)Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.9%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:34 #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 4:135% → 7%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.1%
(10:32) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush right for 2 yards loss to the TEP23 (#13 A.Moa; #93 B.Patterson)Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
94.8%
(09:49) Shotgun #3 J.Smith rush right for 13 yards gain to the TEP36 (#1 R.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
94.4%
(09:06) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short middle to #81 J.Nash caught at TEP41, for 10 yards to the TEP46 (#18 T.Bowles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
93.9%
(08:28) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the U-M49 (#4 C.Taylor)Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
93.2%
(07:49) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #0 T.Jones caught at U-M49, for 0 yards to the U-M49 (#3 S.Snowden)Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-3
92.9%
(07:00) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush left for 3 yards loss to the TEP48 (#18 T.Bowles)Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
93.3%
(06:19) #47 B.Braun punt 38 yards to the U-M14 fair catch by #3 A.Marsh at U-M14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
94.0%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 4 yards gain to the U-M18 fumbled by #5 S.Hiter at U-M17 forced by #17 D.Williams recovered by TEP #18 D.Thompson at U-M18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
88.6%
(05:58) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #32 L.Sperling caught at U-M15, for 18 yards to the U-M00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:58, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Arreola kick attempt good (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:2391% → 93%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short middle to #6 J.Buchanan thrown to U-M35Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete deep left to #6 J.Buchanan thrown to U-M45 PENALTY TEP Offside (#25 R.Wilson) 5 yards from U-M25 to U-M30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
90.6%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush right for 1 yard gain to the U-M31 (#2 X.Smith; #0 J.Content)Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
89.9%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #3 A.Marsh caught at U-M37, for 9 yards to the U-M40 (#13 I.Bogerty), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
90.2%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 4 yards gain to the U-M44 (#13 I.Bogerty)Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+9
90.0%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #3 A.Marsh caught at TEP47, for 9 yards to the TEP47 (#0 J.Content), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.0%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #3 A.Marsh caught at U-M49, for 5 yards to the TEP42 (#0 J.Content)Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
89.7%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete deep left to #3 A.Marsh thrown to TEP20 PENALTY TEP Holding (#19 S.Miles) 10 yards from TEP42 to TEP32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
90.1%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEP29 (#90 A.Coker; #13 I.Bogerty)Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
89.3%
(02:19) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEP25 (#0 J.Content; #32 A.Hutchinson)Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
87.8%
(01:54) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEP21 (#4 G.Hawkins; #2 X.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
92.8%
(01:34) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP07, for 21 yards to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:31, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:589% → 9%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
(01:31) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush left for 0 yards to the TEP25 (#41 T.Boney)Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.5%
(01:25) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TEP24 (#93 B.Patterson; #41 T.Boney)Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
90.9%
(01:17) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush left for 1 yard gain to the TEP25 (#1 R.Moore; #91 J.Lea'ea)Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
90.8%
(00:38) #47 B.Braun punt 24 yards to the TEP49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:2593% → 94%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.6%
(00:27) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete deep right to #6 J.Buchanan thrown to TEP25Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
92.3%
(00:23) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP38, for 9 yards to the TEP40 (#10 J.Wilson; #18 D.Thompson)Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
92.2%
(00:08) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+9
91.8%
(00:08) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #3 A.Marsh caught at TEP33, for 9 yards to the TEP31, out of bounds at TEP31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+49
93.9%
Trey Butkowski 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:088% → 8%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
(14:58) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the TEP25 (#90 J.Daley; #17 E.Etta)Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.7%
(14:11) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TEP24 (#4 C.Taylor; #17 E.Etta)Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
91.6%
(13:31) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the TEP24 (#17 E.Etta)Similar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+10
91.7%
(12:54) #47 B.Braun punt 38 yards to the U-M38 #3 A.Marsh return 10 yards to the U-M48 (#49 I.Hall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:3692% → 95%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
92.1%
(12:38) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush right for 11 yards gain to the TEP41 (#23 K.Miles), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
92.0%
(12:12) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP30, for 16 yards to the TEP25 (#2 X.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
92.1%
(11:47) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood rush left for 5 yards gain to the TEP20 (#23 K.Miles; #4 G.Hawkins)Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
91.8%
(11:10) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP10, for 10 yards to the TEP10 (#2 X.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
91.6%
(10:31) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush right for 4 yards gain to the TEP06 (#2 X.Smith)Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.1%
(10:07) #23 J.Marshall rush left for 6 yards gain to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:03, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:156% → 5%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
(10:01) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass incomplete short left to #2 R.Capell thrown to TEP31Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.0%
(09:57) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #3 J.Smith caught at TEP29, for 4 yards to the TEP29 (#12 N.Owusu-Boateng)Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
94.9%
(09:29) Shotgun #2 R.Capell rush right for 3 yards loss to the TEP26 (#8 D.Nichols)Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.1%
(08:50) #47 B.Braun punt 20 yards to the TEP46, out of bounds at TEP46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:1995% → 98%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.2%
(08:44) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short left to #3 A.Marsh thrown to TEP32Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
95.0%
(07:25) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEP43 (#7 K.Lowe)Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+3
94.8%
(07:18) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short left to #3 A.Marsh caught at TEP45, for 3 yards to the TEP40 (#90 A.Coker)Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+10
94.6%
(07:05) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #13 T.Johnson caught at TEP32, for 10 yards to the TEP30 (#2 X.Smith; #8 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
95.2%
(06:40) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush left for 15 yards gain to the TEP15 (#10 J.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
95.2%
(06:15) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Johnson thrown to TEP09 broken up by #0 J.ContentSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
95.1%
(06:13) Shotgun #23 J.Marshall rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TEP08 (#8 S.Smith; #23 K.Miles)Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
98.0%
(05:30) Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:25, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:153% → 2%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
97.3%
(05:18) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. sacked for loss of 2 yards to the TEP17 (#4 C.Taylor, #99 B.Kanka)Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 12
OWN 17
-4
97.5%
(04:32) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. sacked for loss of 8 yards to the TEP09 (#93 B.Patterson, #94 N.Marshall)Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 20
OWN 9
+11
97.7%
(03:42) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush right for 11 yards gain to the TEP20 (#4 C.Taylor)Similar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
97.6%
(02:59) #47 B.Braun punt 42 yards to the U-M38 #3 A.Marsh return 0 yards to the U-M38 (#0 J.Content; #2 X.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:2598% → 99%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
98.0%
(02:49) Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush left for 15 yards gain to the TEP47 (#0 J.Content; #2 X.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.1%
(02:24) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass incomplete deep middle to #13 T.Johnson thrown to TEP10Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
98.1%
(02:18) Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEP39 (#32 A.Hutchinson; #13 I.Bogerty)Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
98.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Hiter rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEP34 (#11 D.Burns; #13 I.Bogerty), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.3%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short right to #3 A.Marsh caught at TEP30, for 34 yards to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18INT TD
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:031% → 0%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
(01:08) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEP28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.3%
(00:59) PENALTY TEP False Start (#74 G.Johnson) 5 yards from TEP28 to TEP23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-9
99.4%
(00:35) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. sacked for loss of 9 yards to the TEP14 (#41 T.Boney)Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-9
100.0%
Jonah Lea'ea 9 Yd Interception Return (Trey Butkowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19FG
15 plays · 36 yds · 6:340% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
(14:52) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEP48 (#25 M.Curtis)Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
(14:08) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEP50 (#14 C.Meadows)Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
50
+4
99.9%
(13:26) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush right for 4 yards gain to the U-M46 (#30 M.Alford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
(12:47) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass incomplete deep right to #5 C.Cheeks thrown to U-M25 QB hurried by #41 T.BoneySimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
(12:42) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Brown thrown to U-M34 broken up by #2 S.EarlsSimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+8
100.0%
(12:33) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 8 yards gain to the U-M38 (#54 D.Palepale; #30 M.Alford)Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+10
99.9%
(11:48) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush left for 10 yards gain to the U-M28 (#6 J.Young), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
100.0%
(10:55) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass incomplete deep left to #7 J.Brown thrown to U-M05Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+14
100.0%
(10:57) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 1 yard loss to the U-M29 (#41 T.Boney; #2 S.Earls) PENALTY U-M Roughing The Passer (#41 T.Boney) 14 yards from U-M28 to U-M14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
100.0%
(10:25) Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush middle for 6 yards loss to the U-M20 (#30 M.Alford)Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 16
OPP 20
+2
100.0%
(09:44) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush right for 2 yards gain to the U-M18 (#25 M.Curtis)Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 14
OPP 18
-3
100.0%
(08:58) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass complete short left to #0 T.Jones caught at U-M23, for 3 yards loss to the U-M21 (#5 J.Oden)Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+39
100.0%
(08:14) #91 C.Arreola field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb), clock 08:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Carr pass complete short right to #12 S.Moa caught at TEP47, for 4 yards to the TEP47 (#18 D.Thompson)Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 T.Johnson rush left for 2 yards gain to the TEP45 (#17 D.Williams; #10 J.Wilson)Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Carr rush left for 12 yards gain to the TEP33 (#17 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Carr rush right for 6 yards gain to the TEP27 (#17 D.Williams; #8 S.Smith)Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
100.0%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Kuzdzal rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEP23 (#32 A.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
100.0%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 S.Moa rush left for 1 yard loss to the TEP24 (#8 S.Smith; #27 L.Thompson)Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+5
100.0%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #36 T.O'Meara rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEP19 (#17 D.Williams)Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
100.0%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 T.Carr pass complete short left to #12 S.Moa caught at TEP00, for 19 yards to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:44, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
PENALTY TEP Delay Of Game (#12 R.Moore III) 5 yards from TEP25 to TEP20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
(03:44) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass complete short right to #14 M.Torres caught at TEP24, for 4 yards to the TEP24 (#31 N.Andrighetto)Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
100.0%
(03:05) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass complete short middle to #14 M.Torres caught at TEP29, for 6 yards to the TEP30 (#6 J.Young)Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
(02:29) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush left for 1 yard gain to the TEP31 (#5 J.Oden)Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush right for 0 yards to the TEP31 (#23 M.Dabney; #92 T.Hammond), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
100.0%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #44 E.Owens rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TEP24 (#27 L.Thompson)Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-2
100.0%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 D.Johnson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEP26 (#21 D.Davis)Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-1
100.0%
(00:21) Kneel down by #14 T.Carr at TEP27 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:58
(05:58) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #32 L.Sperling caught at U-M15, for 18 yards to the U-M00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:58, 1ST DOWN #91 C.Arreola kick attempt good (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb)
-5.4
TD · Q2 1:31
(01:34) Shotgun #19 B.Underwood pass complete short middle to #6 J.Buchanan caught at TEP07, for 21 yards to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:31, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)
+5
TD · Q3 10:03
(10:07) #23 J.Marshall rush left for 6 yards gain to the TEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:03, 1ST DOWN #99 T.Butkowski kick attempt good (H: #33 C.Brown, LS: #49 N.Crawford)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com