Try the model
PSU

Penn State 27 at Temple 9

TEM
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Lincoln Financial Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:00 · (10:04) #38 N.Tiyce punt 35 yards to the TEM03
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior−41.5Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:51: (06:51) #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 06:51 — PSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:29: (06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #26 K.Mason caught at TEM11, for 2 yards to the TEM18 (#9 C.Brezina) — TEM win probability +2.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:08: (00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM00, for 23 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:08, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick) — PSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:25: (08:24) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at TEM20, for 16 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:25, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick) — PSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:48: (07:50) #3 R.Becht pass complete deep left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM03, for 23 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:48, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick) — PSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 13:04PSU 4th & 15 at TEM 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:29TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:00PSU 4th & 4 at TEM 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:11PSU 4th & 2 at TEM 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:00TEM 4th & 6 at PSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:51PSU 4th & 4 at TEM 13, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.1%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:57TEM 4th & 16 at TEM 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:46TEM 4th & 10 at PSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:16TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:08PSU 4th & 5 at TEM 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:50TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:44TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:48TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1PSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 8:25PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 7:48PSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:56TEM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1MISSED FG
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:4492% → 92%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
7.6%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep middle to #6 K.Howard caught at TEM35, for 56 yards to the TEM19 (#2 S.Karriem), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Face Mask (#2 S.Karriem) 10 yards from TEM19 to TEM09, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
7.8%
(14:29) Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM05 (#25 O.Gray)Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
7.9%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush right for 1 yard gain to the TEM04, End Of Play PENALTY PSU Illegal Forward Pass (#3 R.Becht) 5 yards from TEM04 to TEM09Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
8.0%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TEM15 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
8.3%
(13:04) #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 33 yards NO GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 13:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:188% → 9%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
8.4%
(13:02) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #17 J.Bermudez caught at TEM20, for 2 yards to the TEM22 (#13 T.Rojas), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
8.5%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass incomplete short left to #0 P.Clarke thrown to TEM30Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
8.6%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM22 (#13 T.Rojas)Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+5
8.7%
PENALTY TEM Delay Of Game 5 yards from TEM22 to TEM17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+19
8.8%
(11:34) #7 D.Atton punt 46 yards to the PSU37 #2 Z.Robinson return 19 yards to the TEM44 (#15 J.Montgomery)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1991% → 91%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
8.8%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM41 (#52 R.Sykes; #58 K.Artis)Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
8.9%
(10:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Howard thrown to TEM35Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+3
9.1%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM38 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
9.4%
(10:04) #38 N.Tiyce punt 35 yards to the TEM03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:4010% → 11%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
9.5%
(09:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM04 (#1 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+5
9.8%
(09:18) #26 K.Mason rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEM09 (#3 J.Patton)Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+4
9.9%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik rush right for 4 yards gain to the TEM13 (#13 T.Rojas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
10.4%
(07:57) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM14 (#4 J.Cooper)Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-13
10.6%
(07:10) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass intercepted by #13 T.Rojas at TEM18 #13 T.Rojas return 13 yards to the TEM05 (#70 Z.Aamland), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4090% → 89%
Q1 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.3%
(07:08) Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush left for 0 yards to the TEM05 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
10.5%
(06:28) No Huddle #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM02 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
10.9%
(05:55) #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM02 (#52 R.Sykes)Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
11.3%
(05:14) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea thrown to TEM02, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6FG
17 plays · 91 yds · 8:0112% → 17%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
11.6%
(05:01) Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush left for 0 yards to the TEM03 (#33 A.McPherson; #2 A.Collins)Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+9
11.9%
(04:30) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short middle to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM08, for 9 yards to the TEM12 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+2
12.0%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM14 (#13 T.Rojas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
12.6%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #33 R.Kusch caught at TEM19, for 10 yards to the TEM24 (#31 M.Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
12.7%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass incomplete short left to #10 J.Freeman thrown to TEM41 broken up by #2 A.CollinsSimilar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+47
12.9%
(02:56) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik rush left for 47 yards gain to the PSU29 (#7 Z.Tracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
14.2%
(02:07) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU24 (#1 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-7
14.7%
(01:15) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik sacked for loss of 7 yards to the PSU31 (#19 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+13
14.7%
(00:28) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #0 P.Clarke caught at PSU25, for 13 yards to the PSU18 (#2 A.Collins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
15.8%
(14:49) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU10 (#25 A.Tatsch; #8 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+5
16.2%
(14:14) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush left for 5 yards gain to the PSU05 (#25 A.Tatsch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
16.6%
(13:36) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 1 yard loss to the PSU06 (#92 S.Taupaki)Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
17.2%
(12:52) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU06 (#99 K.Williams; #13 T.Rojas)Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
17.2%
(12:06) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Freeman thrown to PSU00Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
17.3%
(11:59) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 12:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:0783% → 83%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
17.2%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 13 yards gain to the PSU38 (#21 A.Locks; #32 A.Laing), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Personal Foul (#52 R.Sykes) 15 yards from PSU38 to TEM47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
16.4%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to TEM03 broken up by #32 A.LaingSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
16.7%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #4 B.Eskildsen caught at TEM44, for 4 yards to the TEM43 (#32 A.Laing)Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+9
16.8%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush right for 9 yards gain to the TEM34 (#2 S.Karriem), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
16.8%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TEM25 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
16.7%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEM19 (#22 J.Gould), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
17.1%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush left for 2 yards gain to the TEM17 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+5
17.4%
PENALTY PSU False Start (#51 B.Riker) 5 yards from TEM17 to TEM22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+4
18.4%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM22, for 4 yards to the TEM18 (#56 J.Diaz)Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+5
19.5%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #21 C.Hansen caught at TEM14, for 5 yards to the TEM13 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
17.1%
(06:51) #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 06:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 4:3220% → 22%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
20.1%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #26 K.Mason caught at TEM11, for 2 yards to the TEM18 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+15
20.5%
(05:54) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #33 R.Kusch caught at TEM19, for 15 yards to the TEM33 (#31 M.Neal), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
21.3%
(05:19) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 14 yards gain to the TEM47 (#7 Z.Tracy; #4 J.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
23.5%
(04:42) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #17 J.Bermudez caught at TEM46, for 4 yards to the PSU49 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
24.4%
(03:58) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM49, for 0 yards to the PSU49 (#13 T.Rojas; #99 K.Williams)Similar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+15
24.3%
(03:06) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU42 (#0 J.Joseph) PENALTY TEM Chop Block (#70 Z.Aamland) 15 yards from PSU49 to TEM36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 21
OWN 36
+5
22.2%
(02:39) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik rush left for 5 yards gain to the TEM41 (#4 J.Cooper), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 16
OWN 41
+3
22.1%
(02:07) #7 D.Atton punt 45 yards to the PSU14 #2 Z.Robinson return 3 yards to the PSU17 (#20 R.Blount)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 1:4479% → 88%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
21.2%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush left for 2 yards gain to the PSU19 (#2 S.Karriem), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+1
21.5%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU20 (#33 C.Ordonez), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+8
22.3%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #21 C.Hansen caught at PSU25, for 8 yards to the PSU28 (#13 D.Chavis; #33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
21.2%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush left for 4 yards gain to the PSU32 (#93 K.Hornbeak; #33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+12
21.2%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU44, for 12 yards to the PSU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
20.2%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #2 Z.Robinson caught at PSU47, for 8 yards to the TEM48 (#13 D.Chavis), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
19.3%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #2 Z.Robinson caught at TEM47, for 4 yards to the TEM44, out of bounds at TEM44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
19.6%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush left for 12 yards gain to the TEM32 (#13 D.Chavis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
19.1%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM28, for 9 yards to the TEM23 (#29 A.Powell)Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
12.5%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM00, for 23 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:08, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
15.0%
(00:06) Kneel down by Temple at TEM23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:0316% → 17%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.8%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 4 yards gain to the TEM29 (#8 K.Ebel)Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
16.4%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik rush left for 15 yards gain to the TEM44 (#7 Z.Tracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
17.7%
(13:35) Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush left for 22 yards gain to the PSU34 (#2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
19.5%
(12:52) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short left to #0 P.Clarke caught at PSU36, for 0 yards to the PSU34 (#4 J.Cooper)Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
19.8%
(12:02) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass incomplete short left to #17 J.Bermudez thrown to PSU25 QB hurried by #1 I.EzeoguSimilar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
18.4%
(11:54) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass incomplete short left to #10 J.Freeman thrown to PSU22 broken up by #2 A.CollinsSimilar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+52
16.6%
(11:46) #98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD blocked by #5 D.Dixson (H: #7 D.Atton, LS: #97 S.Wolfenden), clock 11:46 recovered by PSU Penn St. at PSU34, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0385% → 92%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
15.3%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #6 K.Howard caught at PSU41, for 8 yards to the PSU42 (#18 K.Dinkins)Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+5
14.7%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU47 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
14.7%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU45, for 15 yards to the TEM38 (#13 D.Chavis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
14.6%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush left for 8 yards gain to the TEM30 (#29 A.Powell)Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+10
14.4%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at TEM24, for 10 yards to the TEM20 (#29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
14.5%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEM16 (#2 S.Karriem)Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
14.7%
(08:32) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #18 B.Brahmer thrown to TEM03Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
7.8%
(08:24) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at TEM20, for 16 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:25, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4710% → 10%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
9.6%
(08:25) Shotgun #14 J.Smolik rush left for 7 yards gain to the TEM32 (#10 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
10.1%
(07:38) Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush middle for 0 yards to the TEM32 (#13 T.Rojas)Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
10.1%
(06:55) Shotgun #29 H.Smith rush right for 2 yards gain to the TEM34 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
10.0%
(06:16) #7 D.Atton punt 49 yards to the PSU17 fair catch by #2 Z.Robinson at PSU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:5792% → 94%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
8.2%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 9 yards gain to the PSU26 (#33 C.Ordonez; #29 A.Powell)Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+9
8.1%
(05:28) No Huddle #1 J.Peoples rush right for 9 yards gain to the PSU35 (#25 O.Gray; #29 A.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
8.2%
(05:11) No Huddle #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU40, for 18 yards to the TEM47 (#2 S.Karriem), out of bounds PENALTY PSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#89 F.Furmanek) 5 yards from PSU35 to PSU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
8.1%
(04:42) No Huddle #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea thrown to PSU30Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
8.2%
(04:35) No Huddle #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep left to #0 C.Sowell thrown to TEM36 broken up by #29 A.PowellSimilar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+22
8.5%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #2 Z.Robinson caught at PSU49, for 22 yards to the TEM48 (#22 J.Gould), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
7.4%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM46 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+20
7.1%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM39, for 20 yards to the TEM26 fumbled by #18 B.Brahmer at TEM26 forced by #8 E.Stuart, out of bounds at TEM26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
6.8%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM23 (#33 C.Ordonez)Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
6.8%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Howard rush right for 4 yards gain to the TEM19 (#24 J.Pierre)Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+5
7.0%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM18 (#93 K.Hornbeak) PENALTY PSU False Start (#87 A.Rappleyea) 5 yards from TEM19 to TEM24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+3
7.2%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEM21 (#8 E.Stuart)Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
5.6%
(00:08) #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 00:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:117% → 6%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
7.0%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEM33 (#1 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
7.3%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass complete short middle to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM37, for 4 yards to the TEM37 (#10 C.Bacon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
6.6%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEM38 (#92 S.Taupaki)Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
6.0%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 K.Mason rush right for 3 yards gain to the TEM41 (#9 C.Brezina; #1 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
6.0%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Smolik pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Chase thrown to TEM45 broken up by #7 Z.TracySimilar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
5.9%
(12:54) #7 D.Atton punt 44 yards to the PSU15 fair catch by #2 Z.Robinson at PSU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:5495% → 99%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
4.8%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU17 (#99 C.Jones)Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
4.8%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #6 K.Howard caught at PSU20, for 4 yards to the PSU21 (#32 A.Laing)Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+5
4.5%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU25, for 5 yards to the PSU26 (#33 C.Ordonez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
4.5%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush left for 2 yards gain to the PSU28 (#8 E.Stuart)Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
4.2%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at PSU33, for 5 yards to the PSU33 (#21 A.Locks)Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+9
4.3%
(09:51) No Huddle #21 C.Hansen rush right for 9 yards gain to the PSU42 (#2 S.Karriem), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
3.9%
(09:24) No Huddle #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU43 (#44 T.Alualu)Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+12
3.8%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush right for 12 yards gain to the TEM45 (#18 K.Dinkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TEM Personal Foul (#18 K.Dinkins) 15 yards from TEM45 to TEM30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
3.7%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #4 B.Eskildsen caught at TEM23, for 7 yards to the TEM23 (#14 N.Lawrence)Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+23
1.0%
(07:50) #3 R.Becht pass complete deep left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM03, for 23 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:48, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:391% → 2%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.1%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Young rush right for 4 yards gain to the TEM29 (#17 J.Zayas; #24 I.McDaniels)Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
1.0%
(07:11) Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short right to #0 P.Clarke caught at TEM29, for 5 yards to the TEM34 (#31 M.Neal), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
1.0%
(06:31) Shotgun #21 D.Young rush left for 0 yards to the TEM34 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
1.0%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEM36 (#9 C.Brezina), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
0.9%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush left for 5 yards gain to the TEM41 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
0.9%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete deep right to #17 J.Bermudez thrown to PSU27Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
0.9%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete short middle to #33 R.Kusch caught at TEM45, for 4 yards to the TEM45 (#3 J.Patton)Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+10
0.9%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Young rush middle for 10 yards gain to the PSU45 (#3 J.Patton; #17 J.Zayas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+39
0.9%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass complete deep left to #10 J.Freeman caught at PSU17, for 39 yards to the PSU06 (#0 J.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.1%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard pass incomplete short left to #33 R.Kusch thrown to PSU00Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
1.1%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 D.Young rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU03 (#92 S.Taupaki)Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
2.4%
Shotgun #13 A.Sheppard rush left for 3 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:56 #21 D.Young rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18END OF GAME
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:5599% → 99%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-51
1.1%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 51 yards loss to the PSU14 (#44 T.Alualu; #11 E.Kulp)Similar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
1.2%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU14 (#44 T.Alualu; #11 E.Kulp)Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
1.2%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU14 (#44 T.Alualu; #11 E.Kulp)Similar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
3.0%
J. Peoples run for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
1.2%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU14 (#44 T.Alualu; #11 E.Kulp)Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+5
1.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Manske rush left for 5 yards gain to the PSU19 (#44 T.Alualu)Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
1.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU20 (#88 L.Fairfax Jr)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:25
(08:24) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at TEM20, for 16 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:25, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)
-6.9
TD · Q2 0:08
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM00, for 23 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:08, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)
-6.6
TD · Q4 7:48
(07:50) #3 R.Becht pass complete deep left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TEM03, for 23 yards to the TEM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:48, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com