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INST

Indiana State 19 at Purdue 44

PUR
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2026 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:25 · (13:27) #99 S.Conrad punt 38 yards to the PUR34 #3 X.Townsend return 4 yards to the PUR38 (#20 M.McCool)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+32.6Home team on offense+9.8Score differential+3.0Blowout margin+0.9Garbage-time factor+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:08: (07:08) #37 S.Lopez field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #99 S.Conrad, LS: #31 C.Weed), clock 07:08 — INST win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:04: (00:06) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #5 C.Magwood caught at ISU00, for 6 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab) — PUR win probability +1.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 23 Yd Field Goal — PUR win probability +0.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:50: (10:50) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:50 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab) — PUR win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:05: (04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.McCool rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:05 PENALTY PUR Offside declined #37 S.Lopez kick attempt good (H: #99 S.Conrad, LS: #31 C.Weed) — INST win probability +0.4 pts (now 0%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5INST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:06PUR 4th & 4 at INST 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08INST 4th & 3 at PUR 10, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:03INST 4th & 6 at INST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:16PUR 4th & 7 at INST 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:09INST 4th & 18 at PUR 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:07PUR 4th & 19 at PUR 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:49INST 4th & 12 at INST 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00PUR 4th & 5 at INST 5, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:25INST 4th & 7 at INST 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:06INST 4th & 10 at INST 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:17INST 4th & 26 at PUR 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:08PUR 4th & 6 at INST 40, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3INST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 0:04PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:50PUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:48PUR Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:44INST Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:05INST Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:4198% → 98%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
97.9%
(14:52) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 7 yards gain to the PUR29 (#4 N.Yatsko; #93 M.Knipp)Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
97.8%
(14:22) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR33 (#93 M.Knipp), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
97.7%
(13:39) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 19 yards gain to the ISU48 (#4 N.Yatsko), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
97.7%
(13:02) Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush right for 6 yards gain to the ISU42 (#36 A.Rose), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Personal Foul (#36 A.Rose) 15 yards from ISU42 to ISU27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.7%
(12:38) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep right to #81 G.Burhenn thrown to ISU02 broken up by #23 X.AndrewsSimilar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.6%
(12:31) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush right for 4 yards gain to the ISU23 (#18 P.Eyabi)Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+2
97.5%
(11:51) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #3 X.Townsend caught at ISU21, for 2 yards to the ISU21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
97.5%
(11:10) #92 J.Echeverria Lozano field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 11:06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 2FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:493% → 3%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
97.4%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush right for 18 yards gain to the ISU43 (#2 J.Mangham), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
97.3%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short left to #14 B.Wuest caught at PUR40, for 17 yards to the PUR40 (#13 J.Slaughter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
97.3%
(10:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Ball rush right for 5 yards loss to the PUR45 (#92 C.Neal)Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+4
97.2%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short right to #83 J.Reed caught at PUR41, for 4 yards to the PUR41 (#6 M.Clark)Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+24
97.1%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short right to #83 J.Reed caught at PUR22, for 24 yards to the PUR17 (#13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
96.9%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short right to #84 J.Johnson caught at PUR14, for 4 yards to the PUR13 (#2 J.Mangham)Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
96.9%
(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete short right to #9 T.Stewart thrown to PUR02Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+3
96.9%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush right for 3 yards gain to the PUR10 (#7 D.Saunders), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+28
96.7%
(07:08) #37 S.Lopez field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #99 S.Conrad, LS: #31 C.Weed), clock 07:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:5297% → 96%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.7%
(07:07) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #3 X.Townsend caught at PUR25, for 9 yards to the PUR34 (#42 B.Sampson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
96.7%
(06:39) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush left for 9 yards gain to the PUR43 (#32 G.Hagan; #42 B.Sampson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
96.6%
(06:02) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR45 (#36 A.Rose)Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
96.5%
(05:25) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR47 (#42 B.Sampson)Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+11
96.3%
(04:48) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #19 A.Waseem caught at ISU45, for 11 yards to the ISU42 (#1 D.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
96.3%
(04:12) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #3 X.Townsend caught at ISU36, for 6 yards to the ISU36, out of bounds at ISU36Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+19
96.2%
(03:40) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #19 A.Waseem caught at ISU20, for 19 yards to the ISU17 (#4 N.Yatsko; #0 L.Vereen II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
96.2%
(03:04) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU15 (#42 B.Sampson)Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
96.1%
(02:29) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU13 (#52 M.Keifer)Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+7
95.9%
(01:43) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #3 X.Townsend thrown to ISU00 PENALTY ISU Holding (#9 A.Walk, Jr.) 7 yards from ISU13 to ISU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
95.9%
(01:39) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the ISU05 (#35 K.Harris)Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
95.7%
(00:53) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU06 (#35 K.Harris)Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.4%
(00:06) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #5 C.Magwood caught at ISU00, for 6 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.2%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 A.Hayes rush right for 1 yard loss to the ISU24 (#7 D.Saunders; #0 J.Hayden)Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
96.2%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short right to #13 A.Hayes caught at ISU20, for 5 yards to the ISU29 (#0 J.Hayden), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.1%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete short left to #25 A.Ball thrown to ISU25 broken up by #5 C.CorreaSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+6
96.2%
(14:02) #99 S.Conrad punt 47 yards to the PUR24 #3 X.Townsend return 8 yards to the PUR32 (#20 M.McCool) PENALTY PUR Illegal Block in Back (#4 H.Hines) 10 yards from PUR30 to PUR20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:4096% → 95%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.1%
(14:02) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete deep left to #8 D.Morrissette thrown to ISU35Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
96.0%
(13:55) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #81 G.Burhenn caught at PUR37, for 17 yards to the PUR37 (#4 N.Yatsko), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
96.1%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush right for 63 yards gain (5) to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:19 PENALTY PUR Holding (#0 J.Hornsby) 10 yards from PUR42 to PUR32Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+5
95.9%
(13:18) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #0 J.Hornsby caught at PUR35, for 5 yards to the PUR37 (#1 D.Johnson)Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+20
95.9%
(12:42) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #19 A.Waseem caught at PUR35, for 20 yards to the ISU43 (#11 J.Valdes), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU Roughing The Passer (#6 K.Gajewski) 15 yards from ISU43 to ISU28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
96.1%
(12:26) PENALTY PUR False Start (#59 M.Banuelos) 5 yards from ISU28 to ISU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+7
96.0%
(12:05) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 7 yards gain to the ISU26 (#7 C.Davis)Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+17
95.9%
(11:23) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #0 J.Hornsby caught at ISU09, for 17 yards to the ISU09 (#22 Z.Coleman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
95.9%
(10:43) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU06 (#7 C.Davis; #18 P.Eyabi)Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
95.8%
(10:00) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU02 (#35 K.Harris)Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
95.6%
PENALTY PUR False Start (#50 B.Stanley) 5 yards from ISU02 to ISU07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.4%
(09:24) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left to #3 X.Townsend thrown to ISU00 broken up by #22 Z.ColemanSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
95.3%
(09:17) #92 J.Echeverria Lozano field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab), clock 09:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 6FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:564% → 5%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
95.6%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ISU37 (#21 J.Denson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.4%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short right to #83 J.Reed caught at ISU36, for 2 yards to the ISU39 (#0 J.Hayden; #58 B.Ishmail)Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
95.4%
(08:13) PENALTY ISU False Start (#75 D.Page) 5 yards from ISU39 to ISU34. NO PLAY. #25 A.Ball injured on the playSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+4
95.5%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.McCool rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU38 (#21 J.Denson Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+41
95.4%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short middle to #11 T.Nansel caught at ISU48, for 41 yards to the PUR21 QB hurried by #0 J.Hayden (#7 D.Saunders), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PUR Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
94.6%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short middle to #83 J.Reed caught at PUR12, for 0 yards to the PUR21 PENALTY ISU Holding (#20 M.McCool) 10 yards from PUR21 to PUR31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+4
94.8%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR27 (#40 I.Jeffries; #5 C.Correa), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 16
OPP 27
-2
94.7%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Ball rush right for 2 yards loss to the PUR29 (#0 J.Hayden; #25 H.Miller)Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 18
OPP 29
0
94.9%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete deep right to #25 A.Ball thrown to PUR03Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+47
94.7%
(05:12) #37 S.Lopez field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #99 S.Conrad, LS: #31 C.Weed), clock 05:09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:5495% → 94%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+5
95.0%
(05:07) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #4 J.Gibson caught at PUR30, for 5 yards to the PUR30 (#1 D.Johnson) PENALTY PUR Holding (#72 J.McCoskey) 10 yards from PUR30 to PUR20Similar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
94.3%
(04:41) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short left thrown to PUR20 broken up by #18 P.EyabiSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
94.3%
(04:36) Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush left for 4 yards gain to the PUR24 (#32 G.Hagan)Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-8
93.8%
(03:51) Shotgun #15 R.Browne sacked for loss of 8 yards to the PUR16 (#25 R.Beasley)Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+5
93.5%
(03:14) #42 D.Drennan punt 54 yards to the ISU30 #14 B.Wuest return 5 yards to the ISU35 (#39 I.Needam) PENALTY PUR Illegal Formation 5 yards from ISU35 to ISU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:156% → 6%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.6%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete short left to #9 T.Stewart thrown to ISU40Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
93.6%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush left for 2 yards gain to the ISU42 (#11 K.Burgos)Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-4
93.5%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens sacked for loss of 4 yards to the ISU38 (#40 I.Jeffries)Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+14
94.4%
(01:57) #99 S.Conrad punt 46 yards to the PUR16 #3 X.Townsend return 14 yards to the PUR30 (#99 S.Conrad)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 1:4394% → 95%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
93.9%
(01:48) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #3 X.Townsend caught at PUR45, for 18 yards to the PUR48 (#9 A.Walk, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
94.4%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU48 (#52 M.Keifer)Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
94.3%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #3 X.Townsend caught at ISU44, for 4 yards to the ISU44 (#23 X.Andrews)Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
94.2%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #3 X.Townsend caught at ISU41, for 5 yards to the ISU39 (#7 C.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
94.3%
(00:53) Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+11
94.1%
(00:44) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at ISU35, for 11 yards to the ISU24 (#4 N.Yatsko), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
94.0%
(00:33) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #19 A.Waseem caught at ISU07, for 17 yards to the ISU07 (#9 A.Walk, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.3%
(00:28) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short right to #19 A.Waseem thrown to ISU00Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.2%
(00:23) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass incomplete short middle to #19 A.Waseem thrown to ISU04Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
94.1%
(00:19) Shotgun #15 R.Browne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU05 (#7 C.Davis; #36 A.Rose)Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
95.0%
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:586% → 5%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Indiana St. rush middle for 3 yards loss to the ISU22 fumbled by Indiana St. at ISU22 recovered by ISU #2 E.Owens at ISU22, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
94.4%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete short middle to #84 J.Johnson thrown to ISU22 broken up by #5 C.CorreaSimilar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
94.9%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short left to #25 A.Ball caught at ISU24, for 6 yards to the ISU28 (#4 H.Hines), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
94.9%
(13:27) #99 S.Conrad punt 38 yards to the PUR34 #3 X.Townsend return 4 yards to the PUR38 (#20 M.McCool)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:2195% → 98%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
94.9%
(13:18) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #3 X.Townsend caught at PUR39, for 3 yards to the PUR41 (#1 D.Johnson)Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+12
94.9%
(12:49) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ISU47 (#4 N.Yatsko; #7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
94.8%
(12:10) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush left for 20 yards gain to the ISU27 (#16 M.McNair), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
95.0%
(11:34) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete deep left to #81 G.Burhenn caught at ISU01, for 26 yards to the ISU01 (#4 N.Yatsko), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
(10:50) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:50 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:343% → 1%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush left for 0 yards to the ISU25 (#0 J.Hayden)Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete short right to #17 K.Singleton thrown to ISU27Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete short left to #83 J.Reed thrown to ISU33 broken up by #6 M.ClarkSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
(10:06) #99 S.Conrad punt 23 yards to the ISU48 blocked by #27 B.OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+19
99.8%
(10:00) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #2 F.Ijeboi caught at PUR44, for 19 yards to the ISU29 (#0 L.Vereen II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
99.8%
(09:11) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #19 A.Waseem caught at ISU12, for 22 yards to the ISU07 (#4 N.Yatsko), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
(08:31) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at ISU00, for 7 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:28 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 4:590% → 0%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the ISU25 (#25 H.Miller)Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush left for 10 yards gain to the ISU35 (#4 H.Hines), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete deep right to #83 J.Reed thrown to PUR35 PENALTY PUR Pass Interference (#13 J.Slaughter) 15 yards from ISU35 to ISU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.8%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 D.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR49 (#20 W.Berglund; #40 I.Jeffries)Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-2
99.8%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short right to #83 J.Reed caught at ISU49, for 2 yards loss to the ISU49 (#6 M.Clark)Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+26
99.8%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens rush middle for 26 yards gain to the PUR25 (#2 J.Mangham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.8%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass complete short right to #84 J.Johnson caught at PUR21, for 7 yards to the PUR18 QB hurried by #10 T.Hampton (#21 J.Denson Jr.), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#58 A.Hertlein) 5 yards from PUR25 to PUR30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 15
OPP 30
0
99.8%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens pass incomplete short left to #13 A.Hayes thrown to PUR15Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 15
OPP 30
-2
99.8%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens sacked for loss of 3 yards to the PUR33 (#23 T.Smith, #94 R.Lora)Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 18
OPP 33
-8
99.9%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Owens sacked for loss of 8 yards to the PUR41 (#6 M.Clark)Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 26
OPP 41
0
99.9%
(03:23) #99 S.Conrad punt 41 yards to the PUR00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
(03:16) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PUR22 (#6 K.Gajewski; #3 J.Childers)Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
(02:40) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR23 (#42 B.Sampson)Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+50
99.9%
(01:53) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short right to #10 J.Watson caught at PUR20, for 50 yards to the ISU27 (#22 Z.Coleman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
(01:04) Shotgun #20 T.Terrell Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ISU18 (#4 N.Yatsko)Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
(00:26) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short left to #19 A.Waseem caught at ISU00, for 18 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:21, 1ST DOWN #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 16INT TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Ball rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ISU32 (#6 M.Clark)Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Allen pass incomplete short middle to #14 B.Wuest thrown to ISU46Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-35
99.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Allen pass intercepted by #7 D.Saunders at ISU35 #7 D.Saunders return 35 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:48 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
(14:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.McCool rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#10 T.Hampton; #97 W.Simms)Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
100.0%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Allen pass complete short left to #84 J.Johnson caught at ISU28, for 17 yards to the ISU44 (#2 J.Mangham), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PUR UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#2 J.Mangham) 15 yards from ISU44 to PUR41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
99.9%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Allen pass complete short right to #17 K.Singleton caught at PUR30, for 14 yards to the PUR27 (#16 A.Speca) PENALTY ISU Holding (#69 J.Musser) 10 yards from PUR41 to ISU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+6
100.0%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.McCool rush middle for 6 yards gain to the PUR45 (#16 A.Speca; #34 T.Moore)Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+45
100.0%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Allen pass complete deep middle to #83 J.Reed caught at PUR00, for 45 yards to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:44, 1ST DOWN #37 S.Lopez kick attempt failed (H: #99 S.Conrad, LS: #31 C.Weed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 6:10100% → 100%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.9%
(12:20) Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush left for 9 yards gain to the PUR21 (#0 L.Vereen II)Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
(11:55) Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush left for 8 yards gain to the PUR29 (#52 M.Keifer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
(11:10) Shotgun #1 E.Chuba pass complete short right to #10 J.Watson caught at PUR35, for 7 yards to the PUR36 (#17 X.McIntyre)Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+10
99.9%
(10:30) Shotgun #1 E.Chuba pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at PUR40, for 10 yards to the PUR46 (#9 A.Walk, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
(09:45) Shotgun #1 E.Chuba rush right for 4 yards gain to the PUR50, out of bounds at PUR50Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 6
50
+4
99.9%
(09:09) Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU46 (#15 D.Griffith)Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
(08:27) Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU44 (#0 L.Vereen II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
(07:39) Shotgun #4 J.Gibson rush left for 1 yard loss to the ISU45 (#16 M.McNair)Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
(07:01) Shotgun #1 E.Chuba pass incomplete deep right to #11 T.Harris thrown to ISU20 QB hurried by #16 M.McNairSimilar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
(06:56) Shotgun #1 E.Chuba pass complete short right to #6 A.Towns caught at ISU41, for 5 yards to the ISU40 (#32 G.Hagan)Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 6
OPP 40
-8
99.9%
(06:12) Shotgun #1 E.Chuba sacked for loss of 8 yards to the ISU48 (#16 M.McNair), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 19TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
100.0%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.McCool rush right for 3 yards loss to the ISU45 (#34 T.Moore)Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 13
OWN 45
-1
100.0%
(05:22) Shotgun #18 B.Allen rush left for 1 yard loss to the ISU44 fumbled by #18 B.Allen at ISU40 recovered by ISU #18 B.Allen at ISU44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+55
100.0%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Allen pass complete deep middle to #81 T.Amankwaa caught at PUR04, for 55 yards to the PUR01 (#6 M.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 M.McCool rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:05 PENALTY PUR Offside declined #37 S.Lopez kick attempt good (H: #99 S.Conrad, LS: #31 C.Weed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20END OF GAME
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:19100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
(04:04) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 13 yards gain to the PUR38 (#22 Z.Coleman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
(03:29) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PUR42 (#99 E.Halfpap)Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
(02:51) Shotgun #1 E.Chuba pass complete short right to #33 Q.Rosenkranz caught at PUR43, for 7 yards to the PUR49 (#99 E.Halfpap), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
(02:06) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush right for 7 yards gain to the ISU44 (#34 O.Gonzalez)Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush left for 1 yard gain to the ISU43 (#96 J.Deakins)Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
(01:17) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU40 (#38 B.Lynch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
(00:36) Shotgun #22 A.Harris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU36 (#41 L.Karras)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:50
(10:50) Shotgun #2 F.Ijeboi rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:50 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)
+2.7
TD · Q1 0:04
(00:06) Shotgun #15 R.Browne pass complete short middle to #5 C.Magwood caught at ISU00, for 6 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04 #92 J.Echeverria Lozano kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #46 L.Raab)
+1.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Jacobo Echeverria Lozano 23 Yd Field Goal
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com