Try the model
WSU

Washington State 10 at Washington 24

WASH
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 6, 2026 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-17.3WASH 68.9%(10:20) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rushmiddle for 11 yards gain to the WASH00TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #38J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)AWAY 7 - HOME 10 · Q4 10:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:15 · (10:20) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+10.2Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 10:15: (10:20) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures) — WSU win probability +17.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 8:05: (08:09) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #3 R.Williams caught at WSU02, for 1 yard to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:05 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean) — WASH win probability +10.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 4:30: (04:33) #38 J.Stevens field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures), clock 04:30 — WSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:40: Timeout Washington State, clock 02:40 — WSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:33: (02:54) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 21 yards gain to the WSU46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN — WASH win probability +6.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:04WSU 4th & 5 at WASH 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:01WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:57WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:58WASH 4th & 11 at WSU 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:07WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03WASH 4th & 1 at WSU 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:58WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:59WSU 4th & 11 at WASH 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:45WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 27, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:31WASH 4th & 1 at WSU 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−1.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    88.3%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:48WSU 4th & 3 at WASH 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−1.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:30WSU 4th & 4 at WASH 24, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 10:09WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:15WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:05WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:18WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:507% → 8%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
93.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 25 yards gain to the WSU50 (#7 A.McLaughlin; #9 J.Manu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
50
+11
93.0%
(14:15) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #1 D.Blood caught at WASH40, for 11 yards to the WASH39 (#2 R.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.9%
(13:34) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short right to #3 M.Woods thrown to WASH40Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
92.9%
(13:30) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WASH33 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 4
OPP 33
-1
92.7%
(12:50) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WASH34 (#48 J.Lane)Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+52
92.5%
(12:07) #38 J.Stevens field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures), clock 12:04, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:1493% → 92%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
92.6%
(12:04) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WASH38 (#15 D.Warner)Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
92.5%
(11:23) Shotgun #21 Q.Carr rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH38 (#6 L.Zunk)Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
92.2%
(10:46) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Lawson thrown to WASH43 QB hurried by #6 L.ZunkSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+53
92.2%
(10:40) #93 H.Green punt 38 yards to the WSU24 fair catch by #0 T.Freeman at WSU24 PENALTY WASH Kick Catch Interference (#4 R.Dillard-Allen) 15 yards from WSU24 to WSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:258% → 8%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
92.0%
(10:30) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU42 (#7 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
91.9%
(09:56) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short middle to #0 T.Freeman thrown to WSU42 broken up by #33 D.ConleySimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-4
91.9%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WSU38 (#99 R.Davis II)Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+27
91.9%
(09:14) #32 M.Dean punt 46 yards to the WASH16 #2 R.Clark return 27 yards to the WASH43 (#1 J.Bernard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FG
16 plays · 21 yds · 5:0292% → 90%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
91.9%
(09:01) Shotgun #21 Q.Carr rush right for 1 yard gain to the WASH44 (#9 M.McLain)Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
91.7%
(08:28) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #3 R.Williams thrown to WASH46Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
91.6%
(08:26) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep middle to #8 C.Lawson thrown to WSU07 PENALTY WASH Holding offsetting WSU Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+14
91.4%
(07:57) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WSU44, for 14 yards to the WSU42 (#22 J.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
91.6%
(07:47) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #21 Q.Carr caught at WSU38, for 4 yards to the WSU38 (#21 K.Brown)Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+10
91.5%
(07:16) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #3 R.Williams thrown to WSU00 PENALTY WSU Holding (#22 J.Tucker) 10 yards from WSU38 to WSU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
91.5%
(07:10) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WSU31, for 3 yards to the WSU25 (#51 B.Beatty)Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+12
91.3%
(06:29) #21 Q.Carr rush left for 12 yards gain to the WSU13 (#1 J.Bernard; #13 K.Terrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
91.1%
(05:45) #21 Q.Carr rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU11 (#15 D.Warner; #13 K.Terrell)Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+10
91.0%
(05:03) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the WSU09 (#15 D.Warner) PENALTY WASH Holding (#73 C.Taulealea) 10 yards from WSU11 to WSU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 18
OPP 21
0
90.7%
(04:38) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #86 D.DeGraaf thrown to WSU00Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 18
OPP 21
+5
90.5%
(04:33) PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from WSU21 to WSU26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 23
OPP 26
+15
90.5%
(04:32) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WSU28, for 5 yards to the WSU21 (#3 J.Thomas) PENALTY WASH Holding (#73 C.Taulealea) 10 yards from WSU21 to WSU31Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 33
OPP 36
0
90.2%
(04:04) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #3 R.Williams thrown to WSU00 broken up by #22 J.TuckerSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 33
OPP 36
+48
90.3%
(03:53) #95 T.Robles field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean), clock 03:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:459% → 10%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
90.6%
(03:53) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #4 D.Clemons caught at WSU39, for 18 yards to the WSU43 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.0%
(03:13) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush left for 0 yards to the WSU43 (#9 J.Manu)Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
89.8%
(02:36) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short left to #4 D.Clemons thrown to WASH50 broken up by #3 E.KarnleySimilar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-7
89.9%
(02:32) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WSU36 (#9 J.Manu). #0 T.Freeman injured on the playSimilar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
90.2%
(02:06) #32 M.Dean punt 46 yards to the WASH18, out of bounds at WASH18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:0990% → 89%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
89.7%
(01:57) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WASH29, for 11 yards to the WASH29, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
89.6%
(01:24) Shotgun #17 J.Limar rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WASH36 (#5 M.Hughes)Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
89.7%
(00:45) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #85 B.Naone caught at WASH33, for 3 yards to the WASH39 (#16 I.Hung), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
89.4%
(14:59) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH35, for 6 yards to the WASH45 (#16 I.Hung)Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
89.5%
(14:18) Shotgun #17 J.Limar rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WASH47 (#99 P.Hutson III)Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
89.1%
(13:45) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #2 D.Roebuck thrown to WASH49Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
88.8%
(13:39) #93 H.Green punt 41 yards to the WSU12 fair catch by #3 J.Thomas at WSU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5811% → 11%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
88.8%
(13:35) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 2 yards loss to the WSU10 (#6 D.Robinson; #10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+5
88.8%
(13:00) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #20 L.Pulalasi caught at WSU05, for 10 yards to the WSU20 (#5 D.Colman-Brusa) PENALTY WASH Offside (#11 R.Fruean) 5 yards from WSU10 to WSU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
88.6%
(12:40) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete deep right to #4 D.Clemons thrown to WSU36 broken up by #11 R.FrueanSimilar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-9
88.8%
(12:35) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass intercepted by #24 J.Jones at WSU30 broken up by #5 D.Colman-Brusa #24 J.Jones return 9 yards to the WSU21 (#1 D.Blood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:1289% → 91%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
89.2%
(12:27) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left thrown to WSU21 QB hurried by #52 K.BeattySimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
89.1%
(12:19) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WSU23, for 0 yards to the WSU21 (#3 J.Thomas)Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+16
88.6%
(11:34) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 16 yards gain to the WSU05 (#1 J.Bernard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.8%
(10:57) #17 J.Limar rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU05 (#3 J.Thomas)Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.6%
(10:18) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3110% → 10%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.2%
(10:08) PENALTY WSU False Start (#69 K.Martin) 5 yards from WSU25 to WSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
90.4%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush right for 10 yards gain to the WSU33 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
90.4%
(10:08) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WSU24 fumbled by #9 K.Vorhees at WSU24 forced by #91 I.Ward recovered by WASH #91 I.Ward at WSU24, End Of Play. WASH is challenging the ruling on the field - "Runner was down prior to losing the ball". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:08) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WSU23 (#91 I.Ward; #9 J.Manu))Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:2790% → 90%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
90.4%
(09:34) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #85 B.Naone caught at WSU05, for 19 yards to the WSU05, out of bounds at WSU05, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.3%
(08:53) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right to #3 R.Williams thrown to WSU05 broken up by #5 M.HughesSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
90.3%
(08:49) Shotgun #22 T.Cooley rush right for 6 yards loss to the WSU11 fumbled by #22 T.Cooley at WSU11 recovered by WASH #22 T.Cooley at WSU11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
90.1%
(08:05) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #2 D.Roebuck thrown to WSU00Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
89.8%
(08:00) #95 T.Robles field goal attempt from 29 yards NO GOOD (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean), clock 07:58Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:4610% → 11%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
90.1%
(07:57) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WSU26 (#33 D.Conley)Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
89.7%
(07:20) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #20 L.Pulalasi caught at WSU27, for 6 yards to the WSU32 (#24 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
89.6%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush right for 3 yards gain to the WSU35 (#9 J.Manu; #91 I.Ward)Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-1
89.4%
(06:14) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush left for 1 yard loss to the WSU34 (#5 D.Colman-Brusa)Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+10
89.8%
(05:27) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 11 yards gain to the WSU45 (#4 R.Dillard-Allen), out of bounds PENALTY WSU Holding (#64 J.Caldwell) 10 yards from WSU34 to WSU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+15
90.2%
PENALTY WASH Personal Foul (#4 R.Dillard-Allen) 15 yards from WSU24 to WSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
89.0%
(05:05) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #1 D.Blood caught at WSU39, for 4 yards to the WSU43 (#11 R.Fruean), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
88.8%
(04:40) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU44 (#11 R.Fruean)Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+1
88.9%
(03:59) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU45 (#9 J.Manu)Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
89.3%
(03:16) #32 M.Dean punt 49 yards to the WASH06 #2 R.Clark return 0 yards to the WASH06 (#19 K.Patu; #1 D.Blood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
15 plays · 93 yds · 2:5689% → 90%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
88.8%
(03:05) #21 Q.Carr rush right for 13 yards gain to the WASH19 (#21 K.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
89.2%
(02:24) #17 J.Limar rush right for 8 yards gain to the WASH27 (#1 J.Bernard)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
89.4%
(01:59) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WASH26, for 4 yards to the WASH31 (#13 K.Terrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
89.3%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WASH32, for 6 yards to the WASH37 (#2 J.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+29
89.5%
(01:46) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #3 R.Williams caught at WASH48, for 29 yards to the WSU34 (#2 J.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
90.4%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #3 R.Williams thrown to WSU13 PENALTY WSU Roughing The Passer (#9 M.McLain) 15 yards from WSU34 to WSU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
90.4%
(01:23) Shotgun #17 J.Limar rush right for 11 yards gain to the WSU08 (#9 M.McLain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
90.5%
(00:58) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #85 B.Naone caught at WSU04, for 4 yards to the WSU04, out of bounds at WSU04Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
90.5%
(00:53) #17 J.Limar rush right for 2 yards loss to the WSU06 (#84 M.Wrice)Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
90.2%
(00:44) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the WSU01 (#21 K.Brown)Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.6%
(00:03) Shotgun #17 J.Limar rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU01 (#21 K.Brown), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5790% → 89%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.0%
(14:55) PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH20 to WASH15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
89.9%
(14:54) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #2 D.Roebuck thrown to WASH26 QB hurried by #6 L.ZunkSimilar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+9
89.8%
(14:49) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WASH13, for 9 yards to the WASH24 (#2 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
89.5%
(14:14) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #3 R.Williams thrown to WASH27Similar
Q3 13:58
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+64
89.0%
(14:10) #93 H.Green punt 64 yards to the WSU12 muffed by #3 J.Thomas at WSU12 recovered by WSU #3 J.Thomas at WSU07 #3 J.Thomas return 10 yards to the WSU17 (#7 A.McLaughlin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14MISSED FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 6:5010% → 11%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
89.9%
(13:58) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 11 yards gain to the WSU28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
89.7%
(13:17) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU28 (#10 X.Alexander; #48 J.Lane)Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
89.9%
(12:39) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 1 yard loss to the WSU27 (#7 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
90.2%
(11:57) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 0 yards to the WSU27 (#4 R.Dillard-Allen), out of bounds PENALTY WASH Personal Foul (#11 R.Fruean) 15 yards from WSU27 to WSU42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
89.1%
(11:38) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 0 yards to the WSU42 (#2 R.Clark; #58 D.Watts)Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-4
89.1%
(10:53) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WSU38 (#58 D.Watts)Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+5
89.9%
(09:55) PENALTY WSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WSU38 to WSU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 19
OWN 33
+8
90.2%
(09:36) Shotgun #9 K.Vorhees rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WSU41 (#9 J.Manu; #4 R.Dillard-Allen) PENALTY WASH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#9 J.Manu) 15 yards from WSU41 to WASH44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+32
88.3%
(09:07) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete deep right to #1 D.Blood caught at WASH15, for 32 yards to the WASH12 (#6 D.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
87.4%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Blood thrown to WASH13Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-3
87.3%
(08:38) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #1 D.Blood caught at WASH16, for 3 yards loss to the WASH15 (#48 J.Lane)Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+7
88.6%
(07:56) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WASH08 (#6 D.Robinson)Similar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+5
88.8%
(07:04) PENALTY WSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH08 to WASH13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+32
89.3%
(07:01) #38 J.Stevens field goal attempt from 32 yards NO GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures), clock 06:59Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:3390% → 90%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
90.0%
(06:58) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at WASH35, for 15 yards to the WASH35, out of bounds at WASH35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.1%
(06:25) #17 J.Limar rush right for 1 yard gain to the WASH36 (#15 D.Warner; #34 D.Lewis)Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
90.1%
(05:49) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WASH32, for 0 yards to the WASH36 (#97 J.Wedel)Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+4
89.5%
(05:13) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WASH35, for 4 yards to the WASH40 (#15 D.Warner)Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 0
0
89.9%
(04:27) #93 H.Green punt 60 yards to the WSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2511% → 10%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.4%
(04:17) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush left for 2 yards gain to the WSU22 (#3 E.Karnley; #5 D.Colman-Brusa)Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
89.5%
(03:37) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #10 T.Hawkins caught at WSU21, for 5 yards to the WSU27 (#0 T.Al-Uqdah), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
89.3%
(02:57) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short left to #28 J.Pedersen thrown to WSU28 broken up by #3 E.KarnleySimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
90.2%
(02:54) #32 M.Dean punt 42 yards to the WASH31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:0790% → 90%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
89.9%
(02:43) Shotgun #17 J.Limar rush left for 5 yards gain to the WASH36 (#8 N.Brown)Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+17
90.6%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH49, for 17 yards to the WSU47 (#13 K.Terrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
90.9%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the WSU44, out of bounds at WSU44Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-1
90.9%
(01:43) #17 J.Limar rush left for 1 yard loss to the WSU45 (#8 N.Brown)Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 8
OPP 0
+7
90.8%
(01:08) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WSU38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
90.1%
(00:36) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #2 D.Roebuck thrown to WSU20 QB hurried by #3 J.Thomas, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 5:0511% → 31%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
89.2%
(00:31) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #4 D.Clemons caught at WASH50, for 12 yards to the WSU50 (#3 E.Karnley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
50
+3
88.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #28 J.Pedersen caught at WASH47, for 3 yards to the WASH47 (#7 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
88.0%
(14:19) Shotgun #3 M.Woods rush right for 3 yards gain to the WASH44 (#9 J.Manu)Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+1
88.2%
(13:35) Shotgun #8 B.Ganashamoorthy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WASH43 (#33 D.Conley)Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+4
88.9%
(12:52) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 4 yards gain to the WASH39 (#9 J.Manu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
87.6%
(12:19) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #86 B.Baker caught at WASH34, for 12 yards to the WASH27 (#91 I.Ward), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
86.3%
(11:39) Shotgun #20 L.Pulalasi rush left for 3 yards gain to the WASH24 (#5 D.Colman-Brusa)Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+13
86.2%
(10:58) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #1 D.Blood caught at WASH14, for 13 yards to the WASH11 (#3 E.Karnley; #9 J.Manu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
68.9%
(10:20) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5579% → 93%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
78.8%
(10:14) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH42, for 29 yards to the WSU46 (#2 J.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+44
81.7%
(09:29) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #3 R.Williams caught at WSU31, for 44 yards to the WSU02 (#4 K.Rapolla), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:29) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #3 R.Williams caught at WSU31, for 46 yards to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:17, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q4 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
82.3%
(08:58) Shotgun #22 T.Cooley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WSU01 (#21 K.Brown)Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.2%
(08:09) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #3 R.Williams caught at WSU02, for 1 yard to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:05 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:298% → 15%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.8%
(08:04) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU30 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale)Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
91.4%
(07:25) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short left to #9 K.Vorhees caught at WSU31, for 9 yards to the WSU39 (#6 D.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
91.2%
(07:00) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush left for 8 yards gain to the WSU47 (#7 A.McLaughlin), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+23
91.4%
(06:28) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush right for 8 yards gain to the WASH45 (#11 R.Fruean), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WASH Targeting (#4 R.Dillard-Allen) 15 yards from WASH45 to WASH30, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
90.6%
(06:06) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #20 L.Pulalasi caught at WASH35, for 1 yard to the WASH29 (#3 E.Karnley), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
90.7%
(05:25) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass incomplete short right to #20 L.Pulalasi thrown to WASH26Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+5
91.6%
(05:20) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short middle to #20 L.Pulalasi caught at WASH24, for 5 yards to the WASH24 (#9 J.Manu)Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
85.1%
(04:33) #38 J.Stevens field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures), clock 04:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 1:5393% → 99%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
92.9%
(04:20) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #85 B.Naone caught at WASH34, for 6 yards to the WASH38 (#3 J.Thomas)Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
94.0%
(03:40) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #85 B.Naone caught at WASH38, for 0 yards to the WASH38 (#21 K.Brown)Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
94.0%
PENALTY WASH False Start (#76 K.Greene) 5 yards from WASH38 to WASH33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+21
93.8%
(02:54) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 21 yards gain to the WSU46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+35
96.0%
(02:40) #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep left to #8 C.Lawson caught at WSU11, for 35 yards to the WSU11 (#4 K.Rapolla), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.7%
(02:25) Shotgun #17 J.Limar rush right for 11 yards gain to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:18, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean) PENALTY #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean) PENALTY WASH UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#8 C.Lawson) 15 yards from WSU00 to WASH20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:172% → 2%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
97.7%
(02:08) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #4 D.Clemons caught at WSU28, for 10 yards to the WSU30 (#3 E.Karnley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.5%
(02:00) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass complete short right to #9 K.Vorhees caught at WSU24, for 4 yards to the WSU34 (#9 J.Manu), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-4
98.5%
(01:55) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick pass intercepted by #7 A.McLaughlin at WSU40 QB hurried by #48 J.Lane #7 A.McLaughlin return 4 yards to the WSU36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23END OF HALF
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.8%
(01:47) #17 J.Limar rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WSU31 (#4 K.Rapolla). #17 J.Limar injured on the playSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
98.8%
(01:39) #22 T.Cooley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WSU29 (#34 D.Lewis; #98 J.Leaupepetele)Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
98.7%
(00:53) #22 T.Cooley rush right for 4 yards gain to the WSU25 (#13 K.Terrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
98.8%
(00:21) Kneel down by #1 D.Williams Jr. at WSU28 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:15
(10:20) Shotgun #12 C.Pinnick rush middle for 11 yards gain to the WASH00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:15, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Stevens kick attempt good (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures)
-17.3
TD · Q4 8:05
(08:09) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #3 R.Williams caught at WSU02, for 1 yard to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:05 #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)
+10.9
FG · Q4 4:30
(04:33) #38 J.Stevens field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #32 M.Dean, LS: #41 S.Bures), clock 04:30
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com