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EMU

Eastern Michigan 7 at Michigan State 35

MSU
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · Shotgun #7 B.Tullis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the EMU23 (#27 M.Collins; #24 G.Horace), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior+1.4Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+28.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.8Garbage-time factor+13.7Blowout margin+12.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:45: Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:45 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky) — MSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:26: Timeout Eastern Michigan, clock 00:26 — EMU win probability +4.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:26: Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short left to #14 B.Williams thrown to EMU35 — MSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:50: Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:50 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky) — MSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:46: Charles Taplin 38 Yd pass from Alessio Milivojevic (Liam Boyd Kick) — MSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:48EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28MSU 4th & 14 at MSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:59EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:04EMU 4th & 7 at MSU 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MSU 4th & 4 at EMU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MSU 4th & 11 at EMU 35, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:11MSU 4th & 14 at EMU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MSU 4th & 1 at MSU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.2%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:24EMU 4th & 24 at EMU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:00EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:48EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:00MSU 4th & 5 at EMU 35, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:32MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:45MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:50EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:50MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:46MSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:48MSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1214% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.7%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 3 yards gain to the EMU28 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.; #18 D.Crawford)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
85.7%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #5 H.Mack caught at EMU33, for 5 yards to the EMU33 (#45 B.Pretzlaff; #18 D.Crawford)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
85.7%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush left for 1 yard gain to the EMU34 (#9 K.Thompson; #18 D.Crawford). The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU35 (#9 K.Thompson; #18 D.Crawford), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
85.1%
#39 D.Hull punt 24 yards to the MSU42, out of bounds at MSU42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:2085% → 84%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
85.2%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU44 (#4 J.Salas)Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-1
85.2%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic sacked for loss of 2 yards to the MSU42 (#5 M.Gilbert, #54 Q.Byas)Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+1
85.1%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU43 (#33 C.Evans; #40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+5
85.1%
PENALTY MSU False Start (#12 C.Stodghill) 5 yards from MSU43 to MSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
84.3%
#9 R.Dakin punt 59 yards to the EMU03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:2916% → 17%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
84.4%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #2 N.Devereaux thrown to EMU11 broken up by #21 N.MartinezSimilar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
84.4%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 0 yards to the EMU03 (#55 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+11
84.5%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 11 yards gain to the EMU14 (#12 C.Stodghill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
84.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep middle to #3 B.Prosper thrown to EMU45Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-7
84.4%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 7 yards to the EMU07 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 17
OWN 7
+9
84.5%
Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 9 yards gain to the EMU16 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.; #4 C.Brantley)Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+5
84.6%
PENALTY EMU False Start (#24 J.Mattord) 5 yards from EMU16 to EMU11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 13
OWN 11
+31
83.5%
#39 D.Hull punt 44 yards to the MSU45 #13 C.McCray return 31 yards to the EMU24 (#39 D.Hull; #13 J.Marshall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:2784% → 85%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
83.8%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short right to #3 R.Bullard Jr. thrown to EMU15 broken up by #11 Z.MowchanSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
83.8%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU18 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+18
85.2%
Fredrick Moore 18 Yd pass from Alessio Milivojevic (Liam Boyd Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
15 plays · 37 yds · 5:2815% → 16%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.0%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 1 yard to the EMU24 (#96 E.Coenen, #9 K.Thompson)Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
85.0%
Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush right for 2 yards gain to the EMU26 (#2 D.Vaught)Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+22
85.1%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #28 B.Bennett caught at EMU25, for 22 yards to the EMU48 (#45 B.Pretzlaff; #22 T.Chappell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
84.3%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU43, for 9 yards to the MSU43 (#0 N.Burt; #4 C.Brantley)Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
84.1%
Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MSU41 (#52 M.Beeler; #18 D.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
84.1%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #2 N.Devereaux caught at MSU43, for 1 yard loss to the MSU42 (#44 C.Wheatland; #55 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+1
84.7%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #5 H.Mack caught at MSU46, for 1 yard to the MSU41 (#4 C.Brantley; #18 D.Crawford)Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+8
84.8%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #5 H.Mack caught at MSU38, for 8 yards to the MSU33 (#2 D.Vaught; #18 D.Crawford)Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+5
84.8%
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU33 to MSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
84.4%
#46 R.Kessinger punt 38 yards to the MSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:1984% → 90%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
83.6%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #3 R.Bullard Jr. caught at MSU35, for 17 yards to the MSU37 (#16 C.Coley; #4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
83.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 5 yards gain to the MSU42 (#25 R.Adkins; #13 J.Marshall), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
83.9%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MSU46 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #0 R.Hardin)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
83.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU49 (#0 R.Hardin; #51 E.McDuffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
84.0%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic rush left for 1 yard gain to the EMU48 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
84.0%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #19 C.Taplin caught at EMU41, for 8 yards to the EMU40 (#25 R.Adkins), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
84.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU34 (#4 J.Salas; #51 E.McDuffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
84.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short middle to #0 C.Edwards thrown to EMU30 broken up by #11 Z.MowchanSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
83.8%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short middle to #31 J.Savoury thrown to EMU25 broken up by #6 B.LlewellynSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-1
83.3%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #21 M.Parrish caught at EMU35, for 1 yard loss to the EMU35 (#40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+19
83.1%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #19 C.Taplin caught at EMU16, for 19 yards to the EMU16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
84.2%
PENALTY MSU False Start (#82 B.Parachek) 5 yards from EMU16 to EMU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+6
84.2%
Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU15 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
84.2%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short middle to #0 C.Edwards caught at EMU10, for 5 yards to the EMU10 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+4
83.7%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 4 yards gain to the EMU06 (#13 J.Marshall; #4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
83.7%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU01 (#54 Q.Byas; #5 M.Gilbert)Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.0%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:45 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 6:5013% → 18%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
87.3%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 13 yards gain to the EMU35 (#2 D.Vaught; #21 N.Martinez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.1%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #9 J.Long caught at EMU33, for 4 yards to the EMU39 (#7 M.Richard; #45 B.Pretzlaff)Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+16
86.9%
Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 16 yards gain to the MSU45 (#2 D.Vaught; #3 T.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
86.2%
Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MSU37 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.)Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
86.2%
Shotgun #24 J.Mattord rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU36 (#18 D.Crawford; #13 I.Smith)Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
86.4%
Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU33 (#13 I.Smith; #45 B.Pretzlaff), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.9%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #5 H.Mack thrown to MSU15 broken up by #12 C.Stodghill QB hurried by #13 I.SmithSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
86.0%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #2 N.Devereaux caught at MSU29, for 7 yards to the MSU26 (#22 T.Chappell; #44 C.Wheatland)Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+10
86.4%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush right for 10 yards gain to the MSU16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
85.8%
Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush right for 9 yards gain to the MSU07 (#2 D.Vaught; #21 N.Martinez)Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+3
85.8%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU04 (#44 C.Wheatland; #96 E.Coenen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.3%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Long thrown to MSU00 QB hurried by #11 A.LafaeleSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.8%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush right for 4 yards gain to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:50 #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8PUNT
17 plays · 33 yds · 1:3989% → 88%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.7%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #31 J.Savoury caught at MSU30, for 5 yards to the MSU30 (#0 R.Hardin)Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
88.7%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short right to #6 F.Moore thrown to MSU41 QB hurried by #11 Z.MowchanSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
88.4%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #3 R.Bullard Jr. caught at MSU36, for 6 yards to the MSU36 (#51 E.McDuffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short right to #3 R.Bullard Jr. thrown to EMU49Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
88.9%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MSU44 (#91 R.Gardner; #51 E.McDuffey)Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
89.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU47 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #54 Q.Byas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short middle to #3 R.Bullard Jr. thrown to EMU36Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
89.3%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic rush middle for 9 yards gain to the EMU44 (#58 P.Christian)Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+6
89.8%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short left to #13 C.McCray caught at EMU39, for 6 yards to the EMU38 (#17 C.Dobbs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.0%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short right to #6 F.Moore thrown to EMU35 QB hurried by #11 Z.Mowchan and #54 Q.ByasSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
90.0%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic sacked for loss of 4 yards to the EMU42 (#0 R.Hardin, #54 Q.Byas)Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 14
OPP 42
0
90.0%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass incomplete short left to #14 B.Williams thrown to EMU35Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
88.3%
#9 R.Dakin punt 42 yards to the EMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
85.8%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 20 yards gain to the EMU40 (#2 D.Vaught; #21 N.Martinez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1083% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.1%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short right to #3 R.Bullard Jr. caught at MSU26, for 3 yards to the MSU28 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
83.1%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 6 yards gain to the MSU34 (#13 J.Marshall; #4 J.Salas)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
83.2%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU34 (#51 E.McDuffey; #6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MSU35 (#6 B.Llewellyn; #4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
83.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 33 yards gain to the EMU32 (#25 R.Adkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
84.7%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher pass complete short right to #31 J.Savoury caught at EMU30, for 7 yards to the EMU25 (#4 J.Salas), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+5
84.7%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher pass complete short left to #88 K.Rios caught at EMU20, for 5 yards to the EMU20, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
84.7%
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU18 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #98 J.Oluwayemi)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+5
84.7%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher pass complete short left to #31 J.Savoury caught at EMU18, for 5 yards to the EMU13 (#17 C.Dobbs; #4 J.Salas)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
84.1%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher pass complete short right to #13 C.McCray caught at EMU14, for 4 yards to the EMU09 (#17 C.Dobbs; #4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
84.7%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher rush left for 3 yards gain to the EMU06 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #4 J.Salas)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
84.7%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMU04 (#40 B.Eliuk; #13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
84.1%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher pass incomplete short right to #13 C.McCray thrown to EMU00 broken up by #6 B.Llewellyn PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (#6 B.Llewellyn) 2 yards from EMU04 to EMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.8%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:50 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:4211% → 11%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.3%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #5 H.Mack caught at EMU40, for 15 yards to the EMU40 (#3 T.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.3%
Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 0 yards to the EMU40 (#9 K.Thompson; #55 B.Roberts)Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
88.6%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #3 B.Prosper thrown to EMU48 QB hurried by #9 K.Thompson and #96 E.CoenenSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+20
89.2%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #5 H.Mack caught at MSU45, for 20 yards to the MSU40 fumbled by #5 H.Mack at MSU40 forced by #4 C.Brantley recovered by MSU #4 C.Brantley at MSU40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:2292% → 98%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
92.2%
Shotgun #32 K.Williams rush left for 8 yards gain to the MSU48 (#9 D.Williams)Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+14
92.1%
Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 14 yards gain to the EMU38 (#9 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
98.0%
Charles Taplin 38 Yd pass from Alessio Milivojevic (Liam Boyd Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 23 yds · 5:223% → 2%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.7%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EMU24 (#2 D.Vaught)Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
96.8%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Long thrown to EMU30 QB hurried by #98 D.Simmons and #9 K.ThompsonSimilar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+12
96.8%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #2 N.Devereaux thrown to EMU35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (#4 C.Brantley) 12 yards from EMU24 to EMU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.5%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU34, for 9 yards to the EMU45 (#0 N.Burt)Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #3 B.Prosper thrown to MSU42Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
96.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMU47 (#2 D.Vaught), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
96.5%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #2 N.Devereaux caught at EMU40, for 2 yards to the EMU49 (#45 B.Pretzlaff)Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
96.5%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU49, for 6 yards to the MSU45 (#0 N.Burt; #45 B.Pretzlaff)Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+7
96.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 B.Bennett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MSU38 (#45 B.Pretzlaff), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.4%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #3 B.Prosper thrown to MSU42Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
96.4%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #24 J.Mattord caught at MSU41, for 5 yards loss to the MSU43 (#1 K.Soares, Jr.; #3 T.Bell)Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 15
OPP 43
-5
96.7%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 9 yards to the EMU48 (#11 A.Lafaele, #96 E.Coenen)Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 24
OWN 48
0
98.4%
#39 D.Hull punt 52 yards to the MSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 14FUMBLE
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:0499% → 100%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.3%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 4 yards gain to the MSU24 (#90 H.Gonzalez; #44 M.Debiak)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
99.3%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 5 yards gain to the MSU29 (#25 R.Adkins; #0 R.Hardin)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+12
99.3%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MSU41 (#13 J.Marshall; #4 J.Salas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.4%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MSU46 (#91 R.Gardner; #51 E.McDuffey)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-1
99.4%
Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MSU45 (#25 R.Adkins; #98 J.Oluwayemi)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+46
99.4%
Shotgun #11 A.Milivojevic pass complete short middle to #31 J.Savoury caught at MSU50, for 46 yards to the EMU09 (#13 J.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.4%
Shotgun #21 M.Parrish rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMU06 (#43 M.Eggleston; #11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.7%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EMU07 fumbled by #0 C.Edwards at EMU10 forced by #58 P.Christian recovered by EMU #13 J.Marshall at EMU07, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:201% → 1%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.1%
Shotgun #15 A.Blue rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU08 (#44 C.Wheatland; #45 B.Pretzlaff)Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-6
99.1%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 6 yards to the EMU02 (#96 E.Coenen)Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 15
OWN 2
+10
99.1%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #24 J.Mattord caught at EMU00, for 10 yards to the EMU12 (#21 N.Martinez)Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
99.2%
#39 D.Hull punt 41 yards to the MSU47 fair catch by #13 C.McCray at MSU47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+40
99.9%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 40 yards gain to the EMU13 (#13 J.Marshall; #25 R.Adkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 6 yards gain to the EMU07 (#25 R.Adkins; #6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Patterson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:48, 1ST DOWN #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #3 B.Prosper caught at EMU33, for 6 yards to the EMU34 (#21 N.Martinez; #0 N.Burt)Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep left to #3 B.Prosper thrown to MSU45Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #11 A.Floyd thrown to EMU35 broken up by #98 D.SimmonsSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
100.0%
#39 D.Hull punt 49 yards to the MSU17 fair catch by #13 C.McCray at MSU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 18END OF HALF
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
100.0%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher pass complete short left to #17 B.Collier caught at MSU30, for 17 yards to the MSU34 (#10 T.Boykin; #9 D.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #7 B.Tullis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU37 (#40 B.Eliuk; #99 W.Tayou)Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+13
100.0%
Shotgun #7 B.Tullis rush middle for 13 yards gain to the MSU50 (#9 D.Williams; #10 T.Boykin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
50
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher pass complete short right to #17 B.Collier caught at EMU50, for 6 yards to the EMU44 (#10 T.Boykin) PENALTY MSU Holding (#5 S.Gash) 10 yards from EMU44 to MSU46Similar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 14
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Shotgun #2 C.Fancher rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU49 (#9 D.Williams)Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Shotgun #7 B.Tullis rush left for 9 yards gain to the EMU40 (#9 D.Williams; #20 R.Hester), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
100.0%
Shotgun #20 Z.Gist rush left for 1 yard loss to the EMU41 (#64 N.Patterson; #40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-2
100.0%
Shotgun #20 Z.Gist rush left for 2 yards loss to the EMU43 (#57 A.Kearse)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
Shotgun #20 Z.Gist rush middle for 8 yards gain to the EMU35 (#56 R.Alphonse; #40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+12
100.0%
Shotgun #7 B.Tullis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the EMU23 (#27 M.Collins; #24 G.Horace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:50
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:50 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)
+7.6
TD · Q2 8:45
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:45 #37 L.Boyd kick attempt good (H: #9 R.Dakin, LS: #50 N.Duzansky)
+6.4
TD · Q3 5:46
Charles Taplin 38 Yd pass from Alessio Milivojevic (Liam Boyd Kick)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com