Try the model
UNT

North Texas 16 at Indiana 52

IU
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:52 · (05:53) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Milliner thrown to IND36, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+46.3Home team on offense+0.9Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:46: (06:49) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #80 C.Becker caught at UNT00, for 9 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:46, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) — IU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:40: (11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 9 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:40 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff) — UNT win probability +2.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:56: (10:01) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep right to #80 C.Becker caught at UNT05, for 35 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:56, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) — IU win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:18: (01:21) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 01:18 — UNT win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:51: (12:55) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep middle to #4 D.Chandler caught at UNT09, for 42 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:51, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen) — IU win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:20UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:52UNT 4th & 3 at IU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:07IU 4th & 1 at UNT 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:48UNT 4th & 3 at IU 29, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:57UNT 4th & 5 at IU 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:24IU 4th & 7 at UNT 31, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:25UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:20IU 4th & 8 at IU 18, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:18UNT 4th & 6 at IU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:02UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 24, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:35IU 4th & 1 at UNT 7, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:55UNT 4th & 2 at IU 45, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:36IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:13IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:46IU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:40UNT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:56IU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:26IU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:47IU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:0799% → 99%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
98.9%
(14:49) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT18 (#10 D.Onuoha; #4 C.Coombes)Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+3
98.9%
(14:13) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT15 (#7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
98.9%
(13:40) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #11 N.Marsh caught at UNT00, for 15 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:36, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (13:40) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #11 N.Marsh thrown to UNT00) #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2DOWNS
17 plays · 37 yds · 7:371% → 2%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
(13:36) #1 J.White rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT27 (#6 P.Zachman; #1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.8%
(12:57) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNT29 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.8%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT26, for 5 yards to the UNT34 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+9
98.7%
(11:28) #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #17 B.Long caught at UNT30, for 9 yards to the UNT43 (#21 J.Savage), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
98.7%
(10:42) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UNT35 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 18
OWN 35
0
98.6%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 0 yards to the UNT35 (#95 T.Tucker; #5 R.Hardy) PENALTY UNT Holding (#57 C.Strong) 10 yards from UNT35 to UNT25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 28
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 4 yards gain to the UNT29 (#5 R.Hardy; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.) PENALTY IND Offside (#98 C.McHaney) 5 yards from UNT25 to UNT30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 23
OWN 30
+13
98.6%
(09:25) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #14 K.Koch thrown to UNT40 PENALTY IND Pass Interference (#5 R.Hardy) 13 yards from UNT30 to UNT43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.5%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNT45 (#46 I.Jones; #90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
98.5%
(08:57) Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNT48 (#46 I.Jones; #5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+7
98.5%
(08:18) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT45, for 7 yards to the IND45 (#6 P.Zachman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.4%
(07:32) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #1 J.White thrown to IND44 broken up by #5 R.HardySimilar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.4%
(07:29) #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #17 B.Long caught at IND45, for 5 yards to the IND40 (#1 A.Ferrell; #10 R.Gandy)Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
98.3%
(06:40) Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 2 yards gain to the IND38 (#5 R.Hardy; #9 S.Daley)Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
98.2%
(05:53) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Milliner thrown to IND36, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:3998% → 98%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.3%
(05:52) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #8 T.Morris caught at IND43, for 6 yards to the IND45 (#0 B.Jones)Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+8
98.3%
(05:13) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at UNT47, for 8 yards to the UNT47 (#0 B.Jones; #15 J.Benton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.2%
(04:37) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNT43 (#7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+10
98.2%
(03:58) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 43 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:51 PENALTY IND Holding (#74 B.Lynch) 10 yards from UNT43 to IND47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+38
98.1%
(03:51) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #1 T.Richard caught at IND50, for 38 yards to the UNT15 (#0 B.Jones; #4 C.Coombes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
98.1%
(03:09) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNT08 (#7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
98.1%
(02:33) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT06 (#3 Z.Barker; #4 C.Coombes)Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
98.0%
(01:56) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the UNT06 (#10 D.Onuoha; #7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
97.8%
(01:12) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT04 (#7 A.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.9%
(00:37) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT02 (#0 B.Jones)Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:13 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:252% → 3%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.1%
(00:13) Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNT34 (#22 J.Sharpe; #6 P.Zachman)Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+10
98.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNT44 (#5 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
98.0%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND49 (#10 R.Gandy; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-4
97.8%
(13:38) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT46, for 4 yards loss to the UNT47 (#17 D.Ndukwe)Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+17
97.9%
(12:55) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson rush middle for 17 yards gain to the IND36 (#46 I.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
97.7%
(12:08) Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND33 (#12 T.Osunsanmi)Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
97.6%
(11:22) Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 2 yards gain to the IND31 (#3 J.Bell; #2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+2
97.6%
(10:36) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #7 M.Reese caught at IND34, for 2 yards to the IND29 (#3 J.Bell)Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+47
97.3%
(09:51) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 09:48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:4998% → 99%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.8%
(09:40) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the IND49 (#14 B.Garza)Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+22
97.7%
(09:04) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #8 T.Morris caught at UNT37, for 22 yards to the UNT29 (#1 K.Davila), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
97.7%
(08:24) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UNT35 (#6 U.Ezeani) PENALTY UNT Face Mask (#6 U.Ezeani) 15 yards from UNT29 to UNT14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
97.6%
(08:05) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNT12 (#3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
97.6%
(07:28) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNT09 (#3 Z.Barker; #1 K.Davila)Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
98.7%
(06:49) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #80 C.Becker caught at UNT00, for 9 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:46, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:412% → 3%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.3%
(06:46) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #0 C.Milliner caught at UNT32, for 9 yards to the UNT34 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
98.1%
(06:01) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #6 J.Martin caught at UNT31, for 2 yards loss to the UNT32 (#12 T.Osunsanmi)Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
98.1%
(05:18) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT37, for 11 yards to the UNT43, out of bounds at UNT43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
98.1%
(04:35) Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush left for 9 yards gain to the IND48 (#3 J.Bell)Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+28
97.4%
(03:54) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short middle to #6 J.Martin caught at IND33, for 28 yards to the IND20 (#3 J.Bell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.4%
(03:06) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short middle thrown to IND17 QB hurried by #34 J.Utzinger and #97 M.LandinoSimilar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
97.5%
(03:00) Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the IND18 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+3
97.6%
(02:17) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at IND21, for 3 yards to the IND15 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
97.0%
(02:00) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 01:57Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:1998% → 98%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
98.0%
(01:52) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 23 yards gain to the UNT34, out of bounds at UNT34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.0%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNT33 (#4 C.Coombes; #93 T.Washington), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
98.0%
(01:38) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #29 L.Beebe Jr. thrown to UNT36Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+2
97.9%
(01:33) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #11 N.Marsh caught at UNT35, for 2 yards to the UNT31 (#10 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
98.1%
(01:29) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen), clock 01:24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 38 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
PENALTY UNT Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNT25 to UNT20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
98.2%
(01:24) Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNT22 (#5 R.Hardy)Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
98.3%
(01:17) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT21, for 7 yards to the UNT29 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
98.3%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #3 T.Chukwurah caught at UNT35, for 6 yards to the UNT35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.1%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNT37 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
98.1%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 J.White caught at UNT31, for 7 yards to the UNT44 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.; #46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
97.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #3 T.Chukwurah caught at UNT49, for 8 yards to the IND48 (#34 J.Utzinger; #1 A.Ferrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.0%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson rush left for 4 yards gain to the IND44 (#46 I.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+7
97.8%
(00:05) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #7 M.Reese caught at IND37, for 7 yards to the IND37, out of bounds at IND37, 1ST DOWN. UNT is challenging the ruling on the field - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:05) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short left to #7 M.Reese thrown to IND37)Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+55
97.8%
#90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 55 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 00:00, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:132% → 5%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
97.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 19 yards gain to the UNT44 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.; #10 R.Gandy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
97.6%
(14:21) Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 3 yards loss to the UNT41 (#7 C.Obiazor)Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+36
97.7%
(13:39) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete deep left to #0 C.Milliner caught at IND23, for 36 yards to the IND23 (#6 P.Zachman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
97.1%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson rush right for 4 yards gain to the IND19 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.)Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+10
97.0%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #0 C.Milliner caught at IND15, for 10 yards to the IND09 (#10 R.Gandy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.8%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 9 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:40 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:3596% → 99%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
96.4%
(11:38) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush right for 6 yards gain to the IND45 (#7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-5
96.4%
(11:02) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 5 yards loss to the IND40 (#0 B.Jones)Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+25
96.0%
(10:30) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #88 B.Schott caught at UNT43, for 25 yards to the UNT35 (#0 B.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UNT Holding declined. #91 D.Rhodes injured on the playSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.5%
(10:01) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep right to #80 C.Becker caught at UNT05, for 35 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:56, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:202% → 2%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
97.8%
(09:50) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson rush right for 3 yards gain to the UNT11 (#5 R.Hardy; #17 D.Ndukwe). #2 T.Jackson injured on the playSimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+15
98.0%
Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UNT26 (#8 J.Burnham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
97.9%
(08:50) Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNT34 (#1 A.Ferrell) PENALTY IND Face Mask (#3 J.Bell) 15 yards from UNT34 to UNT49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
97.7%
(08:23) Shotgun #12 C.Jimerson Jr. rush right for 3 yards loss to the UNT46 (#8 J.Burnham; #97 M.Landino)Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+1
97.9%
(07:38) Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT47 (#90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+1
97.9%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNT48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
97.9%
(06:30) #37 I.Ratliff punt 36 yards to the IND16 fair catch by #8 T.Morris at IND16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
98.8%
(06:26) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush left for 3 yards loss to the IND13 (#24 P.Taylor; #58 N.Clark)Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+5
98.7%
(05:51) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the IND18 (#0 B.Jones; #4 C.Coombes)Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 8
OPP 0
0
98.6%
(05:30) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to IND27Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
99.0%
(05:26) #19 B.Gowers punt 40 yards to the UNT42 fair catch by #0 C.Milliner at UNT42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:492% → 3%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
97.8%
(05:20) Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete deep left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at IND38, for 23 yards to the IND35 (#5 R.Hardy; #6 P.Zachman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
97.5%
(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Ditta pass complete short right to #19 G.O'Bara caught at IND38, for 1 yard loss to the IND36 (#46 I.Jones) PENALTY UNT Personal Foul (#1 J.White) 15 yards from IND35 to IND50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 25
50
+2
97.8%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND48 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 23
OPP 48
0
97.9%
(03:54) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #7 M.Reese caught at IND49, for 0 yards to the IND48 (#10 R.Gandy)Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 23
OPP 48
+24
97.9%
(03:13) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short left to #13 J.Stevenson caught at IND30, for 24 yards to the IND24 (#10 R.Gandy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.3%
(02:42) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete deep right thrown to IND00Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+1
97.4%
(02:31) Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND23 (#5 R.Hardy; #98 C.McHaney)Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+3
97.6%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #29 B.Haygood caught at IND24, for 3 yards to the IND20 (#7 C.Obiazor; #46 I.Jones)Similar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
96.8%
(01:21) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff), clock 01:18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:1498% → 100%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.4%
(01:10) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush right for 2 yards gain to the IND25 (#34 B.Reese; #6 U.Ezeani)Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+12
98.4%
(00:38) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND36, for 12 yards to the IND37 (#19 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep right to #80 C.Becker thrown to UNT30Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.5%
(14:53) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND41 (#15 J.Benton; #93 T.Washington)Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
98.5%
(14:11) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #8 T.Morris caught at IND48, for 7 yards to the IND48 (#32 A.Benford II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
98.6%
(13:35) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 S.Preston caught at UNT42, for 10 yards to the UNT42 (#19 J.Allen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.7%
(12:55) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep middle to #4 D.Chandler caught at UNT09, for 42 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:51, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
(12:51) Shotgun #1 J.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT28 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.5%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNT29 (#34 J.Utzinger)Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.5%
(11:16) PENALTY UNT Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNT29 to UNT24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.5%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #7 M.Reese thrown to UNT35 QB hurried by #8 J.Burnham and #5 R.HardySimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+36
99.5%
(11:14) #37 I.Ratliff punt 42 yards to the IND34 #8 T.Morris return 36 yards to the UNT30 (#3 Z.Barker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 30 yds · 5:31100% → 100%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.7%
(11:02) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT27 (#3 Z.Barker; #1 K.Davila)Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
99.7%
(10:22) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNT23 (#4 C.Coombes; #58 N.Clark)Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+7
99.7%
(09:37) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 7 yards gain to the UNT16 (#9 C.Jenkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.7%
(08:53) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNT15 (#7 A.Alexander)Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+6
99.8%
(08:10) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNT09 (#21 J.Cross Jr.; #3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
99.8%
(07:28) Shotgun #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNT07 (#3 Z.Barker)Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+2
99.7%
(06:42) #29 L.Beebe Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNT05 (#3 Z.Barker; #4 C.Coombes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
(05:58) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNT02 (#4 C.Coombes; #7 A.Alexander) PENALTY UNT Personal Foul (#93 T.Washington) 1 yard from UNT02 to UNT01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
(05:28) Shotgun #1 T.Richard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:26 #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17INT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
(05:26) Shotgun #2 T.Jackson pass complete short right to #0 C.Milliner caught at UNT36, for 11 yards to the UNT36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
100.0%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Martin rush left for 11 yards gain to the UNT47 (#23 H.Ohlinger), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Martin rush right for 4 yards gain to the IND49 (#13 J.Sanks)Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
(03:32) Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 4 yards gain to the IND45 (#21 J.Savage)Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
100.0%
(02:51) Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 0 yards to the IND45 (#8 J.Burnham; #90 J.Hjelle)Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-31
100.0%
(02:02) #2 T.Jackson pass intercepted by #13 J.Sanks at IND26 #13 J.Sanks return 31 yards to the UNT43 (#68 K.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
100.0%
(01:53) Shotgun #2 G.Wilson rush left for 43 yards gain to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:47, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
(01:41) Shotgun #29 B.Haygood rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNT24 (#13 J.Sanks; #12 T.Osunsanmi)Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
100.0%
(01:02) Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNT33 (#13 J.Sanks)Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
100.0%
(00:22) Shotgun #4 N.Osho rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNT32 (#12 T.Osunsanmi; #31 A.Chung)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:56
(10:01) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete deep right to #80 C.Becker caught at UNT05, for 35 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:56, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
+2.7
TD · Q3 11:40
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.White rush right for 9 yards gain to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:40 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #52 J.Poff)
-2.3
TD · Q2 6:46
(06:49) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #80 C.Becker caught at UNT00, for 9 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:46, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #93 Q.Warren, LS: #55 D.Clausen)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com