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WIU

Western Illinois 9 at Wisconsin 36

WIS
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.2WIS 98.9%(12:53) #97 G.Lahm field goal attemptfrom 49 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS:#56 J.Roe), clock 12:48AWAY 3 - HOME 20 · Q2 12:48
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:48 · (12:53) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 12:48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior+44.3Home team on offense+9.0Score differential+4.9Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:59: (05:01) #41 R.Culkin field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #19 L.Droegemueller, LS: #45 B.Bergfeld), clock 04:59 — WIU win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:30: (02:33) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 02:30 — WIS win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:24: (10:27) #41 R.Culkin field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #19 L.Droegemueller, LS: #45 B.Bergfeld), clock 10:24 — WIU win probability +0.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:39: (05:44) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 28 yards gain to the WIL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:14: (05:21) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIL33, for 33 yards to the WIL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:14, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt failed (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe) — WIS win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:57WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:15WIS 4th & 11 at WIU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:52WIU 4th & 5 at WIS 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:48WIS 4th & 11 at WIU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:13WIU 4th & 2 at WIS 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:59WIU 4th & 6 at WIS 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:30WIS 4th & 6 at WIU 33, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:13WIU 4th & 6 at WIS 48, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:24WIU 4th & 16 at WIS 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:49WIU 4th & 3 at WIU 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:45WIS 4th & 12 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:56WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 27, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:45WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 46, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:12WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:39WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 33, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:47WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:54WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:39WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:14WIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
99.4%
(14:50) Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 72 yards gain to the WIL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:47, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.3%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIL30 (#30 C.Perkins)Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
99.3%
(13:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Robinson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIL31 (#44 C.Catalano; #91 H.Russell IV)Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
99.3%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short right to #0 P.Tucker thrown to WIL37 QB hurried by #15 S.CheeksSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+18
99.3%
(13:00) #19 L.Droegemueller punt 41 yards to the WIS28 #0 T.Henry return 18 yards to the WIS46 fumbled by #0 T.Henry at WIS46 forced by #15 K.Sleets recovered by WIS #21 C.Skanes at WIS46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
99.3%
(12:57) Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 31 yards gain to the WIL23 (#18 C.Garrett), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.3%
(12:22) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at WIL19, for 12 yards to the WIL11, out of bounds at WIL11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
99.2%
(11:43) Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 3 yards loss to the WIL14 (#3 A.Bonner)Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+2
99.2%
(10:57) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIL12 (#10 N.Reinicke)Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
99.2%
(10:21) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #89 J.Harris thrown to WIL00Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
99.2%
(10:17) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 10:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 4PUNT TD
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:141% → 1%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIL28 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.1%
PENALTY WIL False Start (#69 T.Sulsberger) 5 yards from WIL28 to WIL23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
99.1%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIL25 (#76 D.Johnson)Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short right to #1 I.Jackson-Anderson caught at WIL25, for 5 yards to the WIL30 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.2%
Carson Van Dinter 3 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Gavin Lahm Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:531% → 1%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.2%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short left to #8 J.Kania caught at WIL37, for 13 yards to the WIL38 (#1 E.Fletcher Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.2%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIL41 (#15 S.Cheeks)Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+18
99.1%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short right to #6 J.Robinson caught at WIL44, for 18 yards to the WIS41 (#4 M.Burks Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.1%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Robinson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS38 (#7 T.Fearbry)Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+10
99.1%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Robinson rush right for 10 yards gain to the WIS28 (#3 C.Bates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.0%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS25 (#97 J.Poyser)Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
99.0%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush right for 10 yards gain to the WIS15 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.0%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS11 (#2 J.Robinson)Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
99.0%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS08 (#29 M.Jung; #30 C.Perkins)Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-2
99.0%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Robinson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the WIS10 (#7 T.Fearbry)Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
98.8%
(01:52) #41 R.Culkin field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #19 L.Droegemueller, LS: #45 B.Bergfeld), clock 01:52Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6FG
13 plays · 37 yds · 3:4999% → 99%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.9%
(01:41) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WIS37 (#7 J.Romulus)Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+11
98.9%
(01:05) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at WIS42, for 11 yards to the WIS48 (#35 J.Kruger; #10 N.Reinicke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.9%
(00:28) Shotgun #15 N.Palmer rush left for 22 yards gain (2) to the WIL30 (#98 S.Oberst) PENALTY WIS Holding (#71 P.Wilkins) 10 yards from WIL50 to WIS40Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 18
OWN 40
+5
98.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #3 A.Sama III caught at WIS33, for 5 yards to the WIS45, out of bounds at WIS45Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
98.8%
(14:16) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. thrown to WIL47 broken up by #20 B.HapnerSimilar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+25
98.8%
(14:11) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #0 T.Henry caught at WIL39, for 25 yards to the WIL30 (#7 J.Romulus), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.8%
(13:42) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #4 M.Coleman thrown to WIL24Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
98.8%
(13:41) Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush left for 1 yard loss to the WIL31 (#4 A.Dobbins)Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
98.7%
(12:55) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIL34Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+49
98.9%
(12:53) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 12:48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 7:391% → 2%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Conely rush right for 5 yards gain to the WIL30 (#29 M.Jung; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush right for 4 yards gain to the WIL34 (#76 D.Johnson; #44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.7%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Knight rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIL36 (#76 D.Johnson; #29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
98.7%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short middle to #11 C.Edwards caught at WIL43, for 7 yards to the WIL43 (#19 T.Heiberger)Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+17
98.6%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 17 yards gain to the WIS40 (#29 M.Jung; #21 C.Skanes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
98.6%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Knight rush right for 15 yards gain to the WIS25, out of bounds at WIS25, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
98.5%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush right for 5 yards gain to the WIS20, out of bounds at WIS20. #75 D.Leiggi injured on the playSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
98.4%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush right for 0 yards to the WIS20 (#29 M.Jung)Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+3
98.4%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Knight rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS17 (#7 T.Fearbry). #7 T.Fearbry injured on the playSimilar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+3
98.4%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS14 (#15 S.Cheeks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.2%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short left to #15 D.Hargro thrown to WIS00Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
98.2%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIS11 (#92 N.Vils)Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+1
98.2%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIS10 (#15 S.Cheeks; #92 N.Vils)Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
97.9%
(05:01) #41 R.Culkin field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #19 L.Droegemueller, LS: #45 B.Bergfeld), clock 04:59Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:1298% → 99%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
98.1%
(04:52) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIS48, for 6 yards to the WIS48 (#20 B.Hapner)Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+15
98.1%
(04:16) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass intercepted by #20 B.Hapner at WIL12 PENALTY WIL Pass Interference (#20 B.Hapner) 15 yards from WIS48 to WIL37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
98.1%
(03:59) #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIL35 (#13 T.Griffin)Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
98.1%
(03:20) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #89 J.Harris thrown to WIL31Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+2
98.0%
(03:17) Shotgun #0 T.Henry rush right for 2 yards gain to the WIL33 (#10 N.Reinicke; #90 J.Jean Louis)Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
98.5%
(02:33) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 02:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:092% → 2%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush right for 2 yards gain to the WIL27 (#2 J.Robinson)Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
98.2%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush right for 6 yards gain to the WIL33 (#51 M.Garner) PENALTY WIS Horse Collar Tackle (#51 M.Garner) 15 yards from WIL33 to WIL48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.0%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short right to #0 P.Tucker thrown to WIS43 QB hurried by #7 T.FearbrySimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS48 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
97.9%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short right to #15 D.Hargro thrown to WIS44 QB hurried by #15 S.CheeksSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
98.0%
(01:20) #19 L.Droegemueller punt 48 yards to the WIS00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 1:0499% → 98%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.6%
(01:13) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short middle to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIS31Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.6%
(01:09) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS24, for 6 yards to the WIS26, out of bounds at WIS26Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
98.6%
(01:05) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS28, for 9 yards to the WIS35 (#18 C.Garrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.6%
(00:52) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIS34Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
98.6%
(00:50) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS36, for 7 yards to the WIS42 (#3 A.Bonner)Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
98.4%
(00:27) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS44 (#5 A.Stribling; #10 N.Reinicke)Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
98.1%
(00:05) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete deep middle to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIL30, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 11FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 4:222% → 3%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
98.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete deep right to #8 J.Kania caught at WIS49, for 45 yards to the WIS30 (#5 B.West), 1ST DOWN. #8 J.Kania injured on the playSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
97.8%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short middle to #1 I.Jackson-Anderson caught at WIS30, for 3 yards to the WIS27 (#8 M.Posa)Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
97.7%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short left to #6 J.Robinson caught at WIS29, for 6 yards to the WIS21, out of bounds at WIS21Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
97.8%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIS19 (#29 M.Jung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
97.7%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Hiraldo rush left for 7 yards gain to the WIS12 (#4 M.Burks Jr.). #8 M.Posa injured on the playSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
97.6%
(12:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short middle to #15 D.Hargro thrown to WIS07 broken up by #19 T.HeibergerSimilar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+4
97.8%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short right to #1 I.Jackson-Anderson caught at WIS15, for 4 yards to the WIS08 (#4 M.Burks Jr.; #44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
97.6%
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush right for 7 yards gain to the WIS01 (#19 T.Heiberger)Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.6%
(11:17) No Huddle #17 K.McGill rush middle for 0 yards to the WIS01 (#0 J.Boone)Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+10
97.8%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short right to #9 T.Zolnosky caught at WIS01, for 1 yard to the WIS00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:34 PENALTY WIL Holding (#75 D.Leiggi) 10 yards from WIS01 to WIS11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
97.8%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short middle to #0 P.Tucker thrown to WIS00Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
97.9%
PENALTY WIL Delay Of Game 5 yards from WIS11 to WIS16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
97.5%
(10:27) #41 R.Culkin field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #19 L.Droegemueller, LS: #45 B.Bergfeld), clock 10:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:3498% → 99%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
97.8%
(10:16) Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS35 (#35 J.Kruger; #10 N.Reinicke)Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+13
97.7%
(09:36) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 13 yards gain to the WIS48 (#3 A.Bonner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.8%
(09:00) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIL49 (#11 J.Buckner)Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+10
97.8%
(08:22) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WIL39 (#18 C.Garrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.9%
(07:46) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIL37 (#86 E.Kongolo)Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
97.8%
(07:02) #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIL34 (#53 C.Moss)Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+6
97.7%
(06:23) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WIL28 (#10 N.Reinicke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.2%
(05:44) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 28 yards gain to the WIL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:301% → 1%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.0%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Robinson rush left for 2 yards gain to the WIL26 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
99.1%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short right to #6 J.Robinson caught at WIL28, for 2 yards to the WIL28 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+14
99.1%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short left to #14 X.Coleman caught at WIL33, for 14 yards to the WIL42 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.1%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Robinson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIL45 (#95 J.Anderson)Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
99.1%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short right to #8 J.Kania thrown to WIL49Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+4
99.1%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short right to #3 I.Hiraldo caught at WIL44, for 4 yards to the WIL49 (#6 J.Scott)Similar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
99.2%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short middle to #6 J.Robinson thrown to WIS47 broken up by #19 T.Heiberger, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
99.4%
(01:48) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short left to #6 D.Dupree caught at WIL43, for 5 yards to the WIL43, out of bounds at WIL43 PENALTY WIS Holding (#71 P.Wilkins) 10 yards from WIL48 to WIS42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 20
OWN 42
-1
99.4%
(01:25) Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WIS41 (#53 C.Moss)Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 21
OWN 41
0
99.4%
(00:48) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short middle to #0 T.Henry thrown to WIL41Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 21
OWN 41
+9
99.5%
(00:44) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #13 E.Hilton Jr. caught at WIS50, for 9 yards to the WIS50 (#12 D.Keith)Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 12
50
0
99.5%
(00:00) #91 S.West punt 39 yards to the WIL11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:591% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
99.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WIL21 (#44 C.Catalano), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
99.3%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Knight rush left for 2 yards loss to the WIL19 (#19 T.Heiberger)Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+10
99.4%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short left to #3 I.Hiraldo caught at WIL20, for 10 yards to the WIL29 (#44 C.Catalano; #95 J.Anderson)Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+10
99.4%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Knight rush left for 10 yards gain to the WIL39 (#19 T.Heiberger), out of bounds PENALTY WIL Holding declined WIL Holding (#63 J.Durand) 10 yards from WIL29 to WIL19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+8
99.4%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass complete short right to #23 A.Johnson caught at WIL22, for 8 yards to the WIL27 (#44 C.Catalano)Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
99.4%
(12:00) #19 L.Droegemueller punt 43 yards to the WIS30 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.6%
(11:56) #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS33 (#35 J.Kruger)Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
99.6%
(11:15) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #89 J.Harris caught at WIS31, for 1 yard loss to the WIS32 (#3 A.Bonner)Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+10
99.6%
(10:32) #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WIS42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
(09:44) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WIS47 (#10 N.Reinicke)Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
99.6%
(09:03) Shotgun #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WIL47 (#16 C.Harrison Jr.) PENALTY WIS Illegal Formation 5 yards from WIS47 to WIS42. NO PLAY. #11 J.Buckner injured on the playSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.6%
(08:34) Shotgun #3 A.Sama III rush right for 4 yards gain to the WIS46 (#18 C.Garrett), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.6%
(08:01) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass incomplete short left to #7 S.Rigby thrown to WIL48 QB hurried by #17 C.JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
99.6%
(07:54) #91 S.West punt 54 yards to the WIL00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.4%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush right for 3 yards gain to the WIL23 (#43 T.Schaefer), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
99.4%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIL26 (#15 S.Cheeks)Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.5%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 K.McGill pass incomplete short right to #23 A.Johnson thrown to WIL31 broken up by #11 C.Van DinterSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.5%
(06:23) #19 L.Droegemueller punt 58 yards to the WIS16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
2 plays · 84 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+51
99.7%
(06:12) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete deep left to #0 T.Henry caught at WIS44, for 51 yards to the WIL33 (#4 A.Dobbins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
100.0%
(05:21) Shotgun #1 C.Joseph pass complete short right to #2 C.Brooks Jr. caught at WIL33, for 33 yards to the WIL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:14, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt failed (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
100.0%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Carswell pass complete short left to #0 P.Tucker caught at WIL28, for 10 yards to the WIL28, out of bounds at WIL28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIL30 (#12 N.Clayton). #67 D.Arguelles injured on the playSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Jackson-Anderson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIL34 (#76 D.Johnson; #21 C.Skanes)Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-1
100.0%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Carswell pass complete short middle to #23 A.Johnson caught at WIL33, for 1 yard loss to the WIL33 (#21 C.Skanes)Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
100.0%
(02:45) #19 L.Droegemueller punt 37 yards to the WIS30 fair catch by #0 T.Henry at WIS30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20END OF GAME
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
(02:36) #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS34 (#86 E.Kongolo; #10 N.Reinicke)Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
(02:01) #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WIS38 (#53 C.Moss)Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
(01:55) Shotgun #10 R.Hopkins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WIS41 (#10 N.Reinicke), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
100.0%
(01:27) Shotgun #10 R.Hopkins rush right for 8 yards gain to the WIS49, out of bounds at WIS49Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
(01:19) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WIL49 (#0 A.Sangster), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
(00:12) Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WIL41 (#2 E.Ofosu)Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
100.0%
(00:12) Shotgun #10 R.Hopkins rush left for 0 yards to the WIL41 (#2 E.Ofosu), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
100.0%
Shotgun #21 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WIL40 (#53 C.Moss)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:39
(05:44) #6 D.Dupree rush middle for 28 yards gain to the WIL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39, 1ST DOWN #97 G.Lahm kick attempt good (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe)
+1.5
FG · Q2 2:30
(02:33) #97 G.Lahm field goal attempt from 51 yards GOOD (H: #91 S.West, LS: #56 J.Roe), clock 02:30
+0.5
FG · Q3 10:24
(10:27) #41 R.Culkin field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #19 L.Droegemueller, LS: #45 B.Bergfeld), clock 10:24
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com