Try the model
BALL

Ball State 3 at Ohio State 56

OSU
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Ohio Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:05 · #32 C.Stumbaugh punt 42 yards to the OhioSt01
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+49.1Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.2Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:47: #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at BallSt00, for 48 yards to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:47, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs) — BALL win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:08: Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:08 #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs) — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:17: #38 B.Boehm field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 01:17 — BALL win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:10: Jeremiah Smith 3 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick) — OSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:29: Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 65 yards gain to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:29, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs) — OSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BALL made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:14OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05BALL 4th & 4 at OSU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:52BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:08OSU 4th & 3 at BALL 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:42BALL 4th & 10 at OSU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:59OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17BALL 4th & 11 at OSU 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:26BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:55BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:17BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 29, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:39BALL 4th & 24 at midfield, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:16BALL 4th & 8 at OSU 38, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:05OSU 4th & 12 at OSU 43, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52BALL 4th & 10 at BALL 15, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:52OSU 4th & 1 at BALL 49, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 8:47OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:23OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:08OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:29OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:20OSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:16OSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:55OSU Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.8%
#25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OhioSt20 (#2 Q.Scandrett; #27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #4 J.Smith thrown to OhioSt45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.McCuin thrown to BallSt48Similar
Q1 14:14
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
99.8%
#42 J.McGuire punt 41 yards to the BallSt39 fair catch by #85 A.Cooper at BallSt39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short middle to #10 J.McDougle caught at BallSt50, for 12 yards to the OhioSt49 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #24 T.Hoover caught at OhioSt47, for 4 yards to the OhioSt45 (#6 D.Sanchez), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short middle to #4 T.Horton caught at OhioSt48, for 2 yards to the OhioSt43 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.; #17 T.Alford)Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short left to #10 J.McDougle thrown to OhioSt40Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
99.7%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 42 yards to the OhioSt01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.7%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OhioSt03 (#27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
99.7%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt04 (#27 G.Forsha; #1 S.Smith)Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+18
99.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #3 D.McCuin caught at OhioSt22, for 18 yards to the OhioSt22 (#4 W.Yates), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.7%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #0 B.Inniss caught at OhioSt27, for 15 yards to the OhioSt37 (#0 D.Fields), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.7%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 11 yards gain to the OhioSt48 (#2 Q.Scandrett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.7%
No Huddle #25 B.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the BallSt48 (#0 D.Fields)Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+48
99.6%
#10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at BallSt00, for 48 yards to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:47, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:550% → 1%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 5 yards gain to the BallSt30 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.; #5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #7 C.Nelson caught at BallSt38, for 8 yards to the BallSt38, out of bounds at BallSt38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Nelson thrown to BallSt42 QB hurried by #26 P.Pierce. BallSt is challenging the ruling on the field - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.6%
Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BallSt40 (#3 J.Smith; #5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+1
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush left for 1 yard gain to the BallSt41 (#26 P.Pierce; #12 B.Atkinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
99.5%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 34 yards to the OhioSt25, out of bounds at OhioSt25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:29100% → 100%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #0 B.Inniss caught at OhioSt34, for 12 yards to the OhioSt37 (#1 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush left for 5 yards gain to the OhioSt42 (#16 K.Stewart; #39 M.Gracio)Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-5
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 5 yards to the OhioSt37 (#14 A.Pinnace)Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+17
99.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at BallSt49, for 17 yards to the BallSt46 (#13 K.Chamble), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.5%
#24 J.Jackson rush right for 5 yards gain to the BallSt41 (#58 K.Smith)Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
99.5%
No Huddle #24 J.Jackson rush right for 5 yards gain to the BallSt36 (#13 K.Chamble), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #0 B.Inniss caught at BallSt30, for 9 yards to the BallSt27 (#16 K.Stewart)Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+10
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #3 D.McCuin caught at BallSt19, for 10 yards to the BallSt17 (#4 W.Yates), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.5%
Devin McCuin 17 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6INT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
PENALTY BallSt Delay Of Game 5 yards from BallSt25 to BallSt20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.5%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #4 T.Horton caught at BallSt18, for 4 yards to the BallSt24 (#17 T.Alford), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.5%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #24 T.Hoover caught at BallSt27, for 4 yards to the BallSt28 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.)Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.4%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass intercepted by #17 T.Alford at BallSt30 QB hurried by #34 K.Wilder #17 T.Alford return 2 yards to the BallSt28 (#88 A.Scherle)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.5%
#4 J.Smith rush right for 5 yards gain to the BallSt23 (#21 G.Aramboles)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+16
99.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #3 D.McCuin caught at BallSt07, for 16 yards to the BallSt07 (#1 S.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
99.5%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BallSt09 (#14 A.Pinnace), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short middle to #25 B.Jackson thrown to BallSt04Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.5%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #7 P.Bell caught at BallSt05, for 6 yards to the BallSt03 (#21 G.Aramboles)Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:08 #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 4:260% → 1%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the BallSt26 (#55 J.Walker)Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BallSt28 (#96 E.Houston)Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush right for 8 yards gain to the BallSt36 (#25 J.Timmons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete deep left to #11 I.Thacker thrown to OhioSt25Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.6%
Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 1 yard gain to the BallSt37 (#26 P.Pierce; #17 T.Alford)Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+15
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster sacked for loss of 10 yards to the BallSt27 (#3 J.Smith) PENALTY OhioSt Horse Collar Tackle (#3 J.Smith) 15 yards from BallSt37 to OhioSt48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Thompson Jr. thrown to OhioSt38 broken up by #26 P.PierceSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short middle to #4 T.Horton caught at BallSt48, for 0 yards to the OhioSt48 (#44 E.Sitanilei)Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right thrown to OhioSt30 QB hurried by #26 P.PierceSimilar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
99.5%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 42 yards to the OhioSt06 fair catch by #0 B.Inniss at OhioSt06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+19
99.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #3 D.McCuin caught at OhioSt24, for 19 yards to the OhioSt25 (#1 S.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the OhioSt28 (#2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OhioSt37, for 12 yards to the OhioSt40 (#0 D.Fields), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.6%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the OhioSt43 (#48 S.Feeney)Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-1
99.6%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OhioSt42 (#27 G.Forsha)Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-7
99.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 7 yards to the OhioSt35 (#31 J.Badie)Similar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
99.5%
#42 J.McGuire punt 40 yards to the BallSt25 fair catch by #85 A.Cooper at BallSt25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10FG
14 plays · 38 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #10 J.McDougle caught at BallSt23, for 4 yards to the BallSt29 (#1 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.5%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #2 J.Bonds caught at BallSt24, for 6 yards to the BallSt35 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #5 R.Pettijohn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete deep left to #10 J.McDougle thrown to OhioSt42Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.5%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BallSt41 (#53 W.Smith Jr.; #1 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
99.4%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #11 I.Thacker caught at OhioSt49, for 11 yards to the OhioSt48, out of bounds at OhioSt48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete deep right to #24 T.Hoover thrown to OhioSt15Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
99.4%
Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush right for 12 yards gain to the OhioSt36 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Nelson thrown to OhioSt04Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
99.4%
Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 2 yards loss to the OhioSt38 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.; #14 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+1
99.4%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt37 (#9 Z.Grady; #14 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+54
98.9%
#38 B.Boehm field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 01:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 1:0599% → 100%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
99.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #83 N.Roberts caught at OhioSt15, for 11 yards to the OhioSt21 (#2 Q.Scandrett; #0 D.Fields), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OhioSt29, for 15 yards to the OhioSt36 (#6 C.Lewis; #14 A.Pinnace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep left to #4 J.Smith caught at BallSt41, for 24 yards to the BallSt40, out of bounds at BallSt40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at BallSt25, for 19 yards to the BallSt21 (#4 W.Yates), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.2%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #86 M.Williams caught at BallSt15, for 6 yards to the BallSt15 (#2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short middle to #15 C.Henry Jr. thrown to BallSt01 broken up by #14 A.PinnaceSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+13
99.1%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at BallSt02, for 13 yards to the BallSt02, out of bounds at BallSt02, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.1%
#25 B.Jackson rush left for 1 yard loss to the BallSt03 (#56 A.Glenn)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Jeremiah Smith 3 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.5%
Kneel down by #6 K.Luster at BallSt24 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #4 T.Horton caught at BallSt20, for 0 yards to the BallSt25 (#5 R.Pettijohn), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short middle to #11 I.Thacker thrown to BallSt31 broken up by #25 J.TimmonsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short left to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to BallSt34 broken up by #6 D.Sanchez. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #1 D.Hamilton caught at BallSt34, for 9 yards to the BallSt34 (#6 D.Sanchez))Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 64 yards to the OhioSt11 #7 P.Bell return 47 yards to the BallSt42 (#32 C.Stumbaugh) PENALTY OhioSt Holding (#6 J.Guilford) 6 yards from OhioSt12 to OhioSt06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 94 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
99.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #3 D.McCuin caught at OhioSt19, for 17 yards to the OhioSt23 (#27 G.Forsha), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.6%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 1 yard loss to the OhioSt22 (#9 J.Thomas)Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+13
99.6%
Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at OhioSt25, for 13 yards to the OhioSt35 (#1 S.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.9%
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 65 yards gain to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:29, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #8 C.Thompson Jr. thrown to BallSt35Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush left for 1 yard gain to the BallSt26 (#12 B.Atkinson; #26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #24 T.Hoover caught at BallSt28, for 2 yards to the BallSt28 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 34 yards to the OhioSt38, out of bounds at OhioSt38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush right for 8 yards gain to the OhioSt46 (#99 K.Gilbert)Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BallSt49 (#39 M.Gracio), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush right for 49 yards gain to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:20, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Hamilton thrown to BallSt37 broken up by #25 J.TimmonsSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush right for 1 yard loss to the BallSt29 (#17 T.Alford; #14 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right to #8 C.Thompson Jr. thrown to BallSt36 broken up by #6 D.SanchezSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+48
99.9%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 48 yards to the OhioSt23 #7 P.Bell return for loss of 1 yard to the OhioSt22 (#83 E.Hohlt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 0 yards to the OhioSt22 (#26 L.Szymborski)Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Shotgun #13 L.Fahey pass complete short right to #32 I.West caught at OhioSt24, for 2 yards to the OhioSt24 (#2 Q.Scandrett)Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 L.Fahey pass intercepted by #18 C.Franklin III at OhioSt36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
PENALTY BallSt False Start (#68 G.Haworth) 5 yards from OhioSt36 to OhioSt41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 15
OPP 41
-4
99.9%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush left for 4 yards loss to the OhioSt45 (#94 J.Moore)Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 19
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete short right thrown to OhioSt30Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 19
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 5 yards loss to the OhioSt50 (#3 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 24
50
+10
99.9%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 43 yards to the OhioSt07 #0 B.Inniss return 10 yards to the OhioSt17 (#1 D.Hamilton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:23100% → 100%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #2 L.Bey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OhioSt21 (#28 S.Perkins; #57 R.Hill)Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
99.9%
Shotgun #2 L.Bey rush right for 7 yards gain to the OhioSt28 (#26 L.Szymborski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Bey rush right for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt29 (#26 L.Szymborski)Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Shotgun #13 L.Fahey pass complete short right to #32 I.West caught at OhioSt30, for 7 yards to the OhioSt36 (#54 S.Vaka)Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OhioSt40 (#57 R.Hill; #6 C.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
99.9%
Shotgun #2 L.Bey rush left for 24 yards gain to the BallSt36 (#9 J.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
#13 L.Fahey rush left for 3 yards gain to the BallSt33, out of bounds at BallSt33Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BallSt32 (#16 K.Stewart; #14 A.Pinnace) PENALTY OhioSt Holding (#74 C.Lowe) 10 yards from BallSt33 to BallSt43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Shotgun #13 L.Fahey pass complete short left to #88 M.LeBlanc caught at BallSt38, for 6 yards to the BallSt37, out of bounds at BallSt37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+22
99.9%
Shotgun #13 L.Fahey pass complete deep middle to #11 B.Boyd caught at BallSt15, for 22 yards to the BallSt15 (#18 C.Franklin III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 L.Fahey pass incomplete short middle to #15 C.Henry Jr. thrown to BallSt00 broken up by #14 A.Pinnace PENALTY OhioSt Holding (#76 J.Cook) 10 yards from BallSt15 to BallSt25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Legend Bey 25 Yd pass from Luke Fahey (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. caught at BallSt32, for 4 yards to the BallSt39 (#12 B.Atkinson)Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
PENALTY BallSt False Start (#71 B.Barrowman) 5 yards from BallSt39 to BallSt34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short left to #24 T.Hoover caught at BallSt35, for 10 yards to the BallSt35 (#18 C.Calhoun), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+15
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Nelson thrown to OhioSt40 PENALTY OhioSt Pass Interference (#11 T.Moore) 15 yards from BallSt34 to BallSt49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #1 D.Hamilton caught at OhioSt40, for 11 yards to the OhioSt40, out of bounds at OhioSt40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 3 yards gain to the OhioSt37 (#5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OhioSt38 (#5 R.Pettijohn; #12 B.Atkinson)Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. caught at OhioSt42, for 0 yards to the OhioSt38 (#15 J.Thomas)Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+7
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #3 J.Thompson Jr. caught at OhioSt41, for 7 yards to the OhioSt31 (#17 T.Alford), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 6:11100% → 100%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
99.9%
Shotgun #32 I.West rush right for 14 yards gain to the OhioSt45 (#7 B.Marsh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #32 I.West rush right for 10 yards gain to the BallSt45 (#9 J.Thomas; #18 C.Franklin III) PENALTY OhioSt Holding (#58 G.VanSickle) 10 yards from OhioSt45 to OhioSt35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Shotgun #2 L.Bey rush right for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt36 (#16 K.Stewart)Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 19
OWN 36
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair pass incomplete short middle to #89 N.Lautar thrown to BallSt45Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair rush right for 7 yards gain to the OhioSt43, out of bounds at OhioSt43Similar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
99.9%
#42 J.McGuire punt 42 yards to the BallSt15 fair catch by #85 A.Cooper at BallSt15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
Shotgun #3 J.Thompson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BallSt17 (#41 B.Rembert)Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster pass complete short right to #24 T.Hoover caught at BallSt17, for 0 yards to the BallSt17 (#36 C.Sanna)Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-2
100.0%
Shotgun #6 K.Luster sacked for loss of 2 yards to the BallSt15 (#44 E.Sitanilei)Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
100.0%
#32 C.Stumbaugh punt 43 yards to the OhioSt42 #7 P.Bell return 0 yards to the OhioSt42 (#14 A.Pinnace)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
PENALTY OhioSt False Start (#58 G.VanSickle) 5 yards from OhioSt42 to OhioSt37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair rush left for 1 yard gain to the OhioSt38 (#26 L.Szymborski), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+9
100.0%
Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair pass complete short right to #32 I.West caught at OhioSt36, for 9 yards to the OhioSt47 (#33 J.Birden)Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair pass complete short middle to #87 B.Lennon caught at OhioSt50, for 4 yards to the BallSt49 (#26 L.Szymborski)Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+10
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 10 yards gain to the BallSt39 (#26 L.Szymborski; #5 C.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair pass complete short right to #2 L.Bey caught at BallSt46, for 12 yards to the BallSt27 (#5 C.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
100.0%
Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair pass complete short left to #6 J.Guilford caught at BallSt15, for 12 yards to the BallSt15, out of bounds at BallSt15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Shotgun #2 L.Bey rush right for 0 yards to the BallSt15 (#23 J.Suggs)Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Shotgun #9 T.St. Clair pass complete short middle to #15 C.Henry Jr. caught at BallSt00, for 15 yards to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:55, 1ST DOWN #92 C.Peterson kick attempt good (H: #93 B.Young, LS: #43 B.Jenkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Shotgun #0 E.Jackson rush right for 5 yards gain to the BallSt30 (#91 D.McKinley)Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #0 E.Jackson caught at BallSt27, for 5 yards to the BallSt35 (#15 J.Thomas; #23 G.Stover), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short left to #14 E.Durham thrown to BallSt42Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
100.0%
Shotgun #0 E.Jackson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the BallSt50 (#11 T.Moore; #28 S.Caldwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete short left to #14 E.Durham thrown to BallSt50 broken up by #59 A.YeagerSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
50
+5
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass incomplete deep right to #15 T.Bardo thrown to OhioSt30 PENALTY OhioSt Offside (#97 D.Quinn) 5 yards from BallSt50 to OhioSt45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-4
100.0%
Shotgun #2 J.Bonds rush left for 4 yards loss to the OhioSt49 (#24 D.Kelly)Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+26
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Mizzell pass complete short left to #14 E.Durham caught at OhioSt32, for 26 yards to the OhioSt23, out of bounds at OhioSt23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:10
Jeremiah Smith 3 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Connor Hawkins Kick)
+0.7
FG · Q2 1:17
#38 B.Boehm field goal attempt from 54 yards GOOD (H: #32 C.Stumbaugh, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 01:17
-0.6
TD · Q3 11:29
Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 65 yards gain to the BallSt00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:29, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com