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2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:56 · (02:00) Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND35 (#46 I.Jones), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior+38.0Home team on offense+3.3Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Garbage-time factor−0.7Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:51: Davion Chandler 26 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick) — IU win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q2 1:26: (01:33) #19 B.Gowers punt 30 yards to the WKU15 — IU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:43: (11:46) #35 P.McAteer field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 11:43 — IU win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 11:43: Timeout Indiana, clock 11:43 — WKU win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:43: (10:55) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep middle to #80 C.Becker caught at WKU35, for 79 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43, 1ST DOWN #35 P.McAteer kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) — IU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:51WKU 4th & 21 at WKU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:59IU 4th & 9 at WKU 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:10WKU 4th & 2 at IU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:51IU 4th & 2 at WKU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:56WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:09IU 4th & 5 at WKU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:56WKU 4th & 1 at IU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:26IU 4th & 3 at WKU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:43IU 4th & 2 at WKU 2, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:55WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:14WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 43, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:50IU 4th & 7 at IU 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:45WKU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:38WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:01IU 4th & 14 at IU 21, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:06WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 36, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:20WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:01IU 4th & 11 at WKU 47, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 9:51IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:37IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:43IU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:38IU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:10IU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.0%
(15:00) Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush left for 1 yard loss to the WKU24 (#5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
99.0%
(14:29) Shotgun #80 J.Stafford Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the WKU30 (#10 R.Gandy; #6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
98.9%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #12 Q.Burroughs caught at WKU40, for 11 yards to the WKU41 (#1 A.Ferrell; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.9%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short left thrown to WKU50 QB hurried by #12 T.OsunsanmiSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
98.9%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WKU40 (#5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-10
98.8%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn sacked for loss of 10 yards to the WKU30 (#12 T.Osunsanmi), fumble by #11 B.Glenn recovered by WKU #11 B.Glenn at WKU30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 21
OWN 30
0
98.8%
(11:58) #43 J.Smith punt 45 yards to the IND25 fair catch by #80 C.Becker at IND25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:5299% → 98%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
98.8%
(11:51) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush right for 25 yards gain to the IND50 (#5 D.Herard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
50
+8
98.7%
(11:13) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at WKU45, for 8 yards to the WKU42 (#2 T.Newsome Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
98.7%
(10:43) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WKU41 (#93 R.Su'a-Filo)Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
98.6%
(10:09) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 4 yards gain to the WKU37 (#5 D.Herard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
98.6%
(09:30) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the WKU39 (#32 W.Ard; #10 X.Griffin)Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+3
98.5%
(08:53) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the WKU36 (#7 J.Lewis)Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
98.4%
(08:08) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to WKU20Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+54
98.4%
(08:04) #35 P.McAteer field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 07:59, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3DOWNS
18 plays · 62 yds · 6:492% → 3%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.4%
(07:59) Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush left for 2 yards gain to the WKU38 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
98.3%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush left for 9 yards gain to the WKU47, out of bounds at WKU47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
98.2%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush right for 8 yards gain to the IND45 (#5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
98.1%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #80 J.Stafford Jr. caught at IND45, for 1 yard to the IND44 (#22 J.Sharpe), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
98.0%
(05:58) #11 B.Glenn rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND42 (#46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
97.9%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #3 A.Allen caught at IND45, for 4 yards to the IND38 (#6 P.Zachman) PENALTY WKU Holding (#19 L.Howard) 10 yards from IND38 to IND48Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 16
OPP 48
+5
98.0%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND43 (#22 J.Sharpe; #1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+21
97.8%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short middle to #14 C.Ezirim caught at IND26, for 21 yards to the IND22 (#10 R.Gandy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
97.7%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #80 J.Stafford Jr. caught at IND25, for 3 yards loss to the IND25 (#1 A.Ferrell; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+5
97.6%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 L.Meadows rush right for 5 yards gain to the IND20 (#10 R.Gandy)Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+16
97.6%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #4 C.Flowers caught at IND04, for 16 yards to the IND04 (#10 R.Gandy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
97.3%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the IND06 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
97.2%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #3 A.Allen caught at IND02, for 4 yards to the IND02 (#6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.2%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short middle to #7 Q.Humphreys thrown to IND00Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.2%
(01:19) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short left to #7 Q.Humphreys thrown to IND00 broken up by #22 J.Sharpe QB hurried by #7 C.Obiazor and #95 T.Tucker, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 98 yds · 6:1997% → 97%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
97.4%
(01:10) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND05 (#0 M.Malotumau; #93 R.Su'a-Filo)Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+8
97.3%
(00:29) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at IND08, for 8 yards to the IND13 (#10 X.Griffin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
97.2%
(00:01) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND16, for 4 yards to the IND17 (#2 T.Newsome Jr.)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-3
97.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover sacked for loss of 3 yards to the IND14 (#0 M.Malotumau)Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+13
97.0%
(14:20) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND27, for 13 yards to the IND27, out of bounds at IND27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
97.0%
(13:43) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at IND32, for 9 yards to the IND36 (#7 J.Lewis; #2 T.Newsome Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+5
97.0%
(13:06) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND41 (#21 J.Wester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
96.9%
(12:33) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at WKU47, for 25 yards to the WKU34 (#6 J.Brown; #32 W.Ard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
96.9%
(11:50) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at WKU28, for 6 yards to the WKU28 (#32 W.Ard; #10 X.Griffin)Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+1
96.8%
(11:18) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the WKU27 (#13 L.Thompson)Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+1
96.5%
(10:40) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the WKU26 (#10 X.Griffin)Similar
Q2 9:51
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+26
97.4%
Davion Chandler 26 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:553% → 3%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.3%
(09:51) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WKU34 (#46 I.Jones; #6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
97.0%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush right for 9 yards gain to the WKU43 (#6 P.Zachman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
97.0%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #4 C.Flowers caught at WKU43, for 4 yards to the WKU47 (#5 R.Hardy), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
96.8%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short right to #19 L.Howard thrown to IND40 QB hurried by #8 J.BurnhamSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+5
96.9%
(08:16) PENALTY WKU False Start (#78 T.Major) 5 yards from WKU47 to WKU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
97.1%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short right thrown to WKU45 QB hurried by #8 J.BurnhamSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 11
OWN 42
+17
97.2%
(08:05) #43 J.Smith punt 50 yards to the IND08 #80 C.Becker return 17 yards to the IND25 (#13 L.Thompson), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:4797% → 97%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.3%
(07:56) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #11 N.Marsh caught at IND31, for 15 yards to the IND40 (#6 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
97.3%
(07:22) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #8 T.Morris caught at WKU46, for 14 yards to the WKU46 (#6 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
97.3%
(06:48) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 4 yards gain to the WKU42 (#17 Z.Minnis)Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
97.2%
(06:14) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at WKU36, for 7 yards to the WKU35 (#7 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
97.2%
(05:29) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WKU31 (#13 L.Thompson; #32 W.Ard)Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
97.1%
(04:54) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the WKU30 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
96.9%
(04:18) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #7 S.Preston thrown to WKU25Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
96.7%
(04:13) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #11 N.Marsh thrown to WKU20, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:133% → 4%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.0%
(04:09) Shotgun #80 J.Stafford Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the WKU33 (#22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+9
96.9%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short left to #14 C.Ezirim caught at WKU41, for 9 yards to the WKU42 (#5 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
96.8%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short middle to #80 J.Stafford Jr. caught at IND43, for 15 yards to the IND43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.4%
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #80 J.Stafford Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the IND38 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
96.2%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short middle to #17 Z.Taylor thrown to IND31Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
96.3%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND34 (#90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
95.9%
(02:00) Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND35 (#46 I.Jones), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:3097% → 97%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.8%
(01:56) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND48, for 13 yards to the IND48 (#10 X.Griffin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.0%
(01:51) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #29 L.Beebe Jr. caught at IND42, for 2 yards to the IND50 (#7 J.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 8
50
0
97.0%
(01:45) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep left to #11 N.Marsh thrown to WKU25Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 8
50
+5
96.9%
(01:41) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WKU45 (#32 W.Ard; #21 J.Wester)Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
97.3%
(01:33) #19 B.Gowers punt 30 yards to the WKU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:264% → 4%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
96.3%
Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short left to #19 L.Howard caught at WKU20, for 5 yards to the WKU20 (#6 P.Zachman), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
96.3%
(01:22) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete deep left to #7 Q.Humphreys thrown to WKU40 QB hurried by #97 M.LandinoSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-21
96.3%
(01:15) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass intercepted by #46 I.Jones at WKU24 #46 I.Jones return 21 yards to the WKU03 (#11 B.Glenn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3097% → 97%
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.9%
(01:07) #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU01 (#45 J.Knight; #52 J.Fletcher)Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
(00:41) No Huddle #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:37. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #35 P.McAteer kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.4%
Kneel down by #11 B.Glenn at WKU23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:1397% → 98%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
97.4%
(14:56) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND45, for 18 yards to the WKU42 (#10 X.Griffin; #7 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.4%
(14:20) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 2 yards gain to the WKU40 (#6 J.Brown)Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+31
97.4%
(13:44) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 31 yards gain to the WKU09 (#2 T.Newsome Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.4%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WKU05 (#7 J.Lewis; #13 L.Thompson)Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
97.3%
(12:32) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the WKU02 (#21 J.Wester; #7 J.Lewis)Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.2%
(11:50) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Morris thrown to WKU00 broken up by #6 J.BrownSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
97.7%
(11:46) #35 P.McAteer field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 11:43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:483% → 3%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.5%
(11:43) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush right for 1 yard gain to the WKU26 (#97 M.Landino)Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.5%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short middle to #80 J.Stafford Jr. thrown to WKU30 broken up by #2 B.Baldwin Jr.Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.6%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short right thrown to WKU40 QB hurried by #97 M.Landino and #17 D.NdukweSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.5%
(11:03) #43 J.Smith punt 53 yards to the IND21 fair catch by #80 C.Becker at IND21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
1 play · 79 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
99.1%
(10:55) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep middle to #80 C.Becker caught at WKU35, for 79 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43, 1ST DOWN #35 P.McAteer kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.8%
(10:43) Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush left for 7 yards gain to the WKU32 (#6 P.Zachman; #10 R.Gandy)Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
98.8%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WKU33 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.8%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WKU37 (#5 R.Hardy; #6 P.Zachman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.8%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short right to #8 M.Barry thrown to IND45Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.8%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush left for 6 yards gain to the WKU43 (#5 R.Hardy; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
98.8%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short right to #14 C.Ezirim thrown to WKU50 QB hurried by #46 I.JonesSimilar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
98.8%
(08:21) #43 J.Smith punt 29 yards to the IND28, out of bounds at IND28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.2%
(08:14) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the IND27 (#0 M.Malotumau)Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+4
99.1%
(07:40) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND31 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
99.2%
(07:03) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep right to #11 N.Marsh thrown to WKU44Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
99.1%
(06:56) #19 B.Gowers punt 42 yards to the WKU27 fair catch by #80 J.Stafford Jr. at WKU27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.8%
(06:50) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete deep left to #12 Q.Burroughs thrown to IND42Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
98.9%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short left to #19 L.Howard caught at WKU36, for 14 yards to the WKU41 (#6 P.Zachman; #13 Q.Sanks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
98.9%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Flowers rush middle for 7 yards loss to the WKU34 (#22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+11
99.0%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short left to #80 J.Stafford Jr. caught at WKU32, for 11 yards to the WKU45 (#22 J.Sharpe; #5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
99.0%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short left to #8 M.Barry caught at WKU50, for 5 yards to the WKU50 fumbled by #8 M.Barry at WKU50 forced by #10 R.Gandy, out of bounds at WKU50Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 1
50
0
99.0%
(04:50) #11 B.Glenn rush middle for 0 yards to the WKU50 (#46 I.Jones), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 3:0799% → 100%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.4%
(04:45) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at WKU43, for 12 yards to the WKU38 fumbled by #11 N.Marsh at WKU39 forced by #21 J.Wester recovered by IND #11 N.Marsh at WKU38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.4%
(04:00) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush right for 4 yards gain to the WKU34 (#21 J.Wester)Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+13
99.5%
(03:24) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 13 yards gain to the WKU21 (#39 J.Pollard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.5%
(02:48) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 3 yards gain to the WKU18 (#10 X.Griffin)Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+16
99.6%
(02:02) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #7 S.Preston caught at WKU03, for 16 yards to the WKU02 (#3 C.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:38 #35 P.McAteer kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(01:38) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short left thrown to WKU40 QB hurried by #91 B.Smythe and #98 C.McHaneySimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
(01:30) Shotgun #17 Z.Taylor rush right for 4 yards gain to the WKU29 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(00:51) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass incomplete short right to #3 A.Allen thrown to WKU30 QB hurried by #5 R.HardySimilar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(00:47) #43 J.Smith punt 46 yards to the IND25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(00:38) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND26 (#93 R.Su'a-Filo)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
99.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #4 D.Chandler caught at IND22, for 2 yards loss to the IND24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.9%
(14:18) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover rush right for 52 yards gain to the WKU24 (#6 J.Brown), out of bounds PENALTY IND Holding (#65 C.Smith) 10 yards from IND24 to IND14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
(13:54) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND21 (#7 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
(13:08) #19 B.Gowers punt 43 yards to the WKU36 fair catch by #80 J.Stafford Jr. at WKU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(13:01) Shotgun #22 L.Meadows rush left for 0 yards to the WKU36 (#5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush middle for 0 yards to the WKU36 fumbled by #11 B.Glenn at WKU33 recovered by WKU #11 B.Glenn at WKU36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(11:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #3 A.Allen caught at WKU36, for 0 yards to the WKU36 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
(11:13) #43 J.Smith punt 64 yards to the IND00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:56100% → 100%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
(11:06) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND24 (#32 W.Ard)Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
100.0%
(10:33) Shotgun #2 G.Wilson pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at IND27, for 7 yards to the IND31 (#21 J.Wester), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
100.0%
(09:56) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush right for 13 yards gain to the IND44 (#32 W.Ard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
100.0%
(09:13) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WKU45 (#5 D.Herard; #10 X.Griffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
100.0%
(08:34) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the WKU36 (#10 X.Griffin), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+11
100.0%
(07:55) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WKU25 (#6 J.Brown; #7 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
100.0%
(07:16) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush right for 25 yards gain to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:10, 1ST DOWN #35 P.McAteer kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(07:10) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short right to #80 J.Stafford Jr. caught at WKU23, for 0 yards to the WKU25 (#3 J.Bell)Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
(06:37) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn rush right for 0 yards to the WKU25 (#14 K.Turner). #74 K.Upchurch injured on the playSimilar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
(06:06) Shotgun #11 B.Glenn pass complete short left to #80 J.Stafford Jr. caught at WKU24, for 3 yards to the WKU28 (#3 J.Bell; #16 J.Owens)Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
(05:28) #43 J.Smith punt 46 yards to the IND26, out of bounds at IND26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24Uncategorized
11 plays · 27 yds · 5:19100% → 100%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
100.0%
Shotgun #20 S.Cuono rush right for 8 yards gain to the IND34 (#14 B.Myers; #19 J.Cosby-Mosley)Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
(04:39) Shotgun #20 S.Cuono rush left for 4 yards gain to the IND38 (#32 W.Ard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
100.0%
(04:00) Shotgun #20 S.Cuono rush right for 9 yards gain to the IND47 (#7 J.Lewis)Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+7
100.0%
(03:17) Shotgun #22 J.Campbell rush left for 7 yards gain to the WKU46 (#7 J.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
(02:35) Shotgun #20 S.Cuono rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WKU44 (#92 J.Griffin)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-4
100.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #2 G.Wilson sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WKU48 (#32 W.Ard)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
(01:20) Shotgun #20 S.Cuono rush right for 6 yards gain to the WKU42 (#18 G.Akpaloo)Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
(00:21) PENALTY IND Delay Of Game 5 yards from WKU42 to WKU47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
100.0%
(00:01) #19 B.Gowers punt 39 yards to the WKU08 fair catch by #80 J.Stafford Jr. at WKU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:43
(10:55) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep middle to #80 C.Becker caught at WKU35, for 79 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:43, 1ST DOWN #35 P.McAteer kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
+1.5
PUNT · Q2 1:26
(01:33) #19 B.Gowers punt 30 yards to the WKU15
+1.2
TD · Q2 9:51
Davion Chandler 26 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com